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Signs of the Times

Posted At : October 15, 2009 12:08 PM | Posted By : D McKee
Related Categories: Encore,MGM Mirage,Entertainment,Current,Steve Wynn,The Strip,George Maloof

In less than an hour, Steve Wynn is going to make an extra-special, triple-secret, top-hush "entertainment announcement" via a Wynn Resorts Web-cast. Don't tell anyone but ... he's going to reveal that Garth Brooks will be playing Encore.

Which we know partly because it's been the worst-kept secret on the Strip and even more so because it was announced today in Nashville at 7 a.m. Vegas time. But we're all s'posed to pretend that we didn't hear anything and it's all going to be a big-ass surprise and whatnot. Yeah, that's the ticket.

This underscores how ill-tuned the casino industry is to the news business -- and furthermore, how it still hasn't made the adjustment to the global village of online media. People like Wynn (or Jenn Michaels over at MGM Mirage) continue to operate as though the daily newspaper were the only game in town and people's primary source of information.

Sorry, but what happens in Nashville no longer stays in Nashville until the next news cycle. It makes it to Vegas in the blink of a Tweet.

Vintage Vegas/Matt Goss. Both are reviewed by Richard Abowitz, who makes a number of thoughtful observations re lounge acts in general. He's a bit lenient on both Zowie Bowie and the Gossmeister, IMO. Vintage Vegas is so bad you'll want to see it so you can talk about it at parties. Goss is just bad and in a very uninteresting way. If a yawn could wear a white suit, it'd be Matt Goss.

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Why does Steve Wynn hate America?

Posted At : October 13, 2009 12:31 PM | Posted By : D McKee
Related Categories: CityCenter,MGM Mirage,TV,International,Economy,Macau,Steve Wynn,Encore,The Strip,Sheldon Adelson,Entertainment,Harrah's,Taxes,Planet Hollywood

Or maybe the question should be, What was Steve Wynn smoking before he told CNBC "Money Honey" Maria Bartiromo that Wynn Macau was making more than all other 30 Macao casinos combined? Perhaps he meant his joint is the single-highest-grossing casino in the Chinese protectorate, but his phraseology is misleading:


Wynn's remarks on the importance of staffing and customer service are, as usual, on point. However, he starts sounding like a puppet of Peking ("One thing about the Chinese government, I think they get it right."), praising the steadiness and thoughtfulness of its policies. Here's an example of Peking's steady, thoughtful policymaking in action:

Wynn's comments that infrastructural improvements don't help at tourism-dependent (casino) industry make him sound naive -- doubly so if aforesaid projects put disposable income into consumers' pockets. Still and all, Wynn is far more reasonable on CNBC -- and immeasurably less obnoxious -- than during his obstreperous Fox News Sunday rants.

Although Wynn clearly fancies himself the new political pundit on the block, he's got but one string to his bow: bellowing "Tax policy" over and over. Which translates as "Tax cuts (for me)!" Yup, if Big Guvmint would just stop collecting taxes from Big Bidness, everything would be hunky-dory, economically speaking. We'd have new jobs coming out the ass.

Here's the problem with that line of argument: We're fresh off eight straight years of tax cuts, tax holidays and corporate loopholes big enough to encompass every square foot of CityCenter. How did that work out for us?

More to the point, given a tax-averse administration and Congress, how did Wynn's casino colleagues handle their newfound largesse? Did they invest it responsibly? Hell to the no! That "bundling of the Strip" which Wynn has decried is the poisoned fruit of companies that were awash in capital and easy credit, who then used it to try and eradicate the competition. (Similar phenomena occurred in the regional casino markets and in the slot industry.)

Having cannibalized their main rivals, casino companies then began to devour themselves, in the form of insupportable debt levels and insane LBOs. And if Wynn really believes that government spending has never improved anyone's lot in life (he must have forgotten the New Deal, for starters), then how many standards of living are raised by merger-and-acquisition orgies? For the average worker, it means jobs are "consolidated" out of existence. Heck, not even executives are immune. Just ask some of the Mandalay Resort Group or Park Place Entertainment higher-ups who are now enjoying involuntary retirement.

Should the current administration hand out the kind of tax vacation Wynn is demanding, would the casino industry A) buy new and shiny objects, B) retire debt or C) create jobs? B & C would probably finish a distant second and third to A.

Just look at Harrah's Entertainment: It can't repay its creditors dollar for dollar but thinks nothing of snapping up 16% of Planet Hollywood. If there's degenerate gambling going on in the casinos, the worst of it can be found in the executive suites. If these guys ever took to playing Russian roulette, they'd probably leave at least five bullets in the revolver.

