MGM Mirage has announced that it's writing off approximately $1.3 billion (i.e., taking an "impairment charge") against CityCenter, with $348 million of that chalked up to falling real estate values. (Some $174 million of that will apparently be fobbed off on MGM's partners, bringing MGM's writeoff down to $1.1 billion.) The value of MGM's half-share of the project has been restated at $2.44 billion (a 31% decline). No word yet from Dubai World as to what it thinks its half of CityCenter is worth.

Kirk Kerkorian's Tracinda Corp. shook a rhetorical fist at Wall Street, stating in a press release that there is "substantial unrecognized value in MGM and CityCenter that is not reflected in the market value of MGM’s stock." It's nice to know that even mega-corporations can feel underappreciated.

Bottoming out? Air traffic into and out of Las Vegas was almost flat, year over year, -1.2% in September, helped by passenger-load increases -- and I don't mean those hefty people who take up two seats -- on nearly every domestic carrier not named US Airways (-26%). Considering that international traffic was -21%, this is augurs well for a return of domestic consumer confidence in Sin City. And, yes, flat is the new "up."

Pennsylvania: Rendell intervenes. Never accuse the Keystone State Lege of acting in haste. The table games bill is still mired in conference committe, prompting Gov. Ed Rendell (D) to wade into the fray. Rendell's magic number for the amount of revenue table games must yield in fees and taxes is $200 million. To get there, the guv believes the tax rate must be 16%. But he's closer to the GOP position, warning that the higher levies favored by Dems would "kill the golden goose" and deprive Little Johnny's school of needed funding. Meanwhile, Rivers Casino continues to disappoint, with the lowest revenue-per-slot in the state.

Finally, a taker! Out of left field, a contender has emerged for the orphaned casino license in Cherokee and Crawford counties in Kansas. You'll recall that it was awarded to Penn National Gaming, seemingly ages ago, but Penn -- spooked by nearby tribal competition -- all but spat on the license before leaving in a huff.

Enter Ozark Trail Gaming, a consortium of Kansas businessmen, offering to build a $225 million, 900-slot, 30-table casino. After some bad experiences with carpetbagger casino developers trying to dictate terms to the Sunflower State, you have to think the Kansas Lottery Board will look kindly upon this native-son effort.

ColSux loses again. A $41.5 million summary judgment has been slapped on Columbia Sussex for abrogating its purchase of the President riverboat in St. Louis (now the property of ColSux arch-foe Pinnacle Entertainment). Regulators for Missouri didn't like the looks of ColSux and its CEO, William J. Yung III (above). The latter pulled his license application and used that as an excuse to void the President purchase, but a federal district judge wasn't buying it.

The former President owners were also suing ColSux for jacking up parking rates for casino patrons by 560% (no, that is not a typo), a truly Yungian move. If poetic justice were served in this case, the court would award the ship to ColSux. Since the President's days on the water are numbered and Yung will licensed in Missouri only in his wildest dreams, trying to dispose of that near-worthless asset might be the aptest punishment of all.

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You can't play poker for money on the Internet but you can now play the ponies in Illinois via the Web. This is yet another example of legally enshrined hypocrisy under UIGEA, the parting gift of "Slick Billy" Frist and Jim Leach to the American people. (Speaking of Dr. Frist, M.D., if we must, he just sat like a bump on a log when Bill Maher stupidly railed against the swine-flu vaccine last week. Thanks, doc.)

Setting Sun? The incoming chief of the Mohegan tribe is saying the right things about the imminent need for diversification. Specifics, however, are few on the ground. Mohegan Sun, meanwhile, finds itself between several rocks and hard places: potential competition from Massachusetts and Long Island, $1 billion in debt, falling revenues and the economic inability to finish planned improvements. Depending on how quickly Massachusetts gets its act together, Mohegan's moment in the sun could soon pass.

You've heard of "pocket pool," now the Review-Journal's intrepid Howard Stutz reaches deep into the demimonde of PocketCasino, the new, portable sports-betting technology in play at Venetian/Palazzo. No word yet on whether excessive play causes blindness or hair growth on one's palms.

(Seriously, as a longtime skeptic of Cantor Gaming's portable-gambling applications, I have to say it looks like the Cantor boys have come up aces this time. As for handheld substitutes for table games, the jury is still out on that, four years after their legalization.)

Fontainebleau Las Vegas from Running Bull Productions on Vimeo.

