David Mckee's Stiffs & Georges - Cannery Casino Resorts

Adelson's rescuer?

Wed, 30 Sep 2009 14:01:00 -0700

Meet Wilbur Ross. He's an investor of all trades with an appetite for distressed assets. And he's turning his sights to the casino industry. In particular, he's drawn a bead on "companies [who] are also looking at selling assets in the Chinese gambling enclave of Macau to support struggling operations in Las Vegas."

That means either Las Vegas Sands or MGM Mirage, and it's old news that Sheldon Adelson has been peddling a couple of retail malls and the non-casino aspects of Sands Macao (above). MGM is attempting a reboot (successful so far) of MGM Grand Macau but still might come up short on completion money for CityCenter, especially if condo prices have to be reduced. And it doesn't take a rocket scientist to figure out that one Macanese casino beats any number of hotel rooms or retail outlets.

Un-Trumped? Thwarted Trump Marina suitor Richard Fields is making another run at the property, which he's been trying to buy since Homer was a pup. Better still for him, he could get it for as little as $75 million. However, he's got dark-horse competition from a Maryland-based private equity fund that's making a play for all three of the Trump Entertainment Resorts casinos.

Notorious for mainly hanging its corporate shingle in tax-haven Green Valley, would-be casino operator Empire Resorts is not only re-headquartered in New York State, it's got new partners. Some of them bring checkered pasts to the table.

Also, Empire's hopes hinge upon the current administration reversing an especially paternalistic ruling from the George W. Bush years: namely, that casino sites must be within commuting distance of the tribal owners' -- in this case the St. Regis Mohawks -- reservations. If economic self-sufficiency is the endgame of federal/policy, Uncle Sam needs to loosen the apron strings.

Unready for some football. The unceremonious scrapping of Monday Night Football events at The Cannery is explained (second item). Magic word: clearance. Columnist John Katsilometes also notes that the second weekend of Zowie Bowie's Vintage Vegas was better than the first. Which would mean it's graduated from "bad" to "mediocre."

New England moralists are apparently OK with slot machines in Rhode Island, so long as they're covered by the fig leaf of mandatory greyhound racing. At least the slot players have a chance of actually catching the rabbit, metaphorically speaking. Animal cruelty is bad enough but when it's enshrined in state law it's even more objectionable, if such a thing is possible.

Are you ready for some football? No!

Mon, 21 Sep 2009 17:45:00 -0700

Galaxy Theatres' multiplex at The Cannery has scrapped all its big-screen showings of Monday Night Football, it was announced today, one week into the NFL season. Perhaps the incessant jabbering of Jon Gruden sent patrons screaming out onto the casino floor.

"Historic Announcement" at Trop: New CEO Alex Yemenidjian has booked a press conference on Wednesday morning with a "Special Guest" who represents an "exciting new partnership" in the entertainment sphere. It's the worst-kept secret in Vegas that Mr. Special Guest is better known as blogger Chuck Monster's least-favorite Strip headliner, Wayne F. Newton.

Also, the Sahara is (finally!) pulling the plug on Larry Marshak's ersatz Platters/Coasters/Marvelettes revue. Alas, the last act in this shameful saga of exploitation has yet to play out. The Marshak troupe will actually move up the Strip food chain, to Planet Hollywood. However, its new home is the Wyrick Entertainment Complex, otherwise known as the "Venue of Death." If that doesn't kill the show, nothing will.

Well that's ... weird: The Las Vegas Sun's Brendan Buhler reports that waitresses at Monte Carlo's lounge within the Dragon Noodle Co. restaurant "are dressed as characters from Japanese animé cartoons, a hobby known as cosplay." This strikes Buhler as odd because the U.S. cosplay cosmos is dominated by teens and pre-teens, and is "geeky." (He said it, I didn't.) He likens it to a Miley Cyrus-themed nightclub, before noting that the uniforms resemble "schoolgirl outfits."

Which would explain a lot.

Eight isn't enough. Yet another GOP challenger enters the lists against Sen. "Hapless Harry" Reid (D-NV). Just FYI.

