Robin Camacho
Las Vegas Real Estate
David McKee
Stiffs & Georges
Jean Scott
Frugal Vegas
Cannery Casino Resorts (29) [RSS]
Melco Crown Entertainment (29) [RSS]
Morgans Hotel Group (32) [RSS]
Pinnacle Entertainment (60) [RSS]
Tropicana Entertainment (90) [RSS]
World Series of Poker (6) [RSS]
Illinois: No country for big casinos
JohnTerez said: What your name? , <a href="http://pdabooks.org/membe... noir wine&l... [More]
Nevada: The Stupid State
PortoM0n said: Don't go far away. , <a href="http://cool-wallpapers.ev... cool wall... [More]
They burned the Monte Carlo ... and may get away with it
JohnTerez said: Try see it. , <a href="http://smart.fm/lists/152... glass supplies</a>... [More]
Nevada: The Stupid State
PortoM0n said: Hi brothers and sisters! , <a href="http://boxesandarrows.com...... [More]
They burned the Monte Carlo ... and may get away with it
SoloJ3ss said: Great... , <a href="http://boxesandarrows.com... to make deer a... [More]
Enter your email address to subscribe to this blog.
alex yemenidjian ameristar animals architecture atlantic city australia baseball boulder strip boyd gaming california cannery casino resorts carl icahn charity cirque du soleil citycenter colony capital colorado columbia sussex cosmopolitan current detroit dining don barden donald trump downtown economy election encore entertainment environment florida fontainebleau g2e george maloof harrah's harry reid herbst gaming horseracing igt illinois indiana international internet gambling isle of capri james packer kansas kentucky labor lake tahoe laughlin lawrence ho louisiana lvcva m resort macau marketing massachusetts melco crown entertainment mesquite mgm mirage michael gaughan mississippi missouri monte carlo fire morgans hotel group movies neil bluhm ohio oscar goodman penn national pennsylvania pets phil ruffin pinnacle entertainment planet hollywood politics problem gambling regulation reno riviera sahara sheldon adelson singapore sports stanley ho station casinos steve wynn tamares group taxes technology the strip tilman fertitta tourism transportation tribal tropicana entertainment tv wall street
Posted At : October 30, 2008 04:23 PM | Posted By : D McKee
Related Categories:
Election
Whether you're giddy with anticipation of "veto-proof" U.S. Senate, led by Harry Reid (D-NV), or fretful with trepidation thereof, it's not going to happen.
Who says? The Intrade Prediction Markets, that's who. (Go to the drop-down menu and you can search futures-market bets on 35 Senate races. The one Democratic seat the GOP had hoped to capture, Mary Landrieu's (LA), has swung firmly back into the "blue" column. By the same measure, two Republican seats that were briefly thought to be at risk, those of Saxby Chambliss (GA) and Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (KY) appear likely to stay "red."
Open seats in Mississippi, Idaho and Nebraska will remain staunchly Republican, while ones in Virginia and New Mexico should go Democratic this time around. Odds are lengthening for GOP incumbents Gordon Smith (OR) and Elizabeth Dole (N.C.), and things aren't looking conspicuously better for John Sununu (N.H.) and convicted felon Ted Stevens (AK).
The wild card is Minnesota, where Intrade continues to post a higher probability for challenger Al Franken (D) than for incumbent Norm Coleman (R). But Coleman has inched slightly ahead in popular-opinion polls since he switched to an all-positive ad campaign (even to the extent of repudiating direct-mail pieces that bore the fingerprints of Nevada's Sen. John Ensign). If I were a betting man, I'd buy "Coleman" futures, but ...
... even if Intrade calls Minnesota right, the best-case scenario is a seven-seat pickup by Dems. Split the two unaffiliated seats -- Bernie Sanders (VT) caucuses with the "blues" and Joe Liebermann (CT) with the "reds" -- and it still only gets Reid to 57 seats.
I'm predicting 56. And the presidential election? Based on a whole raft of factors -- plus my essentially pessimistic nature -- I say it's too close to call and we're in for a long Tuesday night.
Print | 
Send to Friend | 
del.icio.us | 
Digg It! | 
Linking Blogs |
Also, http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/10/road-to-270... That cell phone conversation at the intro is hilarious.