Pennies for F'bleau. What's Fontainebleau worth? Jack shit, according to Penn National Gaming (aka, 15 cents on the dollar). In return, Penn is willing to accept a 10% return on investment ... provided it can bring the project in a no more than $1.5 billion (not counting the billions already spent and written off).

This remains an iffy proposition, in part because it's predicated on increased profitability at Penn's patchwork assemblage of casino properties. Those have to be welded into a Harrah's Entertainment-like loyalty program that drives visitors to Las Vegas. This is a huge "if," as Penn currently has no casinos in major destination markets, unless you stretch that to include recently singed Empress Joliet. Bringing customers to Vegas or even Atlantic City is terra icongnita for Penn.

To put it bluntly, Penn was a third-tier operator -- mainly of racinos -- that "married up" by taking over Argosy Gaming, the classiest of the riverboat operators. However, the Vegas market is notoriously unforgiving of new-to-town operators and Penn will have a very steep learning curve. Also, Penn is not associated with upscale properties, so F'bleau will either have to be repriced downward to reflect the Penn customer base or may need to offer promotional allowances up the ying-yang (more likely both).

If that weren't sufficient cause for concern, Penn's oft-brandished $1.5 billion (the breakup fee from an ill-advised and abortive LBO) is covering multiple bets. Penn is the primary mover behind a pro-casino ballot initiative in Ohio -- partly to protect its Hollywood Lawrenceburg investment just across the border in Indiana. It also recently bought out Cordish Gaming in hopes of getting piggybacked onto the Kansas Speedway casino license, should the Sunflower State's lottery board approve.

At least Penn is working on ways to trim the completion price of F'bleau. Costs to date -- and projected ROI -- being what they are, it behooves Penn CEO Peter Carlino to get this rampaging beast under some semblance of control.

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Forbidden by New Jersey law from directly contributing to political campaigns, casino companies are making an end run through Virginia. Harrah's Entertainment, Boyd Gaming and IGT are among those funneling campaign cash into a reverse version on the Underground Railroad. No wonder Gov. Jon Corzine (D) is able to carpet-bomb his opponents with advertising, if he so chooses.

Hey, big spender. The New Jersey gubernatorial race may be chump change compared to the cash being expended in the battle over Issue 3, which would permit four Vegas-style casinos in the Buckeye State. This is boiling down to a proxy fight between Penn National Gaming (pro) and racino specialist MTR Gaming (con). You'll recall that the Ohio Supreme Court nixed Gov. Ted Strickland's plan to unilaterally add slots to the state's horse tracks, which might have given MTR a level playing field with Penn.

While I can understand why Penn or Harrah's would be willing to pay 23% in taxes in Iowa or 27% in Kansas, it's mind-boggling that Harrah's would be chomping at the bit in Rhode Island, where the rate is 73%. Oy vey!

A green shoot. The Baton Rouge Business Journal reports that Pinnacle Entertainment is inking contracts to begin driving piles for its Lake Charles project. Called "Sugarcane Bay" and budgeted at $407 million, this is the first positive movement we've seen out of Pinnacle in a while (unless you count its hijinks with the President license up in Missouri). Good on them.

Manilow on the move. The Las Vegas Hilton has confirmed what all suspected: Barry Manilow's contract expires Dec. 30 and will not be renewed. As we reported in Question of the Day, it's nearly a done deal that he will now set up shop at Paris-Las Vegas, whose main showroom has gone long unused.

Good luck trying to get the Vegas constabulary interested if your car is stolen or your home burglarized. They're too busy going undercover to get lap dances. As Richard Abowitz notes, rampant prostitution on the Strip goes unchecked in the meantime. It's an open secret around here, although many of the "working girls" look downright scary, so you have to wonder how they turn tricks, especially in this economy.

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For all the brouhaha about Mike Ensign funneling 96 grand to his son's mistress and three of her four family members, the smoking gun (in the form of a canceled check) has not surfaced. Until now:

Things are getting so bad for Ensign fils that even his confessor and gynecologist, Sen. Tom Coburn (R-OK) is pushing him under the bus. But, more importantly, if there's any doubt as to why states like Kansas should not be granting casino licenses to Mike Ensign, now one need only flourish a PDF of the 96-dime check he wrote to the senatorial concubine and her pimp daddy.

