Splendid news, lads (and lasses). Scarlett, Princess of Magic may return to the Riviera in nine months or a year ... that is to say, whenever the economy eventually rebounds. This comes straight from Riv management.

Of course, there's a good chance the Riv itself won't be around in nine months or so. It's miracle it's stayed out of Chapter 11 as long as it has. Then again, President William Westerman has an enviable track record when it comes to beating the odds. People were writing him off 11 years ago and he's still here.

Ah, the good old days. Remember when the Gold Spike was hands-down the scariest casino in Las Vegas? The Siegel Group has done a splendid job of spiffing the place up but a reminder of the Spike's dodgy not-so-distant past came in the form of a guilty verdict in a Nov. 17, 2008 shooting. According to the Pulitzer Prize-winning Las Vegas Sun, the attempted murder was a "grizzly homicide." Does that mean the assailant was firearm-proficient bear?

Now that autumn is here, get out and enjoy Lake Mead while you still can.

Investors may be tiring of endless debt swaps and postponements. A proposed 64-cents-on-the-dollar (at 10% interest) issuance of MGM Mirage debt laid an egg. When it took out $12 billion-plus, due next June, MGM must have been either high as a kite on CityCenter cash-flow projections when it agreed to that deadline or assumed that, when push came to shove, it'd just rejigger its debt load anyway.

A wise colleague of mine once said in re Donald Trump, "All he ever does is restructure his debt because that's all he can do!" That has now become the modus operandi of the casino industry at large -- except for Mr. Cash-and-Carry, Phil Ruffin. So I guess Trump can legitimately claim to have been ahead of his time.

Penn hearts F'bleau. Well, sorta. Penn National Gaming has acknowledged that it's been sniffing around bankrupt Fontainebleau but cites several disincentives to a deal. Penn's CFO even called F'bleau worthless (and few in town would give him an argument at this point). Penn's publicly stated criteria for a Las Vegas acquisition have included that it be affordable and unencumbered. F'bleau is neither. So if Penn can't make liens and litigants go away, perhaps it can trash-talk F'bleau's price down so far that completion-related headaches become grudgingly acceptable.

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As much as I like to tease the CineVegas film festival, it brightens up June like nothing else in town. So it is with a heavy heart that I report it has decided to cancel its 2010 season. (This year it had already been trimmed from a fortnight to six days.)

“Given the current economic climate and the pressures it has created, we made the difficult decision to put CineVegas on hiatus for the coming year. CineVegas has become such a well respected film festival, and rather than allow the economy to affect its level of quality we have opted to put the event on hold,” announced festival impresario Trevor Groth. Actually, the real determinant of CineVegas' quality was the level of films put on display, but I think I appreciate what he means.

If CineVegas is bailing on Sin City, then the depression's end is not so near as we've been led to believe. (Phil Ruffin, in the current CityLife, doesn't foresee recovery until the autumn of 2011, and no new resort construction for three to five years after that.)

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Having borrowed money to buy the Las Vegas Hilton five years ago at a dirt-cheap $200 million, Colony Capital -- those financial wizards -- borrowed $250 million more to retire the first loan. (Does Colony intend to pay off the second loan by taking out a third?)

At some point, Colony may have to start like, you know, paying down these loans ... but not yet. It's extended the maturity on Loan #2 into 2011. The story (second item) is somewhat confusingly worded, but it sounds like Colony is down to its last extension. And the LVH is now losing money. Perhaps Colony should ring up Penn National Gaming and see if CEO Peter Carlino wants to talk "flip." It's still a classy property with a wealth of history and unbeatable proximity to the Las Vegas Convention Center. There are much worse deals to be had out there (*cough* Fontainebleau *cough*).

Also: LVH headliner Barry Manilow is reportedly mulling a leap over to Paris-Las Vegas, another augury of trouble for Colony. Manilow's departure would leave the LVH with some tight trousers to fill.

Another setback for Ed Ad. Its attempt to lease the southeast portion of its ex-New Frontier acreage to a "Dinner in the Sky" outfit (complete with a 160-foot crane) got the back of the hand from the Clark County Commission. Both Boyd Gaming and Wynn Resorts balked at the prospect of diners dangling high above Echelon and Wynn Las Vegas. However, there's some pretty freaky shit on the Strip already and this seems tame by comparison. God knows, it couldn't be worse than the lametastic "Sirens of T&A" or whatever Phil Ruffin's nautical titty show is called.

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If you're looking for a bargain on the Strip, what about buying the Tropicana Las Vegas? The Las Vegas Review-Journal found that Onex Corp. got $440 million worth of equity (or a 61% share) for a Filene's Basement price of $137 million. That would make the "street value" of the whole Trop $228 million, or $6.7 million an acre -- a fifth of what Wall Street valued it at the peak of the Aztar Corp. feeding frenzy. Columbia Sussex won, Pinnacle Entertainment lost ... and Pinnacle wound up being the lucky one, as ColSux toppled under insupportable debt.