Wynn is probably feeling his oats, given the bullish, odds-defying early performance of his Hong Kong IPO. The real story may be that gains realized in the Hang Seng will be used to prop up Wynn's Las Vegas operations rather than to expand in Macao.

This just in: The two-week run of A Bronx Tale at the Venetian has been extended to a third weekend. A spoken-word play in a Strip theater seemed like a dicey prospect so this is very good news indeed.

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Quote of the Day

Posted At : September 10, 2009 03:16 PM | Posted By : D McKee
Related Categories: Encore,Entertainment,Steve Wynn

"I don't really care what they do with the entrance. If they keep the rooms up to snuff and keep the atrium, they can build a sodomy lounge, it wouldn't matter to me a bit." -- Two Way Hard Three (www.ratevegas.com/blog) reader "John" on the proposed beach club at Encore.

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Stat of the Day

Posted At : August 31, 2009 11:43 AM | Posted By : D McKee
Related Categories: Encore,Entertainment,Economy,The Strip,Steve Wynn,Dining,Sheldon Adelson

Beloved by critics and bloggers, Encore is proving to be something of a millstone around the neck of Wynn Resorts. Average daily rates at 'Wynncore' are down 39% for the year to date, compared to a "mere" -25% at neighboring archival Palazzo-Venetian. Unlike Wynn, however, Las Vegas Sands does not seek to be King of the Price Point.

Wholesale revision of Encore is in the works after only eight months, which if nothing else proves that Steve Wynn is at least tacitly willing to admit that it's time for Plan B. If his nightclub expansion translates into the imminent demise of Switch, tant pis. That gimmick-driven restaurant has been Encore's inarguable flop. Possible loss of the conservatory-like atrium would be a more serious worry: Without it, Encore would become a considerably darker and more claustrophobic casino -- as though it weren't having foot-traffic problems already.

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Greek Isles sold, few care

Posted At : August 18, 2009 05:23 PM | Posted By : D McKee
Related Categories: Encore,Entertainment,Politics,Economy,Boyd Gaming,Morgans Hotel Group

Vegas' hardest-luck casino changed hands ... again. Short of another irrational spike in off-Strip land valuations, Canpartners Realty Holding Co. IV LLC is never going to see its $67 million again. The Greek Isles is in a dead zone, a block too far north (being a block away from Encore doesn't do you any good if you're on the wrong side of the block) and two blocks too far east.

Ah well, kinda serves Canpartners right for lending $56 million against a property that was never worth but a fraction of that amount. And until Canpartners gets a gaming license and captures the casino revenue, instead of leasing out the space as a big-ass slot route, it might as well buy a Motel 6 instead.

Had enough? You'd think that after spending six of the last eight years being used as a doormat by the opposition, congressional Democrats would be saying, "It's payback time." Not yet. If anything finally gets their back up, it may (ironically) be a President whose desire for comity too often translates into giving the store away.

There are still a few crumbs left upon the table for those of us who are uninsured, afflicted with pre-existing conditions or laboring under onerous co-pays. But that'll probably be bartered away, too, and we'll be left at the mercy of people like this s,o.b. M.D. who says it's a "privilege" to be healthy. So I'm guessing he's not down with that Hippocratic Oath stuff, either, huh?

Hard Rock overextended. Having doubled down on its costly purchase of the Hard Rock Hotel & Casino, manager/minority owner Morgans Hotel Group finds itself playing for time with its lenders. Reinventing The Joint proves to have been a good idea; ditto the new convention space -- both are helping to stave off catastrophe.

But it was sheer pigheadedness of Morgans to push ahead with not one but two new hotel towers amid declining ADRs and slippage in occupancy. When Boyd Gaming called a timeout on Echelon (partly due to partner Morgans' fecklessness), it should been a cue to "wrap" the megaresort-sized expansion of the Hard Rock, at least for the time being.

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Quote of the Day

Posted At : August 7, 2009 04:37 PM | Posted By : D McKee
Related Categories: Encore,Wall Street,Economy,Steve Wynn

"There is a very surreal question here: Is it intelligent to ruthlessly grind every last dime out of this place when it involves dislocating groups of your employees? Oh yes, the quarter looks better and you have one of these fancy phone calls. But is that good business? I think not." -- Steve Wynn, during Wynn Resorts' 2Q09 earnings call.

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The dream is dying

Posted At : July 20, 2009 02:07 PM | Posted By : D McKee
Related Categories: Harrah's,Tourism,The Strip,Station Casinos,LVCVA,Fontainebleau,Encore,Labor,Colony Capital,Economy,MGM Mirage,Wall Street,Morgans Hotel Group,M Resort,Boyd Gaming,Plaza,Cosmopolitan,Steve Wynn

Just last week, UNLV's historical sage, Dr. Eugene Moehring, was taking a dim view of the fate of Las Vegas' working class. Now comes the Wall Street Journal to back him up with some sobering reportage.

