David Mckee's Stiffs & Georges - Atlantic City

Quote of the Day

Tue, 20 Oct 2009 17:06:00 -0700

"I'd like to keep one strip of that airport as an airport. I think it closed prematurely. I think greed went nuts." -- Atlantic City mayoral candidate Joseph Polillo (I), on what to do with Bader Field. Incumbent Mayor Lorenzo Langford's idea for the former airport is -- wait for it -- another casino.

F'bleau: Wait 'til 2012; Satre returns

Fri, 16 Oct 2009 13:33:00 -0700

That's basically the message coming out of bankruptcy court, where Fontainebleau ownership requested permission to scrap all conventions and meetings through October 2011. Among many other disclosures in the fast-moving Chapter 11 was the sacking of seven top executives. (A well-kept secret, seeing as the septet had been let go last May.)

At the top of the list was F'bleau President Audrey Oswell. Since being forced out of Caesars Atlantic City by Park Place Entertainment, Oswell's resumé has taken a pummeling. She left Resorts Atlantic City just as Colony Capital was beginning to mismanage it into insolvency, then leapfrogged to Cosmopolitan (foreclosed) and then from the deck of that sinking ship to F'bleau. If it weren't for bad luck, she'd have no luck at all.

Here's hoping Oswell's next employer has steadier financial underpinnings than her last three. (Question for Resorts A.C. lenders: If you give Colony the boot but leave casino boss Nick Ribis in place, have you really solved the problem?)

Matthews out, Satre in: The much-admired Philip G. Satre has taken over as chairman of IGT, where he will no doubt act as a valued counselor to CEO Patti Hart, vouchsafing an insider's perspective on the casino companies with whom she must deal. Satre's ascent could also make for an interesting turn in the war of words between IGT and Harrah's Entertainment, whose CEO and CFO have made it a pastime to trash-talk the slot giant. Will Gary Loveman be so bold in slamming IGT now that his Harrah's predecessor chairs its board?

Bad timing? Despite the Chinese government's speedy flip-flop on access to Macao, the dynamic duo of MGM Mirage and Pansy Ho are mulling both an IPO on the Hang Seng stock exchange and further expansion in the casino enclave. But is this the moment for such aggressiveness? MGM Grand Macao is only beginning to perform up to expectations and the parent company is having to push a $5.6 billion debt payment into 2015.

Hope for Boardwalk?

Tue, 13 Oct 2009 16:08:00 -0700

As you know, S&G puts more stock in year/year comparisons than sequential ones, but the most recent set from Atlantic City affords a slender reed of hope. With the help of tighter slots, A.C. held its September decline to 6%, the lowest of 2009 and the smallest drop in over a year. Even perpetual dog Resorts International had a good month, up 4% y/y.

Both in dollar volume ($63 million) and growth (6%), the leader was -- no surprise -- Borgata. In fact, the Boyd Gaming property made more than the four lowest-grossing properties (Resorts, Atlantic City Hilton, Trump Plaza, Trump Marina) combined. The two lesser Trump properties slipped below the Colony Capital ones, so one doesn't know whether to feel good for Colony or sorry for Trump Entertainment Resorts. The handover of Resorts Int'l continues to proceed slowly, as regulators enter uncharted waters with understandable caution.

Percentage-wise, Showboat, the Hilton and the Plaza had the worst of it, while gainers included Harrah's Atlantic City (3%) and even the Tropicana (1%). But the bloom is off the Trump Taj Mahal rose; it fell back to the middle of the pack, grossing $36 million.

One unexpected factor in the city's bump was a late-September, gay-themed promotion at the four Harrah's Entertainment properties. For all the lip service paid, year after year, to diversifying Atlantic City's appeal, Don Marrandino and his Harrah's colleagues backed up the talk with meaningful action.

Dead casino walking: Trump Marina

Back at Trump, its CEO, Mark Juliano declares "The real question is how long until we get back to the results we saw in past years, which is the question everyone in every business has." No, the real question is: On what planet is Mr. Juliano living? And: Do they have oxygen up there?

The math is inexorable. Excluding three months of sub-2% growth, Atlantic City's revenues have going one way -- down -- for the last seven quarters, often by double-digit margins. Casinos in Pennsylvania continue to ramp up, Delaware is talking very seriously about casino expansion, slot parlors in Maryland are in train and then there's prospect of additional competition from the greater New York City area.

Instead of asking "Where are the snows of yesteryear," S&G modestly suggests the Boardwalk's casino braintrust ought to be thinking about how to move forward into a future of diminished (i.e., more realistic) expectations.

Up the road, now that the novelty factor has worn off of Sands Bethlehem (above), the $724 million casino remains mired in fifth place. The solution? More and bigger promotions, it would appear. Judging by the lukewarm response to Sands and to Rivers Casino, the Pennsylvania market isn't big enough to support casinos built with Vegas-sized budgets.

Leaving Las Vegas

Mon, 12 Oct 2009 18:17:00 -0700

At least 28,000 have done so over the two years-plus (probably more when you allow for the people still moving here). What are the likely consequences of Las Vegas' pegging its future on a one-trick economy? And is it going to be like one of those Rust Belt cities (like Pittsburgh) that turned it around or one of those (say, Detroit) that continues to decline?

Those questions and others are posed in a splendid article that connects most of the dots regarding Vegas' economic plight. One of the most disturbing points raised by Las Vegas Sun reporter J. Patrick Coolican is that cities doing well at present tend to be ones that possessed robust institutions of higher learning -- and invested in them. Neither can be said of Nevada's dismal education system, the recipient of savage budgets, thanks to our governor and the ever-feckless Lege.

If Las Vegas' future hinges on well-funded and -respected academic institutions, then the near-term prognosis is grim.

Speaking of Detroit, casino owners and politicians there may be casting a wary eye on rising pro-casino sentiment in Ohio. In whichever form casino gambling is legalized by Buckeye State voters, it stands to take a big bite out of Motown casino receipts -- and sap state and local revenue collection, too. A helpful Detroit News map shows precisely which Detroit, Indiana, Pennsylvania and West Virginia casino operators have reason to be fretful about the emergence of a casino industry next door.

Like their Strip brethren, tribal powerhouses Mohegan Sun and Foxwoods Resort Casino went all-in ... into debt, that is. Now that it's time to pay the piper, they find themselves in binds comparable to those facing non-tribal casinos. However, they have fewer options for relief, as they discover the downside of being a tribal operation.

Dog's breakfast at Tiffany's. Few readers of this column can probably afford to buy anything at the Tiffany mega-boutique that will be part of the Crystals mall at CityCenter. However, it will make for some lovely window-shopping. (Click on the pictures to see them in a larger size.)

Atlantic City reprieve. Although New Jersey's three-way gubernatorial race is up for grabs, casino owners can take one consolation. Whichever of the two leading candidates is elected, continued opposition to racinos is promised.

What's a Trump casino worth?

Thu, 08 Oct 2009 15:07:00 -0700

Only $14 million in cash (plus a $100 million equity infusion), according to The Donald. Bondholders say, we'll see your $115 million and raise you $100 million. The latter would recoup at least some -- but not very much -- of their $1.25 billion debt under their plan, while Das Trump would send them away virtually empty-handed. (Moral: When Donald Trump asks you for a loan, take a page from Nancy Reagan and Just Say No.)

The bondholders' assignment of a $75 million valuation to Trump Marina seems awfully optimistic for what is, in essence, a corpse that can't be sold. In essence, the real value proposition is resurgent Trump Taj Mahal, with the other two casinos scarcely better than throw-ins. The Marina is, if anything, an albatross around the company's neck. Still, given that CEO Mark Juliano is going to exceptional lengths to champion the Trumpster's bid, which is a big "screw you" to the debtholders, here's hoping Judge Judith H. Wizmur holds firm for a more responsible solution.

Ho: No! "I don't see major resorts opening for the next couple of years now," says Lawrence Ho. thereby raining pessimism on the expansion plans of Las Vegas Sands, Wynn Resorts and Galaxy Entertainment. The younger Ho also speculates upon the Chinese government's motivation for throttling, then somewhat relenting upon travel to Macao. Interesting tidbit: Marketwatch.com reports that "Venetian Sands" [sic] has cut its number of table games by 25%.

Nevada revenues in. And yeah, they suck. They're much less sucky than usual (-9%), showing an upward trend in baccarat plus two locals-oriented bright spots in the form of Aliante Station and M Resort. It's unclear, though, how much of the growth generated by the last two is new business vs. redistribution of dollars from elsewhere in the valley. The Sun's analysis is far more informative than that found in the R-J.

Wait 'til next year. That's the timeline for casinos in Massachusetts. Even though western Mass looks like slim pickings, lawmakers will probably have to put a casino there just to get the bill onto the floor.

Penn bid falls. Lenders to bankrupt Fontainebleau won a small victory or two, as the judge overseeing the case seems determined to keep lead developer Jeffrey Soffer as far from the disposition of F'bleau as possible. (Soffer is both a debtor and creditor on the project.)

F'bleau, for its part, revealed that Penn National Gaming's offer is now "substantially less" than $300 million, but would include money to replace the windows that are reportedly falling off the building. (One more reason not to build a Strip megaresort tower flush against the "pedestrian realm.")

Groundbreaking today for the long-awaited SugarHouse casino in Philadelphia, under the shadow of a stick-it-to-SugarHouse tax that's been proposed in the Lege. Table games, meanwhile, might be off the table in the face of a $200 million lawsuit. You see, non-racino casinos are allowed to have 5,000 slots (in return for a $50 million fee). Small "resort" casinos -- known as "Category 3" -- only have to $5 million and get 500 slots (accessible only to guests). That's proportional, obviously, and seems fair.

However ... lawmakers want to tilt the playing field by giving Category 3 casinos 30% as many slots as, say, Rivers Casino or SugarHouse, instead of 10% ... and open those games to the general public, not just guests. Of course, the state can't go to the one existing Category 3 casino and ask for another $10 million -- can it? Casino operators are also solidly behind the GOP position on table games: $10 million upfront plus a 12% tax. But, unless House Dems completely capitulate, the gaming bosses are unlikely to get what they want, at least where the tax rate is concerned.

Penn whiffs again. Although Penn Nat'l was supposed to be a bidder in the bankruptcy auction for the Lone Star Park racino, it evidently didn't get into the action and the track went to the Chickasaw Nation for $27 million. (A lot less than Harrah's Entertainment paid to get into Ohio.)

Which means that if/when gambling is legitimized in Texas, the Chickasaws will have a double advantage (parimutuel + tribal status), while Penn will be looking at yet another missed opportunity. Penn's corporate strategy is a baffling alternation of rashness and hyper-caution.

In other tribal news, much-criticized National Indian Gaming Commission Chairman Phil Hogen is gone, thank God, and with him his new, more-restrictive Class II rules. Hogen was justly pilloried for attempting a rollback of hard-won gains in what games tribes could offer. His new rules reflected Bush administration paternalism toward tribes and while they're officially postponed for a year, I think it's safe to say they're dead.* No wonder Rep. Dan Boren (D-OK) is smiling. Watch out for that doorknob, Mister (Ex-)Chairman.

(* It's probable the same thing would have happened under a President McCain, as either candidate would have brought a more enlightened attitude to D.C.-tribal relationships.)

Supporters of video gambling are starting to push back in Illinois, at least in rural, conservative McHenry County. So far it's been the urban areas where this expansion of gambling hasn't been gaining traction.

A repeal of UIGEA continues to gain ground in the House of Representatives, even if it got pulled off the floor in the Senate. (Thanks for nothing, Harry Reid.) The money quote, literally, is a reference to an amendment Rep. Jim McDermott (D-WA) which would would specify that "corporate taxes owed on regulated Internet gambling activities are collected, as they currently are from the land-based casino industry." [emphasis added]

If that means what it implies, it would remove the spectre of industry-wide federal gambling taxation from the discussion and leave taxation to the states. If not, then the nose of the federal casino-tax camel is still sticking through the legislative tent. And you know where that leads.

We've seen a nationwide gaming tax get shot down during the Clinton administration but there are desperate times, obviously. Republicans like Mike Huckabee and Rep. Steve King (R-IA) have been looking to sock it to casinos at the federal level for some years now, so I fear it could have bipartisan support, should such a debate come to pass.

It's playoff time. A tired, flat-footed Minnesota Twins squad looked positively dreaful last night, flailing at outside pitches from C.C. Sabathia (if you couldn't reach that slider in the first inning, your arms aren't going to be any longer in the seventh, son). Cliff Lee made short work of the Colorado Rockies (besides, Jim Tracy can't win in the postseason), the St. Louis Cardinals look set to continue their tradition of postseason underperformance and my Anaheim Angels are forever reduced to a quivering heap of Jello in playoff games against the Boston Red Sox. Why am I having visions of brooms?

Case Bets: Corzine, Penn vs. MTR, Pinnacle, Manilow & strippers

Wed, 07 Oct 2009 15:06:00 -0700

Forbidden by New Jersey law from directly contributing to political campaigns, casino companies are making an end run through Virginia. Harrah's Entertainment, Boyd Gaming and IGT are among those funneling campaign cash into a reverse version on the Underground Railroad. No wonder Gov. Jon Corzine (D) is able to carpet-bomb his opponents with advertising, if he so chooses.

Hey, big spender. The New Jersey gubernatorial race may be chump change compared to the cash being expended in the battle over Issue 3, which would permit four Vegas-style casinos in the Buckeye State. This is boiling down to a proxy fight between Penn National Gaming (pro) and racino specialist MTR Gaming (con). You'll recall that the Ohio Supreme Court nixed Gov. Ted Strickland's plan to unilaterally add slots to the state's horse tracks, which might have given MTR a level playing field with Penn.

While I can understand why Penn or Harrah's would be willing to pay 23% in taxes in Iowa or 27% in Kansas, it's mind-boggling that Harrah's would be chomping at the bit in Rhode Island, where the rate is 73%. Oy vey!

A green shoot. The Baton Rouge Business Journal reports that Pinnacle Entertainment is inking contracts to begin driving piles for its Lake Charles project. Called "Sugarcane Bay" and budgeted at $407 million, this is the first positive movement we've seen out of Pinnacle in a while (unless you count its hijinks with the President license up in Missouri). Good on them.

Manilow on the move. The Las Vegas Hilton has confirmed what all suspected: Barry Manilow's contract expires Dec. 30 and will not be renewed. As we reported in Question of the Day, it's nearly a done deal that he will now set up shop at Paris-Las Vegas, whose main showroom has gone long unused.

Good luck trying to get the Vegas constabulary interested if your car is stolen or your home burglarized. They're too busy going undercover to get lap dances. As Richard Abowitz notes, rampant prostitution on the Strip goes unchecked in the meantime. It's an open secret around here, although many of the "working girls" look downright scary, so you have to wonder how they turn tricks, especially in this economy.

From the mailbag #8

Mon, 05 Oct 2009 15:08:00 -0700

"Doesn't the IOC realise it will be winter in Brazil in August, 2016?" -- comment Blackberried in by a reader, regarding the award of the '16 games to Rio de Janeiro. Y'know, I'd been wondering about that myself. The average August temperature in Rio hovers between 66 and 78 degrees. Not frigid but not exactly torrid, either. Meanwhile, the IOC promises to keep an eagle eye on the betting lines for the Vancouver games in 2010.

From Jeff in OKC, regarding the recent National Coming-Out Day promotions on the Strip: "Casino ads need a gambling reference in their marketing, I found it cute. If I want to offend easily, I would say that 'Two queens are more fun than a straight' suggests that straight people are inherently less enjoyable than gay people, and NY-NY doesn't want my money. I think we can always be offended, if we look hard enough."

From kerr_mudgeon, on the growing possibility that Las Vegas Mayor Oscar Goodman will tilt at the 2010 gubernatorial race: "I don't think he'll run because the odds are less than 50% in his favor as a non-partisan + he'd not want to disrupt his family by taking a job in Carson [City] - BUT if he runs and wins, he'll start pushing immediately to move the state capital to Las Vegas (maybe to take over one of the partly-built Strip complexes in/near bankruptcy)."

It's not the worst idea I've heard. Nor is this ...

Singapore is building an expansion of its ocean-liner terminal, enabling it to berth four cruisers at a time. The good news for Las Vegas Sands and Genting Bhd is, obviously, that this means more potential customers for their ultra-megaresorts. The not-so-good news is that the new berths won't be ready until late 2011, by which point both casino-based resort will have been open nearly two years.

Everybody's got a private equity fund these days, like the 21-year-old owner of a Persian resaturant in Maryland. Youthful Artin Afsharjavan claims he's got the scratch to buy Trump Entertainment Resorts, prompting Trump CEO Mark Juliano to reply, "Show me the money."

Hey, if some kid wants to throw as much as $500 million into acquiring five (mostly) bottom-of-the-barrel Atlantic City casinos, including Resorts Atlantic City and the A.C. Hilton, I'd like to see the color of his money, too. If it's for real, TER and the others ought to pluck the guy clean. You don't get a pigeon like this every day.

Quote of the Day

Mon, 05 Oct 2009 14:07:00 -0700

"One of the reasons why we chose this mansion, instead of having something at one of the casinos, was because we wanted to match the glamour of a Playboy/Hugh Hefner party." -- ex-Bunny Lois Sablich, explaining why a reunion of former Playboy Hotel & Casino employees snubbed current Atlantic City casinos in favor of a stately home nearby.

Adelson's rescuer?

Wed, 30 Sep 2009 14:01:00 -0700

Meet Wilbur Ross. He's an investor of all trades with an appetite for distressed assets. And he's turning his sights to the casino industry. In particular, he's drawn a bead on "companies [who] are also looking at selling assets in the Chinese gambling enclave of Macau to support struggling operations in Las Vegas."

That means either Las Vegas Sands or MGM Mirage, and it's old news that Sheldon Adelson has been peddling a couple of retail malls and the non-casino aspects of Sands Macao (above). MGM is attempting a reboot (successful so far) of MGM Grand Macau but still might come up short on completion money for CityCenter, especially if condo prices have to be reduced. And it doesn't take a rocket scientist to figure out that one Macanese casino beats any number of hotel rooms or retail outlets.

Un-Trumped? Thwarted Trump Marina suitor Richard Fields is making another run at the property, which he's been trying to buy since Homer was a pup. Better still for him, he could get it for as little as $75 million. However, he's got dark-horse competition from a Maryland-based private equity fund that's making a play for all three of the Trump Entertainment Resorts casinos.

Notorious for mainly hanging its corporate shingle in tax-haven Green Valley, would-be casino operator Empire Resorts is not only re-headquartered in New York State, it's got new partners. Some of them bring checkered pasts to the table.

Also, Empire's hopes hinge upon the current administration reversing an especially paternalistic ruling from the George W. Bush years: namely, that casino sites must be within commuting distance of the tribal owners' -- in this case the St. Regis Mohawks -- reservations. If economic self-sufficiency is the endgame of federal/policy, Uncle Sam needs to loosen the apron strings.

Unready for some football. The unceremonious scrapping of Monday Night Football events at The Cannery is explained (second item). Magic word: clearance. Columnist John Katsilometes also notes that the second weekend of Zowie Bowie's Vintage Vegas was better than the first. Which would mean it's graduated from "bad" to "mediocre."

New England moralists are apparently OK with slot machines in Rhode Island, so long as they're covered by the fig leaf of mandatory greyhound racing. At least the slot players have a chance of actually catching the rabbit, metaphorically speaking. Animal cruelty is bad enough but when it's enshrined in state law it's even more objectionable, if such a thing is possible.

From the mailbag #7

Wed, 30 Sep 2009 13:47:00 -0700

Presumably foiled once again by the Comment-Eating Server, reader kerr_mudgeon writes:

From the article about the A.C. contract settlement: "In his praise of the deal, Don Marrandino, the Eastern Division president of Harrah's, appeared to refer indirectly to tortured negotiations with the United Auto Workers involving dealers, which have degenerated into a costly, bitter fight that is scaring away customers.

Two and a half years after the union won representation elections at four Atlantic City casinos, it has yet to sign a contract with any of them.
"Harrah's is proud of its record as a responsible union partner as further evidenced by this contract which was developed and agreed to in just a few short weeks and without disruption to the business and employees," he said."