The Trop's "paper" value would put it in the Treasure Island class, at $733 million. But you'd need an electron microscope to find the Trop's recent EBITDA, so nobody's going to pay Phil Ruffin-sized dollars for the place now. New owner Onex is a private equity firm that dabbles in real estate and sundry other industries. However, unlike some recent bunglers in the casino industry, Onex had the smarts to hire Alex Yemenidjian to head up its casino efforts, first in Illinois and now on the Strip. Compared to those private equity confreres who bought into the industry at its apogee, Onex's Trop move looks downright brilliant.

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Editor's note: An item involving Crown Ltd. contained factual errors, which have been corrected (as you'll see). I apologize for the misinformation. My thanks to the reader who pulled my head out of my @$$.

California gamblers stay and play ... at home. While the recession has made some inroads on tribal-casino revenue in the Golden State, it's losing less ground than Las Vegas. Some of those Vegas losses will eventually be recouped, but this day of reckoning was bound to come.

Unlike Las Vegas, which is arguably suffering from having too many competing profit centers within each resort, California casino bosses interviewed still view entertainment as either a loss leader or a one-off. I never thought I'd say this but Las Vegas could use a little more "old school" thinking right now.

James Packer, the guy who can't catch a break, is finds his casino company in even more hot water, in a case of the sins of the father being visited upon the son. The plot surrounding Crown Ltd.'s courtship of a self-banned high roller (and convicted felon) is thickening considerably. Seems paterfamilias Kerry Packer may have been pressuring crony John Williams to get pathological gambler Harry Kakavas back to the tables.

Williams, for his part, rolled on the late Mr. Packer, who's now got some 'splainin' to do. No wonder the young Packer's pursuit of Cannery Casino Resorts collapsed like a pup tent. The money quote, if you will, is: "[Williams] said it was common for patrons to rip up [self-exclusion] cards and that, in his view, Mr Kakavas's loss of $2.3 million in 28 minutes was recreational gambling."

If you lose $82,000 per minute, it's not recreation. It's degenerate gambling.

Globe-trotting Ian Sutton is back from Macao and G2E Asia. The sights! The sounds! The smog!

(Update: Ian says it's not smog but mist, as forthcoming videos will show.)

Holy Cow II: GlobeSt.com, normally a continent source of business news, is shocked -- shocked! -- that Steve Johnson's proposed casino on the former Holy Cow site will include a Walgreens. Smelling salts, stat!

But there are some interesting revelations, For one, the reason that Palazzo's flagship retailer is also a Walgreens is that it was a compromise Sheldon Adelson effected with the landowner ... Steve Johnson. (The mere fact of Adelson compromising is newsworthy enough.)

Turns out, that purchase may set the record for an on-Strip acquisition, at an alleged $50 million per acre -- Phil Ruffin, eat your heart out! Johnson also paid through the nose for the Holy Cow site. The price? $23.5 million/acre for land north of Sahara Avenue. Egad!

Columbia Sussex's casino portfolio continues to crumble. Tropicana Entertainment parent Tropicana Casinos & Resorts is selling its Amelia Belle riverboat (thereby forfeiting the New Orleans market) barely two years after the ship was acquired. Amelia Belle is former Harrah's Entertainment vessel, having been Bally's Belle of Orleans.

It's a canny strategic move for new owner Peninsula Gaming, which now has a Louisiana riverboat as well as a racino and four OTBs, not to mention a small flotilla of Midwest riverboats. TropEnt CEO Scott Butera, meanwhile, has less and less over which to preside. At the moment, his ambit consists of four riverboats, mostly in tertiary markets, two casinos in Laughlin and one on Lake Tahoe. Is this TropEnt's future: A succession of piecemeal asset sales? Sure looks that way.

Bad news for Sheldon Adelson. Over in Singapore, rival Genting's mega-budget Resorts World at Sentosa is letting news outlets like Bloomberg know that 60% of the project will ready for a soft opening in early 2010 (i.e., February-March). Projected attendance figures have been revised 20% downward.

In a rapier thrust at Marina Bay Sands, a Genting exec said the company was having regular meetings to make sure it came in on its $4.5 billion budget. Full completion of Sentosa is projected for 2012. Sands is going to have a sufficiently tough time making its nut without Genting crashing the party so soon ... to say nothing of the fact that Genting enjoys much higher brand equity in that corner of the world.

RoboPoker has risen from the grave. Electronic table games have been OK'd for eight New York State racinos. Though the Lege hasn't signed off, the Empire State's lottery board is confident it has the authority to make this move unilaterally. Poor Atlantic City is dying the death of a thousand cuts.

Congratulations to Penn National. It's scheduled to inaugurate a new pavilion for Empress Joliet today. A March 20 fire resulted in a three-month closure of the boat and substantial fiscal hardship for Penn National. In a noble gesture, CEO Peter Carlino kept employees on the payroll even though his ship was hors de combat. Capt. Carlino, S&G salutes you.

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“People don’t want high-end these days, certainly not from this place. We’re getting all kinds of business from the Venetian, the Wynn, [T]he Mirage, from people who don’t want to pay $15 for orange juice.” -- Treasure Island owner Phil Ruffin, on the changes he's making to the pirate place.