Even at union salaries, Culinary Union-represented employees are hardly living on Easy Street. According to the WSJ's Tamara Audi, a hotel maid can expect to make slightly under $30K/year. She also finds a fry cook who was pulling in $36K annually, before he was laid off. (He's now making much less at union-free M Resort.) This goes to show not only the importance of union representation but also how close many of these people are to the economic precipice.

Many of the causes of our current plight (like real estate speculation) are outside my remit. However, a great deal of the blame falls upon casino CEOs who -- encouraged by banks that pushed too-easy credit like "happy dust" and by cheerleading Wall Street analysts -- succumbed severally and variously to a collective psychosis.

The Plaza: Rooms available, starting the 12th of Never.

The hyper-optimistic mentality that produced a rapid-fire succession of (in no particular order) CityCenter, Cosmopolitan, Fontainebleau, Echelon, Palazzo, Encore, the Hard Rock Hotel acquisition/expansion, and even will o' the wisps like Crown Las Vegas and Viva, rested upon a bizarre assumption. Namely, that the Las Vegas Strip could not only absord literally thousands upon thousands of new rooms (preponderantly at the high end) but could do in a compressed time frame.

A few companies even thought this could be done even after they'd glutted themselves with LBO debt. (True, Harrah's Entertainment now says it never intended to go the metaresort route but the available evidence testifies otherwise.) As I've written before, a bubble was mistaken for a baseline, thereby magnifying the consequences when the economic fundamentals began to crumple.

Distance evidently lends clarity, at least to Harvey Perkins of East Coast-based Spectrum Gaming Group. He calls for a complete rethinking of the luxury-based Vegas business model, repositioning the Strip's posh palaces slightly downmarket. It'll mean eating a lot of pride but what alternatives are there?

It's a glass half-full perspective, which is preferable to the overdose of gloom quaffed by MGM Mirage CEO Jim Murren. He darkly prophesies, "There won't be another property built in Las Vegas for a decade."

Just wait 'til the next economic upturn and see if Murren is still saying kaddish. There will be new casinos in Las Vegas before 2019, I'm fully confident -- but they'll be ones positioned around affordability and (hopefully) generating double-digit ROI. Because, frankly, Las Vegas isn't the investment it used to be.

The St(ump) Regis, as it was to have been.

Then there's the schizoid-sounding Sheldon Adelson, who harrumphs, "I don't see any opportunities for any development in Las Vegas." Emphasis added; the Las Vegas Sands CEO seems to swing from bullish to bearish by the day.) It'd be nice for Sands if Adelson had been vouchsafed this insight before he started work on the St(ump) Regis in the midst of a condo-market meltdown. Now it's big bloody nose right betwixt the eyes of the Venetian and Palazzo.

The polar opposite of Adelson is Culinary Union boss D. Taylor who sounds like a flack for the Las Vegas Convention & Visitors Authority, so giddy is his optimism. Hey, D., have you talked to your workforce lately -- you know, the ones who just had to defer a $710/year pay bump?

At least some amusement is to be had from the Strip map prepared for the WSJ by Bill Lerner's new outfit, Union Gaming Research:

I don't think I'd take investment advice from a firm that doesn't know the correct spellings of "Echelon" or "Caesars." City Center seems to fallen off the map entirely. It'd also take issue with the classification of many sites (like the in-foreclosure FX Real Estate plot) as "ceased or delayed" as there was never any work to cease or delay at, say Elad Properties' "Plaza" site or Crown Las Vegas (aka "Archon"). Ditto MGM/Kerzner, Africa Israel, etc. However, the Cosmo, which really is in limbo, doesn't make onto the map.

At any rate, as land prices on the Strip continue to return to earth, there's going to be plenty of prospective acreage for the company that's ready, willing and able to build a mid-market casino on the Strip.

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Case Bets: CityCenter, W, Bernie Goldstein, Roger Thomas

Posted At : July 7, 2009 11:15 AM | Posted By : D McKee
Related Categories: Harrah's,Steve Wynn,MGM Mirage,Isle of Capri,G2E,Fontainebleau,Current,Encore,The Strip,California,Architecture,Economy

Some rueful condo buyers are probably calling MGM Mirage's ultra-mega-super-duper resort "ShittyCenter," judging by their ire. It's difficult to know with whom to sympathize in this ongoing dispute. Condo depositors want to renegotiate prices (which range all the way up to $9.4 million/unit) while MGM -- though not unsympathetic -- maintains buyers got a special deal going in and therefore have relatively little cause for complaint.