- Is Harrah's equally proud that, after 2 1/2 years, it can't negotiate a first contract with the other union?
~~~
As for the hotels' prices for sheets, towels, etc., other posters' comments are correct: these are long-standing inflated charges intended to deter theft by room guests - and yes, I read of cases where guests stole the (unusable) TV remotes... and even the pictures on the walls.*

(By the way, I bought a $10 3-cup coffee maker at Walgreen's Drugstore, downtown LV, on my last trip to use in my room; I'll buy another next trip.)
There is a new revenue stream that David alludes to: High-end resorts selling robes, mattresses, wine glasses, etc. to hotel guests who appreciate the supposed superior quality of those goods - and are willing to pay inflated prices to own them.

* -- Editor's note: The pictures in the hotel rooms at Casino X were the only things looked to be worth stealing -- but they weren't for sale.

Give that man a blue ribbon: State Senate President David Williams of Kentucky may not be a friend of racinos but he hit the nail on the head recently. In a multi-point statement outlining his opposition to slots at Bluegrass State tracks, he said that horseracing was beset by "endemic" problems. He's the first public official that S&G can recall stating an overdue truth: that the ailments afflicting the horsey set can be temporarily soothed by slot revenues, but not cured.

Buy our casino, please!

Tue, 29 Sep 2009 14:11:00 -0700

Any well-furnished casino that doesn't try to monetize its fine appointments is missing a revenue opportunity. However, it's one thing to covet the lovely furnishings of, say, the Sky Lofts at MGM Grand. It's quite another to check into a hotel room in a struggling Nevada market (hint: think blood-red aluminum siding) and see the following:

"Take A Little Something Home With You"

... followed by a list of prices for virtually everything that isn't nailed down. At the high end, you could pay $175 for a bed spread or $100 for a phone, while hand towels ($10), washcloths and pillow cases ($5) occupied the bargain end of the spectrum.

In between, you could drop $45 for a Lilliputian coffee maker or $25 for the TV remote. Since the TV was not for sale and remotes tend to be brand- and model-specific, you wonder who'd be fool enough to spring for that last item.

Not only is Casino X clearly desperate for anything on which it can turn a buck, it also has rather inflated ideas of the value of its appurtances. I can see paying $175 for an Encore bedspread, but Steve Wynn doesn't operate out in the sticks, if you get my drift. Oh, and Casino X might want to think about staffing up its players' club and check-in windows, if the length of the lines at both is a telling metric.

Harrahs' new BMOC. The incoming president of Harrah's Entertainment's Flamingo-centered bloc of casinos departs Indiana to rave reviews. Philanthropic, community-oriented and socially aware, Rick Mazer sounds like just what the doctor ordered for Vegas -- to say nothing of being someone upon whom we should keep close tabs.

Justice delayed. Employees of Station Casinos who may (or may not) have been short-changed in their paychecks, will just have to bloody well wait for their day in court, if Clark County District Court grants Station's request for "breathing room." Station is pleading hardship due to its current bankruptcy. Since the company has no one but itself to blame for being in Chapter 11, it's difficult to muster sympathy. But perhaps the judge will be of a more forgiving nature.

Don Marrandino's first coup. The newly installed boss of Harrah's Atlantic City casino quartet inks a new labor pact with Unite-Here. That was a piece of cake. Now, about those dealer-contract talks with the UAW ...

Meanwhile, back in Gary Loveman's 'hood ... You know those on-again, off-again Massachusetts casinos? Well, they're "off." Again. Not that there's any reason to rush, especially as the repeated delays lend additional borrowed time to struggling Foxwoods Resort Casino and Mohegan Sun.

Crime doesn't pay; Wyden wimps out

Fri, 25 Sep 2009 14:19:00 -0700

Five dimes worth of damage, $40,000 bail -- and all to wrest a measly two grand from some vending machines at Harrah's Atlantic City. That's the losing bet made by two security guards. Couple this with the floormen who destroyed their careers for a comparably picayune sum of money they allegedly scammed from Planet Hollywood, and we're seeing a level of desperation in casino crime the likes of which I can't recall.

City of Dreams. Voters in Ohio haven't approved casinos in any form yet, but that's not stopping Cleveland Cavaliers owner Dan Gilbert, who's already had a design executed. Gilbert has lined up critical support by promising to forego hotel rooms and restaurants (though he's left himself a little wiggle room there).

But don't be fooled: Phil Satre used the same Trojan Horse strategy to get an onshore casino in the heart of New Orleans. A few bankruptcies and legislative showdowns later, Harrah's N.O. has a hotel and a couple of restaurants. (Like it or not, Satre was brilliant.) I'll be so not surprised if Gilbert gets his casino, then discovers the numbers don't pencil out at a 33% tax rate, and starts waffling on his non-aggression pact with hoteliers and restaurateurs.

Damn that vox populi! Seems that Harrah's Entertainment had a bit of contractual noblesse oblige written into its pact to purchase Thistledown Racetrack. If the issue of racinos has to be put to a vote of the people, all bets -- so to speak -- are off. Which means that Harrah's can take its $89 million and skedaddle, leaving bankrupt Magna Entertainment holding the bag. For the moment though, Harrah's is playing the issue down, saying talk of a pullout is "premature" and hasn't been given much thought.

Even Las Vegas Sands appears to be feeling disappointed with early results from Sands Bethlehem. A massive, 2,000-slot expansion, slated for November, has been scaled back by 88%. Even so, Pennsylvania casinos are busy planning for the addition of table games (although the Lege hasn't approved it yet). The price of table games will probably be higher (18% tax + $15 million upfront) than casinos want, but at least they've been successful in battling back an expansion-sapping 34% tax rate on tables. For slots, they still have to pay a usurious 55%, one of the worst rates in the nation.

But if Sands wants to maximize its drawing power, it might want to think about finishing the hotel and other amenities that got shoved onto the back burner when Sheldon Adelson's coffers began to run dry. At least Sands has gotten a temporary reprieve from sliding to sixth place because -- even with financing in place -- Neil Bluhm is taking a go-slow approach to his $355 million Philadelphia casino, out of deference to historical preservations. (Funny how Bluhm can build a Philly casino complex for half of what Adelson blew on his unfinished Bethlehem resort.)

Fortune favors the bold, which means it won't smile upon Sen. Ron Wyden (D-OR), who apparently caved to pressure from increasingly useless and counterproductive Sen. Harry Reid (D-NV). It looks like Hapless Harry is behind Wyden's craven withdrawal of an amendment that would have taxed Internet gambling to help pay for health care reform.

Incidentally, an amendment that would have authorized $100 billion to close the infamous Medicare "doughnut hole" was voted down yesterday. Jeez, those 'Net-bet taxes could have come in handy as an alternative means of plugging the hole. (Oh, and fuck you too, Max Baucus.)

And that goes double for you, stock-picker Jim Cramer, whose spam rips through our LVA filters like Japanese torpedoes through the hull of the U.S.S. Oklahoma. It makes me sorry I ever said anything nice about you, Jimbo.

From the mailbag #5

Wed, 23 Sep 2009 12:26:00 -0700

Our Comment-Eating Server has been at it again, so here are a few reader remarks that got devoured in cyberspace (where no one can hear you scream at your computer) ...

With regard to "Gambling Scandal Ensnares Eight More":

This is disgraceful! How dare the Federal government interfere with private enterprise like this? Undoubtedly the casinos' self-government practices would have detected these infractions, right?

If -- and I'm not sure about this -- you're referring to tribal casinos, all generalizations are false, including this one. The Tran Organization took down 26 scores that ran the breadth and depth of casino industry: Strip resorts, locals casinos, backwater Isle of Capri operations, U.S. ones and Canadian ones, the smallest tribal casinos and the biggest, too. Even Barona Casino & Resort, which prides itself on being ahead of the industry, technologically speaking, got taken. The moral I draw from this is that too much stock is being put in game-protection technology and not enough in the human component. All the king's PTZ cameras and all the king's digital scratch pads don't know what a "false shuffle" is.

Another reader caught a hasty slip-up I made, when I wrote that Harrah's Entertainment's "$10 million a year for energy conservation isn't even 'a blimp on the radar' when it comes to Harrah's gargantuan annual budget. Heck, it's less than 2/3 of CEO Gary Loveman's compensation package for 2008 alone."

Maybe his compensation has gone down since 2002? I don't think so:

"Loveman, himself, is doing a bit better too: His business school professor's salary, approximately $120,000 (before consulting fees), is now well over $3 million, including stock options. He shuttles between his Boston-area home and Harrah's casinos around the country in a corporate jet. He has long since traded in his professorial Honda Accord for a Ferrari F-355 Spider. After 12 years in the same house, the Lovemans are currently building what neighbors describe as 'a very large' house in the Boston suburb where they live."

Maybe he's riding in a "green" corporate jet now?

Good point. What I was trying to compare was Harrah's $60 million in energy savings over six years. That is less than 2/3 of Loveman's $92 compensation for 2008. (His base salary for '09 is $1.9 million.)

And with regard to labor strife at Trump Plaza:

"While the casino's latest appeal is tied up in federal court, Trump Plaza management has refused to bargain at all.

"Trump Entertainment Resorts Inc., which owns Trump Plaza, has said it expects to win in court. The case was first filed in September 2008.

"The court could side with the casino or uphold the National Labor Relations Board's ruling requiring the casino to bargain.

"'Throughout this entire process, it has not been our intention to attack any dealers who have chosen to support the union,' Juliano continued."

... David, you said "Kudos to Trump Entertainment Resorts CEO Mark Juliano for going out of his way to soothe potential animosity between labor and management."

- I would say: Kudos to Juliano if Trump would bargain in good faith with the union that won the election. As it is, Trump Entertainment Resorts owns & controls Trump Plaza and refuses to dignify their employees with negotiations that they voted for.

That's a major reason that we need passage of a "card check" law, which includes heavy fines against employers like this who refuse to negotiate (for years) with their workers' duly elected representatives.

Fair enough. And finally:

I don't gamble on the Internet because of security concerns with unregulated offshore sites, but I agree with this comment [same blog entry, under ["Health care reform + Internet gambling?"]: This is great! Ron Wyden is an innovative and responsible law maker. As an Internet gambler, I'd be happy to support American-based companies, and pay my patriotic taxes, instead of sending my "business" to Costa Rica.

Thanks to everyone for corresponding.

Atlantic City sucks ...

Tue, 22 Sep 2009 18:05:00 -0700

... says the Motley Fool, in essence. Even Borgata, which posted a higher operating profit year/year, is deemed merely to suck less than everybody else. I'm not sure I'm with the Fools on this one. For instance, shouldn't Sands Bethlehem be doing better than fifth among Pennsylvania casinos, especially when you consider its proximity to New York City?

Elsewhere on the Boardwalk, the UAW is fighting Trump Plaza, the Plaza is fighting the National Labor Relations Board and Trump dealers are fighting amongst themselves. Since 32% of dealers initially voted against UAW representation, it should be a cinch to round up 30% to sign a decertification petition. Kudos to Trump Entertainment Resorts CEO Mark Juliano for going out of his way to soothe potential animosity between labor and management.

MILF convention in A.C.: On Oct. 3, former Bunnies and other veterans of the short-lived Playboy Hotel & Casino will return to the shore to relive the good old days. A few might even wriggle into their old Bunny costumes. Maybe a re-infusion of the Playboy brand is what Atlantic City needs. It can only help. Are you listening, Carl Icahn? Revel? Pinnacle Entertainment? Anybody?

Finally, a reason to visit Orlando ...

... or maybe not. And that dude from Scotland is in serious need of subtitles.

Resort-style casinos come to Colorado and doesn't Ameristar's new hotel look lovely? Now, if only somebody would build a mid-market property like this on the Strip. Why must average Americans settle for older, second-tier properties if they're to afford a Vegas vacation?

Health care reform + Internet gambling? Is it just me or is Sen. Ron Wyden (D-OR) onto something here? This may be just the carrot to dangle in front of legislators who still balk at allowing Americans to wager on the Web.

Creditors screwed again. How much is Greektown Casino worth? Is it the $725 million its creditors claim? Or the $540 million that Greektown asserts? Or maybe the lowball $485 million that lead bidder Tom Celani is willing to pay? Greektown's recent -- and well-publicized -- inroads into the market share of its Detroit rivals lend merit to the higher-end valuations. If the place was in the doghouse, I might sympathize with Celani (who's likely to boot the very management team responsible for Greektown's turnaround), but Fine Point Group has definitely enhanced a once-seedy casino's value.

It's official. VIP-player commissions in Macao will be capped. Since the war over junketeer commissions was threatening to make Macao a negative-revenue proposition, the new ceiling will greatly improve cash flow for Macanese operators. Middle-of-the-pack Galaxy Entertainment is expected to benefit the most (+27% EBITDA), followed at some distance by Stanley Ho (16%), with Las Vegas Sands and MGM Mirage bringing up the rear. Although the elderly Ho may be on his deathbed, he's lived long enough to broker peace in a potentially destructive situation where the only sure winners were the sought-after junket operators.

Worst Trend Yet

Thu, 17 Sep 2009 20:07:00 -0700

This is the sort of bottom-feeding move you'd expect from Columbia Sussex but not from Hyatt. Suffice it to say that if casino-hotels try this cheapjack number in Atlantic City, Detroit or Las Vegas, there will be holy hell to pay, especially the next time the collective-bargaining agreement is up for renewal. As it is, some hotels (*cough*Tropicana Las Vegas*cough*) have tried to operate with skeletal cleaning staffs and one shudders to imagine the consequences.

From the mailbag #5: Vegas Club, football, Atlantic CIty

Fri, 11 Sep 2009 14:07:00 -0700

Reader herbop reports on the latest thrift move by Tamares Group: "While other Downtown hotels are installing in-room safes, and removing complaint-causing daily fees for same, the Vegas Club Hotel has pulled out the installed safes from its rooms. When I inquired, they said it's 'policy.' Guests can still use the casino's safe deposit boxes.

"They left the four bolt-holes in the wall, unpatched. Classy, right?"

Geez, I hope those German G2E attendees opted for the Plaza over the Vegas Club. Nice work, Tamares. Why don't you strip the copper out of the place and sell it on the black market while you're at it? (Whoops, we probably shouldn't give Pojo Z. and his flunkies any ideas.)

Kickoff time. Since NFL season finally draws nigh (after what seems like five months of preseason games), it's probably worth mentioning LVA Sports. It includes a directory of football contests, pigskin parties and team bars in the Vegas area. There are no fewer than 12 watering holes allied to Da Bears but only half that number for Packer Backers.

Tennessee Titans fans will just have to drink their beer at home, because our staff couldn't locate any Titan-affiliated bars. Ditto Tilman Fertitta's Houston Texans. Even the ever-putrid Oakland Raiders have three bars to their credit -- but getting to last year's Super Bowl still only netted one Vegas hangout for Arizona Cardinals fans. Go figure.

Don't pop the champagne for stalled Boardwalk resort Revel just yet. The latter has issued a clarification stating that China Construction Engineering Corp. only has a potential agreement in place to finish Revel, for which the resort must drum up funding later this year. Also, yesterday I misstated the opening date as "July 11" when I meant to type "July 2011." I regret the error.

Blimps on the radar

Thu, 10 Sep 2009 14:03:00 -0700

Dipping into the dispatch box, S&G finds the following tidbits, courtesy of the nice people at J.P. Morgan:

Alex Yemenidjian is serious about revamping the Tropicana Las Vegas. He's just inked a contract with Bally Technologies for a player-tracking system and other BYI goodies ...

... fading interest in MGM Grand Detroit has caused MGM Mirage to take it off the market. Also, with the company looking at price concessions to its CityCenter condo buyers (i.e., forfeiting money it was counting on to finance CityCenter), it may need to borrow against its Detroit palace, one of the few MGM properties still unencumbered ...

... Atlantic City, like Macao, is and will probably always be essentially a daytripper market. So there's symmetry in the fact that China State Construction Engineering Corp. has been signed to finish the stalled Revel project on the Boardwalk, to the tune of $1.7 billion. A July 11 opening is predicted. This is the best news to emerge from Atlantic City in quite a long while.

Speaking of good news, gaming revenues for Nevada's July are in and, basically, they don't suck. Yes, the Silver State was down 8% and the Strip was 11%. But June's year/year comparisons were far suckier (-15% on the Strip), so there's some consolation to be had. In fact, compared to a series of truly craptacular year/year comparisons -- all in double digits, except for last May -- it's darn near cause for celebration.

Table game drop was down overall but the casinos played lucky, particularly at baccarat. (Watch the first-season Mission Impossible episode "Odds on Evil," if you need a quick primer on this game. You'll get scintillating performances by Martin Landau and Barbara Bain in the bargain.)

Slot play is way down (-17.5% win on -15% handle) and North Las Vegas, bouyed by Aliante Station, was the only part of Clark County to have a positive month. Laughlin got hammered pretty badly (-19%) and neither Reno (-21%) nor South Lake Tahoe (-33%) seems likely to ever fully recover from tribal competition across the border, Tahoe especially. If there was a moment for some "unbundling" by overexposed companies, this is it.

Didn't get the memo. Would somebody break into the R&R Partners biosphere and let oxygen into the office of Billy Vassiliadis? "Billy V" was the author of this boneheaded pensée, which he shared with the Los Angeles Times:

"You've got to drop your rates, but you don't want to create a sense that this is a discount experience or that the experience itself has been diminished."

What the ... ? Las Vegas' recent success was built on the perception (and actuality) of a "discount experience," and lower prices are unlikely to "diminish" a tourist destination that is now synonymous with exclusivity and unaffordability. Vassiliadis, like Sheldon Adelson and the Las Vegas Convention & Visitors Authority, seems convinced that the current doldrums are -- to use my favorite Internet-board gaffe -- "a blimp [sic] on the radar."

They need to wrap their heads around the reality that 2004-like levels of business were damned good at the time (superb, in fact) and that Vegas needs to get back to the value-based messages that fueled the preceding 15 years of growth. Or, as David G. Schwartz writes in a particularly trenchant DieIsCast.com entry: "Of course, unpredictable events can make a hash of any predictions, so it’s possible that five years from now the casino industry will be employing 100,000 more people than it does today. That would be after the federal government offers Americans a $10,000 annual tax credit against travel to Las Vegas, and Las Vegas alone."

Seems like some folks in the marketing bidness should be taking Dr. Schwartz's classes.

Optimism in Macao, euphoria at CityCenter

Tue, 08 Sep 2009 17:33:00 -0700

Relaxation of stringent visa restrictions from Guangdong Province came a full four months sooner than expected, starting Sept. 1. Now, residents will be able to visit Macao once a month instead of quarterly. While this has prompted J.P. Morgan to raise its price target on Las Vegas Sands stock, analysts also fret that Sands may overreact and go pedal to the metal on its unfinished Cotai Strip™ hotels.

Those same analysts are bullish on the manufacturing sector, though. They think casinos will be more willing to reinvest in the slot base as 2009 draws to a close. Also, the onward march of casino expansion means more jurisdictions and facilities to whom IGT, Bally and WMS can peddle their products. They're 'meh' on regional casino operators like Penn National, Ameristar Casinos and Pinnacle Entertainment, due to flattish performance. (Penn could catch a break in Kansas, though I still think Cordish Gaming has that sewn up.)

But that's a rave notice compared to the long face Morgan analysts pull when pondering Boyd Gaming's prospects. They cite the slow-to-recover, promo-driven locals-casino market in Las Vegas ("trickle-down" economics of the worst sort); Atlantic City's critical condition -- "the best-case scenario here is that [Borgata] would do less bad" than most of A.C. -- those blah regional metrics and new competition for the Blue Chip riverboat in Indiana, which had been looking like 2009's feel-good story.

Intriguingly, the prospect of a Strip acquistion is floated in lieu of a 'stalking horse' bid for floundering Station Casinos. Boyd's still got enough unused borrowing capacity it could even swing an acquisition of The Mirage (with money to spare), not to mention some of the lower-hanging fruit, which now includes Planet Hollywood. But if the J.P. Morgan guys are gun-shy concerning Boyd ...

They're over the moon about MGM Mirage's CityCenter: "we are increasingly under the belief that City Center will be a new must-see property for both domestic and international gamers/travelers that should drive solid visitation volumes to the Strip in 2010. We were impressed with the massive 18m-square-foot complex ... a new type of high-end product for the Strip that should garner increased trips. It has a very contemporary feel that is different than anything else on the Strip, with lots of natural light and high ceilings, interesting room product and, for a massive property, ease of getting around from one 'neighborhood' to the next."

More good news comes in the form of a press release from Commerce Casino (in Commerce, Calif.), which rolled out the welcome mat for a group of undoubtedly weary firefighters. A strike force of 30 Bay Area-based firemen is being housed in the casino's hotel, with the casino comping all meals and picking up most of the hotel tab. Let's hope that such civic-mindedness spreads through the industry like -- if you'll forgive the analogy -- wildfire.

In case it matters, "super-starlet" (yes, that's the official term) Holly Madison has been given a 12-month contract extension at Peepshow, so she's obviously earning her pay. Also, I've heard through the grapevine that she and incoming Aubrey O'Day do not get along, so the timing of the Madison announcement should make clear who's got the upper implant in this situation.

Marrandino: going but not forgotten

Fri, 28 Aug 2009 19:00:00 -0700

Don Marrandino may be Atlantic City-bound but here's how S&G will always remember the Harrah's Entertainment exec, with the Alizma triplets close at hand. For all our ribbing of Marrandino's high-profile lifestyle, he did preside over a much-praised revamp of the Flamingo, and kept the Imperial Palace alive and busy long after it was supposed to have bit the dust. If you need lemons made into lemonade, he's your guy.

Marrandino also seriously rethought the entertainment offerings at the five casinos within his purview. Just in the last couple of years, he's brought on board Donny & Marie, Human Nature, Matsuri and Nathan Burton. Not every one was a jackpot, but the Osmonds and Human Nature were pure gold, and Matsuri has possibilities. I'd love to have that track record.

Replacement Rick Mazer looks promising, not least because he's a Jack Binion protégé, not one of the "propeller-heads" of which Harrah's CEO Gary Loveman is famously fond. The Strip could use some Binion-like thinking right now and S&G fervently hopes Mazer is bringing some of that Horseshoe luck with him.

Meet the new Trop boss ...

Wed, 26 Aug 2009 16:29:00 -0700

... largely the same as the old boss. Tropicana Entertainment's diligent efforts to get back into the Tropicana Atlantic City have finally paid off. Thus (nearly) ends a prolonged interregnum during which no clearly superior alternativves emerged. Well ... there was an extended flirtation with Cordish Gaming but butterfingered trustee Justice Gary Stein fumbled that away.

Since Carl Icahn's stealthy buy-up of TropEnt stock extinguished Columbia Sussex CEO William J. Yung III's ownership rights, the era of Attila the Yung has finally ended. Also, getting Stein out and private ownership back in is a transition that can't happen soon enough.

On the downside, Trop property prexy Mark Giannantonio (a Yung appointee) remains at the helm. Also, TropEnt CEO Scott Butera and his lieutenants did an undistinguished job of running the Tropicana Las Vegas before selling it to Onex Corp. They still have a lot to prove in Atlantic City.

Cro-Magnon economics; Packer play?; Harrah's boycotted

Wed, 26 Aug 2009 13:57:00 -0700

Still snowed under with non-S&G commitments, but here's a brief dispatch. First, with apologies to Woody Allen ...

"The federal stimulus package is so bad"

"Yes, and such small portions."

That's the sum and substance of this diatribe, penned by the old biddies over at the Las Vegas Review-Journal. The federal stimulus dollars which the R-J opposed (as did its man-crush, Gov. Jim Gibbons) aren't trickling down in sufficient numbers for the editorialists' liking.

Ergo, 13% unemployment and a housing market that's "years away" from recovery are things from which Uncle Sam is meant to rescue us. Yes, and never mind that the real culprit is the overreliance of Nevada on a service economy, plus insane overexuberance in the real estate sector -- two phenomena for which the R-J has never had a discouraging word.

Mistaking one owl for a winter, R-J Publisher Sherm Frederick goes into full doom-and-gloom mode. His can't-miss economic barometer? A half-full flight into Las Vegas. (From Austin. On a Tuesday.) I've been flying into and out of this city for nigh upon 12 years and many's the half-full flight I've taken into McCarran International Airport. It's a side effect of Las Vegas being so liberally serviced by the major airlines.

Also, Frederick's half-baked "analysis" reeks of that local entitlement mentality whereby Americans are obligated to spend their money here -- during a recession, no less. (Maybe more of them would do so if we didn't continue to shift our tax burden onto their shoulders.)

We've got to take our lumps with the rest of the country and, as I've pointed out several times before, Southern Nevada would be weathering the current doldrums much better had it not been for an insanely euphoric attitude in our business community, with its pie-in-the-sky economic models. Harrah's Entertainment claims that, in the course of its mega-optimistic LBO, it projected a worst-case scenario in which revenue fell 30% and Harrah's came through just fine.

I don't believe it. Either that or Gary Loveman needs to sack his number-crunchers and find some ones who use real math.

Trouble at Cannery. Who knew? Things seemed to be going pretty well for them. But President Tom Lettero has been demoted from chief operating officer to CFO. His vacated portfolio will be taken up by Xavier Walsh, from Crown Ltd. Is minority shareholder James Packer flexing some muscle? Or has Cannery Casino Resorts decided that what works for Crown in Australia might be worth trying in Nevada and Pennsylvania?

Harrah's attempt to play hardball with its dealer unions has caromed off the company's noggin. The American Federation of Teachers is pulling its convention business from Harrah's-owned properties until contract negotiations with the dealers at Bally's Atlantic City and Caesars A.C. You might say that Caesar's fine Roman nose has been cut off to spite his face,

