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Posted At : July 17, 2008 04:49 PM | Posted By : D McKee
Related Categories:
Illinois,Isle of Capri,Pinnacle Entertainment,Penn National,MGM Mirage,Columbia Sussex,Pennsylvania,James Packer,The Strip,Ameristar,Wall Street,Harrah's,Boyd Gaming,Indiana
Just a quick hit on my way out the door to spend an evening prepping for The Dark Knight by watching Batman Begins ...
Ameristar's in play. No news flash there and, for the life of me, I can't figure out why the Motley Fool thinks MGM Mirage will be the ultimate acquirer. The company doesn't seem particularly interested in regional markets these days and has been pulling back from some of them -- the same outstate-Nevada kinds in which Ameristar currently operates.
On the other hand, as the article points out Crown Ltd. has $5 billion burning a hole in its pocket after the Las Vegas Tower deal went limp. I don't know offhand what the seven-times-cash flow number for Ameristar is, but $5 billion should cover it with room to spare. The Fool lays out a compelling case for how Crown could use Ameristar's properties to funnel customers to Fontainebleau -- much as Harrah's Entertainment did with The Rio, back in the Phil Satre era.
Then again, there's Penn National, which has about $500 million in mad money (after stock buybacks) right now, thanks to the breakup fee from its busted IPO. With another $775 million promised to Penn, it ought to be able to ante up the acquisition fee without breaking a sweat. Ameristar's Missouri properties have been money-spinners and, as the Fool points out, the acquisition of the Ameristar brand would enhance Penn's persistent second-tier image. A combined Penn-Ameristar would give Pinnacle Entertainment a run for its money in St. Louis, and could regain ground being lost to MGM and Harrah's in the greater Chicago market.
Whoever loses needn't feel too bad. The Atlantic City Tropicana is still out there and debtors will probably force a sale of the rag-tag remnants of Columbia Sussex's casino 'empire.' With its market cap languishing around $837 million, Boyd Gaming looks vulnerable and if you're in a thrift-store mood, Isle of Capri's fallen to near-micro-cap status, at $157 million. Then again, you have to figure out how to turn around 'Pile of Debris.' So maybe it's not such a bargain after all.
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