Good luck trying to renegotiate the price of that Saturn on which you just made a downpayment. MGM needs those condo purchases if CityCenter is to remain in balance (look what happened to Fontainebleau, which has sold nary a timeshare). And it really can't afford to start refunding some of that $313 million that depositors have already placed in the kitty.

However ... there might be a pragmatic argument to be made for MGM bending to pressure. Condo sales in the valley haven't been robust -- a mere 1,172 units in 2007-08 and a measly 52 closings this year. Scarier still, the Wall Street Journal notes that 7,000 more luxury condo units are under construction as we speak.

There's basically no market remaining for high-end condos and every unit that goes on sale dilutes the value of a CityCenter aerie just a little bit more. MGM hasn't been ashamed to offer discounts to players and vacationers. Maybe it's time to extend that philosophy to condo buyers. If CEO Jim Murren has to sell a few casinos to make up the difference ... well, so be it.

Not everybody is having a hard time moving property in this market. J.P. Morgan reports that Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide just sold its W San Francisco for 14X cash flow. Geez, try to get half that multiple for a Strip property and watch potential buyers yawn in your face.

Bernie Goldstein, R.I.P. Not only are there second acts in American lives, the late Mr. Goldstein proved there are third acts as well. The granddaddy of Midwestern riverboat gambling, Goldstein built Isle of Capri Casinos into the first company of its ilk with a recognizable brand identity and saw it outlive several of its rivals. If the company's business plan went astray in recent years, that doesn't diminish the scope of Goldstein's achievement. Thankfully, the gallus-snapping Goldstein was inducted into the American Gaming Association's Hall of Fame just in the nick of time.

Congratulations to Roger Thomas for being named the next recipient of the Jay Sarno Award from Casino Design and G2E. While I'm not sure it's flattering to receive an award named after the man who covered Caesars Palace with unsightly cement mesh and gave the world Circus Circus, it's the sentiment that truly counts.

Basically, Thomas (and architect DeRuyter Butler) set the template for the last two decades on the Strip and everybody else has been tinkering around the edges. Thankfully, he's rescinded his retirement from Wynn Resorts, so we can look forward to years more of standard-setting design work.

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Case Bets: Caesars, Criss Angel, Lance Burton, Earl & Lani and Trent

Posted At : May 13, 2009 12:44 PM | Posted By : D McKee
Related Categories: Harrah's,Planet Hollywood,Steve Wynn,MGM Mirage,Colony Capital,Tropicana Entertainment,Current,Encore,The Strip,Cirque du Soleil,Entertainment,Economy

Seen last night by an S&G source, Pit One at Caesars Palace empty save for one or two baccarat players. It's just a small indicator of a larger disconnect that I hope to address later.

PR flack Robin Leach has been transcribing more of the gospel according to Criss Angel, the latest being that Cirque du Soleil's wunderkind "will juggle his schedule" of Believe dates to make room for filming the next season of Mindfreak. Do you think this might be a face-saving way to cut back on performances of a show that's already having to be deeply and frequently discounted? Naaaaaaaaaaaaah!

And is MGM Mirage really content to let Lance Burton walk, as appears to be the case? With only a month remaining on Burton's contract, no extension has been signed and MGM punted our query to Burton's manager.

Two of the Strip's major showrooms are currently vacant. Burton's act is probably too downmarket for Wynn Resorts' tastes (or pretensions, if you prefer) but Alex Yemenidjian could steal a march on his former employer by bringing Burton back to the Tropicana. Lord knows, the place could use him and Dirk Arthur is working on a short-term contract now -- a stopgap arrangement made when interim Trop management screwed up and came within days of having no shows at their property.

Value for the $$. Last week's adventures included checking out Voices at the Las Vegas Hilton, which gives the LVH a long-needed shot in the arm. Stars Earl Turner and "the beautiful Lani Misalucha" (as she is always introduced) wisely minimized expectations prior to opening. For one thing, their energetic, caution-to-the-winds revue features far more interaction than they led people to expect. Who knew if these two very different singers would "jell" ... but they do.

It's a rouser and -- at an $80 top -- a considerably better value than Elvolution, starring Trent Carlini. Eighty bucks at Voices gets you two headliners and a six-piece band. A $92 top at Elvolution buys you an Elvis Presley impersonator ... singing to backing tracks. That takes some nerve, I tell ya.

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Quote of the Day

Posted At : May 12, 2009 10:30 AM | Posted By : D McKee
Related Categories: Encore,Architecture,Current,Steve Wynn,The Strip

“‘That’s a little out there, that’s a little fey, maybe I won’t do that, maybe I’ll butch that one up.’ I think I might have done that.” -- Roger Thomas, about second-guessing himself on the designing of The Mirage and Treasure Island. Thomas, inarguably the most influential designer in Vegas history, is profiled in the new issue of The Advocate.

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