A provocative question is posed by Dr. David G. Schwartz. If there are fewer slots and table games on Nevada's casino floors, does this bode an ongoing decrease in casino revenue? Prof. Schwartz is far better educated than am I in these matters ... yet it seems that the proposition boils down to More gaming positions = More revenue.

But how many casinos are running at 100% game usage even a small part of the time? Also, with penny slots yielding higher hold percentages than their nickel and quarter brethren, denominations are trumping sheer numbers. Lord knows, people are drawn to those penny machines as though to a spider web because the (perceived) value overrides the (documented) less-favorable pay tables. In any event, Dr. Schwartz's in-progress study promises to be one of the most interesting casino-related documents emerging this year.

Bounce-back for Macao?

Fri, 21 Aug 2009 17:17:00 -0700

Remember how gambling revenues in Macao during July were up 3% from last year (the first positive comparison this year)? That was soon followed by the news that numbers for the first half of August are even more encouraging still (+20%). Though Macanese casinos are on track for a $1.5 billion August, analysts urge caution, noting that the first half of August '08 was exceptionally weak.

Still: Wherefore this sudden resurgence?

Perhaps it's the delayed effect of a February loophole that allowed Guangdong Province residents to circumvent a ban on travel to Macao on Hong Kong visas. Whatever the case, business should get better still on Sept. 1 when, the Macau Tourism Council says, restrictions on Guangdong Province will be loosened even further. That's music to the ears of every casino boss in Macao, needless to say.

Sheldon Adelson, in particular, has fallen in clover. This revelation comes just as he's putting the finishing touches on a planned IPO on the Hong Kong stock exchange (with Steve Wynn following suit). The stock offering, it is hoped, will generate sufficient liquidity to finish a quartet of stalled hotels on the Cotai Strip™ (with five more to come). Right now, the area looks like an outsize version of Miss Havisham's wedding, "leaving swaths of the nascent Cotai Strip covered by steel and concrete skeletons," in the words of Bloomberg News. Macao doesn't need more rooms right now. However, Adelson sure could use the lucre from the casinos onto which the hotels are piggybacked.

But what of Stanley Ho? While the casino baron ails, Bloomberg has unpacked Dr. Ho's June address to G2E Asia, in which he laid into his U.S.-based rivals. “The success of one market model cannot be migrated to another ... Ignoring Macao’s special characteristics and duplicating a Las Vegas or an Atlantic City would not be a successful strategy.” (The article also minces few words about the elder Ho's triad associations.)

Those of us who scoffed at Ho's antediluvian casinos are finding that the comparably ancient oligarch is having the last laugh, even if it may be from his deathbed. “The Macao audience is less focused on the ancillary things around gambling. Stanley, with his wealth of experience, understood that better," says Thornburg Investment Management analyst Alex Motola.

Meanwhile, various Ho clan members may be at daggers drawn. Favorite wife Angela Leong is the perceived successor, but daughters Pansy, Daisy and Maisy Ho (no, I didn't make that up) aren't going to step aside quietly, from the looks of things ... especially since Leong is only two years Pansy's senior. SJM CEO Ambrose So is also being tipped as a potential dark-horse heir to King Stanley's throne.

Business as usual at Hotel Lisboa.

But how would the Macanese government cotton to the notion of Pansy Ho controlling both the SJM concession and half of the MGM one? A third concession could be up for grabs if City of Dreams fails to perform, thereby becoming what Melco Crown Entertainment CEO Lawrence Ho calls his "endgame."

His father's death could also set off a philosophical war between the tried-and-true Stanley Ho business model, time-worn though it may be (and likely to be championed by Leong and So), and the Vegas Lite approach in which Lawrence and Pansy have dabbled. But with the Ho family having its fingers in three casino pies (MGM, Melco, SJM) simultaneously, they'll come out winners no matter which way the pie is sliced.

Stanley Ho's newest and oldest progeny: Grand Lisboa and Hotel Lisboa.

From Malaysia to Monticello. Do you recall those stock sales by Genting Bhd insiders a while back? At the time, it looked as though the money would go toward an acquisition of MGM Grand Macau. However, it now appears the lucre will purchase a stake in struggling Empire Resorts. That's the company whose executives were luxuriating in the low-tax suburbs of Las Vegas -- even though Empire's sole gaming asset was a racetrack in Monticello, N.Y., a full continent away.

Just what the doctor ordered

Wed, 19 Aug 2009 14:29:00 -0700

With Eastern Division President Carlos Tolosa calling it a day, Harrah's Entertainment is dispatching Atlantic City native Don Marrandino to try and turn things around out there. (No word on whether the Alizma triplets will accompany him eastward.)

Marrandino's portfolio will encompass far more than Harrah's quartet of A.C. properties but his entrepreneurial flair is something that the Boardwalk and Marina districts could sorely use. Gross profits were down 20% in 2Q09, with only Boyd Gaming's Borgata (+8%) bucking the trend.

S&G wishes Marrandino luck in his new assignment. He'll certainly be missed back here. One doesn't know what to expect from successor Rick Mazer, currently Harrah's top man in Indiana. Following an exponential expansion of Horseshoe Hammond, it's become The Casino That Ate Everybody's Lunch. However, the re-branded Horseshoe Indiana, at the southern end of the state, has been losing market share. Maybe taking the Caesars name off the place wasn't such a good idea, after all? Harrah's bought a brand (Horseshoe) with great equity but has mostly bumbled thereafter.

Did you know that the Greek Isles is a gold mine just waiting to tapped? So says a flack for the new owners, who enthuses, "Although the current environment in Las Vegas is challenging, the property’s exceptional location, as evidenced by its proximity to the proposed Convention Center expansion and recent hotel/casino developments on the north end of the Strip, should provide the new owners with significant upside potential through a redevelopment or repositioning of the hotel as the market recovers."

Yup, between stalled, bankrupt Fontainebleau and a proposed Convention Center addition (unlikely under current austerity budgets), the Greek Isles is a can't-miss investment. Where else can you see so many parking lots and garages from the comfort of your hotel room?

But seriously, folks ... how did anyone ever get a $120 million appraisal (or an $83 million purchase price) on a hotel-cum-slot route that's losing over $1 million a year? If the Greek Isles were a dog, somebody would have put it down by now.

That half-assed wrap on the would-be-classy Mandarin Oriental has also drawn the attention of Steve Friess. And it turns out that The Rio isn't the only Harrah's property in Vegas badly needing a paint job, either. The Paris-Las Vegas balloon has seen better days, too. This sort of chintziness was only to be expected once Texas Pacific Group and Apollo Management got their claws into Harrah's, but nobody wanted to hear about it back in the day when the words "private equity" sent analysts and regulators into a delirious swoon.

Colony Capital strikes (out) again; Big Bleauh

Mon, 17 Aug 2009 17:02:00 -0700

Despite taking a 22% gouge out of expenses, Colony Capital and its Goldman Sachs sidekicks managed to convert a 2Q08 profit to a $10.5 million 2Q09 loss. Revenues were down $30 million (or 40%), half of that from diminished room bookings. Could the service cuts be driving the revenue plunge? It wouldn't be the first time we've seen "death spiral" management be a company's undoing.

It's certainly interesting to see the bracing effect the recession has had on Vegas casino execs. They, who once took convention business for granted and looked upon conventioneers as less desirable than gamblers, have had a salutary wake-up call ... hopefully not too late.

Colony also threw in the towel on Resorts Atlantic City, although it left CEO Nicholas Ribis behind to run the place. That means he will serve two Boardwalk masters: The Resorts mortgage holders and Colony, with whom he co-owns the Atlantic City Hilton and which Ribis has also been running (into the ground, some charge). What happens if it's in Resorts' best interest to steal business from the A.C. Hilton?

It's difficult to decide who was more foolish here: Colony, for borrowing 2.5X the value of a casino whose best days were behind it, or the bankers who secured $360 million in loans with a $140 million casino. Let the floggings commence!

Speaking of death spirals, when you can get an Imperial Palace room for $18 (as an acquaintance recently did), who'd stay in Mesquite? That exurb's travails continue drag Randy Black's oligopoly down with them. Scant competition appears to have bred slackness and complacency in the Mesquite and Primm markets. It may be mere coincidence that the competition-rich Laughlin market has suffered to a much lesser degree ... but I don't think so.

Defaulted interest payments, renegotiated loan covenants, drawn-out cash reserves ... these are some of the unappealing alternatives facing Planet Hollywood. No property's struggle is fun to watch but this one is sadder than most because there's been considerable reinvestment (and some stunning redesign) made to turn the ex-Aladdin into something viable. However, all Robert Earl's horses and all Robert Earl's men have come up a bit short.

Plummeting ADRs have precipitated this crisis and, although losses at Planet Ho have consistently narrowed (and continue to do so), this isn't the first time we've heard that Earl's place was really struggling. And, no matter what Earl does, his casino-hotel has intractable, customer-hostile design flaws that cannot be solved by any means short of implosion.

I've been given reason to believe that whoever ends up owning the physically and fiscally bloated ($4.4 billion, at latest count) Fontainebleau, it won't be Penn National Gaming (at least not unless it's free and clear, and presumably cheap -- a tall order). If Steve Wynn has indeed already spurned F'bleau that'd leave Apollo Management, which never saw a bad casino investment it didn't like, and this one's nearly $1.8 billion underwater.

F'bleau would also give Master of the Universe Leon Black a de facto Harrah's Entertainment property on the north Strip, although Harrah's needs to fill thousands more hotel rooms like it needs a gaping hole in the noggin. Considering that it costs Boyd Gaming $3 million a month to keep Echelon on ice, preserving the F'bleau monstrosity until such time as new rooms can be absorbed seems a better use of capital than trying to finish the accursed thing.

Shakeup at Sands. Geez, you don't think executives on the chopping block could have anything to do with Genting Bhd's rival project getting ahead of slow-moving Marina Bay Sands, do you? Naaaaah! After all, the executive situation at Las Vegas Sands has been so very tranquil this past year. Just ask William Weidner ... or Bradley Stone or ...

I was just saying ...

Wed, 12 Aug 2009 12:55:00 -0700

... to a colleague that, given Atlantic City's dismal July numbers, a plea for governmental assistance had to be just 'round the corner. Well, whaddya know? In at least five instances, Atlantic City's casinos are run by companies that just reported profitable quarters, while four more just changed hands for pennies on the dollar. Not to mention that Colony C(r)apital, owner of the remaining two, supposedly was willing to put some or all of $244 million into bankrupt Station Casinos.

I don't mean to sound unsympathetic, but ... considering that Garden State citizens are being asked to tighten their belts, forego tax rebates and the like, if the casino industry needs $20 million to market itself then it can damn well pass the hat and raise the cash in-house. Besides, there's something unseemly about "pull yourself up by your bootstraps" capitalists clamoring for guvmint subsidy, especially in a state filled with people who are in much greater need. (Yes, I know these are interconnected issues but we're talking casinos that gross hundreds of millions of dollars every month. They're not exactly paupers.)

The article's final paragraph (misleadingly) implies that Trump Entertainment's three casinos, the Tropicana Atlantic City and the two Colony properties are all in danger of closing. But might Atlantic City be better off with five -- or six, if Revel can be finished -- strong casinos, whilst the sicklier ones are put out of their misery?

A reader posed that question to me ... and now I pass it along to you.

Carl Icahn, comedian?

Tue, 11 Aug 2009 16:02:00 -0700

"As a result of [Tropicana Entertainment's] continued use of the Tropicana marks in interstate commerce, the Tropicana marks have achieved fame and notoriety and are associated in the minds of consumers nationwide with a consistent level of high-quality casino, entertainment and hotel and restaurant services." -- from court filings by Tropicana Entertainment, proud owner of the Tropicana Express in Laughlin, proprietor of the Horizon in Lake Tahoe (above) and evicted operator of the Tropicana Atlantic City. Uh, yeah, that "notoriety" part is right on the money. TropEnt is suing the Tropicana Las Vegas to enjoin it from using the "Tropicana" name.

Case Bets: Ohio, Trump, Fahrenkopfian outrage

Thu, 06 Aug 2009 18:33:00 -0700

With racinos a done deal in Ohio, a suddenly frisky Harrah's Entertainment is shopping around for a Cleveland-area track. If anything, I'm surprised competing companies haven't beaten Harrah's to the punch, but it seems to have sucker-punched its rivals. Good on it.

Donald Trump's fire-sale acquisition of Trump Entertainment Resorts is far from a done deal, according to the Wall Street Journal. Bondholders who stand to have $1.25 billion flushed away in the Trump/Mark Juliano sweetheart transaction may be able to throw in a spanner in the works.

Casinos spread the wealth -- or do they? A Journal of Economic Studies report queries the premise, saying casino expansion dilutes local wage bases. However, casino companies -- and some academic allies -- aren't taking this lying down. Both Penn National and Cordish Gaming are making vigorous arguments to the contrary, as is one Frank J. Fahrenkopf.

Get 'em while they're young

Thu, 06 Aug 2009 15:04:00 -0700

One of the Atlantic City Hilton's most valued players was a 19-year-old from Brooklyn. This baby whale was sufficiently lucrative to the Colony C(r)apital property that he received a comped stay and qualified as a "rated player."

Better still, A.C. Hilton execs allowed him to keep playing even after they'd been tipped off to his juniority. Nice work! Step right up, Colony, and collect your reward -- a $115K fine from the New Jersey Casino Control Commission. Apparently the Hilton simply took the youngster's word that he was old enough to gamble before handing him the keys to kingdom.

Colony may be able to buy casinos but it sure as shooting can't run 'em. Frank Fertitta III may not have been the best monarch of Station Casinos but, compared to majority owners Colony, it's another case where the one-eyed man is king in the land of the blind.

One sings, the other doesn't (quite): Not only is Ali Spuck's new Liberace Museum show a real value proposition at $15/ticket but, hot damn, she's Spucktastic. As for Charo in Concert: A Musical Sensation, at the Riviera, it's something for everyone but not that much for anyone. Although Charo "goes to 11" on the Camp-o-Meter, gay audiences (and Baby Boomers, too) seem likelier to flock to Spuck.

Bleary blogger: My apologies for the disappointing blogorrhea of late. I've been immersed in a crash course on the crash-and-burn of Russia's casino industry (R.I.P.). Throw in some computer troubles and I'd conservatively estimate I'm three days behind the rest of the gaming world.

Boyd, Ameristar stable; CityCenter schedule revised

Wed, 05 Aug 2009 11:10:00 -0700

Second-quarter results from Boyd Gaming and Ameristar Casinos gave continued reason to be sanguine about each company. Both reported profits (12 cents per share at Boyd, double that at Ameristar) and both missed their revenue targets by an aggregate of only $8 million. A whopping (27%) jump in Colorado revenues for Ameristar last month was additional reason for confidence, offsetting weakness in Kansas City.

Cost control was credited with helping Boyd's performance, as was much-better-than-expected cash flow at Borgata. The Las Vegas locals market also ran ahead of expectations in that regard, while downtown and the Midwest/South casinos lagged. Bankruptcy filing or no, Boyd maintains that it continues to be a suitor for Station Casinos. Oh, and keeping Echelon mothballed -- while the least expensive of alternatives -- isn't cheap, costing Boyd $3 million a month.

MGM Mirage has sent LVA a revised, official list of dates for the debut of the various bits and pieces of CityCenter. (Excepted, of course, is the Harmon[ini] which, as of last Wednesday, had no firmer opening date than "late 2010.") The openings are as follows:

Vdara (Dec. 1); Crystals (Dec. 3); Mandarin Oriental (Dec. 4); Aria (Dec. 16), while condo closings in Veer Towers are set to "begin in January." When MGM gave a CityCenter dog-and-pony show to the Nevada Hospitality & Lodging Association last week, the computer graphics still showed Baldwin's Bump at its original, 48-story height. Also, the bluish tint that denoted CityCenter's acreage, by quirk or design, extended to embrace the Cosmopolitan. A portent?

Donald Trump, comedian

Tue, 04 Aug 2009 12:54:00 -0700

This is a joke, right? Three Atlantic City casinos for a slim $100 million? Then again, if Trump Entertainment Resorts financial advisor Lazard only values unloved Trump Marina at $24 million, maybe exiled chairman Donald Trump isn't so far out of the ballpark after all. What's even more surprising than the measliness of Trump's offer is the alacrity with which CEO Mark Juliano capitulated.

"My daughter Ivanka and I will work tirelessly to make this company great again," pronounced The Donald, displaying yet again his peerless ability to deliver drop-dead laugh lines with a perfect deadpan. He added, "As I have done in the past, we will make Atlantic City hot once more."

If anybody's going to make Atlantic City "hot," Donald Trump it's not -- especially since he's still scheming to get a piece of the Philadelphia slot-parlor action. For those of you waiting until 2020 to redeem your Trump Entertainment debt, the good news is that you'll (eventually) get 94 cents on the dollar. Holders of secured notes due in 2015 get wiped out, along with unsecured creditors. As usual, Trump gets the gold mine, the financiers get the shaft.

But the real winner is MyFox.com, which perhaps unwittingly filed this story under the perfect headline: "Cash for Clunkers."

McKee vs. Lerner

Mon, 03 Aug 2009 20:01:00 -0700

Actually, the headline misstates what was a very collegial -- if occasionally dissenting -- exchange of views between Union Gaming Group's Bill Lerner and Yr. Humble Blogger on Jon Ralston's Face to Face show. It was only my second-ever gig as a talking head -- and it shows. (Note to self: Consider Botox injections to paralyze overactive facial muscles.)

The ostensible subject of discussion was newly bankrupt Station Casinos, but it ranged as far afield as Singapore and Macao. Actually, we probably could have taped an entire week's worth of shows without exhausting the topic(s).

Lerner was a perfect gentleman, despite all the snarky things I've written about him in S&G (assuming he even reads it, which I doubt). I could certainly learn a thing or two from his poised on-air demeanor. I also found that, if you're in the middle seat on Face to Face, you need to "cheat" a little to your right and downstage or else you'll be masked in all the wide shots. And, as Ira David Sternberg taught me, don't ever look at the camera.

My ex cathedra pronouncements were, however, overshadowed by my alarmingly jowly appearance. When the video is posted, you will see that I look every one of my 200 lbs. -- and quite a few more! Since the episode isn't available on the Las Vegas Sun Web site yet, here's a preview:

Oh, my brain and mouth parted company on at least one occasion. I thought I said MGM Mirage would probably offload The Mirage for "one and a half billion to two billion dollars." What emerged, though, was "a half-billion to two billion dollars." So Jim Murren, wherever you are, I do not think you'd part with The Mirage for a (comparatively) measly $500 million ... just so we're good on that.

At least the high-angle shot at the end missed my bald spot. Thank God for small favors. The rebroadcast is starting; time to find out if I still know how to operate a VCR.

Bare-knuckle Boardwalk brawl

Fri, 31 Jul 2009 16:26:00 -0700

"Leaky windows. Broken air-conditioning. Missing kitchen equipment. A weather-beaten building ... It also has missing kitchen equipment and broken air-conditioning units that have left guest rooms hot and unrentable. Further, it is plagued by a leaky roof, windows and skylights ..."

Is this the Tropicana Atlantic City we're talking about? Heck no, it's Trump Marina, as described the attorneys for all-hat, no-cattle buyer (wannabe) Richard Fields. His Coastal Marina LLC is accusing Trump Entertainment Resorts of blowing off Marina maintenance and siphoning away players. There's more -- much more. Fields' suit charges Trump (the company) with doing a chop-shop job on the hotel-casino and The Associated Press' story implies it may have been a Donald Trump "screw you" to Fields, a former courtroom adversary.

Assuming for a moment that the allegations are true (Trump's CEO says they're not) ... that's the way the game is played, dude. Just ask Ed Roski about his abortive acquistion of the Las Vegas Hilton or former Mandalay Resort Group employees about the dilapidation places like Luxor and Circus Circus fell into while the MGM Mirage takeover went through its paces. It's standard industry procedure. You don't spiff up a place you're selling; you leave that for the next guy.

In Fields' defense, the Marina's devolution into one of Atlantic City's three lowest-grossing casinos seemingly gives the lie to CEO Mark Juliano's, "We did the opposite by directing customers back to the Marina in order to maintain it." And if Juliano's accurate, then his people did a right rotten job of propping up Marina traffic, especially if Trump stood to suffer financial penalties if business cratered (which it did).

As to the promised repairs that Fields says went unmade, Juliano flatly denies the accusation, saying the work was indeed performed. Given Trump's parlous financial condition, if Juliano is correct, it was costing his company a pretty penny to be rid of the Marina at a rug-bazaar price ($270 million, marked down from $316 million).

Elsewhere on the Boardwalk, dealers and slot techs were lent some extra muscle by the UAW. "Harrah's Entertainment continues to question the UAW's insistence on interfering with customers who come to Atlantic City for relaxation and entertainment, particularly during these challenging economic times," harrumphed the company after workers had the temerity to stage a march.

Damn that First Amendment! Then again, what did Harrah's expect to happen as contract talks crept toward their third year?

Aztar deal the worst ever: it's quantifiable

Tue, 28 Jul 2009 12:39:00 -0700

When he acquired Aztar Corp., back in 2006, Columbia Sussex CEO William J. Yung III also became one of the company's debtors. So what's his $36 million worth today? According to the Wall Street Journal, 100 grand or less. If that weren't enough to make the ColSux/Aztar deal the all-time biggest casino-sector wipeout of the last 15 years, consider that Carl Icahn's "$200 million" credit bid (i.e., no money down) was placed with debt acquired at 27 cents on the dollar. So Icahn has himself a new casino for a tidy $54 million outlay.

In a less-reported development, Icahn also gained a controlling position in Tropicana Entertainment. Without either its Atlantic City or Las Vegas Trops, it'd be a car without an engine, a gaggle of riverboats and motels. Exactly where this leaves CEO Scott Butera and what role he'll play remains an open question. Hopefully, either his or Icahn's first move in Atlantic City will be to replace floundering Trop General Manager Mark Giannantonio (a Yung crony) with someone more up to the job.

Movement at Cosmo: The GM of Caesars Palace, John Unwin, has resigned. He'll become CEO of the stalled Cosmopolitan in October. While it's still unclear under whose aegis the casino will be run, Unwin's hiring is the first concrete move to get some gaming expertise on board since Deutsche Bank seized the property.

Whining in Macao: Those two "integrated resorts" in Singapore haven't even opened yet and won't for another half a year, but Stanley Ho (whose venerable Hotel Lisboa is seen above) already has his panties in a bunch. According to Bloomberg News, the ancient casino oligarch has been wringing his hands about the burdensome, "serious issue" posed by Macao's 39% tax rate.

Boy, Singapore must be a more serious threat than I'd given it credit, if it's got a Communist Party suck-up like Dr. Ho all a-twitter and taking issue with the government. He's still in better shape than his American rivals; the attempt to graft Vegas-style megaresorts onto Macao has left them badly exposed to anemic market conditions. Ho's gambling-centric strategy gives him less cause for worry.

Today Singapore, tomorrow the U.S.? Even while lender's remorse has paralyzed American banks and stalled any hopes of "unbundling" the U.S. casino industry, diversification may be coming from an unlikely corner. Malaysia's Genting Bhd, riding a sustained runup in its stock, has $2 billion in the kitty, is raising more and could pump $7 billion into casino acquisitions.

That isn't to say there aren't a lot of "ifs" and "buts." Still, Genting's fundamentals appear far more sound than those of say, Las Vegas Sands. It's also in a position to deal a serious blow to Sands in Singapore. Not only will its Sentosa Island casino-resort open before Marina Bay Sands, but customers who "subscribe" to a $1,388/year entrance fee to one casino or another must play exclusively at that casino for the year. Once again, Sheldon Adelson's inability to finish a megaresort on schedule threatens to bite him in the butt.

A Trop by any other name

Mon, 27 Jul 2009 17:05:00 -0700

Icahn Capital, which purchased the Tropicana Atlantic City for $54 million, effectively, is projecting a conservative course for the property. Any sort of expansion is being ruled out for now, due to skepticism about "green shoots" of economic recovery.

Speaking of distrust, the New Jersey Casino Commission still needs to be convinced that Icahn's preferred operator, Tropicana Entertainment, isn't a stalking horse for Columbia Sussex CEO William J. Yung III. (Both companies employ the same corporate mouthpiece, for instance.) Besides, if ties between TropEnt and Icahn are severed, what becomes of the "Tropicana" name?

(Also, calling TropEnt's eight raggle-taggle, non-Vegas/Atlantic City casinos an "empire" is pretty generous. A series of minor duchies and prinicipalities? Yeah, that's more like it.)

It doesn't look like a standalone A.C. Trop would have ownership of its name, as that remains with the "OpCo," that "empire" under which all the miscellaneous former Aztar Corp. and ColSux casinos are bunched. Tropicana Las Vegas boss Alex Yemenidjian apparently didn't read the fine print and may have to shell out $2 million a year to keep the name that is, along with its land, the LV Trop's main equity.

Would a Trop by any other name be just as marketable? One highly doubts it.

The Wild, Wild Midwest. Back in Illinois, the guvmint continues to take a "Ready, Fire, Aim!" approach to its management of the casino business. In his zeal to get slot routes up and running, Gov. Pat Quinn didn't appropriate extra moolah or manpower to ride herd on the influx of new gambling devices.

So, if you're a bar owner in the Land of Lincoln, it's a free for all. The state's casino owners, meanwhile, will probably have to wait until at least early next year before any financial relief makes its way through the Lege. Illinois isn't just killing the golden goose; it's serving it for lunch at the governor's mansion.

Suing the Chairman. One of the many interesting revelations in the Terrance K. Watanabe lawsuit is that Harrah's Entertainment created a special "Chairman" tier of players in his honor. (Take that, you Seven Stars members!) Watanabe's counterfilings against Harrah's also allege confidential agreements between the company and the high roller whereby he had a two-month (or greater) window of time to make good on his markers.