The good news is that Ensign Junior is merely a U.S. senator and not -- as he once was -- a middle-tier executive in a major casino firm (with an enabling Dad sitting atop the company). The Senate can withstand negative PR far better than the casino industry.

If Johnny Casino can ride out this latest scandal (and it doesn't seem likely), then the fun really begins. Odds are the Gov. Jim Gibbons would appoint himself to Ensign's seat rather than be ignominiously voted out of office next year. He could just think of it as a long, taxpayer-subsidized vacation.

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When Lyle Berman leapt into the reopened bidding for Kansas casino licenses, S&G expressed some skepticism. Why? Because Berman's Lakes Entertainment got into the bidding before it had any financing underway. Now Berman is basically saying, "Trust me," to Kansas regulators. Seems that he's been able to round up the moolah to build the casino but not the desired hotel. (Funny how the amentities always get pushed over the side when a would-be casino developer thinks he's got some rurals between a rock and hard place.)

Construction of the hotel is contingent upon Berman's finding of an as-yet-undiscovered joint-venture partner. He also holds out the hope that, maybe, banks will be a little more forthcoming with loans once the casino is open and generating cash flow. The Lottery Gaming Facility Review Board has stated that it's not going into Casino Bid 2.0 with a beggars-can't-be-choosers attitude. Let's see how they read Berman's bluff.

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Sen. John Ensign (R-NV) finally has achieved distinction within the Senate -- albeit in a manner of which he's surely never dreamt. Citizens for Ethics & Responsibility in Government* has named Johnny Casino to its Most Corrupt Members of Congress list. It's an elite club in which he'll find six fellow Republicans and eight Democrats.

This calls for an awards-acceptance speech and, like so many before him, Sen. Ensign couldn't have done it without Dad. CREW's citation reprises the role played by recent Kansas casino aspirant Mike Ensign, who once upon a time ruled Mandalay Resort Group: "Sen. Ensign’s parents paid Ms. Hampton and her family $96,000 after they had learned of the affair. Mr. Coggins [the senator's attorney] insisted the payments were not made from campaign or official funds, nor were they related to any campaign or official duties. Rather, he explained, the April 2008 payments were 'gifts made out of concern for the well-being of long-time family friends during a difficult time.' Each of Sen. Ensign’s parents made out four checks in the amount of $12,000 to Cynthia Hampton, her husband and two of their children. [emphasis added] Sen. Ensign’s office claimed the alleged $25,000 severance payment was part of his parents’ $96,000 'gift.'"

So, in case your son doesn't show appropriate gratitude, let me say, thank you, thank you, thank you Mike Ensign for smearing feces all over the casino industry's image at the precise moment that new (and very conservative) jurisdictions are opening to it. And if you're MGM Mirage CEO Jim Murren, you might want to have your accountants vet the old Mandalay corporate books, just to be doubly sure there weren't any "patterns of generosity" back around 2002, when Sen. Ensign is widely believed to have had a prior affair. (The identity of his alleged mistress is no secret around Vegas, by the way.)

For all the senior Ensign's labors in the gaming industry, he's likelier to go into the history books as the bagman and enabler for his son's sexcapades.

Sen. John Ensign believes out-of-wedlock births should be "somewhat stigmatized." But out-of-wedlock sex? His position on that is more "nuanced," shall we say.

(* Yeah, yeah, I know: Ethics + responsibility + guvmint often seems oxymoronic, especially in Nevada, but we're working on it. And the senatorial Twitter feed actually springs from the satirically fecund mind of Andrew Kiraly.)

Speaking of Mike Ensign, what the heck was Kansas Lottery Executive Director Ed Van Petten doing playing the role of media-shy Ensign's personal spokesman? In a literally incredible statement, as paraphrased by The Associated Press, Van Petten said of Ensign and ex-Mandalay sidekick Peter Simon: "they didn't like the fact that the Lottery owns the new gambling under Kansas law — or the 27 percent share of revenues reserved for state and local governments."

Bullshit. Casino ownership by the Lottery has been part of the deal from Day One. As for the tax-rate malarkey, Mandalay Resort Group co-owned the Grand Victoria riverboat in Illinois, which -- in 2003 -- became eligible for a top-tier tax rate of 70%. In Detroit -- again on Ensign's watch -- MotorCity's tax rate went to 24%. In neither instance did Mandalay stalk out of town in a state of high dudgeon.