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Even as MGM Mirage CEO Jim Murren and Treasure Island owner Phil Ruffin are preparing to stomp out any incipient recovery in Las Vegas by jacking up room rates, words of restraint are coming from the unlikeliest of sources: Mayor Oscar Goodman. Quoth Hizzoner: "There are a lot of people [here] now; I understand they may not be spending as much as they have in the past."

(And if Ruffin really doesn't want $50/night customers, as he's said, I can inform him that Harrah's Las Vegas would be very happy to take them off his hands this very evening. As for Columbia Sussex's Westin Casuarina, those guys are living in a f***ing dream world, demanding $109 for a room on a night when I can get one at Caesars Palace for but a dollar more. Hmmmm ... Westin Casuarina, Caesars Palace ... Casuarina, Caesars ... such a tough choice.)

Goodman was counseling moderation in the context of praising what he called "very conservative" projections by the Las Vegas Convention & Visitors Authority. The recent double-whammy of low occupancies and ADRs obviously sucks, but if occupancy truly is beginning to ramp back up, there'd be no better way to nip that in the bud than by repricing as though a full-blown recovery were underway.

As for the LVCVA, it sure didn't waste any time ditching the "bargain destination" message in favor of the same old "Party like it's 2006" crap. Do you get the feeling that selling a message of affordability really chaps the LVCVA's ass? (That band of brothers and sisters from Cranfils Gap, Tex., seems to have done a quick disappearing act. Anybody seen them lately?)

The indiscreet charm of the douchebagerie appears more to the LVCVA's liking. According the authority's guru-on-retainer, Billy Vassiliadias, customers seek "some comfort that this is the Vegas they've always known and loved." You mean that high-end-centric, $500-for-a-bottle-of-Absolut-and-some-cranberry-juice Vegas? Yeah, that's the ticket.

Goodman gets it. Too bad Vassiliadias apparently doesn't.

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One not-so-small I detail that I omitted in my report on yesterday's declaration of detente between MGM Mirage and Dubai World: The latter is released from its completion guarantees. Which puts the onus for finishing the project squarely on MGM's shoulders. As we on the Vegas Gang collective (like the Borg, only nicer) predicted a good ways back, MGM's future is inextricably entwined with CityCenter.

From the glass half-full perspective, the mortgaging of MGM Grand Detroit and Gold Strike ensures at least a modicum of regional diversity in the lion's den. A week ago, it looked as though the company might very well circle its wagons around Las Vegas, while maintaining a small beachhead in Macao. But with the search for the last last, elusive $1.2 billion in bank loans having evidently been abandoned, asset sales are becoming imperative.

What a tragedy that, at the very moment the casino industry is ripe for "unbundling," reversing mega-consolidations that should never have been attempted, the banks are too afraid to part with their precious TARP money to help bring it about. Unless you can do a Phil Ruffin and basically pull $600 million in cash out of a drawer, it's no casino acquisition for you!

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“Let’s face facts. $10 per hour is $400 a week, before expenses. It’s very hard to live on that. You have to get wages up so people can make a living.” -- Treasure Island owner Phil Ruffin, who hasn't done too badly while paying his employees a living wage.

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Don't wait by the phone if you've got a date with Pinnacle Entertainment. It has just pushed back the timelines on its Baton Rouge and Lake Charles projects by five months. It cited investor reluctance and warned more delays are likely.

Analysts like few gaming stocks and one of those lucky few is Penn National. But a Morgan Joseph analyst thinks Penn has gone about as high as it should and perhaps too high. The sparked an early sell-off of PENN, thankfully followed by a rally.

One more thing to blame on casinos. The tighty righties (and lefties) are going to have a field day with this. It's a windfall of free publicity for Foxwods Resort Casino, though.

The mouth that snored: How far over the shark has casino mogul-turned-TV performer Donald Trump jumped? Would you believe he was "spotted dozing off during Paul McCartney's concert Sunday at The Joint at the Hard Rock Hotel," according to gossip columnist Norm(!) Clarke. By all accounts, the McCartney show was far and away one of the most electrifying concerts given in Vegas in quite some time, launching Joint 2.0 in style. Sleepy Uncle Trump, though, officially qualifies for fuddy-duddy status.

Mike Weatherford, author of Cult Vegas, has a refreshingly contrarian take on the Criss Angel brouhaha from last weekend. Both MGM Mirage and Cirque du Soleil knew what they were getting (or at least thought they did) when they signed Angel. The real disgrace here, IMO, is that it took Cirque nearly 72 hours to crawl forward with an apology. D'ya mean to say they actually had to think it over? Ridiculous ... though not as ridiculous as the amount of oxygen being consumed by the Carrie Prejean kerfuffle. Would the vaudeville hook please drag that Stepford Wife-to-be and her have-they-nothing-better-to-do detractors off the stage, please?

(Prominently visible in at least one clip from the show was Treasure Island owner Phil Ruffin, separated from Old Man Trump by a stunning beauty whom I took to be Mrs. Ruffin. Whoever she was, the leading pageant contestants weren't a patch on her.)

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