The documents further allege that Harrah's violated the agreement by cashing in the markers early. It sounds more and more like Watanabe has Harrah's CEO Gary Loveman by the short hairs. If the covenants can be substantiated, then Harrah's made a loan -- which is unenforceable -- and may have been in breach of contract. The company better get ready to eat $14.75 million. Compared to the nearly $300 million Loveman just wrote off, that's walking-around money.

Not that Watanabe is a pitiable victim in this drama. Seems he was rather a prima donna, dictating which employees would and would not dance attendance upon him. He was also able to have gambling tables and slot machines moved into special curtained alcoves, the bettter to squander his wealth in seclusion. To paraphrase Fitzgerald and Hemingway, the rich are not like you and I; they have more neuroses.

Harrah's reveals A.C. strategy

Tue, 21 Jul 2009 18:30:00 -0700

View more news videos at: http://www.nbcphiladelphia.com/video.

In a word, scabs. But who in their right mind expects Harrah's Entertainment to meekly shut down its table game pits and surrender that business to the competition?

Strike!

Mon, 20 Jul 2009 11:47:00 -0700

Under CEO Gary Loveman's leadership, Harrah's Entertainment keeps tripping over its own feet. In the latest development, management's foot-dragging approach to negotiating with Atlantic City casino dealers and slot technicians has resulted in pro-strike votes at two casinos. Caesars slot technicians, in fact, voted unanimously in favor of striking (at some undetermined future date). The dealer votes were 92% in favor at Bally's Atlantic City and 97% "aye" at Caesars Atlantic City. Legislation currently before the U.S. Senate could turn up the heat under Harrah's considerably.

Closer to Harrah's HQ, this morning's drive-by of The Rio suggests that the corporate motto is, "Maintenance? What's that?" Not only does the paint continue to peel off the older Rio tower, which is starting to look outwardly seedy, but a big sign for Fuego continues to adorn the marquee, even though the club closed weeks ago. Expect giant cobwebs to cover the property any day now.

Jeff Beacher and his crazy critters are making trouble again, this time in Florida. Seems cops had to take down an Oompa Loompa in Beacher's employ.

Trop and tribulation

Wed, 08 Jul 2009 07:47:00 -0700

A pair of New Jersey lawmakers are hopping mad about the costly, dubiously competent Tropicana Atlantic City trusteeship of Justice Gary Stein. The solons are particularly het up over the way Stein was feathering his own nest.

"It is unacceptable, but not surprising, that this transaction would drag on for almost two years, yielding a cut-rate price for the sale and ballooning legal fees for the law firm of the state-appointed conservator," fumed Assemblyman Vince Polistina (R). He and colleague John Amodeo (R) will seek to impose new ethics rules and fee ceilings on future casino conservators. Good on them.

Divergent responses from within the New Jersey Casino Control Commission make interesting reading. The NJCCC's spokesman circles the wagons around Stein while Chairwoman Linda Kassekert -- clearly hip to which way the wind is blowing -- lines up with Amodeo and Polistina. She put Stein in the catbird seat but clearly has scant compunction about cutting him loose now that he's a millstone around her neck.

Tropic(ana) of Confusion

Thu, 02 Jul 2009 15:22:00 -0700

News reports are at sixes and sevens of just how much of the Tropicana Las Vegas is now owned by Onex Corp. For instance, Bloomberg states that Onex's stake represents 60% of the $440 million owed on the property (or would that be 60% of a theoretical $733 million/$21.5 million per acre?), while the Calgary Herald confusingly spreads Onex's $440 million -- or would that be $264 million? -- commitment between the Vegas and non-Vegas holdings of Tropicana Entertainment.

The Herald, in an obvious boo-boo, mis-reports that TropEnt was split into Atlantic City and non-A.C. halves. Seriously, once the new LV Trop administration starts taking reporters' calls, could somebody straighten out if Onex's commitment is $440 million, six-tenths of that or some more-confusing permutation altogether? The dueling numbers are starting to make my head spin.

The Calgary paper, though, discover the interesting wrinkle that TropEnt CEO Scott Butera is trying to make off with the Vegas Trop name and lease it back to Onex at $10 million a year. Clever, yes. And, if the courts allow it, Butera's got Onex over a barrel because relaunching old properties with new names has been a losing proposition in Las Vegas. Bereft of its name, the Trop could easily become a big-ass Hooters Hotel.

Amidst this turmoil, Alex Yemenidjian has taken the reins at the Trop with an emphasis on customer service. (Interestingly, if you read the non-R-J coverage, Onex has partly reneged on its capex commitments, rolling back a $100 million reinvestment to $75 million.) The proposed South Beach retheming will have to be done in stages but, hey, that's the way they used to do it.

One need only look at the corpse of the Lady Luck or the gravesite of the Stardust to see the perils of a do-it-all-at-once makeover. And it beats the heck out of Butera's 2014-2016 timeline for even beginning work. While Butera may have been an improvement on Columbia Sussex CEO William J. Yung III, his diffident attitude toward the LV Trop will probably leave few regretting his departure.

Big Brother 1, Casinos 0: Round 2

Thu, 02 Jul 2009 14:47:00 -0700

Journalists are working gambling metaphors overtime as they chronicle Vladimir Putin's casino crackdown. Although my previous CNN link dead-ended (pun unintended) are yet more Michael Jackson necroph ... er, coverage, that proved a blessing in disguise. The best and most comprehensive short-form report on the situation in Russia comes from ...

... Al-Jazeera, believe it or not. If you've got a half-hour to spare, Russia Today goes in-depth on the situation. (Ian Sutton has been aggregating links with remarkable thoroughness over GamingFloor.com, if you want even more coverage of Boss Putin's power play.)

For an insight into the paternalistic mentality that led to the Putin Putsch, you can't do better than this:

Not that Americans can afford the luxury of smugness. Consider this Philadelphia TV station's condescending report on Atlantic City, with its snide, disparaging, cliché-ridden attitude toward both gambling and the players themselves:

Atlantic City strip tease; Sheldon sacks the help, etc.

Thu, 02 Jul 2009 12:37:00 -0700

Unfortunately, it does not involve some Cinemax hottie like Kim Dawson but rather Mayor Lorenzo Langford, who's doing a fan dance involving Bader Field. He's had discussions with interested developers -- too interesting to discuss! He'll have "exciting" revelations -- too exciting to reveal! And it will -- brace yourselves -- "have some connection with casino gaming."

Why, you could knock me over with a feather.

Right-sized into oblivion. The workforce at Palazzo-Venetian has fallen below 7,000 with yesterday's purge of 194 employees. "It's an effort to continue to right-size our business," wailed the company. Geez, if they're so intent on trimming the ship, how 'bout asking for a give-back from their $2 Million Man, President Michael A. Leven?

Sands bombs in Bethlehem. Forget those roseate cash-flow projections Sheldon Adelson made when building Pennsylvania's second-most-expensive casino. Revenues at Sands Bethlehem have been in a steady decline since the place opened, reducing it to the #5 casino in the Keystone State.

Primm and proper. Although Sin City Kitties has closed (sniff!), there's still reason aplenty to visit the Herbst Gaming trio of casinos in Primm, Nev., Liz Benston contends. Most of those reasons entail copious freebies ... or at least bargain-basement prices.

The story doesn't mention the single most interesting phenomenon I've observed out there: a higher-than-[Strip]-average number of African-American and Latino players (it's the most integrated casino floor I've set foot upon). But Benston's look-in makes a strong case for those of us who think Herbst CEO Ferenc Szony is the man to turn these places around.

The money quote is from Szony's man in Primm, General Manager Michael Starr, who says, "I have yet to make money on a vacant room in this business." There's but a few CEOs in Vegas who couldn't stand to have that chiseled into their bedroom wall so that it's the first thing they see in the morning and the last thing at night. Those are words of wisdom, Mr. Starr. Long may you flourish.

There's theatre in Vegas. True, you have to poke around behind the dodgy Sportsman's Royal Manor on Boulder Highway to find it sometimes. But the trip to the dark side is definitely worthwhile.

Case Bets: A.C. Trop, 21, Ensign, Boulder City, Jacko, etc.

Mon, 29 Jun 2009 12:45:00 -0700

After conservator Justice Gary Stein turned his trusteeship of the Tropicana Atlantic City into a $7.4 million gravy train, the New Jersey Casino Control Commission is belatedly bolting the barn door. It's going to petition the Lege to limit the ambit of future trustees, none of which would be necessary had the NJCCC not let Stein run amok in the first place.

The failings of his butterfingered stewardship have been rehearsed enough in this space. However, the Press of Atlantic City's story adds yet another incredulity-making touch. Stein, a former member of the New Jersey Supreme Court and with an entire law firm at his command, still had to rely upon legal opinions from the NJCCC's general counsel.

Lower bet limits are no bargain, the Las Vegas Sun finds. The Strip casino that has the stones to go back to 3:2 blackjack will become the hottest spot in town.

Who knew? Seems that Sen. John Ensign's curriculum vitae included a stint at the helm of the Gold Spike, one of downtown Vegas' seamiest casinos. Given the comparable seaminess of Ensign's ongoing scandal, perhaps it was a case of water seeking its own level. Las Vegas Gleaner reader "Goldy" puts the sordid mess in perspective: "... he didn't reveal the affair until the demands from the Hampton's [sic] (including Doug) became 'outragous.' [sic] That implies that prior demands were 'reasonable' and Doug was making them. ... he essentially was selling his willing wife, and Ensign was buying, until the number got too high. So, like most things, this entire deal was really just about the number." [emphasis added]

You can take Ensign out of the casino but you just can't take the casino out of Ensign.

A potential tragedy. Several weeks back, the Better Half and I spent a beautiful Sunday in Boulder City. The highlight of our visit was the Boulder Dam Hotel, where we enjoyed a splendid lunch and an eye-opening tour of a museum devoted to the history of Hoover Dam. (Suffice it to say that the people who built it endured privation that 21st century Americans would find unimaginable.) Sadly, we do not have the $60,000 that it's going to take to keep the Boulder Dam Hotel open. Please, philanthropic Nevadans, do not let this treasure go dark like ...

Nevada itself. Visitors to Gibbons-era Nevada are likely to find it closed. History? Books? Parks? Them's pansy egghead stuff fer Commie states like Kalifornia, doncha know? Gawta get me some more guns afore Harry Reid repeals the Decoration of Independence or whatever.

Speaking of museums ... could the untimely demise of Michael Jackson spell opportunity for mistake-prone Colony Capital? The casino owner has the opportunity to monetize its acquisition of Neverland Ranch as never before. Converting it to a tourist attraction rather than a (misguided?) real estate play seems a no-brainer.

The Trop heist that wasn't

Fri, 26 Jun 2009 14:49:00 -0700

"An improvident indictment." That's what New Jersey officials are calling a case that was quietly quashed in May. Sacked Borgata veep John Conklin and two other men had been charged with plundering the Tropicana Atlantic City's database when they were in the Trop's employ (and when the Trop was still owned by Aztar Corp.).

Closer examination revealed that nothing had been purloined and the data in question was not particularly sensitive, either. All three indictees have been exonerated ... but where does John Conklin go to get his career back?

Phantom redux: Defying the odds, the Venetian's production of Phantom of the Opera celebrated its third anniversary Wednesday night. I jotted down a few observations for CityLife. (Tina Walsh fans, take note.) Having seen the Broadway production -- albeit many years ago -- I'll be the first to allow that it actually improves on the original in a respect or two. Oh, and my CityBlog entry misspells choreographer Gillian Lynne's last name. My apologies.

Two titans of American popular music "played Vegas" last weekend. Actually, Loretta Lynn was in North Las Vegas and Aretha Franklin all the way out in Primm ... not remotely near the Strip. What's wrong with this picture? Or this one ...

Midnight Jim: taking down Big Oil

It's summer and gas prices are -- like, duh! -- on the increase. Gov. Jim Gibbons doth suspect that dark, foul, untoward schemes are afoot. But Midnight Jim assures us he is on the case. I feel safer already.

Gay cowboys. They're queer, they're here and they're at The Rio specifically. A straight-gay coalition turned out in force last night to celebrate its victory over Midnight Jim's benighted opposition to domestic partnerships. (Because that's not how he rolls, y'see.) Speakers included Harrah's Entertainment Vice President Jan Jones, who led the charge on Carson City.

For all the failings of CEO Gary Loveman's stewardship of Harrah's, on his watch the company has expanded its already-enlightened attitude on social issues. It's not just a question of being gay-friendly; it's good business.

Worth -$23 million?

Isle of Blight. Is the woebegone Greek Isles casino-hotel worth less than nothing? In a sense, yes, since it owes $67 million on a book value of $44 million. Even a resale price at book value seems wishful thinking, considering the Isles' chequered history.

Asserts the Las Vegas Sun, "With its strategic location near the Las Vegas Strip and the Las Vegas Convention Center, the Greek Isles and its associated real estate are seen as having long-term value after the recession ends."

Yeah, but it's had that "strategic location" for as long as it's been in existence and the Isles' progress has been a steady one from Bad to Worse. I wouldn't give a plug nickel for the place -- not with Strip land prices in freefall and vast acreage there lying fallow.

Miracles are possible. Work on Marina Bay Sands is, believe or night, a fortnight ahead of schedule. Next step: Hold the line on that (already swollen) $5.4 billion budget.

The waiting continues in the great state of Kansas. Its lottery commission wants another two months to review applications for the Wichita and Kansas City markets. Considering the recent flurry of dropouts (including Vegas' own Golden Gaming), you'd think this would expedite the process. Instead, the coronation is six months away.

Squeeze play. No time is being wasted as Pennsylvania rushes toward expanding into Class III casinos. Two rival proposals to add table games are presently on the table. Casino lobbyist Steve Rittvo is forwarding a plan that would tax new games at 12%. This is projected to generate $165 million for the Keystone State (assuming that slot play concurrently increases sufficiently to generate a $61 million impost).

House Whip William DeWeese (D) counters with a 21% tax, combined with a one-time $10 million/casino fee, for a potential Year One windfall in excess of $300 million. I wish Rittvo luck but fear that solons will -- as they so often do -- gravitate toward the bigger dollar sign. It's an institutional failing.

Neil Bluhm, Philadelphia's Sugar[House] daddy

On a happier note, Neil Bluhm's revised design for his Sugarhouse Casino, on the Philadelphia waterfront, has received the green light from the City of Brotherly Love. Barring further legal mischief by sore loser Donald Trump, this means the project can finally move ahead, with a temporary, 1,700-slot casino slated for a Spring 2010 opening. Hallelujah!

Case Bets: California, Packer pickle, Macao pix, Holy Cow!, Singapore, RoboPoker, etc.

Thu, 25 Jun 2009 16:24:00 -0700

Editor's note: An item involving Crown Ltd. contained factual errors, which have been corrected (as you'll see). I apologize for the misinformation. My thanks to the reader who pulled my head out of my @$$.

California gamblers stay and play ... at home. While the recession has made some inroads on tribal-casino revenue in the Golden State, it's losing less ground than Las Vegas. Some of those Vegas losses will eventually be recouped, but this day of reckoning was bound to come.

Unlike Las Vegas, which is arguably suffering from having too many competing profit centers within each resort, California casino bosses interviewed still view entertainment as either a loss leader or a one-off. I never thought I'd say this but Las Vegas could use a little more "old school" thinking right now.

James Packer, the guy who can't catch a break, is finds his casino company in even more hot water, in a case of the sins of the father being visited upon the son. The plot surrounding Crown Ltd.'s courtship of a self-banned high roller (and convicted felon) is thickening considerably. Seems paterfamilias Kerry Packer may have been pressuring crony John Williams to get pathological gambler Harry Kakavas back to the tables.

Williams, for his part, rolled on the late Mr. Packer, ~~who's now got some 'splainin' to do~~. ~~No wonder the young Packer's pursuit of Cannery Casino Resorts collapsed like a pup tent.~~ The money quote, if you will, is: "[Williams] said it was common for patrons to rip up [self-exclusion] cards and that, in his view, Mr Kakavas's loss of $2.3 million in 28 minutes was recreational gambling."

If you lose $82,000 per minute, it's not recreation. It's degenerate gambling.

Globe-trotting Ian Sutton is back from Macao and G2E Asia. The sights! The sounds! The smog!

(Update: Ian says it's not smog but mist, as forthcoming videos will show.)

Holy Cow II: GlobeSt.com, normally a continent source of business news, is shocked -- shocked! -- that Steve Johnson's proposed casino on the former Holy Cow site will include a Walgreens. Smelling salts, stat!

But there are some interesting revelations, For one, the reason that Palazzo's flagship retailer is also a Walgreens is that it was a compromise Sheldon Adelson effected with the landowner ... Steve Johnson. (The mere fact of Adelson compromising is newsworthy enough.)

Turns out, that purchase may set the record for an on-Strip acquisition, at an alleged $50 million per acre -- Phil Ruffin, eat your heart out! Johnson also paid through the nose for the Holy Cow site. The price? $23.5 million/acre for land north of Sahara Avenue. Egad!

Columbia Sussex's casino portfolio continues to crumble. Tropicana Entertainment parent Tropicana Casinos & Resorts is selling its Amelia Belle riverboat (thereby forfeiting the New Orleans market) barely two years after the ship was acquired. Amelia Belle is former Harrah's Entertainment vessel, having been Bally's Belle of Orleans.

It's a canny strategic move for new owner Peninsula Gaming, which now has a Louisiana riverboat as well as a racino and four OTBs, not to mention a small flotilla of Midwest riverboats. TropEnt CEO Scott Butera, meanwhile, has less and less over which to preside. At the moment, his ambit consists of four riverboats, mostly in tertiary markets, two casinos in Laughlin and one on Lake Tahoe. Is this TropEnt's future: A succession of piecemeal asset sales? Sure looks that way.

Bad news for Sheldon Adelson. Over in Singapore, rival Genting's mega-budget Resorts World at Sentosa is letting news outlets like Bloomberg know that 60% of the project will ready for a soft opening in early 2010 (i.e., February-March). Projected attendance figures have been revised 20% downward.

In a rapier thrust at Marina Bay Sands, a Genting exec said the company was having regular meetings to make sure it came in on its $4.5 billion budget. Full completion of Sentosa is projected for 2012. Sands is going to have a sufficiently tough time making its nut without Genting crashing the party so soon ... to say nothing of the fact that Genting enjoys much higher brand equity in that corner of the world.

RoboPoker has risen from the grave. Electronic table games have been OK'd for eight New York State racinos. Though the Lege hasn't signed off, the Empire State's lottery board is confident it has the authority to make this move unilaterally. Poor Atlantic City is dying the death of a thousand cuts.

Congratulations to Penn National. It's scheduled to inaugurate a new pavilion for Empress Joliet today. A March 20 fire resulted in a three-month closure of the boat and substantial fiscal hardship for Penn National. In a noble gesture, CEO Peter Carlino kept employees on the payroll even though his ship was hors de combat. Capt. Carlino, S&G salutes you.

Seven essential Web sites ... and other news

Thu, 25 Jun 2009 12:23:00 -0700

Yes, you too can can be a gaming-industry blogger, with the help of but a few absolutely indispensable Web sites. The ones that I check Monday-Friday without fail (and, as they say on Dancing with the Stars, "in no particular order") are:

GamingFloor.com: The best aggregator of casino news from around the globe, especially since Editor Ian Sutton has an eye for the bizarre. Tons of eye-catching video, too, plus Ian's own on-the-spot reporting from far-flung venues like G2E Asia.

DieIsCast.com: Very eclectic but Dr. David G. Schwartz pounces on fascinating (and not very obvious) stories, often making droll pop-culture connections ... which frequently involve Star Trek.

TwoWayHardThree: Terrific discussions of casino architecture, intermingled with scoops that eagle-eyed moderator Hunter Hillegas snaps up -- not infrequently beating the local papers to the punch. His readers/forum contributors are some of the best-informed you'll encounter.

Las Vegas Sun: You're not going to find better gaming coverage this side of the Wall Street Journal and labor reporter Michael Mishak is one of the finest in the business. (The R-J's pathologically anti-union stance is probably to blame for its feeble coverage of workplace issues, as that paper's editorial-page psychoses leach into its news priorities.) Unlike its cross-town rival, the Sun doesn't take its marching orders from the Chamber of Commerce, either.

Press of Atlantic City: In the land of the blind, the one-eyed paper is king. Oh, and Press: Your new "reader-friendly" redesign blows donkeys. But if there's news a-brewin' on the Boardwalk, this is the first place to look. For more selective -- but in-depth-- coverage, Suzette Parmley in the Philadelphia Inquirer is tops in the region.

Vegas Happens Here: No morning is complete without a jolt of news from the indefatigable Steve Friess. His blog isn't casino-centric but he's quick to spot a breaking story or one that might fly under the radar ... and his Min-and-Bill relationship to Steve Wynn makes for tremendous ongoing fun. Lots of pictures, too.

Las Vegas Review-Journal: Only because it exists (which, existentially, is open to debate). Like the elephant in your parlor, it must be acknowledged and sometimes its slave-driven reporters turn in exceptional work, despite their editors' best [sic] efforts to beat them down. (Inexcusably, last week the entire gaming staff was detailed to chronicle seemingly every hand played at the World Series of Poker.) The paper's shining achievement was Joan Whitely's exposé of dangerous corner-cutting at Harrah's Entertainment. Relative newcomer Arnold Knightly has ferreted out some laudable scoops, too. Howard Stutz, look to thy laurels!

Honorable mentions go to three sites that I can't always check on a daily basis, but which should not pass without notice ...

Pechanga.net: An exhaustive (and sometimes exhausting) aggregration -- but it's a sieve which captures many tribal and regional gaming stories that would otherwise escape notice.

VegasTodayandTomorrow.com: Anybody -- and I mean anybody -- interested in the history and future of Sin City should have this site bookmarked. Mark Adams pores over the Web and any other source at his reach, presenting what bids fair to be the definitive online museum of Las Vegas' evolution. Our "Question of the Day" about the never-built Conrad was greatly aided by Adams' preexisting work. And the Coke-vs.-Pepsi map is must-see Internet.

The Movable Buffet: More showbiz- than bidness-focused. However, in a Vegas blogosphere infested with sycophants, Richard Abowitz provides a needed corrective to the local fawning over the celebutard of the moment. If you wish to following the continuing meltdown of Criss F. Angel step by step, Abowitz is your man. He even makes a colloquy with Holly Madison interesting. The chap's a miracle worker!

Farrah Fawcett, R.I.P.: One of the greatest of Seventies icons has died, at age 62. I was always more of a Cheryl Ladd fan myself, but Fawcett showed herself to be seriously "misunderestimated," especially in her Oscar-worthy turn as Robert Duvall's adulterous wife in The Apostle. Haven't seen it? Rent it! Ditto the severely underrated See You in the Morning, a still from which graces the Los Angeles Times obituary. Speaking of movies ...

Scott Walker 30 Century Man: A rock-and-roller who draws frequent comparisons to Samuel Beckett? Meet reclusive American expat Scott Walker and discover that the analogy has surprising validity. His handsome baritone is also one of the most compelling singing voices to emerge from the U.S. And speaking of singing ...

Patti LuPone's Orleans gig last weekend may just be the downpayment on a long-term deal. If so, it'd be one of the best shows in town and it fits the Orleans Showroom hand in glove. If only LuPone would drop from her set list that anthem to codependency, Oliver!'s "As Long As He Needs Me." She unloads so many mannerisms upon it that it's like Bill Sikes pummeling Nancy. Still and all, I'd take it over a second visit to American Superstars (also reviewed). Aaaaaaaaaaannndddd speaking of shows ...

I've received a critique of the Harmon Theater's new Monday-night, witching-hour potpourri, After the Show. While I'm not at liberty to quote any of it, suffice it to say that After the Show is described in such hallucinatory and pejorative terms that the bottom line is, even if you're a local resident and thus get in free, you've still paid too much. Better we should stay home and watch Jon Stewart, with a Conan O'Brien chaser.

Danny Gans: Still dead -- but not yet resting in peace. For the truly morbid, the R-J has published the 911 call made by his widow (as did the Sun). Listen if you care to; I didn't.

RoboPoker is dead!

Tue, 23 Jun 2009 21:17:00 -0700

In Vegas anyway. Excalibur is shutting down its 12 dealerless poker tables, three months after field trials ended. I can't imagine the World Series of Poker crowd was gravitating to the Ex, that's for sure.

In a masterpiece of spin, PokerTek CEO Mark Roberson proclaimed, "We do not expect the termination of this agreement to have a significant impact on our reported revenues or results of operations." Man, your product just bombed on the Strip! That's definitely going to crimp the future of robopoker. (Remember, the games were also a flop -- pardon the pun -- in Atlantic City.) Not fooled, one investment house promptly downgraded PokerTek.

As F'bleau turns ...

Fri, 19 Jun 2009 16:48:00 -0700

Fontainbleau's grisly zillion-grievance bankruptcy has been sent to mediation. (I don't envy the mediator.) In the process, F'bleau has obliquely confirmed lenders' accusations of cost overruns. F'bleau has a union-affiliated financier lined up to provide funding above and beyond the final $656 million that the $2.9 billion (and climbing) resort's bankers have withheld.

One possible instance of profligacy involves F'bleau's on-hold condo component. Then-CEO Glenn Schaeffer had a handsome preview center erected along the Strip and staffed it up. But ... no matter how much you might want an F'bleau condo they wouldn't sell you one. No, they'd just take your contact information and get back to you -- sometime. With such half-assed decisionmaking, no wonder F'bleau alienated its backers.

And now the lawsuits pile up and contractor Turnberry West is being accused of featherbedding. This project really needs a third-party rescurer, but who would want it?

Burton is back? That's what Mike Weatherford is reporting. Lance Burton, it is hinted, will be returning to his Monte Carlo gig on July 1. Why all the delay and mystery? If I had to guess (and I do), my hunch would be that MGM Mirage is angling for a bigger slice of the gate receipts.

Atlantic City Death Watch: This is particularly worrisome -- Pennsylvania Gov. Ed Rendell is opening the door to full Class III status for the Keystone State's slot parlors. Sensibly, Rendell advocates waiting and seeing until all of Pennsylvania's planned slot houses are up and running before upping the ante.

However, he's also giving legislators his tacit blessing to force the issue. His advocacy of expanded video poker in Pennsylvania isn't going to do besieged Atlantic City any favors, either.

Harrah's Azov?

Thu, 18 Jun 2009 16:23:00 -0700