So the notion of Ensign Sr. falling into a gentlemanly swoon at the prospect of a 27% rate just doesn't wash. Either he and Simon knew this going in and are now prevaricating -- via messenger boy Van Petten -- or they're doofuses who failed to perform due diligence on the Kansas market. Which reputation would they prefer?

The truly inexcusable Van Petten further went on to apologize for his own state's oversight apparatus, saying, "Basically, [Simon and Ensign] just didn't like the regulatory makeup." Well too bad for them. It comes with the territory. What Van Petten should be saying is that if a couple of unemployed ex-Strip casino executives don't like the way Kansas does business, they never ought to have set their Gucci loafers in the Sunflower State to begin with. Or, in the immortal words of Law & Order's Jack McCoy:

"If you're gonna play stickball in Canarsie, learn Brooklyn rules."

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Relaxation of stringent visa restrictions from Guangdong Province came a full four months sooner than expected, starting Sept. 1. Now, residents will be able to visit Macao once a month instead of quarterly. While this has prompted J.P. Morgan to raise its price target on Las Vegas Sands stock, analysts also fret that Sands may overreact and go pedal to the metal on its unfinished Cotai Strip™ hotels.

Those same analysts are bullish on the manufacturing sector, though. They think casinos will be more willing to reinvest in the slot base as 2009 draws to a close. Also, the onward march of casino expansion means more jurisdictions and facilities to whom IGT, Bally and WMS can peddle their products. They're 'meh' on regional casino operators like Penn National, Ameristar Casinos and Pinnacle Entertainment, due to flattish performance. (Penn could catch a break in Kansas, though I still think Cordish Gaming has that sewn up.)

But that's a rave notice compared to the long face Morgan analysts pull when pondering Boyd Gaming's prospects. They cite the slow-to-recover, promo-driven locals-casino market in Las Vegas ("trickle-down" economics of the worst sort); Atlantic City's critical condition -- "the best-case scenario here is that [Borgata] would do less bad" than most of A.C. -- those blah regional metrics and new competition for the Blue Chip riverboat in Indiana, which had been looking like 2009's feel-good story.

Intriguingly, the prospect of a Strip acquistion is floated in lieu of a 'stalking horse' bid for floundering Station Casinos. Boyd's still got enough unused borrowing capacity it could even swing an acquisition of The Mirage (with money to spare), not to mention some of the lower-hanging fruit, which now includes Planet Hollywood. But if the J.P. Morgan guys are gun-shy concerning Boyd ...

They're over the moon about MGM Mirage's CityCenter: "we are increasingly under the belief that City Center will be a new must-see property for both domestic and international gamers/travelers that should drive solid visitation volumes to the Strip in 2010. We were impressed with the massive 18m-square-foot complex ... a new type of high-end product for the Strip that should garner increased trips. It has a very contemporary feel that is different than anything else on the Strip, with lots of natural light and high ceilings, interesting room product and, for a massive property, ease of getting around from one 'neighborhood' to the next."

More good news comes in the form of a press release from Commerce Casino (in Commerce, Calif.), which rolled out the welcome mat for a group of undoubtedly weary firefighters. A strike force of 30 Bay Area-based firemen is being housed in the casino's hotel, with the casino comping all meals and picking up most of the hotel tab. Let's hope that such civic-mindedness spreads through the industry like -- if you'll forgive the analogy -- wildfire.

In case it matters, "super-starlet" (yes, that's the official term) Holly Madison has been given a 12-month contract extension at Peepshow, so she's obviously earning her pay. Also, I've heard through the grapevine that she and incoming Aubrey O'Day do not get along, so the timing of the Madison announcement should make clear who's got the upper implant in this situation.

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Plans by Pinnacle Entertainment to move its President riverboat upriver just hit a big snag. Taking the view that the President's license is portable, Pinnacle hoped to use either the vessel itself or the license to jimmy open a new market niche along the Mississippi River.

Seems the Missouri Gaming Commission doesn't hold with Pinnacle's logic. Move the ship, they say, and it's open season on that 13th (and last) license in the Show-Me State. Right now, Pinnacle's keeping the President operational as a charity case -- thereby preserving the license -- but the Coast Guard is likely to shut her down in 10 months, so decrepit is the vessel.

Not that I wish ill for Pinnacle, one of the classier outfits in the industry, but this here is what's called "karma." Both Pinnacle and Ameristar Casinos pushed hard for legislation last year that uncapped the state's loss limits in return for capping the number of licensees. It was an anti-competitive move that was inveighed against in these pages.

