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Leper Colony

Posted At : April 3, 2009 03:05 PM | Posted By : D McKee
Related Categories: Donald Trump,Harrah's,MGM Mirage,Colony Capital,Steve Wynn,Economy,Boyd Gaming,Atlantic City,James Packer

Or, in lieu of "Atlantic City Death Watch VII," maybe "Colony Death Watch." Scarcely had S&G dubbed Colony Capital's East Coast casino portfolio "Colony Crapital" than came affirmation in the form of the latest set of numbers from the Boardwalk.

First, the good news. Everyone in Atlantic City reported a profitable operating margin last year as well as a gross operating profit. As the Press of Atlantic City explains, "Net income, however, is not considered as important as gross operating profit, which is seen as the best way to measure a casino’s financial strength."

For instance, Harrah's Entertainment had the two best operating margins in the city (at Caesars A.C. and Harrah's Marina) and four of the top five. In gross operating profit, the Harrah's-owned quartet held the #2-3 and #6 spots, bested only by Borgata (#1, of course) and Trump Taj Mahal. However, thanks to some accounting jiggery-pokery back at corporate HQ, all four posted year-end losses -- some of them gargantuan, like the -$355 million charged against Caesars. Only Boyd Gaming's Borgata reported a profitable 2008. In terms of revenue, it was so far ahead of everybody else -- by $280 million -- it's not even funny.

For Harrah's Marina, the good news was triplefold. Not only did it have the smallest diminution of gross operating profit (-1%), it was also the sole casino to record an increase -- 8.5% -- in revenue.

Harrah's operational skill aside, UNLV's David Schwartz found another silver lining. To wit, "I’m surprised that gross gaming revenues fell by only 7.1%. For all of the belly-aching about the partial smoking ban and competition from Pennsylvania, Atlantic City’s gaming win actually declined less than Nevada’s, which shrank by about 10%. People are still willing to come to Atlantic City; they are just gambling less." [Emphasis added.]

Now for the bad news. The two lepers in the A.C. colony are -- you guessed it -- Resorts Atlantic City and the Hilton. Those two Colony Capital casinos posted extraordinarily dismal numbers, even by last year's low standards. Their operating profit margins were less than 2%, against a market average of 21%, and their gross operating profit was $6.3 million ... combined. In a year when the average Atlantic City casino saw a gross operating profits fall 25%, Colony's duo crash-dove -88% and -89%, respectively.

Compare this to Trump Marina. Even in a semi-orphaned state, as its sale dragged on (and on), the future Margaritaville garnered superior operating profit margin -- 7.5% -- and a far bigger operating profit on the smallest revenue base in the market. It reported gross operating profit of $15 million on revenues of $195 million. Somebody's doing something right and it's not Colony's Atlantic City braintrust.

Does Colony know how to pick 'em or what? And is MGM Mirage sure it wants to get into bed with these guys? They're starting to make James Packer look like a sagacious casino mogul. As for the Hilton, which used to be Steve Wynn's Atlantic City Golden Nugget, suffice to say it's seen better days.

Comments (Comment Moderation is enabled. Your comment will not appear until approved.)
Adam's Gravatar Come on Mckee, I am ready to hear your rants on Colony and now Packer investing in CityCenter...........the project must be doomed now. Right?
# Posted By Adam | 4/3/09 11:11 PM
David McKee's Gravatar Doomed? Hardly. On shaky footing? Inarguably. But CityCenter's intrinsic problems were years in the making and are MGM Mirage's responsibility.
As for Packer ... stay tuned.
# Posted By David McKee | 4/6/09 11:08 AM