Bloomberg News reports the following: Harrah's Entertainment, the world's biggest casino company, may build a resort on the Azov Sea, Vedomosti reported Tuesday.

Harrah's may join U.S. construction company Asati in building a complex in Azov-City, one of four gambling zones planned in the country, Vedomosti said, citing Asati founder Alex Kogan.

The resort, which will include a casino, hotels and conference centers, will cost between $50 million and $100 million, Kogan said.

Wow! Try building a U.S. resort -- or even a Macanese one -- for so little money. I've asked Harrah's for confirmation but have yet to hear back. Although several overseas ventures have gone belly-up, the company continues to persist.

However ... despite the Russian government's decree that all casinos be moved to special zones, scattered around the far reaches of the empire, little headway has been made: "One Russian publication sent a reporter to check out progress on one of the zones, who discovered open fields filled with grazing cows." The Azov-City project, for one, has a long way to go.

And how is ~~Harrah's/~~Asati going to build a casino for $100 million or less? One word: tents. "Several foreign investors have begun preparatory work, including the Austrian company Asati. The company plans to build on the 20 hectares of inflatable structures, area of 100 thousand square meters," explains one investment site, "... the inflatable structure can be a casino and a water park and the congress hall. In addition to inflatable structures Asati company intends to build a 17-storey hotel and 34 bungalows."

If there's to be gambling under a big top, I'd suggest they call the place Circus Circus, but Jay Sarno got there first. Potential feeder markets for "Harrahs' Azov" would include Kiev and Odessa, but the closest major city appears to be Stalingrad ... er, Volgograd.

Yung & the restless: Closer to home, in Kentucky, the grand vizier of Columbia Sussex, CEO William J. Yung III, is loaning out the corporate locomotive for charitable causes. Company locomotive? No, we're not making this up.

Restiveness marks the labor situation at one of the distant outposts of Yung's hotel empire. Both in the slow pace of negotiations and the demand for employee give-backs, it's very reminiscent of the scrumdown that was the Culinary Union/ColSux stalemate of two years back. At least Scott Butera intervened to make peace before it reached the point of a Tropicana Las Vegas boycott.

Small beer? Just what Resorts International in Atlantic City needs ... more regulatory problems. C'mon, guys. We hook up beer kegs all the time here at LVA. It's not rocket science. Then again, it's difficult to "misunderestimate" Colony Capital.

If you're not winning ...

Tue, 09 Jun 2009 18:39:00 -0700

... change the rules of the game (literally). After opening-week results from Sands Bethlehem were softer than expected, Sands supremo Sheldon Adelson now wants table games. Without even waiting for all of the state's allotment of slot parlors to open -- and, given the situation in Philadelphia, that could be long wait -- the Pennsylvania Lege is contemplating going to full-bore casinos. That's a development which would be absolutely catastrophic for Atlantic City, which has suffered aplenty.

Danny Gans must have been in unimaginable pain to use a substance two to eight times the strength of morphine. I've had morphine and it'll put you down for the count (or make you wish you were). If Dilaudid has at least double the potency, I wouldn't go anywhere near the stuff. Gans would have had to have, as his manager claims, the constitution of an ox to take a Mickey Finn like that and remain functional. Steve Friess seems to find the whole thing a mite fishy.

Having left one sinking ship (the administration of Gov. Jim Gibbons) for another (Black Gaming), former Midnight Jim advisor Grant Hewitt has found yet a third vessel. Only time will tell if the Dr. Joe Heck gubernatorial bid is a more seaworthy barque than were Hewitt's last two.

Quote of the Day

Wed, 03 Jun 2009 13:04:00 -0700

"This is a great tribute. They didn't even do this when Sinatra died." -- casino patron Al Lospinoso, on Trump Taj Mahal's six-and-a-half-hour shutdown of its table games, to honor the memory of slain shift supervisor Raymond Kot, murdered by a disgruntled player. A tribute to Kot drew a massive turnout.

Pansy passes the buck

Wed, 03 Jun 2009 12:52:00 -0700

An understandably sheepish-looking J. Terrence Lanni toasts the opening of MGM Grand Macau alongside business partner Pansy Ho and, front and center, project co-financier Stanley Ho.

MGM Grand Macau co-owner Pansy Ho says it's entirely up to MGM Mirage to defend her honor before the New Jersey Casino Control Commission. The gaming company says it isn't going to take the "unsuitable" finding of the Division of Gaming Enforcement lying down, setting the stage for the most riveting regulatory confrontation since the NJCCC decked Columbia Sussex.

Meanwhile back in Macao, papa Stanley Ho says that because his company is publicly traded that means everything is ipso facto on the up-and-up. Gosh, what a relief. How could we have ever doubted the man?

Rumble in Macao

Tue, 02 Jun 2009 17:34:00 -0700

Although an oft-promised loosening of visa restrictions by Peking stubborny refuses to materialize, an air of cautious hopefulness has crept back into Macao now that City of Dreams has opened on schedule -- and it looks dazzling. Aggressive revenue projections have literally reversed the fortunes of co-owner James Packer, whose disastrous venture into the U.S. casino industry is now seen by some as a blessing in disguise.

At $2.4 billion, City of Dreams rivals the cost of Venetian Macao and is hoped to equal or surpass the latter's 20% return on investment. One projection has it leapfrogging Wynn Macau into third place, with 20% of the Macanese market.

It also represents a double-edged sword for Sheldon Adelson's mammoth casino-resort. If it draws more punters to the Cotai Strip™, good. If it dilutes Adelson's customer base, not so good, obviously. In comments to the Wall Street Journal, Adelson seemed at pains to temper some headstrong pronouncements he'd offered to Steve Friess. As expected, an Adelson without the restraining influences of William Weidner and Brad Stone, is a pedal-to-the-metal Sheldon, saying Las Vegas Sands should have gone faster, faster, faster with its Cotai Strip™ projects, not slower. (The mind reels.)

"I just came back from Macau and we have five or six different options that we can pursue, each one of which would solve our liquidity problems," the Venetian's doge proclaimed ... which doesn't sound a lot different from what he's been saying for months. That is, until he contradicted himself by buying up a truckload of LVS stock -- something he wouldn't have done were a major deal in the offing.

Adelson predicts all his suspended Macao projects will be back in gear by year's end. He's on the curve in one respect, suggesting that his aborted St. Regis condo-hotel on the Strip could be revived by Sands' acting as lender to prospective unit buyers. Palms Place just started doing that very thing.

Sheldon's Commissariat for Optimism never closes, so one tends to grow skeptical of each new variant of "Victory is mine!" Anyway, Adelson was just off the plane from China, so perhaps jet-lag accounts for this reality-challenged assertion: "Our numbers have been going up and the [Macau peninsula] have been going down."

'Fraid not. Scarcely had that Adelsonian utterance made print than Lusa reported May's revenue numbers. If April had seen Wynn Macau falling back toward the pack, with 13% of market share, it returned with a vengeance in May. Steve Wynn's 18% market share -- with far less capacity than Adelson -- put him only three points behind LV Sands and came at the latter's expense. Stanley Ho still leads everybody with 30% -- as much as Galaxy Entertainment, Melco Crown Entertainment and MGM Grand Macau combined.

A few days earlier came news that visitation from Mainland China to Macao had been -43% in April ... hardly propitious conditions for flooring the Cotai Strip™ gas pedal. Ditto a 10% drop in May gambling revenues. Until that much-mooted visa liberalization actually happens, going apeshit with casino-hotel construction makes no sense whatsoever.

Nor did Adelson do his public image any favors with a gratuitous slam against jilted sidekick Weidner. (The latter, given the opportunity to respond, took the high road.) This 'hit 'em when they're down' move will accrue exactly zero sympathy for Adelson -- and it might have some nasty repercussions should it hamper Weidner's attempts to find another job. Then again, he's as rich as Croesus, so he can probably spend the next few decades on the golf course, should he so desire.

There's been no additional movement on the rumored Genting Berhad offer for MGM Grand Macau. However, even in a $13.8 billion/year casino market, the numbers don't look great for MGM. After it splits its 8% market share with partner Pansy Ho, it would have $55 million from which to pay an onerous tax bill, plus operating expenses. (The ROI must be dismal.)

Borgata, in Atlantic City, does $55 million a month -- in a bad month -- and MGM basically cashes a check from Boyd Gaming. So if MGM elects to stay in Macao and vacate Atlantic City, it won't be because the Chinese enclave is contributing more to the bottom line. Who ever thought MGM Grand Macau would function as a glorified "loss leader"?

Steve Wynn has a dragon ... and now Lawrence Ho does, too.

Back home, MGM is going downmarket at The Mirage. And they didn't even have to sell the place to Penn National in order to get there.

Strangely enough ... Penn's recent expression of interest in both Planet Hollywood and Station Casinos passed with scarcely a murmur of comment locally. You'd think that a well-capitalized company like Penn's hanging of a target on Robert Earl's or Frank Fertitta III's back would make headlines -- or maybe Vegas journos have tired of Penn's endless feints and tuned the company out. Well, almost all of them, anyway.

Planet Hollywood, at least, is acting far more aggressively than one would expect from a property that is contemplating a sale. So perhaps Earl is more pursued than pursuer. However, his conversion of Desert(ed) Passage into Miracle Mile appears to have run out of steam -- or money -- at the halfway point. Try as he might, Earl is never going to completely de-Aladdin-ize that place. A magic lantern and three wishes would come in real handy down there.

Also flying under the radar was former Planet Ho boss Michael Mecca's enlistment with Galaxy. Mecca jumped -- or, more likely, was pushed -- from the Planet right when the Omar Siddiqui scandal was at its height. Informed speculation had it that Mecca was thisclose to being tapped to head up James Packer's projected North American gambling empire. Crown Ltd. CEO Rowen Craigie was noncomittal, though, and Crown's big Cannery Casino Resorts acquisition fell through soon thereafter, leaving Mecca hanging.

Success being the best revenge, Mecca not only landed a prestigious new gig -- it's with one of Packer's direct rivals in Macao. Mecca shoots, he scores!

Which brings us full circle to Macao. That worked out tidily, didn't it?

Margaritaville wastes away

Tue, 02 Jun 2009 12:20:00 -0700

In an utterly (not) shocking development, the interminably protracted sale of Trump Marina has given up the ghost. This deal was on life support for months, so today's bulletin merely ratifies the inevitable. The would-be reinvention of the Marina as "Margaritaville" has exhausted its last shaker of salt.

While it goes against the grain to give Donald Trump the benefit of the doubt, buyer Richard Fields' accusation of "fraudulent activity" sounds like a big stretch. The supposedly heinous deed was Trump Entertainment Resorts' movement of players from the Marina to Trump Taj Mahal and Trump Plaza.

Big whoop. Not only was this the obvious explanation for Trump Marina's plunge to the bottom of the Atlantic City food chain, it's what casino companies do. You don't sell a casino and leave your hard-earned customer base in place for the next guy's benefit. (Readers with long memories will recall that a deal by Park Place Entertainment to sell the Las Vegas Hilton to Silverton owner Ed Roski fell apart over the exact same issue.)

Had Trump CEO Mark Juliano not moved prime players to his two remaining properties, he'd have been derelict in his duty to the shareholders. Unfortunately, now he may have to build that customer base back up. I don't envy him the task.

It also strikes an odd note that Fields' lawyer accuses Trump of fraud and then Fields' spokesman has the brass to say Coastal Marina still might deign to buy the Marina -- at an additional discount. Juliano had already knocked 15% off the sticker price. Perhaps Fields is feeling emboldened by Carl Icahn's impending $200 million acquisition of the Tropicana Atlantic City and is attempting brinksmanship. Fields is making some big noises about shopping around Atlantic City for a different casino, describing the town as "the perfect market for a Margaritaville project."

Good luck with that, unless he's willing to settle for one of Colony C(r)apital's two near-death properties. Harrah's Entertainment is carrying at least one casino too many on the Boardwalk but there's no way in hell that CEO Gary Loveman parts with Bally's or the Showboat for a measly $270 million or so. Harrah's current reporting method really muddies the waters but the cash-flow numbers still imply an asking price well in excess of what Fields can afford.

Raymond Kot, 1952-2009

The accused killer of Trump Taj shift manager Raymond Kot is one messed-up motherfucker, and that's as gently as I can describe Mark Magee, who appears to have stalked and killed Kot in very cold blood indeed. Taj game-protection veteran Dr. David G. Schwartz offers some expert-witness testimony, if you will. Kot's only crime was to achieve the American Dream ... until his assassin decreed otherwise.

By request ...

Mon, 01 Jun 2009 18:42:00 -0700

A reader from the heartland of this great country wanted to know whether LVA HQ provided a good vantage point for a United Way car wash at The Rio last Friday. Since I have but an obstructed view of The Rio, the answer is "no," I'm afraid, although perhaps Anthony Curtis could see it from his southeast-looking office.

Also, I had business at Scoot City (of which more later), so I wasn't around for the festivities. However, since Harrah's Entertainment sent over some snaps, I'll let you evaluate the event for yourself:

If the United Way raised $1,700-plus at $5 per car wash that means that ...

... these seasonally attired young ladies -- drawn from the terpsichorean talents of Sapphire -- washed a minimum of 340 cars. With results like those, you can't fault the marketing angle.

Harrah's giveth and Harrah's taketh away, especially if you happen to be an 83-year-old porter at Showboat Atlantic City. The 21-year Showboat veteran got eight weeks' pay and no benefits. Way to reward employee loyalty, Harrah's! Murray Freedman, God bless him, is fighting back. That's not how you treat a guy who says he offered to take a pay cut but instead was shown the door, and not nicely.

Here's hoping the court system shows him more compassion than did his former employer. The casino industry would survive quite nicely without Gary Loveman but of Murray Freedmans there can never be enough. Customer service is the industry's bedrock and Freedman's work ethic is an example to us all.

Macao: Genting in, MGM out?

Fri, 29 May 2009 13:22:00 -0700

I've speculated elsewhere -- I believe it was on the TwoWayHardThree forum -- that Genting Bhd might be a logical, even inevitable successor, should MGM Mirage bail out of Macao. Seems that while I was laid up, news surfaced that Genting insiders are selling shares and rolling up a $425 million nest egg. They've also snapped up $100 million in secured MGM Mirage notes.

MGM Grand Macao co-owner Pansy Ho's dad, Stanley Ho, has played footsie with Genting in the past -- something the Singaporean government frowned upon fiercely. Hence the delicate footwork that key Genting players will have to execute if they're to convince Singapore (where Genting is building a multi-billion-dollar resort) that there's more than an arm's length between any potential dealings with the Ho family and Genting's investments on Sentosa Island.

That'll be a difficult minuet to dance but for what's been called "the golden ticket" -- entry to Macao -- Malaysian investors would surely find it worth twirling an ankle or two. Unless Boyd Gaming has waived its right of first refusal on Borgata, this sudden accumulation of Malaysian cash can have one purpose only.

Quote of the Day

Tue, 26 May 2009 17:04:00 -0700

"We can't have casinos with 200 rooms. That isn't what we’re looking for. I guess the next thing is to have a casino with a bed and breakfast." -- Casino Reinvestment Development Authority Chairman James Kehoe, on a proposal to lower the minimum number of hotel rooms for an Atlantic City casino from 500 to 200. According to the Press of Atlantic City, the Boardwalk "could possibly see a new generation of smaller, cheaper gaming halls or some of the existing noncasino hotels converted into casinos." In other words, Atlantic City would start to look a lot like Stanley Ho-era Macao.

Pansy Ho: time for Plan C

Fri, 22 May 2009 18:12:00 -0700

In my usual cart-first, horse-later fashion, I elicited a legal opinion regarding the scenario I postulated the other night: MGM Mirage spinning off either its Atlantic City holdings or MGM Grand Macau into a quasi-autonomous entity, much as Sheldon Adelson proposes to do with his Macao properties.

Well, unless Pansy Ho can sit down with the New Jersey Casino Control Commission and charm them into turning a blind eye to the penumbra of unsavoriness that surrounds her father, Stanley Ho, MGM is up against a wall. It could put MGM Grand Macau into a limited partnership in which it would have equity but no power.

Did MGM spend so much time and money getting into Macao just so it could be a passive investor? Probably not. So either MGM has to scrape together the cash to buy out the Ho family or Pansy and her sister can exercise their right of first refusal on the property.

Likewise, Boyd Gaming holds the prerogative of acquiring MGM's Borgata share, but of all the possible scenarios on deck, that appears the most unlikely. Here's why:

Borgata represents no ongoing cost to MGM. It can sit back and collect 50% of the profits in perpetuity, while Boyd does the heavy lifting. In Macao, not only does MGM have to run the place, it's in a market with narrower profit margins, thanks to a confiscatory tax rate and the commissions charged by junket operators -- to say nothing of the draconian meddling of the Chinese government. And if it's relying solely on mass-market play, it's not enough to get MGM out of single-digit market share.

MGM took too long and spent too much getting into Macao to be happy with being stuck in sixth place among operators. If it's going to have to amputate a limb, losing Macao may be the less painful cut.

It could also be the more lucrative one because, even in a down market, Macao has two very price-boosting qualities: a finite number of casino concessions and a comparable limitation on casino-zoned land. Neither freeze is likely to thaw anytime soon.

Macao is still a seller's market. But if Boyd were to decline its option on MGM's half of Borgata, other suitors are going to be very hard to find. Nobody wants in on Revel or Bader Field and the Tropicana is essentially being given away. The accomplished Ms. Ho could still pull MGM's chestnuts out of the fire but if she can't, her family could wind up with 2.5 of the six casino concessions in Macao.*

* -- slightly more, actually, as James Packer's stake in Melco Crown Entertainment is exceeded by that of Lawrence Ho.

Surrender in Atlantic City?

Wed, 20 May 2009 12:20:00 -0700

Yesterday, I mis-reported New Jersey state Sen. James Whelan's proposal for downsizing the state's regulatory apparatus. He didn't call for elimination of the New Jersey Casino Control Commission in favor of the Division of Gaming Enforcement, merely an unspecified removal of what he perceives as a redundancy.

(Such are the perils of working from memory. Mea culpa, mea culpa, mea maxima culpa.)

Today's paper has a longer clarification of Whelan's position. He'd like to see a DGE/NJCCC merger, although Gov. Jon Corzine sounds strongly resistant to that and other aspects of Whelan's plan. And, after hearing for years that one of Atlantic City's problems is that it has too few hotel rooms to be destination resort, it's quite a turnaround to hear Whelan advocate a 200-room minimum (like Nevada's), a ~~150%~~ 60% reduction from the current mandate.

What's certain to paint a target on Whelan's back is his endorsement of aggressive employment of eminent domain to clear out distressed properties and encourage development. That's a real sore point in Atlantic City, where Donald Trump once tried to use eminent domain to push an elderly woman out of her home. (He lost.) Also, imagine how confrontational matters might have become if Pinnacle Entertainment had eminent domain in its holster when it was trying to expand its 'sphere of influence' around the old Sands site and was trying to berate the local real estate market into acquiesence.

But ... we're talking about a casino market where emergency measures are required. Would the city be using eminent domain to obtain property and then offer it around? Or would the city be taking sides, using eminent domain to pressure Citizen X on behalf of Casino Z? As craptastic an idea as eminent domain is, generally speaking, it's a good thing Whelan's put it into play, because this looks like a debate that has to be conducted as Atlantic City decides what its future is going to resemble.

However, Penn National Gaming COO Timothy Wilmott is welcome to put a sock in it, at least as regards his own aggressive eminent-domain advocacy. Penn has basically given Atlantic City the finger, bypassing several opportunities to get into the market, so who cares what its braintrust thinks? I dare them to operate there. I double dare them!

Aw hell, I dare them to do anything besides sit on their $1.5 billion hoard of gold and bemoan the fact that they can't obtain Tiffany properties at Walmart prices. Wilmott probably didn't mean to come off sounding like, "Kick some old folks and small businesses out and maybe we'll build something," but Penn needs to clearly state its intentions in re Atlantic City and stop playing subtextual footsie. Otherwise, any further discussion is meaningless.

But the Missing the Boat Award goes to Casino Reinvestment Development Authority boss Thomas D. Carver. OK, he's probably right when he says, "I don’t think we’re going to see $2.5 billion casinos anymore." The market's not going to support and, at those prices, you're not building for the ROI but the bragging rights.

But then we get: "We may see $400 million facilities."

No, no, no, no, no! Four hundred million smackeroos is roughly half -- I repeat, half -- the budget for a Pennsylvania slot parlor. It's a locals-casino budget ... and not a top-of-the-line locals place, either. Maybe some of those creaky old monoliths along the Boardwalk need to go away but replacing them with a bunch of Aliante Stations is likely to hasten Atlantic City's decline.

What do the city's three top performers -- Borgata, Harrah's Marina and Trump Taj Mahal -- have in common? Significant capital reinvestment, that's what. The numbers do not lie: Customers are not flocking to the places that are run on the cheap. If Carver's line of thinking gains currency, Atlantic City can forget about competing with Pennsylvania and just run up the white flag. What he advocates is tantamount to unilateral disarmament.

Solving the Pansy Problem

Wed, 20 May 2009 01:34:00 -0700

Amidst today's crush of news, I forgot at least one other potential solution to l'affaire Pansy. Perhaps MGM Mirage can have its cake and eat it as well, by taking a page from Sheldon Adelson's playbook. It'd be a transparent move, a change more cosmetic than substantive. But it also might be procedurally deft enough to sidestep a potential head-on collision with the New Jersey Casino Control Commission.

Were either the company's Macao or Atlantic City assets walled off from everything else stamped "MGM Mirage," it just might do the trick. It's at least worth trying and I'll bet the MGM legal team is burning the midnight oil right this very minute, working on some smooth move of that ilk.

Incidentally, former Atlantic City mayor -- and current state senator -- James Whelan has proposed removing one step from the Garden State regulatory process. Deeming the Division of Gaming Enforcement and the NJCCC to be redundant, he proposes eliminating the latter. Imagine the alternate reality in which Whelan's proposal had already become policy: Columbia Sussex would still be ensconced at the Tropicana Atlantic City but MGM would be metaphorically packing its bags. That just doesn't sound right.

The MGM/Pansy Ho verdict: It's in and it's bad

Tue, 19 May 2009 11:15:00 -0700

After nearly four years of investigation, the New Jersey Division of Gaming Enforcement has released its long-awaited "suitability" findings on MGM Mirage joint-venture partner Pansy Ho. As MGM itself reported to the SEC yesterday, "While the report itself is confidential, at the conclusion of the report, the DGE recommended, among other things, that: (i) the Company’s Macau joint venture partner be found to be unsuitable; (ii) the Company be directed to disengage itself from any business association with its Macau joint venture partner; (iii) the Company’s due diligence/compliance efforts be found to be deficient; and (iv) the New Jersey Commission hold a hearing to address the report."

The grinning ghost of MGM Grand Macau

While the reason for the DGE's disapproval isn't given, it's also not difficult to guess. When someone with the sleazy reputation of Stanley Ho has an interest in your casino -- by dint of loans to two of his daughters -- a jurisdiction that takes probity as seriously as New Jersey is unlikely to give its benediction.

Slightly further down in its SEC bulletin, MGM offers one of the most Pollyanna-ish statements of recent memory: "The Company does not believe that the report will have a material adverse effect on it."

Let's back up a second. The matter of Ms. Ho now goes to the New Jersey Casino Control Commission for adjudication. The NJCCC is not obligated to act on the DGE's findings. However, the last time it exercised such discretion, it was to override the DGE's recommended probation for Columbia Sussex in favor of kicking ColSux out of the Garden State forthwith.

So the likelihood is that MGM will be faced with a choice between liquidating its New Jersey holdings or its Macao ones. The latter include a 50% stake in Borgata (and Boyd Gaming can afford to buy its partner out), plus some undeveloped land, which will be a much tougher sell.

As for MGM Grand Macau, it would revert to the Ho family. MGM could still, in all probability, count on an ongoing stream of revenue by leasing out the brand name or even by negotiating a management contract for itself (although management is rumored to have been the casino's Achilles heel).

Unless the NJCCC grants clemency (in which case, MGM loses face but nothing more, as one analyst puts it), "material adverse effect" is inevitable. But there may be a silver lining for CEO Jim Murren. He was able to get debt-covenant violations waived in return for an accelerated repayment of the company's whopping debt load. The diñero from a Borgata or MGM Grand Macau sale would come in mighty handy as the company tries to de-leverage itself.

Walking (out) in Memphis. A 21-year veteran of the Harrah's Entertainment hierarchy resigned last week, another casualty of the company's downsizing.

And then there were 135. It used to be the execs jumping from the sinking Cosmopolitan ship reached for a lifeline from Fontainebleau. Now they'll be looking for another rescue vessel. (Hey, the Tropicana may be hiring soon.) A F'bleau spokesman says negotiations with Deutsche Bank are continuing, in a notable ratcheting-down of the bellicose rhetoric that's been lobbed to and from F'bleau of late.

Heard last night as part of an act at Sin City Comedy, re the Vegas Trop: "A $20 bill and all my teeth -- I'm a whale!" Conclusion: Alex Yemenidjian cannot arrive soon enough.

(Slots A) Fun Fact

Fri, 15 May 2009 12:22:00 -0700

I've just read that the 2008 cash flow for Slots A Fun, the crown jewel of what used to be Circus Circus Enterprises, was $2.8 million. Which means that current owner MGM Mirage could justify a sale price of $22.5 million-$28 million. (Penn National CEO Peter Carlino, this is your chance!)

Then again, MGM could sell Slots A Fun four times over and probably still not recoup the cost of its Criss Angel vanity project, Believe.