Ameristar and Pinnacle tried to lock up what was an open territory. Now, with the President's license skittering about the field like a wet football, Pinnacle's going to find itself having to grapple with the very competitors it thought it had excluded from the game. Which is as it should be.

There can be only one. Two casino proposals from Cordish Gaming and Penn National have been forwarded to the Kansas Lottery Gaming Facility Review Board (Uff da!) for final arbitration, Remember that the last time we went through this, Penn got a whopping zero votes (probably due to a series of peevish public pronouncements), but then Cordish wanted to resubmit its project in smaller form.

This time around, Penn execs have been playing well with others, rather than trying to dictate the process. They're promising a three-phase, $564 million casino-resort (subject to certain economic conditions). Cordish is choosing to under-promise, committing only to a $390 million casino, at least until bluer skies return. Partnership with the Kansas Speedway still gives Cordish an edge (as does the Hard Rock brand) ... but the Kansas-casino process has been long, tortuous and filled with reversals of fortune. (Mike Ensign, anyone?)

Speaking of Kansas ... shoo-in Foxwoods has announced that it's restructuring its debt and enlisting outside assistance, yet another victim of ill-timed expansion. Small wonder Foxwoods and Lakes Entertainment decided to pool their pennies on Chisholm Creek Casino (above) rather than duke it out for the Wichita market.

Compromise is near. Down in Florida, that is. A formula too complicated to summarize here would bring the Seminole Tribe and the Sunshine State's Lege into agreement. (The Seminoles took one look at the compact fashioned by the Lege last spring and spat it out like bad food.) In return for accepting some restrictions on game offerings at some casinos, the Seminoles get a complete exemption from paying taxes to the state -- if private-sector gambling spreads beyond Broward and Miami-Dade counties. And if existing non-tribal casinos get, say, blackjack the Seminoles' obligation to the state is halved.

So tell me, why does Sheldon Adelson seriously think Florida is a potential growth market?

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First, the good news. Lyle Berman has folded his hand in Kansas. His Lakes Entertainment is scrapping its own casino bid and taking a partnership role in Foxwoods' Wichita-area bid. Apparently Lakes is no closer to finding financing than when it started ... but neither is Foxwoods. Both companies will be digging into their own pockets to pay for the $225 million casino.

With 1,300-1,500 slots and 30 tables, the Foxwoods/Lakes joint venture will be smaller than any of the previous casino proposals for the area. A J.P. Morgan report also implies that hotel facilities and other amenities will be sloughed off onto a third party to be named later. So Foxwoods emerges the de facto winner and Mike Ensign is left to wonder how different things might have been had hadn't bailed out his errant son ... and to come up with incredibly lame excuses for his withdrawal.

Remember Philadelphia? No, there is still no casino in the City of Brotherly Love, even as some outstate facilities are into their second iteration. Having failed to open -- or even build -- its casino within the time period alloted by statute, Foxwoods is going to petition the Pennsylvania Gaming Control Board for an extra two years.

It'd be a surprise if Foxwoods' request isn't granted. True, all Foxwoods has to show for itself is a much-criticized South Philadelphia site plan (which has been aptly likened to a big-box retail outlet) and a couple of possible fallback positions downtown. The way things look now, Foxwoods may be prodded back toward South Philly, though it's no likelier to find a friendly reception there than it's done anywhere else.

The alternative, however, looks far worse. Pennsylvania would have to restart the application process, select a winner and then pray it could open its slot house within the statutory 12 months. Which also means that Philadelphia has to go through site-review Hell all over again ... and casino opponents aren't going to be caught napping this time around. Could a new entrant accomplish more than Foxwoods by September 2011? It's highly improbable, given the rocky history of bringing casinos to Philly.

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From the dispatch box of J.P. Morgan:

"Yesterday, the Wichita Eagle reported that South Central Gaming Partners (or Prairie Sky, which consists of former executives of Mandalay Resort Group [read: Mike Ensign, whose son's sex-payola scandal gives new meaning to the phrase "pay for play"]) would no longer partner with Chisholm Creek Casino Resorts (Foxwoods Development Company) for a casino in Sumner County (South Central Gaming Zone). The article noted that Foxwoods Development Company President Gary Armentrout indicated that he did not know why Prairie Sky withdrew and also stated that Foxwoods would go forward without Prairie Sky."

Two words, Gary: "background investigation."

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