Atlantic City gets a monorail. And other infrastructural-type stuff. That $3.6 billion would probably be better invested into building two or three new casinos, not to mention getting rid of those Colony C(r)apital grind joints.* New Jersey Gov. Jon Corzine (D) thinks Atlantic City's recovery is on the way. But as long as the market breaks down -- as its revenues do -- into Borgata and Everything Else, "recovery" will just be a euphemism for "much slower rate of decline."

* -- If banks won't underwrite new development there, why -- laws permitting -- shouldn't the state? I'm just askin'. The alternative is pretty bleak.

This just in: Yes, TV ads for impotence drugs (think of "Viva Las Vegas" debased to "Viva Viagra"), with their tacky innuendi, are embarrassing (albeit not as much as those for incontenince drugs). But Congress has slightly better things to do that adopt the proposal of Rep. Jim Moron, er, Moran (D-VA) to force them off the air ... least not untl it's amended to outlaw any TV programming featuring the bloated visage, voice and ego of failed casino boss Donald Trump. (Sorry; can't link to the Yahoo News video. I tried.)

Perp Show

Thu, 14 May 2009 12:38:00 -0700

If you're bald, weight 285 lbs. and have one arm in a cast, you're not exactly inconspicuous. So how was it that that such a hefty man was to infiltrate a VIP area of Planet Hollywood and bust into Peepshow headliner Kelly Monaco's suite? It gets weirder: Merrill Wetter was a long-term denizen of Planet Ho and had been 86'd last month for following a money cart around. And yet his reappearance on the 50th floor didn't raise any alarms, literally or otherwise. This new information suggests a serious lapse of security at Planet Ho, something that the Nevada Gaming Control Board might want to investigate.

April in Atlantic City. The numbers are out and they suck. Again. Unless you're Borgata, which was basically flat with April '08 -- a veritable triumph in this context. The Showboat didn't do too badly (-7%), pushing ahead of the larger Tropicana Atlantic City (-21%). However, another Harrah's Entertainment property, Bally's Atlantic City is way off last year's pace (-19% YTD) and risks joining the Dead Man Walking quartet of Trump Marina, Trump Plaza, the Hilton and Resorts.

The partial reinvention of Trump Taj Mahal continues to pay off, with gaming win down less than 1% through the first four months of the year. Don't you wish we had this kind of reporting transparency in Nevada?

Reid's smooth ride: Would-be GOP challengers to Sen. Harry Reid (D-NV) are not only thin on the ground they're probably hearing casino-industry check books slam shut after the Senate Majority Leader jawboned banks on behalf of CityCenter and Fontainebleau. (It was a futile effort but, at this particular moment, that says more about the lending-averse banking industry than Reid.)

Party leaders say a "highly motivated" "strong GOP challenger" is out there and will emerge ... in five months or so. The only person shaking the money tree so far is former state legislator Sharron Angle. She'd rough Reid up, to be sure, but has an Achilles heel or two. To date she's been a single-plank candidate -- property taxes; not what you'd call a senatorial issue. Also, state GOP chairwoman Sue Lowden doesn't want a divisive primary ... and Angle was very divisive when she ran against Dean Heller (R-NV) three years ago for the congressional seat Heller now holds. She even tried to have the primary results overturned in court. But for now she's the only game in town.

Double duty: For the unforeseen future, I'll be spelling the estimable Dave Surratt as CityLife's theatre critic. First up is a show directed by Zumanity emcee Christopher Kenney. Called The Facts of Life: The Lost Episode it's ... it's ... well, it's different.

Atlantic City Death Watch VII

Thu, 07 May 2009 14:29:00 -0700

Speaking at the Southern Gaming Summit, former Harrah's Entertainment COO and current Penn National Gaming President Timothy Wilmott pronounced the last rites for Atlantic City. "That market is in a death spiral. The next two to three years are going to be awful," he said. Wilmott's grave prognosis contains a hidden twist of the knife at his former employer, whom he left abruptly at the start of '07. (Harrah's has four casinos in Atlantic City.)

It's more than rhetorical posturing, too, as Penn has passed on several opportunities to get into that market. Judging from Penn's most recent earnings call, the company's turned the page on its erstwhile desire for a piece of the seaside action.

Isle of Capri Casinos CFO Virginia McDowell, a member of one of several executive teams than have been hustled into and out of Trump Entertainment Resorts in recent years, added that a lack of non-gambling attractions has been Atlantic City's downfall.

We beg to differ ... at least to the extent of noting that Vanessa Williams is playing the Tropicana Atlantic City this weekend. Can't think of a better reason to visit the Boardwalk than that.

Harrah's takes out the garbage; Yemenidjian's return

Tue, 05 May 2009 14:53:00 -0700

Congratulations -- I think -- to new Harrah's Entertainment General Counsel Timothy R. Donovan. A graduate of The Ohio State University, Mr. Donovan comes to Harrah's by way of the garbage industry. Considering that picking up the trash around Harrah's properties has sunk to a very low order of priority, maybe he can put CEO Gary Loveman in touch with an affordable waste-disposal provider. In any event, bringing a veteran of the garbage-removal business into a trashed company is priceless in its symbolism.

The man who wouldn't leave. In case you hadn't heard, not only is the bankruptcy auction for the long-suffering Tropicana Atlantic City expected to drag into the summer, that won't be the end of Gary Stein's dilly-dallying trusteeship. No, not by a long chalk! After all, the new buyer will have to be vetted by the New Jersey Casino Control Commission, which means that Stein's sinecure will become a two-year gig, extending into December ... at least.

In the meantime, the splitting of Tropicana Entertainment into components that can be termed "Las Vegas" and "Everything Else" continues apace. It's being underwritten by $150 million from Carl Icahn. But there are limits to Icahn's generosity, as his loan comes attached with a 15% interest rate.

Remember how S&G predicted that transfer of management of the Tropicana Las Vegas to former MGM Grand boss Alex Yemenidjian looked like the start of a sale. Sho' nuff! Yemenidjian's backers, Canadian Onex Corp. will control the majority of the board. The LV Trop has been a manifestly low priority for TropEnt CEO Scott Butera, who been's primarily fixated on Atlantic City (and secondarily on Indiana). A shift of directorship to a company whose first and only priority will be Las Vegas is to be welcomed.

Chump change for Trop

Wed, 29 Apr 2009 17:00:00 -0700

While there has been no shortage of bad decisions in the casino industry of late, the Dunce of the Year winner for 2008 and presumptive favorite for 2009 has got to be Tropicana Atlantic City conservator Gary Stein. This former member of the bench managed to turn what was intended to be a brief transitional process into a munificent 16-month sinecure ... which could stretch to 18 months or longer, depending on how soon the bankruptcy court acts. Not only was Stein's interminable tenure an unconscionable waste of money, if he made one good decision during that time, S&G must have nodded off for five seconds and missed it.

You will recall that, last spring, Stein scoffed that an $850 million bid by Colony Capital and an undisclosed one from Cordish Co. were "unreasonably low." What's more, he said the market for a distressed, mismanaged Atlantic City casino could only get better. (One of Stein's several miscalculations was to use the still-in-abeyance Trump Marina sale as an economic barometer.)

Reality was close behind with a swift kick in the ass, as the best Stein could manage was $545 million in cash (plus another $150 million or so in securities) from Cordish. And, as Stein's tortoise-powered negotiations crept onward, Cordish wanted to haggle the price down even further and eventually there was no deal to be had.

Which means that a casino that might have fetched over $800 million 11 months ago will now go on auction for a quarter of that amount, after a process that the Press of Atlantic City eventually characterized as "exceedingly slow." Worse still, since Icahn would gain the Trop via a credit bid, New Jersey won't have any sale proceeds to show for its year and a half of trouble. Since a parallel bankruptcy proceeding hasn't yet expunged Tropicana Entertainment owner William J. Yung III's equity stake, there's no way in hell the NJCCC would hand the Trop's keys to TropEnt CEO Scott Butera, no matter how pure his intentions.

Stein put the best spin he could on this fiasco, stating that "although like the entire industry our revenue and profits have been effected [sic] by the difficult economy, our financial position is solid and the only reason we are filing petition today is to be able to sell the casino assets free and clear of all liens." Somehow NBC40 was able to keep a straight face while reporting that the NJCCC believes "this 'stalking horse bid', will help them achieve the highest price possible in light of the current economic conditions facing the gaming industry."

True, starting the bidding at a rock-bottom $200 million might entice Cordish or someone else to pony up real money. But whatever the Trop eventually fetches is all but certain to be a shadow of what it could once have brought, had Stein performed his duty with alacrity. (And no potential bidder's position is nearly so advantageous as Icahn's.) It took an April 15 public yanking of Stein's leash by his NJCCC overseers just to get this much accomplished, threatening to send the Trop to bankruptcy court with no stalking horse bid.

While Stein strove for a victorious posture, The Associated Press cut through the crap. Its headline? "NJ OKs cut-price auction for Atlantic City casino." Reporter Wayne Parry even got Stein to concede there was no guarantee that $200 million wouldn't be the final price. If that's the ignominous conclusion to this saga, it may someday be known in the industry as "Bill Yung's Revenge."

What a screw-up.

Case Bets: Isle exits U.K.; no room at the Trop; Carlino channels Astaire, etc.

Fri, 24 Apr 2009 17:22:00 -0700

Isle of Capri Casinos is coming up for air, literally extricating itself from underneath Ricoh Stadium in Coventry, U.K. As part of CEO James Perry's attempt to refocus a company that spread itself too thin under his predecessor, he's walking away from an ill-starred British venture. Rank Group not only assumes Isle's lease, it gets the casino itself for pocket change, by industry standards: $940,000.

Perry may also be preparing to unload Isle's Pompano Park racino in the disappointing Florida market. At least one analyst is now picking Isle, so recently stuck in the mud, as one of the better bets to emerge intact from the gaming group's crisis.

A house divided cannot flush. Staggering from miscalculation to mishap, the Tropicana Las Vegas has sustained another self-inflicted wound. But don't blame current steward Tropicana Entertainment, predecessor Columbia Sussex or even Aztar Corp. The non-kosher plumbing that got the Paradise Tower shut down dates back to the 1990s, when the Trop was under divided ownership (one of the many obstacles to its redevelopment). The scary part is that it took at least 10 years for the code violations to be discovered.

The real victims, of course, are the hotel guests who are getting bumped from their Paradise Tower rooms. Since it's far and away the nicest part of the Trop, by definition they'll be moving to less-desirable rooms, some of them in truly decrepit parts of the hotel. Given the condition of the Trop's physical plant when I made a "secret shopper" visit, today's news comes as less than a surprise. The resort's advancing years were bound to catch it out sooner rather than later.

Penn's fancy footwork. While not out-and-out denying an attention-getting New York Post story about a possible 'credit bid' play for The Mirage, executives of Penn National Gaming were at some considerable pains to imply that it was all smoke, no fire. CFO William Clifford put it thusly: "... there were quotes and things said that have been pulled all the back to the last year’s Gaming Conference ... I’m not quite sure that the Post article is a very good reflection of anything we’ve ever said at any point in time."

CEO Peter Carlino followed with, "Some of the most interesting quotes were made at a time when none of the stuff that you are all currently thinking about was out there so it’s unfortunate. It’s just a hodgepodge of things pulled together to make a story. We would have preferred not to have seen it that way. Look, common sense says if there’s an opportunity we’re going to follow it but it’s no more exciting than that; enough said." [Emphasis added]

A Bloomberg News report that Penn was pursuing Greektown Casino went unaddressed in yesterday's earnings call. To the extent that Carlino was willing to commit himself on Las Vegas, he said Penn wanted no more than a single property "if we can find one." The consensus of Penn execs was that Vegas would be a "viable" market for the company ... in five years. (The company's strategy is partially predicated on an exodus of Californians relocating to Vegas and jump-starting the local economy.)

Sadly, Atlantic City seems to have slipped off Penn's radar screen altogether. On a happier note, the company promises a new and "exciting" replacement for the Empress Joliet pavilion that was destroyed by fire -- which makes it sound like the previous Ye Olde Egypt theme is now history, so to speak.

Schreckliche Idee! At a time when institutions like Goldman Sachs and Deutsche Bank control ever-larger chunks of the Strip, the Nevada Gaming Commission is seriously considering lowering the threshold of scrutiny even further. (Because if there are any two words that instill confidence nowadays, those words are "Wall Street.")

The man fronting this idea, veteran gaming attorney Frank Schreck, argues that his proposed rule change wouldn't result in casinos ceding managerial or operational control. However, that's already happened at the Las Vegas Hilton, where a Goldman-owned stalking horse holds a sizeable minority interest. What he's proposing would take a bad precedent and codify it.

By linguistic coincidence, schreck is the German word for "fright" and the root of schrecklich or "horrible." Which is what this idea is. But Nevada regulators are already overburdened and about to become more so, once the next budget is enacted. Given that grim future, Schreck's proposed lightening of their workload will be probably be embraced.

Pinnacle: the untold story

Tue, 21 Apr 2009 11:51:00 -0700

Is waxing and buffing the Pinnacle Entertainment limo a prerequisite for scoring an interview with its CEO? This small masterpiece of selective omission is more interesting for what it elides than what it says. The article parrots Dan Lee as saying Pinnacle believes "not to start building something without the money to finish."

That's an excellent precept but it would resound with greater authority had Pinnacle not gotten bogged down in Atlantic City by failing to practice what it preaches. It bought Carl Icahn's old Sands, razed it, cleared the land ... then found it couldn't raise the capital to build the megaresort Lee had envisioned. By that point, Pinnacle had exercised such a heavy hand in its attempts to acquire more acreage -- at prices it intended to dictate to the market -- that the project's subsequent collapse didn't even inspire much regret along the Boardwalk. Now Pinnacle's got money tied up in Atlantic City it could be using to go trophy hunting along the Strip.

Also, it's not a good sign that Pinnacle's half-billion-dollar Lumiere Place is finishing a very distant second in the company's portfolio, doing only 57% the revenue of L'Auberge du Lac, down in Lake Charles, La. True, L'Auberge owns a near-stranglehold on its market, while Lumiere Place has several competitors. But the latter has scarcely made a dent in rival operations by Harrah's Entertainment and Ameristar Casinos. Nor, despite being smack-dab in the middle of the St. Louis waterfront, has it pulled significant amounts of business away from Casino Queen, across the river in Illinois.

Pinnacle has overspent and overcommitted itself -- and don't forget it nearly followed Columbia Sussex over the precipice in the feverish bidding for Aztar Corp. To Lee's considerable credit (no pun intended): A) corporate debt is below $1 billion; B) Pinnacle completely outfoxed Harrah's in their Lake Charles-for-Biloxi property swap; C) that Houston-fed market is rich enough to carry Pinnacle for the time being, and D) a clever if anti-competitive ballot initiative (for which Ameristar's Troy Stremming gets most of the credit) will entrench Pinnacle's Missouri position.

As 2009's gaming group goes, Pinnacle is faring better than all but a few. But it's made its share of MGM Mirage-like mistakes, just on a smaller, more-affordable scale. Pinnacle wasn't the only irrationally exuberant casino company during the 2005-07 boom but let's not go paint it as a paragon of restraint, either.

Deep within the septic tank that is the Las Vegas Review-Journal's online-comments section one finds the (very) occasional fact. In the case of the gaping void left at the Tropicana Las Vegas by the peremptory closure of Folies Bergere, longtime Vegas observer Phil Hevener had the following scoop: "One of the issues at the Trop was that the owners decided to leave the matter of a show for the new operator (Alex Yemenidjian) since show creators and hotel builders alike are having trouble finding money these days."

Not only does that have the ring of plausibility but when Hevener's got a tip, chances are you can take it to the bank. As for CEO Scott Butera and his underwhelming LV Trop administration, do you ever get the feeling they're just making it up as they go along?

Exit, pursued by a bear market

Fri, 17 Apr 2009 17:39:00 -0700

Aside from the occasional murmur by Wynn Las Vegas prexy Andrew Pascal, executives at Wynn Resorts keep a low (read: invisible) profile. Even the most assiduous follower of the casino industry would have trouble naming Wynn's CFO off the cuff. If you answered, "David Sisk," as of last Monday you'd be wrong. The contours of his golden parachute strongly suggest an involunatry exit, softened by at least $767,000 worth of severance pay, plus a limited-time offer of stock options.

One can't fault the generosity of Mr. Sisk's deal: He's to be paid a year's salary at pre-rollback rates and, from what little information is disclosed, it doesn't appear that he's bound to a non-compete clause. Odd that Wynn would do this without having a successor in the wings. Of course, there are more than a couple of ex-Las Vegas Sands and Harrah's Entertainment executives updating their resumés these days.

"Encore, me no like!" According to Majestic Research analyst Matthew Jacob, customers are having a tizzy over Encore's "chambered" casino layout and gravitating back to more traditional Wynn LV. So what plays in Macao may flop in Vegas, huh? You can't fault El Steve for trying. Jacob is predicting a squishy 1Q09 for Wynn Resorts, compounded by a first-ever patch of adversity at Wynn Macau.

Jacob is also the star of this CNBC segment on the gaming group, politely wiping the floor with Gabelli Global Multimedia Trust's Larry Haverty. The latter's declaration that resiliency in regional casino markets bodes an imminent recovery of Las Vegas, though we all wish it were true, is a textbook instance of 2+2=5.

Barring Atlantic City and the wholly aberrant phenomenon that is Illinois, regional markets have never slumped as badly as Vegas is doing and were much quicker to recover. Regional diversification is a double-edged sword for gaming: It's a valuable hedge against a wipeout in one key market, but it also gives customers that much less incentive to travel to Vegas or the Boardwalk when big-budget casino properties are coming closer and closer to home.

Haverty also goes off the rails vis-a-vis MGM Mirage's Aria and server-based gaming, predicting successful adoption at CityCenter will spur a wave of emulation. Yes, but ... not so fast. First, the economy will have to come firmly out of its present nosedive before casinos contemplate capex spending of that magnitude. Secondly, some of SBG's largest potential consumers -- like Harrah's Entertainment, Station Casinos, Las Vegas Sands and even MGM are so badly in hock that they're in no position to participate in a major replacement cycle. Furthermore, I don't believe International Game Technology expects more than, at most, an initially slow and incremental adoption of SBG -- an infiltration of casino floors, not a blitzkrieg. But if you're looking at IGT as a long-term investment, a drawn-out replacement cycle would probably be a more desirable scenario anyway.

There's nothing in exceptionable in Jacob's half of the interview. His more finely shaded and detailed observations contrast favorably with Haverty's scattergun generalizations. And while I agree with the latter's enthusiasm for Boyd Gaming, it's a mite premature to be toasting Pinnacle Entertainment. If Pinnacle hadn't gotten bogged down in Atlantic City and were making a more appreciable dent in the St. Louis market, then I'd raise my glass without reservation. When Pinnacle was in acquisition mode there were few assets for the taking. By the time that buffet was replenished, Pinnacle's plate was full to overflowing.

MGM Mirage sells family jewels

Mon, 06 Apr 2009 17:39:00 -0700

Desperation has well and truly hit the fan at MGM Mirage. The company's Strip casinos may not be priced to move ... but it's said to be quite a different story where MGM Grand Detroit and Beau Rivage are concerned. (A Bloomberg report implies that Gold Strike in Tunica may be on the table, too.)

How desperate? We're talking about sacrificing $231 million in cash flow (in a down year) to keep CityCenter alive. Outside of Vegas, all the company would retain would be "halfsies" of Borgata, MGM Grand Macau and the Grand Victoria riverboat in Elgin, Il. We'd by definition be talking about considerably increasing MGM's Vegas exposure, especially since CityCenter would -- one hopes -- be mostly open for business by the time these potential sales cleared the regulatory process.

Strategically, it stinks. MGM would be putting nearly every chip it has on the Strip. At a time when regional markets are outperforming Las Vegas, MGM would be removing two of the most vital bet-hedges it has and doubling down on the Strip. With a $7 billion debt payment hitting shore in 2011 and MGM about to go into competition with its existing Strip properties on an undreamt-of scale, if CityCenter doesn't lift all MGM boats, it'll be curtains for the company.

True, that $7 billion balloon payment could be -- has to be -- restructured. That may have been MGM's thinking all along: Confronted with reality, lenders would become more flexible with the deadline. Or perhaps the company expected CityCenter to throw off sick amounts of cash flow, solving the problem at one fell swoop.

Time is of the essence. MGM still has three financing hurdles, at least, to surmount. A) It has to dig under the sofa cushions for as much as $800 million [assuming Dubai World continues to sulk and welsh on its financial commitments] to keep the project going; and to get to B) $1.8 billion in additional debt financing; which still leaves it short of C) $1.2 billion in completion money ... the capital that not even the combined efforts of Sens. Harry Reid and John Ensign could jawbone loose from a suddenly risk-averse banking industry.

By selling Treasure Island to Phil Ruffin for 7.75X cash flow -- and if we discount the theoretical premium that comes with being on the Strip -- MGM has put itself in a spot where the logical price for MGM Grand Detroit is $917 million and Beau Rivage fetches $700 million. If it could realize that $1.6 billion (or more), MGM would have its back-end costs on CityCenter covered. But that still leaves a short-term need for $800 million, which is where ...

Colony Capital comes in. Seems that the private-equity firm is thinking in terms of a secured loan rather than a piece of the action. Worst-case scenario, Colony walks away with one of MGM's better Strip casinos in lieu of repayment (or more than one). It makes a helluva lot more sense than the prospect being floated last week whereby Colony would take Dubai World out of the project -- an expensive proposition that would get MGM no closer to having the money it needs to finish what will be either its crown or its masoleum.

Stranger still was the here-today, gone-tomorrow story that James Packer would be teaming up with Colony to help rescue CityCenter. This popped up online in the wee hours of Saturday and was kiboshed on Sunday evening. Crown Ltd., for its part, helped keep the story alive through some semantic footsie. It said it wasn't in talks with MGM or Dubai World -- which left open the possibility it was dickering with Colony instead. A less-equivocal denial was several more hours in coming.

Having a flutter on CityCenter would provide a convenient explanation for Crown's drawdown of its acquisition of Cannery Casino Resorts. However, one can but imagine the displeasure that would have erupted up the street at Fontainebleau if it emerged that a key investor (Packer) was flirting with an archrival project. Besides, it's not as though Packer doesn't have other problems with which to deal.

MGM could really use some good news but it's not going to come from Macao. Shun Tak Holdings, steered by MGM Grand Macau partner Pansy Ho, saw its profits wither by 90%. With Pansy and father Stanley Ho going through hard times, if MGM entertains any hope of flipping its Macanese subconcession back to them, it'll surely be a good ways off.

Bridge of Sighs. It was across aforesaid Venice landmark that the condemned passed on their way to execution. Outsted Venetian Macao executives don't have to traipse over a replica Bridge of Sighs but there's been quite a doleful procession of late.

Last week, President Mark Brown made the trek, according to the Macau Daily Times. It also reports that casino boss Vince Mascio and international marketing director Ming Lien were close on Brown's heels. Thanks to his recent stock purchase, Las Vegas Sands CEO Sheldon Adelson is more in control than ever. Is this Macanese purge a sample of Adelson Unleashed?

Leper Colony

Fri, 03 Apr 2009 17:05:00 -0700

Or, in lieu of "Atlantic City Death Watch VII," maybe "Colony Death Watch." Scarcely had S&G dubbed Colony Capital's East Coast casino portfolio "Colony Crapital" than came affirmation in the form of the latest set of numbers from the Boardwalk.

First, the good news. Everyone in Atlantic City reported a profitable operating margin last year as well as a gross operating profit. As the Press of Atlantic City explains, "Net income, however, is not considered as important as gross operating profit, which is seen as the best way to measure a casino’s financial strength."

For instance, Harrah's Entertainment had the two best operating margins in the city (at Caesars A.C. and Harrah's Marina) and four of the top five. In gross operating profit, the Harrah's-owned quartet held the #2-3 and #6 spots, bested only by Borgata (#1, of course) and Trump Taj Mahal. However, thanks to some accounting jiggery-pokery back at corporate HQ, all four posted year-end losses -- some of them gargantuan, like the -$355 million charged against Caesars. Only Boyd Gaming's Borgata reported a profitable 2008. In terms of revenue, it was so far ahead of everybody else -- by $280 million -- it's not even funny.

For Harrah's Marina, the good news was triplefold. Not only did it have the smallest diminution of gross operating profit (-1%), it was also the sole casino to record an increase -- 8.5% -- in revenue.

Harrah's operational skill aside, UNLV's David Schwartz found another silver lining. To wit, "I’m surprised that gross gaming revenues fell by only 7.1%. For all of the belly-aching about the partial smoking ban and competition from Pennsylvania, Atlantic City’s gaming win actually declined less than Nevada’s, which shrank by about 10%. People are still willing to come to Atlantic City; they are just gambling less." [Emphasis added.]

Now for the bad news. The two lepers in the A.C. colony are -- you guessed it -- Resorts Atlantic City and the Hilton. Those two Colony Capital casinos posted extraordinarily dismal numbers, even by last year's low standards. Their operating profit margins were less than 2%, against a market average of 21%, and their gross operating profit was $6.3 million ... combined. In a year when the average Atlantic City casino saw a gross operating profits fall 25%, Colony's duo crash-dove -88% and -89%, respectively.

Compare this to Trump Marina. Even in a semi-orphaned state, as its sale dragged on (and on), the future Margaritaville garnered superior operating profit margin -- 7.5% -- and a far bigger operating profit on the smallest revenue base in the market. It reported gross operating profit of $15 million on revenues of $195 million. Somebody's doing something right and it's not Colony's Atlantic City braintrust.

Does Colony know how to pick 'em or what? And is MGM Mirage sure it wants to get into bed with these guys? They're starting to make James Packer look like a sagacious casino mogul. As for the Hilton, which used to be Steve Wynn's Atlantic City Golden Nugget, suffice to say it's seen better days.

Adelson in the details

Fri, 03 Apr 2009 12:39:00 -0700

Nearly lost amidst a flurry of news stories about Las Vegas Sands hoping to jump-start construction on its stalled Cotai Strip™ (with the help of new equity partners) was this snippet from Sands' president of Asian affairs, Stephen Weaver. Rents at the Marina Bay Sands shopping mall, still under construction in Singapore, are being “pulled down to adjust to the market.”

Lower projected rents? Just one more reason to curb the irrational exuberance with which some Wall Street analysts view this $5.4 billion project.

Under the radar: Remember how Columbia Sussex told the New Jersey Casino Control Commission, in effect, "put it on our tab," when hit with a $750,000 fine? ColSux's original plan was to just have the NJCCC skim the 750 large off the top of whatever it got from selling the Tropicana Atlantic City.

However, the NJCCC informs me that ColSux affiliate Adamar settled up with the state a ways back. Bravo to them. Besides, if Carl Icahn wins the Trop with a credit bid, the casino will change hands but no money will. So much for the windfall everyone was anticipating a year ago.

The end of Viva

Thu, 02 Apr 2009 18:02:00 -0700

That's one of the implications of Colony Capital's potential cash infusion into CityCenter. Since Colony owns 3/4 of Station Casinos and might find itself with a big piece of CityCenter, it's an utter certainty that it wouldn't go along with the notion of Station building a fugly CityCenter knockoff on the other side of I-15. Of course, the Fertitta Bros. still control the Station board, so they could try and drag Colony down the Viva highway to hell if they want to force the issue.

But what does it say about CityCenter if Colony wants to buy in? The fund's track record in casino investing has been predominantly dreadful of late. A philosophy of acquiring "non-performing loans, distressed assets ... out-of-favor sectors," hasn't worked out so well. For instance, the REIT got a fire-sale price ($140 million) on Resorts Atlantic City, then saddled the dowager with a mortgage 160% excess of her market value.

When Resorts' sclerotic revenues caught up with Colony, it simply opted out of its "house payments." This nearly brought us the edifying spectacle of seeing a casino get repossessed by the bank. Between the venerable Resorts and the comparably ancient and non-performing Atlantic City Hilton, the fund's Boardwalk portfolio risks being dubbed "Colony Crapital."

Not only did Colony overpay (or, more accurately, over-borrow) for Station Casinos, it got further hornswoggled in the deal. Despite holding 76% of the equity, it only controls 40% of the board. Similarly, it let Goldman Sachs buy into the Las Vegas Hilton by dint of surrendering ultimate authority over capex decisions to Goldman.

It seems baffling from a common-sense standpoint that Colony could purchase a big stake in City Center, offer $850 million for the Tropicana Atlantic City (as it did last spring) or start a new fund to buy more yet distressed assets (as it's doing) when most of its casino properties are sucking wind. Shouldn't it be salvaging what it's already got?

Ethically, yes; realistically, no. For a fund like Colony, that'd be throwing good money after bad. ("Wanna buy a piece of this fund to bail out Resorts A.C.? No? How about putting some more into Station? Why not?!?") The way it's compartmentalized, Colony can keep buying shiny new silos, no matter how many of its existing silos are crumbling into barkdust, so long as there are takers for its fund offerings. Leave the bad investments to their fate and better luck next time.

One might be pardoned for thinking Colony couldn't run a lemonade stand profitably, as the company's gaming-sector strategy seems to consist of throwing money against a wall over and over again until some of it comes back. One of the questions raised by the CityCenter discussions is: How much control would Colony get in return for its money? Given that MGM Mirage is setting aside shutdown capital for the project, Colony appears to hold the leverage. It'd be smart to leave MGM in the driver's seat -- and besides, Colony is no stranger to dealing itself into a position of weakness.

Then again, Colony may well be a stalking horse for Saudi mogul Prince Alwaleed Bin Talal, one of its business partners. He's got deep pockets and grandiose plans ... just the sort of fellow who might fancy being the monarch of CityCenter.

Speaking of the Fertitta Bros. ... the president of their pride and joy, the UFC, a charming fellow by the name of Dana White is making headlines and not in a particularly good way.

Those [expletive] UFC [expletive] board meetings [expletive] must be [expletive] really something [expletive] else, [expletive]. Wouldn't you [expletive] want to [expletive] be a [expletive] fly on the [expletive] [expletive] [expletive] wall, mother[expletive]?

Should Colony take a stake in CityCenter -- thereby dooming Viva -- perhaps the Fertittas can send Mr. White to Colony HQ as their good-will ambassador.

Quote of the Day

Tue, 31 Mar 2009 11:39:00 -0700

"Raise or be destroyed."

"So the score is poker dealers 1, cylons 0." -- UNLV Center for Gaming Research Director David G. Schwartz on the failure of robo-poker at Trump Plaza.

Trop snoozes, loses

Thu, 26 Mar 2009 15:23:00 -0700

Like a hot potato, the Tropicana Las Vegas continues to bounce from Columbia Sussex to Tropicana Entertainment and now maybe into the hands of Alex Yemenidjian. (This management-contract arrangement looks more like laying the groundwork for a sale ... if so, thanks for taking S&G's advice, guys. It's worth what you pay for it.)

A top price of $380 million can be viewed either as a bargain -- $11 million an acre, a long way down from the berzerk price paid by ColSux two-plus years ago -- or a boondoggle, seeing as even $380 mil represents an 84X cash-flow multiple. Somebody's got a job ahead of them.

Unfortunately, TropEnt CEO Scott Butera hasn't had his eye on the ball. Now, there wasn't anything he could do to keep the Titanic and Bodies exhibits from jumping ship to Luxor. But he pulled the plug on Folies Bergere and the Comedy Stop. Then, having given magician Dirk Arthur the boot, Butera's minions had to reverse field and grant the illusionist a reprieve through September. (So if you go to the Trop in April, the only entertainment offering will be an afternoon magic show. That's it.)

Just another day at the Trop.

As of Sunday, the Trop will have no (as in "zero") marquee attractions to tout. So it's an understatement to say that an agreement "in principle" with comedian Bobby Slayton doesn't come a day too soon and a formal contract needs to be inked yesterday.

When Nero played an as-yet-uninvented instrument, Rome burned. Whilst Butera fiddles, the Trop merely continues fade. Unless TropEnt's song and dance about repositioning the Trop is just a softshoe act, playing for time until the whole problem can be deposited in Yemenidjian's lap.

Ever since he took the reins at TropEnt, Butera has been fixated upon getting the Tropicana Atlantic City back (which he should) and, secondarily, with regaining Casino Aztar in Indiana (which he did). But the LV Trop has clearly been a low priorty and now he's washing his hands of it. Which means the real problem won't be Yemenidjian's but that of Trop employees and their equally neglected customers.

Patience, thy name is a Harrah's Entertainment bondholder. A surprisingly large number of these long-suffering souls are willing to wait just shy of a decade to redeem their distressed Harrah's debt. They're better men than I.

This book looks like a must-have. And, no, Huntington Press didn't publish it. But we do have a nifty new edition of Whale Hunt in the Desert, thank you for asking.

Case Bets: Florida standoff; No Goa; "Good news"?

Wed, 25 Mar 2009 16:39:00 -0700

Legislators in Florida are occupying different sides of the planet when it comes to crafting a new casino compact with the Seminole Tribe. At the risk of being accused of giving the store away, the state Senate favors granting full Class III gambling to the Seminoles, in return for $400 million a year. The lower house, meanwhile, would roll the tribe back to slots-only parity with southern Florida parimutuels and charge tribes $100 million ... for games they're to which already entitled under federal law. In the unlikely event the Seminoles assent to Plan B, it will probably get a constitutional body-slam in court.

The upper house's proposal is also more "george" for private-sector casinos, as the Miami-Dade and Broward county parimutuels would get limited table games and all parimutuels statewide would be allowed Class II gambling. The stingier House bill is the Line of Death for anti-gambling forces, who'd prefer to cut off a $100 million-plus nose to spite their collective face. Even if it prevails, it's too late to do more than protract the agony of existing non-tribal casinos in Florida. This war is over and the Seminoles have won.

Oh, and revocation of the existing compact would deprive the state not just of money of hard-to-get (if limited) judicial purview over disputes that occur on tribal land. These sorts of exemptions to tribal sovereignty are rare as hen's teeth, so solons might want to ponder whether it's something they're willing to forfeit for the sake of striking a pious stance.

Slumdog customer relations: What do you do when one of your players wins big at the tables? Beat the living crap out of him, of course. Let's see if this innovative form of customer-relationship marketing catches on ... not!

Unclear on the concept: "Good news No. 3: As of January 2009, Las Vegas’ hotel room inventory was 140,729, and this number is expected to increase by 9.9% to 155,562 by the end of 2009. In comparison, Orlando, Florida has 111,700 hotel rooms and San Francisco a little over 33,300."

Uh, this guy obviously wasn't CC'd on the memo that an onrush of new hotel rooms at a time when visitation is in decline is not "good news."

(Quoth Andrew Zarnett of Deutsche Bank, "We view a CityCenter postponement as a net positive for the overall Strip demand and supply dynamics, which is currently lopsided towards oversupply.")

Taking a page from Red China, lawmakers in New Jersey propose "stopping payments to state prisoners who make license plates and do other work." I hold no brief for convicted felons but, the last time I checked, slave labor was illegal in this great land of ours.

Inside the Harrah's filing:

Fri, 20 Mar 2009 12:28:00 -0700

Hare 1, Tortoise 0: After reading through the March 13 Harrah's Entertainment 4Q08 filing this earlier this week (one of the benefits of using mass transit), I set it aside for a few days, enabling the Las Vegas Review Journal's Arnold Knightly to beat me to the punch. What caught both his eyes (presumably) and mine (definitely) was a line of copy in which Harrah's acknowledged that its poor Las Vegas Strip performance was partly driven by "fewer hotel rooms availabe due to room remodeling and remediation projects at three Harrah's properties [including The Rio]."

You will recall that, whether to save time or money (or both), Harrah's made an end run around the Clark County permitting process when it wanted to make changes to several of its hotels. In some instances, these alterations not only didn't match the blueprints submitted to the county, they also compromised fire safety. (Lax inspection on the county's part allowed the problem to mushroom.)

Harrah's is presently under indictment for these cheeseparing measures, which were uncovered by dint of a forceful R-J investigation. It was a rare instance of the R-J speaking truth to power and the paper has suffered mightily for it, as Harrah's has retaliated in measures both great (an advertising boycott) and petty, like banning the R-J from Harrah's Las Vegas properties.

Whatever punishment the judicial system may or may not levy upon Harrah's will be nothing compared to the dent this misadventure put in Harrah's balance sheet. (By the way, I should acknowledge that Knightly read the Tolstoyian 160-page version of the quarterly report, while I settled for the 34-page "Cliff's Notes" version.) Harrah's may have thought it was saving money by going rogue but that false economy has now come back to bite it in the ass, to the tune of $60.5 million.

Gargantuan writedowns swung income from positive to negative in almost every jurisdiction. The international sector has bled red ink for two years, as London Clubs has proven to be a money-loser. The venture, like the company's hapless flip-flopping in Kansas, is typical of the spasmodic decisionmaking that has characterized CEO Gary Loveman's stewardship. Seemingly random projects (Slovenia, Singapore, the U.K.) were lunged at and toyed with briefly, then ditched. Having settled for one of the smaller fry of the British casino industry -- London Clubs -- and then unable to swap it for a piece of the big boy, Rank PLC, Harrah's must settle for selling off a little bit of LCI here or there.

Harrah's Atlantic City numbers would look much worse if the company didn't cleverly roll its Pennsylvania competitor, Harrah's Chester, into the A.C. portfolio for reporting purposes. If you had to assign Harrah's Chester to a region (as opposed to "Other"), the only one that fits is "Atlantic City Region," though that's a bit like rolling Laughlin numbers into "Las Vegas Region."

Debt service is murder, up 2.7X from 2007. 'Nuff said.

If asset sales are necessary, a non-Total Rewards property like Bill's Lake Tahoe would be already positioned for spinning off. However, Harrah's would have difficulty justifying more than a $160 million average sale price for any of its outlying Nevada properties, where cash flow is comparatively small. If significant relief is to be achieved from unloading casinos, some trophy properties will have to be sacrificed. After all, why should the bondholders be the only ones taking a bath?

Case Bets: Macao, Icahn, Atlantic City, MGM Mirage, Sin City Kitties

Tue, 17 Mar 2009 17:17:00 -0700

According to Telegraph correspondent Ben Bland, Macao finds itself in a bind. Peking's efforts to prevent money from being siphoned out of the country have crimped high-roller play, forcing a greater reliance upon mass-market customers. But the recession is cutting into their gambling budgets, too. Who's having the last laugh in all of this? Who else but Stanley Ho? As we're learning, never underestimate old Stan's ability to survive. He's probably found a loophole out of death, too. (But somebody needs to clue Bland in that Celine Dion doesn't play Vegas these days.)

Icahn's in: Well, sorta. Although the former Stratosphere owner is officially making a play for the Tropicana Atlantic City, he wants -- get this -- another six months to close the deal. Since the sale of the Trop was supposed to have been wrapped up 11 months ago, regulatory patience is finally running thin. Keeping the Trop in a 21-month limbo is grossly unfair to its long-suffering employees, too.

Icahn's equivocations could send the Trop caroming straight into the arms of Cordish Co., although it's unclear whether Cordish is still interested. Had chowderheaded, state-appointed trustee Gary Stein -- who was characteristically out of the loop on the Icahn bid -- closed the deal when deals were still to be had, all of this would be ancient history. New Jersey Casino Control Commmission members should be marched off to the woodshed for appointing Stein and then tolerating his interminable (and very expensive) bungling.

Elsewhere in New Jersey, solons have relieved Atlantic City's denizens of their second-class citizen status, albeit with many clauses and exceptions. This was accompanied by the usual howls about casinos wielding untoward influence (they can't even make political donations, which seems blatantly unconstitutional), although "juice" from other industries -- like the sacrosanct horse-racing business -- is implied to be hunky-dory. The horsey set's constant pining for slot machines gets a cold shoulder from the voting public, however.

Remember how I forecast that MGM Mirage's $1.2 billion writeoff of much of the value associated with former Mandalay Resort Group properties was going to kill 4Q08 earnings? Well, it did. However, the company supposedly still doesn't want to take on equity partners in anchor-around-the-neck CityCenter. "I'd be surprised if they dilute the joint venture [with Dubai World]," says a Reuters source. Geez, seems like if they'd "diluted" it with additional partners earlier on, they might not be hawking the family silver to raise completion money. Pride goeth before a ... well, you know.

Literacy-challenged Kitties: There's no better topless show on or off the Strip than the Sin City Kitties, who perform all the way out at Whiskey Pete's (which boasts a surprisingly spacious showroom). OK, I haven't seen Fantasy, probably because Luxor insists on advertising it as "Carrot Top Fantasy." As one wag observed, those are three words that should never inhabit the same sentence.

Anyway, Sin City Kitties is the only topless show I've seen that's predominantly erotic, as opposed to having a good number or three. And none of the girls betrayed signs of "enhancement" on the night we saw it, when it played to an appreciative audience of leathernecks and other servicemen.

However ... somebody needs to inform these pussycats that what they perform is not a "topless review [sic]" -- unless they plan to critique other topless shows from their stage in Primm.

"The Harry Reid Train": The asshat who made this fumbling attempt at an "ambush interview" might want to learn what the "Harry Reid Train" is (or more accurately, isn't) before attempting to smart-mouth Rep. Dina Titus (D-NV). Titus brushes off the uninformed oaf with the contempt he deserves. And hey, that's the "Sin City Express," bucko. Don't go messing up our catchy new brand name.

Quote of the Day

Tue, 17 Mar 2009 14:54:00 -0700

"This is how Caesars is treating its employees, while our CEO made $15 million in compensation. I'm quite sure no one in [Gary Loveman's] household is cutting their pills in half to get by." -- Caesars Atlantic City dealer Sharon Masino, complaining about Harrah's Entertainment's foot-dragging approach to contract negotiations (a problem shared by employees of Tropicana Entertainment and Trump Entertainment Resorts -- but not MGM Grand Detroit). Harrah's inaction led to the cancellation of an AFL-CIO convention at Paris-Las Vegas.

Warning signs at Harrah's

Fri, 13 Mar 2009 14:28:00 -0700

Fourth-quarter and year-end numbers from Harrah's Entertainment are out and the report raises several red flags:

• Harrah's absorption of Park Place Entertainment has left the company seriously overexposed in Las Vegas, where revenue was down 20% in 4Q08, compared to much smaller declines in non-Nevada markets.

• Even though most regional markets showed or regained strength in the last quarter (Atlantic City and Illinois being notable exceptions), Harrah's remained weak. This trend continues to be confirmed by revenue reports from individual states. Last month, in Missouri, Harrah's was the only operator to register a decline -- even Isle of Capri is doing better. Something is very wrong here.

• One of the company's top cost-saving measures is to cut jobs. This was a foregone conclusion the moment the Harrah's LBO was consummated but, in such a customer-service-intensive industry, if the reductions are taking place in the front lines of the workforce, expect business to continue suffering.

• Another high priority for reduction: marketing expenses. There's a term for this and it's called "death-spiral marketing." That's where your revenues are down so you reduce your marketing outlays and if business continues to decline so does the marketing budget ... and so on. Which is too bad, because Harrah's has been launching some of the better casino ad campaigns I've seen in the past year. It would be a shame if all that creativity wasn't used to its full potential.

"greed is good"

Tue, 10 Mar 2009 14:32:00 -0700

"To build what we had hoped to build in Atlantic City takes an era of dreaming. It takes an era where greed is good, we should all have a good time. We seem to be transported to Scandinavia: We have to hide our wealth, drive modest cars, conspicuous consumption is out. We live in an era where it's just not possible to build what we had anticipated in Atlantic City. Someday, hopefully it's a better world, or somebody shows up and offers us a better deal ... If we had an auction on that land, I'm not sure anybody would show up." -- Pinnacle Entertainment CEO Dan Lee, rationalizing his company's abandonment of its Atlantic City project.

Casino commercial of the year

Wed, 04 Mar 2009 17:43:00 -0700

Although Sheldon Adelson's taunting of the president may have seemed very clever at the time, the joke might be on the mogul. Check out this inspired TV spot, dreamt up for the grand opening of the permanent racino at Indiana Downs:

A tip of the sombrero to the reader who clued me into this brilliant ad, which has supposedly stirred a ruckus in the Hoosier State. It's the brainchild of Cordish Gaming CEO Dennis Gomes (the once and would-be future boss of the Tropicana Atlantic City), who is also credited with instituting the greatest casino promotion of all time, the Trop's tic tac toe-playing chicken.

I hear the chicken had been given its walking papers long before Columbia Sussex got ahold of the Trop. A good thing, too. Knowing ColSux, CEO William J. Yung III probably would have had the chicken killed, fried and served for lunch.

Harrah's new Atlantic City pitch

Wed, 04 Mar 2009 11:56:00 -0700

Harrah's Commercial 1 from emily chang on Vimeo.

Two minutes of Asian American-oriented marketing messages, all of which boil down to, "Atlantic City: It's not just for gambling anymore." Lots of Total Rewards pluggery, as you'd expect, but oddly no mention of the new ACES train, of which Harrah's Entertainment is a co-sponsor (with Borgata).

Comp cutbacks in Atlantic City

Tue, 03 Mar 2009 12:52:00 -0700

Last week, the Press of Atlantic City reported a 5% drop in comping along the Boardwalk and Marina District. However, the story played it as merely a reflection of decreased business in Atlantic City. Yesterday, however, The Associated Press weighed in with a completely different take.

According to Spectrum Gaming Group's senior veep, Joe Weinert, the fanny-packers are getting left out of the comp action. "It's a conscious decision to cut back. They have to target their cash very carefully and cut out the low-end customers. They're being very careful about how they're throwing those free dollars around," he told reporter Wayne Parry.

Displaying the can't-do spirit that has made Colony Capital the scorn of the Boardwalk, Resorts Atlantic City CEO Nicholas Ribis told regulators the casino had given away "too much food, too much drink, too much everything." (Maybe if Colony would stop borrowing money it can't repay it wouldn't have to sweat the comps so much.)

Selected reductions in comping, as reported by the AP, are as follows (Jan. '08 vs. Jan. '09), rounded to the nearest full point:

Resorts: $7.8 million/$6.3 million (-19%)

Bally's: $15 million/$11.3 million (-25%)

Caesars: $12.4 million/$11.1 million (-10%)

Showboat: $9 million/$8 million (-11%)

Trump Marina: $6.5 million/$5.6 million (-14%)

Trump Plaza: $7 million/$6.1 million (-13%)

Most of those cuts roughly parallel the overall decline in the market. As for the "outlier," Bally's, a whopping comp cutback is certainly in keeping with the general decimation of that sprawling complex. I guess we know now which of its four Atlantic City casinos Harrah's Entertainment would put "in the sell block," if push came to shove.

"Off the box" redux: Since Donald Trump wants his name taken off bankrupt (again) Trump Entertainment Resorts, one reader has submitted a possible replacement moniker -- "Blowhard Entertainment Resorts."

Strike at the Trop

Mon, 02 Mar 2009 14:50:00 -0700

No date certain has been set for Tropicana Atlantic City dealers to hit the bricks but their patience has run out. This sorry state of affairs has been brought to pass by New Jersey Casino Control Commission-appointed trustee Gary Stein. Under the once-admirable principle of not wanting to lock new ownership into a union contract negotiated by receivers, Stein has justified punting this football further and further down the field.

Stein's position has been rendered untenable by his own feckless tenure, as he frittered away several pricey bids for the Trop last spring and now looks like he's let a downsized Cordish Co. offer slip through his butterfingers, too. This guy couldn't sell lemonade in Death Valley on the hottest day in August ... and to think that, if he got his way, the 15-month sale process would be further extended into May!

Blame also accrues to ~~Stein's handpicked interim~~ Trop administration, ~~headed by Pam Popielarski,~~ which has decided to charge dealers more money for fewer benefits. Belt-tightening may be the order of the day on the Boardwalk but to do this in the teeth of a contract negotiation is tantamount to an outright provocation.

This latest incident removes any doubt that the NJCCC should either put Tropicana Entertainment CEO Scott Butera behind the wheel (with the NJCCC acting as faculty monitor, if need be) or broker a deal with lead creditor Carl Icahn to appoint TropEnt as casino manager if Icahn prevails at the bankruptcy auction. When a strike looked inevitable at the Tropicana Las Vegas, Butera was quick to make peace. Let's hope he can do the same in Atlantic City.

Lobster heist. Down the street at Bally's Atlantic City, security nabbed a crustaceon thief, in an incident straight out of Paul Blart, Mall Cop.

Boyd vs. Station II

Thu, 26 Feb 2009 11:58:00 -0700

Well, that was a waste of a good hour. Boyd Gaming teased its Thursday morning conference call with intimations that All (or at least Some) Would Be Revealed about its surprise bid for most of the assets of Station Casinos. Boyd execs made a few pro forma comments about the offer at the top of the show, for want of a better term. They then announced that they would be taking no questions about the Station bid, so don't you be asking any, sonny.

Later, they did relax to the extent of allowing that they assume that Station's management contract with the Thunder Valley tribal casino near Sacramento would be included (but implied that Station's management pact with a Michigan tribe would not). The reason that the general public is in some confusion about what Boyd would be paying $950 million for is: Boyd itself is uncertain. Company officials implied they weren't getting any cooperation from Station -- or to the mythical entity that Boyd's president consistently refers to as "Stations [sic] Casinos." (You know ... the archivals of Boyds Gamings and builders of Red's Rocks Resorts.) After he buys it, of course, he can call it whatever he wants.

One of the many questions begged by Boyd's non-presentation was what's going to happen to Echelon, now that the company proposes to cannibalize its remaining $2 billion in borrowing capacity (against $2.6 billion in debt) to finance the Station deal. That money had been earmarked for finishing Echelon. Seemingly intent on having his cake and eating it too, Boyd prexy Keith Smith said, "We have nothing to report on [Echelon]" but added that having a Strip presence remained a long-term goal. Translation: Don't hold your breath.

Smith also ducked some pointed Larry Klatzkin queries regarding performance expectations at Blue Chip, in Indiana. (He evaded a question about ADRs, too.) ~~CFO~~ COO Paul Chakmak, referring to the expanded riverboat complex as "the new Blue" (do I sense a marketing slogan there?), said that early results are promising if not definitive. He noted that a record 2008 and January '09 performance at Delta Downs in Louisiana "shows the value of our geographic diversity" and noted that Borgata was the only Atlantic City casino to post growing slot win in 2008. Boyd will be taking a variety of one-time charges, including on some of its North Las Vegas real estate, and will be drawing out the payment schedule on Dania Jai-alai, a would-be Florida casino venture that has gone into the freezer, due to a disappointing Sunshine State market.

"Our goal is not just to get by," Chakmak said, while allowing that the Las Vegas locals market "remains challenging." Downtown, he added, was a better scene, given that increased charter flights were offsetting any effect that might be felt from reduced commercial airline service to Hawaii. Why one would want to exponentially expand into a "challenging" Vegas market right now was yet another of those questions that didn't get to be asked.

Good news for bargain hunters in Atlantic City; Smith expects promotional allowances to "stay elevated" in 2009. He also said that, with only two weeks of service so far, it's much too early to prognosticate about the performance of the ACES train (a joint venture with Harrah's Entertainment). Boyd execs did talk up the savings achieved by infusing T.G.I. Fridays, Fuddruckers, Sbarro, etc. into their locals properties. If you were a Boyd restaurant employee whose eatery was displaced to make room for a fast-food franchise, you might not share that enthusiasm.

Quote of the Day

Tue, 24 Feb 2009 11:36:00 -0700

"[Columbia Sussex CEO William J.] Yung showed a callous disregard both for New Jersey casino auditing regulations and for the requirement that any Atlantic City casino be a 'first-class facility of exceptional quality.'

"But if the restructured Tropicana Entertainment can prove it is indeed a new company that meets the state's licensing requirements, that would be the quickest way to get the Trop out of limbo and into the hands of new owners." -- from an editorial in The Press of Atlantic City, endorsing TropEnt CEO Scott Butera's push to have the Atlantic City Trop restored to the fold.

Earth to Colony Capital

Mon, 23 Feb 2009 18:38:00 -0700

"If I had a crystal ball two years ago, I would never have taken on that debt. Never, ever. But looking back, we saw growth. That's why we put up that beautiful new tower, with a plan to do extensive renovations [on the older hotel tower] next door. We're not able to do that now." -- Resorts Atlantic City CEO Nicholas Ribis

Growth? Two years ago? Would somebody please buy Nick Ribis that crystal ball? By early '07, casinos in Pennsylvania were a done deal. How could anyone have foreseen growth for Atlantic City in that scenario?

Just asking ...

Quote of the Day

Mon, 23 Feb 2009 13:41:00 -0700

"This is the guy whose incredibly bloated ego led him to attach his name to everything he touched for decades. Now that the moment of truth has arrived ... his line is: 'They're just using my name. I really don't have much to do with it.'" -- from a reader e-mail regarding Donald Trump's demand that his name be obliterated from bankrupt Trump Entertainment Resorts.

Gibbons retreats, sorta

Mon, 23 Feb 2009 12:33:00 -0700

Gov. Jim Gibbons has scuttled away from one of his several proposals to jack up taxes on the only segment of Nevada that's carrying its own weight -- the casino bidness. He's retreating from a demand that casinos pay taxes on uncollected markers (which, in turn, would be certain to cause a tightening of casino credit). Midnight Jim continues, though, to support raising hotel-room taxes in Clark and Washoe counties, and taxing comped meals. The casino industry's love affair with Gibbons -- which helped get him into office -- has so far proven a one-way romance.

Worries about Boyd. Here's why I resist the occasional invitation to give stock picks: No sooner have I sung the praises of Boyd Gaming's sound fundamentals, its diversified casino portfolio and its (Echelon excepted) aversion to risk, comes news that analysts have the heebie-jeebies in re Boyd. A slow-ramp-up at Water Club in Atlantic City and weakness in the Las Vegas locals market are the primary worries.

Advertising during the Oscars: Casinos that ran ads during last night's interminable Academy Awards snoozer included M Resort (twice), Encore, the CasaBlanca in Mesquite and Green Valley Ranch, which has suddenly discovered a great lurve for the local clientele. The latter is quite a turnaround for a property that used to tout its high-end cachet. Oh, and Mickey Rourke got totally, utterly and criminally screwed. Which ruined the evening right then and there.

Atlantic City Death Watch, cont. After taking a long gander at the market, Macquarie Securities analyst Joel Simkins had this to say: “In our view, there is a distinct possibility that one to three casinos could be permanently closed in the next few years, particularly when many older locations are barely breaking even and, we believe, cannot be rehabbed to be economically viable.” [emphasis added]

Anybody care to speculate which casinos Simkins has on the "do not resuscitate" list? Resorts Atlantic City is a no-brainer for the "one." As for the "to three," we could toss in the Atlantic City Hilton and Trump Marina, where the news comes in two flavors -- Bad and Worse.

The Tropicana might also be on the bubble, partly because it's not performing up to its preponderant size and also on account of interim management's inability to restore the business that was lost during the Columbia Sussex reign of error. A veteran Trump-watcher has another suggestion, writing that"his decision to abandon and bad-mouth the company suggests that this may not be the routine Chapter 11 bankruptcy from which the company eventually emerges. Indeed, I wouldn't be surprised if this is the last gasp for Trump's three Atlantic City casinos."

Trump: The end

Sat, 21 Feb 2009 13:40:00 -0700

So Trump Entertainment Resorts has such little worth that it's facing delisting, having become quite literally a penny stock. In a move described as "petulant," not only is Donald Trump taking his ball and going home, he wants the name of the company changed.

He claims he could have done better, had he simply been allowed to exercise his incomparable casino mojo ... but this emperor's been naked for the better part of a decade. As for the "wasteful spending" he decries, one can only guess he's referring to the capital improvements at Trump Taj Mahal (the sort of thing Trump himself could rarely be bothered with) which have goosed business there substantially.

The already discounted sale of Trump Marina to Richard Fields (who hasn't lined up the dough and recently liquidated his Manhattan pied-a-terre) looks shakier than ever -- and it was not a deal that inspired confidence to begin with. Trump's tantrum could easily kill it outright. Fields' company is hemming and hawing ominously. And if that sale doesn't come through, one analyst predicts a "death spiral" for TER.

View the video at CNN.com

Bloviation alert: Trump disses own casinos, says they're not worth beans.

Meanwhile, the Trumpster is engaging in a little revisionist history, complaining that the company hasn't diversified outside Atlantic City. Oh, its various incarnations have tried. A Trump-branded riverboat in Gary, Ind. (now Don Barden's Majestic Star II) enjoyed an early vogue, then went into steep decline. A Trump tribal-casino-management arrangement in California was short-lived. An effort to get in on the Philadelphia market went nowhere, except to court. As always with Trump, when in doubt ... sue!

Contrary to Trump's ever-bombastic contentions, things are not coming up roses for him elsewhere, either. (On a personal note, I balked at purchasing an otherwise appealing necktie at Filene's Basement because it bore the Trump moniker on the reverse. Would you call that "negative brand equity"?)

About the only good thing that's come out of Trump's insufferable TV series, The Apprentice, is that the mainstream media finally began paying attention to the thing of smoke and mirrors that was Trump's casino kingdom.

How desperate is Scott Butera?

Thu, 19 Feb 2009 18:08:00 -0700

Perhaps sensing that the Tropicana Atlantic City is slipping irretrievably from his grasp, Tropicana Entertainment CEO Scott Butera has taken his case to the media -- seeking an audience with the editorial board of The Press of Atlantic City, no less. Butera has a persuasive manner, as you'll hear in the attached audio excerpts. Repositioning the Trop as a smoke-free property seems a bit out there but it has the virtue of novelty, so let's give it the benefit of the doubt. (There is a serious disconnect, though, between what Butera thinks the Trop to be worth and what the market is telling him.)

Butera's real sales job is going to be with the hard-to-convince New Jersey Casino Control Commission, of course ... a task not made any easier when TropEnt sole shareholder William J. Yung III popped up at a New Jersey Supreme Court hearing on the Trop's fate, about as welcome a sight as Banquo's Ghost. Short of drawing and quartering Yung in front of the assembled NJCCC, I'm not sure what Butera can do that will guarantee him a fair hearing.

He might have one ace left to play by throwing his support to Carl Icahn's mooted stalking-horse bid. Even if Icahn doesn't really want the Trop, the mere possibility that he could throw all or most of $1.4 billion in secured debt onto the table should force rival bidder Cordish Co. to either pony up some real money (instead of incessantly haggling) or drop out. Of course, Butera needs Icahn more than Icahn needs him; the old corporate raider could always rustle up Richard Brown and the rest of the old ACEP band and run the Trop himself.

Still no word on whether Colony Capital will be run out of Resorts Atlantic City or not. The NJCCC is playing this close to the vest. From a logical standpoint, Colony's argument that Column Financial can't be allowed to take over because the latter doesn't have a gaming license (and never mind that Colony is three months in arrears on its mortgage) is silly. It's like saying your banker can't repossess your car because he doesn't have a driver's license.

However, the law is something else again and Colony appears to be on firm ground there unless Column can make the case for a state-run trusteeship. Not that such an arrangement worked out entirely well in the case of the Trop.

Trop's agony soon to end?

Wed, 18 Feb 2009 15:59:00 -0700

The bad news is that the New Jersey Casino Control Commission has voted to grant yet another extension on the interminable sale of the Tropicana Atlantic City. The good news that it's merely been pushed out another month, not the three that butterfingered trustee Justice Gary Stein wanted. The NJCCC finally seems to have run out of patience with this comedy of errors and past time, too.

Then again, the prospect of a Carl Icahn purchase concentrates the mind wonderfully. Since it's a credit bid, neither the State of New Jersey or former owner Columbia Sussex will see the payday they've been envisioning. But if Icahn can get his affiliated creditors to put their whole $1.4 billion in secured debt on the table, it'd crush anything Cordish Co. has offered or is likely to. The mere specter of Icahn has to be very bad news for Tropicana Entertainment CEO Scott Butera. Since the Trop is the engine that drives (or drove, before ColSux CEO William J. Yung III crashed it) his company's bottom line, Butera has been tireless in his quest to re-obtain the property. If he succeeded, it would also allow him to return victoriously to the market where he made his name as Trump Entertainment Resorts' boss. But, through no fault of his, TropEnt is in far worse standing in the Garden State than is Icahn.

If Icahn is primed to re-enter the casino industry that he left not so long ago, it's a positive augury both for Atlantic City and the business as a whole. It would also enable him to cock a snook at Pinnacle Entertainment, which purchased the old A.C. Sands from Icahn, quickly demolished it, then has been high and dry ever since. Under Icahn's ownership, the Stratosphere went from being a joke to a successful casino property. His taste in casinos isn't always pretty (Arizona Charlie's, anyone?) but it's proven smart and successful.

Looking for good news in Vegas

Thu, 12 Feb 2009 17:08:00 -0700

If I wanted to drive myself to strong drink, I could write about depressing, atrocious numbers coming out of Nevada casinos in December. But as that great philosopher, Linus in Peanuts, would remind me, it's better to light a single candle than to curse the darkness. (Next panel: Lucy hollering, "You stupid darkness!") Let's just say that December revenues hew to my saw that when Wendover sneezes, Nevada catches pneumonia and move on.

Two Sundays ago, the Review-Journal ran a pair of stories that warranted mention here at the time but got lost in the shuffle. Time to give credit where it's due, especially as these articles highlight some of silver linings inside the present-day storm front.

Boyd Gaming's is the least-sexy brand among the major casino operators ... but sexiness can be overrated. (See: Station Casinos) Unlike a certain crosstown rival which put all its eggs in the Vegas basket, Boyd has always rejoiced in a diversified portfolio. With Wall Street falling in love with the regional casino market, Boyd is likely to experience newfound appreciation on the Street.

Echelon: Stopped in the nick of time.

No wonder CFO Josh Hirsberg strikes such a sanguine tone. He also fesses up to a number of uncertainties, which is a refreshing change of pace. True, the company has halved its 401(k) matches but it hasn't deep-sixed them altogether, unlike several competitors. Also, it stopped Echelon while it still had the ability to alter the scale of the project, whereas Caesar Palace's Octavius Tower had crossed that Rubicon. It certainly doesn't rank anywhere near as high on the Mortification Meter as MGM Mirage's forced truncation of The Harmon (now to be an ungainly stump) or Las Vegas Sands' abrupt cessation of its St. Regis tower. Boyd's ongoing infatuation with fickle Morgans Hotel Group remains a major puzzlement but let's not belabor that now.

Boyd's chances of coming out the economic tsunami intact look good. Besides, the company has surprised people before. Who would have picked it to be the one that would shake up the Atlantic City market and force everyone else to keep pace?

A project that has the makings of a comparable success story in Las Vegas is M Resort, brainchild of the Marnell family. (You know, the folks who gave The Rio its cachet -- before Harrah's Entertainment took over and "geriatrified" the place.) Admittedly, $1 billion for a 390-room hotel/casino doesn't sound anything like optimal bang for the buck, but M Resort has three things going for it that Station's Red Rock Resort and Aliante Station don't: location, location, location.

Strategically, M's site is killer. It sits just north of the pass through which I-15 flows into the Vegas Valley, as you head in from California. In fact, you see the M tower even before you reach the pass, stunningly framed between the canyon walls. The vista from the north side of M ought to give it must-visit cachet when it opens in two weeks (March 1). The relative paucity of hotel rooms may bespeak caution over whether the stay-off-Strip/commute-to-Strip business model has worked yet. As they say on Wall Street, "visibility is limited" because like-minded Green Valley Ranch and South Point have gone private.

Also, by limiting their exposure on the hotel side -- where so much of the rest of the market is overexposed -- the Marnells should have supply/demand dynamics in their favor. A place like Morgans' Hard Rock Hotel, which only drew a third of its cash flow from gambling before Morgans went on a frenzied expansion binge, is super-exposed in the area that's most sensitive to price fluctuations -- hotel rooms -- and soon to become even more so. (The HRH puts a brave spin on it but it's no secret why the project is fully funded: It's 85% owned by the bank which, like the pig in the ham-and-egg-breakfast analogy, is committed while Morgans [i.e., the chicken] has but an interest.)

One also has to laud CEO Anthony Marnell III's incremental preparation for the Vegas market: a stint managing a tribal casino (giving him experience in the drive-in market), followed by acquisition of the Saddle West in Pahrump (ditto the locals market), then Laughlin. So his $1 billion dice-throw was approached via a circumspect route. George Maloof has already shown that a steady locals/hipsters mix can work as a business model. M Resort is the first project since The Palms to wholeheartedly go that route.

With nearby Olympia Gaming and Station (Inspirada) casino developments on indefinite hiatus, Marnell should be firmly entrenched before anyone else in the area gets a shovel in the ground. It's a serendipitous combination of preparation and circumstance. Of course, M could be either a succes d'estime or an outright bust, but the buzz I've been hearing is strong.

Tamares Group giveth (booking a new magic show into the Las Vegas Club) and Tamares taketh away, pulling back on a planned art museum (above). So if this is no time to invest $12 million in an art museum, maybe Tamares might want to invest it in its casinos. Comic relief is supplied by Mayor Oscar Goodman, who's been exceptionally obtuse this week. (See: President Obama, Silly Feud with)

Casinos in Texas are one of the longest of long shots but Galveston's name keeps coming up. The whole thing screams "Tilman Fertitta!", especially since we know he's wanted a casino there and was even rather colorfully accused of surreptitiously installing casino infrastructure in his Galveston convention center. He got a good chuckle out of that one, as I recall.

Boardwalk bummer

Tue, 10 Feb 2009 15:42:00 -0700

In short, January's Atlantic City revenue numbers are -9% at the tables and -10% in slots. The glass-half-empty spin is that this is the third straight year of decline. The glass-half-full perspective would be, yes, but it's -9% the fifth-highest January in Atlantic City history (with '06 being the high-water mark). And if you were at Trump Taj Mahal, you had no complaints whatsoever.

In sheer dollar volume, Bally's Atlantic City got hammered, down from $45 million to $37.6 million. Only the newly revamped Taj posted an increase in revenue, going from $38 million a year ago to $42 million this year. The in-flux Trump Marina (-8%) has at least temporarily bottomed out -- at last place in dollar volume, behind even insolvent Resorts Atlantic City. (Because of disparities of scale, this can be a deceptive metric, though.)

Aside from the Taj's non-aberrant 10% gain, the closest thing to victory could be declared by Harrah's Marina, only -2%. Both properties cleaned up at the tables (+22% and +19%, respectively), while Borgata did so at the slots (+16%) -- a good thing in the latter case, because the Boyd Gaming property got slaughtered in table play, -26%. However, it could take cold comfort in the fact that Trump Plaza (-29%), the Atlantic City Hilton (-32%) and Resorts (-36%) all fared worse. Luck just isn't with Resorts/Hilton owner Colony Capital these days.

The second-best showing in slot win was the Taj (+2%), with the Tropicana Atlantic City in third place with -6%. The worst clobberings were absorbed by Resorts again (-22%), Bally's (-23%) and Showboat (-24%). Overall, the Taj edged Caesars Atlantic City (-8%) out of the top tier, back toward the Trop (ditto). Thanks to the Taj makeover, Atlantic City has four "haves," four "have-nots" and a couple of Harrah's Entertainment properties that could go either way. Plus the ever-mystifying Trop, of course.

Report from the Boardwalk:

Mon, 09 Feb 2009 17:39:00 -0700

A frequent LVA reader from New Jersey writes:

Yesterday (Sunday) was an unseasonably warm day here in New Jersey and I decided to take a two-hour drive to Atlantic City to shake off the mid-winter cabin fever, walk the boards and play a little poker. What I saw -- and I've been going to A.C. since 1982 -- astounded me.

Based on past years, a warm February Sunday following prolonged freezing weather would have brought people out in droves. There were people out and about, but in nowhere near the numbers of the pre-recession days. Looked like a weekday in March. A good portion of boardwalk merchants -- about half -- weren't open. The cheesy gift shops, some eateries and the salt water taffy places were doing some business.

Spent the day at Showboat, because its refurbished poker room is comfortable and quite low-key. Used to play at Tropicana, but gave that place up following the bankruptcy. The Showboat casino was nearly empty. Very quiet. One could jump on any slot/video poker machine. A $5 BJ game was open and full. I haven't seen $5 BJ in A.C. in more than 10 years.

Three craps games open. One was dead. However, the rest of the tables were relatively busy in comparison to the slots -- including the Big Six wheel and Rapid Roulette.

Poker room was relatively quiet, but that was due to the Bad Beat Jackpot being hit the night before. The daily tournaments are always full.

Rooms were available for Sunday night walk-ups at $39. There was absolutely no one waiting to check in at 6 p.m. In fact, the only "crowd" I saw all day was the on the hotel checkout line at 12 noon.

Hit the French Market Buffet for dinner. Up until a couple of years ago, wait times for this very good eatery could top an hour at times even on weekdays. Not yesterday. Walked right in. Half the seating area was closed. A sign stated the buffet is now closed on Wednesdays and Thursdays due to lack of demand. The 24-hour coffee shop was closed until the buffet stopped serving (9 p.m.), at which time it was scheduled to re-open.

The height of audacity was the $10 charge for parking in the Showboat garage and $15 for valet parking. Highway robbery. I wouldn't pay it. I parked in the open air lot across the street for free and hoofed it.

Just some recessionary signs of the times here in N.J.

Atlantic City Death Watch VI

Mon, 09 Feb 2009 11:44:00 -0700

Harrah's Entertainment has basically closed the casino at the Claridge and removed 19% of the slot machines from it and Bally's Wild Wild West (the two casinos are jointly operated). As though casino cutbacks weren't all the Boardwalk had to worry about, the Atlantic City reef -- a rampart of sunken subway cars -- is precipitously disintegrating.

At least the city has found one promising way of differentiating itself from its rivals. It's such a no-brainer I'm surprised to discover that it took this long.

Mixed message from Penn

Fri, 06 Feb 2009 12:10:00 -0700

Having pulled the plug on his latest Atlantic City venture, Penn National CEO Peter Carlino served the city a heaping plate of gloom with a side dish of pessimism. In fact, he pretty much slammed the door on the besieged metropolis, although his spokesman reopened it a wee bit.

Quoth Carlino: "I think as we've watched New Jersey, sadly, that's a market at the moment that is significantly less appealing to us, and that shouldn't be a surprise. There is much more bad news coming ... [Pennsylvania slot parlors are] nothing but bad, bad, bad news for Atlantic City. It's going to be a while, and maybe a long while, before the picture changes in Atlantic City. It's not a pretty picture."

In other words, he didn't just plunge a dagger into the heart of Atlantic City, he twisted it around a bit for good measure. Also, Penn's legal representative on the Boardwalk is a co-owner of A.C. nemesis Harrah's Chester. Coincidence perhaps, but the symbolism is painful.

Then again ... a Penn representative says the company will "evaluate the opportunity" as Bader Field continues to be shopped around. So Penn isn't really giving up on Atlantic City after all and Carlino's verbal barrage begins to sound like a "softening up" bombardment, preperatory to pushing for a better deal on Bader Field.

Carlino is right to wary of the potential threat from Philadelphia but anybody contemplating an Atlantic City investment is going to find themselves between that rock and the hard place that is the realization that new (or significantly refreshed) product and nothing else will suffice in A.C. Unfortunately opportunity -- the gnarled casino-development process in Philly -- and crisis, in the form of an economic deep-freeze -- have coincided, leaving the status quo drifting along.

There's a variety of low-hanging fruit in Atlantic City: the 14 acres MGM Mirage is peddling; Pinnacle Entertainment's stalled Sands site; the Tropicana; perhaps even Bally's Atlantic City or a management contract at Resorts Atlantic City, if the foreclosure goes through. Not to mention the Trump Marina sale, which seems to have devolved into slow-fizzle mode. But if Penn is sending a signal, it's translating as "Bader or Bust!"

Quote of the Day

Thu, 05 Feb 2009 16:11:00 -0700

"Tropicana says its five-year plan calls for the company to grow its revenue base, maintain its current level of operating expenses and improve net income." -- from a GlobeSt.com profile of Tropicana Entertainment's image makeover. Higher revenues on a static operating budget? It'll be interesting to see how that's implemented.

Penn Natl' > [your company here]

Wed, 04 Feb 2009 11:44:00 -0700

Wall Street remains gung-ho on at least one gaming stock: Penn National. Vegas-based casino owners who are pining for Penn to buy one of their assets may have to possess their souls in patience. Joseph Greff writes that Penn is keeping its powder dry "given the belief that market clearing prices for single asset acquisitions will dip lower in 2009. We are not expecting any acquisitions any time soon." The restraint displayed by Penn's board of directors stands in silent reproof to the sheeplike tendencies displayed at other casino companies in the recent past -- the manner in which the calamitous Station Casinos buyout was rammed through is one of the more egregious instances.

The real kicker comes toward the end of a J.P. Morgan research note, which lauds Penn's all-regional portfolio, which is expected to outperform the Las Vegas and Atlantic City markets. As LVA Editor Deke Castleman put it, who'd have thought we'd ever see the day when Wall Street likes Keokuk, Iowa, better than Las Vegas?

How bad is it at Riviera? All buffets have been closed and an eyewitness tells me that only two outlets are still open in the food court. It sounds like they're just hanging on by their fingernails until Fontainebleau opens and (we hope) stimulates business up thataways.

Case Bets: Seminoles, Tropicana, Shuffle Master, Stanley Ho

Tue, 03 Feb 2009 14:12:00 -0700

Seminoles offer to lay $288 million and 12,000 new jobs on the table, for starters. Sunshine State Republicans blow them a raspberry. Constitutional or not, Gov. Charlie Crist's compact put a good deal in place for both sides. (It wasn't so good if you were a non-tribal casinos, but they'd been underperforming even before Crist gave the Seminoles table games.) Unfortunately, Florida solons seem bent on pissing it away for a variety of reasons, spite -- mainly toward Crist -- not least among them.

Good news at Trop(s). It's a rare and welcome day for Tropicana Entertainment when it can announce not one but two pieces of good news in the same day. At the Tropicana Las Vegas, a marketing firm has been retained to try and reposition the LV Trop as a service-and-value-oriented property. TropEnt promises "to elevate its service and value standards,” in a slap at Columbia Sussex, its nominal parent company.

Out East, you can stick a fork in the Cordish Co. purchase of the Tropicana Atlantic City, now that the former has missed the deadline for reaching an agreement. What's the response from hapless Trop trustee Gary Stein? Why, to extend the sale another three months, of course. His Plan B would involve dropping any minimum-bid requirement from the bankruptcy auction.

Sending the Trop to Chapter 11 auction without a stalking-horse bidder hardly looks like a strategy that will drive the price up. ColSux was a lousy owner but neither it nor its creditors deserve to be ripped off like this.

As for Cordish, Stein is playing the role of battered spouse in a co-dependent/abusive relationship. Cordish, he coos, is still "actively engaged ... They have certainly not withdrawn." Why anybody would still listen to Stein, whose credibility is somewhere south of zero by now, is a mystery for the ages. Enough! It's well past time that the New Jersey Casino Control Commission sacked this sorry excuse for a trustee. These monkeyshines aren't remotely funny anymore and the vaudeville hook is way overdue.

Unless the NJCCC knows something the rest of us don't, there's no longer any viable excuse for not giving TropEnt at least a probationary interval as owner/operator. Its creditors have every incentive to make revenue grow there if they're to see their money again -- unlike ColSux which was acted as though it was perfectly happy to drive financial performance straight into the ground so long as the Trop was run on the cheap.

At least one Wall Street analyst likes Shuffle Master's choice of CEO better than I do. Timothy Parrott is a great guy for all I know, but there's little in his recent background to suggest that he's the turnaround specialist Shuffle Master needs.

Stanley Ho, sugar daddy. The godfather of Macanese gambling has shown a sudden upsurge of interest in the fortunes of Australia's Labor Party, funneling $587,000-plus into its coffers. As though to prove it isn't completely Dr. Ho's bitch, the ALP returned $326,000 from Angela Leong (aka Mrs. Stanley Ho). Because, you know, they've got standards. Yeah, that's it. (It's not unlike the Obama administration's exception-proves-the-rule attitude toward appointing lobbyists to critical guvmint jobs. Plus ça change and all that.)

Seems the ALP has been talking a good game about cleaning up campaign finance -- and the conservatives who've been resistant -- while raking in beaucoup HoBucks, even if they say they returned two-thirds of the money. Because $195K is totally cool but $587K would be de trop, I guess.

Or was the total extent of ALP-accepted Ho largesse even larger still ... like $912,000 maybe? The numbers are all over the one place but one thing is for sure: In the words of Opposition parliamentarian Michael Ronaldson, "The whole deal simply doesn't pass the sniff test."