Privé: behind the juice; Chucky vs. Jaws; Wynn pages Scalia

Wed, 19 Aug 2009 12:46:00 -0700

Had the Nevada Gaming Control Board not come down upon Planet Hollywood like a hod of bricks, it's entirely probable that Privé would still be up to its scofflaw antics. That's because Clark County has a long history of looking the other way or, at most, administering the occasional love-tap on the wrist. But when Gaming Control lays down a half-million-buck fine, it's kind of hard for Clark County Manager Virginia Valentine's crew to keep their heads in the sand, pretending to be invisible.

Hence the revocation of Privé's license, quickly restored once the Titanic deck chairs were rearranged and the vessel rechristened the Lusitania. I feel much better now, don't you? (It should be noted that there's a sizeable constituency in Las Vegas that thinks the county and NGCB should turn a blind eye and laissesz les bon temps roulez. Hey, why don't we bring back bribery, too? If those officials are going to be ignoring the laws they're charged with enforcing, shouldn't they be compensated for it?)

Kudos to the ever-clever management of Cannery Casino Resorts. They've struck a deal with ESPN to allow simulcast of Monday Night Football on Galaxy Theaters' giant DMAX screen at the original Cannery. The festivities begin on Sept. 14 with a Bills/Patriots and Chargers/Raiders doubleheader. (OK, the nightcap sounds like a real dog, but MNF doesn't get the pick of the litter since moving to cable.)

A 60-foot-tall Terrell Owens? Scary! More worrisome still: Will egomaniac Jon Gruden hog the mike this season, elbowing aside co-analyst Ron Jaworski? Nobody breaks down a play like "Jaws" but will "Chucky" let him get a word in edgewise?

Steve Wynn must be getting a little apprehensive about how Labor Commissioner Michael Tanchek's long-running hearings on tip confiscation will play out. Wynn's benched the able Gregory Kamer, as well as Wynn Resorts' in-house counsel, in favor of Beltway attorney Eugene Scalia. And, yes, his dad is that Scalia. (Does anybody else think the Bush administration passed over Scalia Sr. for Chief Justice in favor of John Roberts because he -- unlike Roberts -- was too contentious to forge majority rulings? Just me? OK.)

Wait Until Dark (@ CSN) obtains tepid praise from the R-J. I saw it last Friday. What's my verdict? Tune in tomorrow!

There's only one Native American currently serving on the federal bench. Might Nevada make it two? Vito de la Cruz, S&G hopes you receive due consideration.

Economic parable: Once upon a time there were two thrift stores in my neighborhood. One, run by Catholic Charities, sold good merchandise. The other, Goodwill, peddled garbage. Guess which one went out of business? It's like the nonprofit version of the Walmart saga.

Adelson bombing in Pennsylvania; RoboPoker returns; Dissent over Wynn

Thu, 06 Aug 2009 17:26:00 -0700

Both the opening of Sands Bethlehem, and recent expansions of Meadows Racetrack & Casino (+29%) and Mohegan Sun at Pocono Downs (+21%) drove an 18.5% increase in slot revenue this July. With $19.6 million in gross revenue, Sands was only good for fifth place, barely behind Mohegan Sun ($19.8 million).

Adelson's new slot parlor was well off the pace set by Philadelphia Park Casino & Racetrack ($30.8 million) and The Meadows ($29.9 million). Harrah's Chester didn't perform too shabbily, either, pulling in $27.3 million from the one-armed bandits. Both it and Philadelphia Park were less than 2% down from their July '08 revenues, putting paid to the theory that Sands Bethlehem would draw -- at least in any significant degree -- from the Philadelphia area. Only nearby Mt. Airy Resort & Casino is taking a serious hit.

Downtown Reno's nicest casino, the spacious Silver Legacy, is taking a big step downmarket by succumbing to the cheesy allure of RoboPoker. Even that bit of good news for PokerTek wasn't enough to keep Aristocrat Leisure from writing down its share of the company.

Steve Wynn is The Man, at least in Macao, according to the controversial Jim Cramer. I agree.

Why then, is Wynn Resorts COO Marc Schorr cashing out at a time when the stock is arguably undervalued? Maybe he's just one more American who got overextended in the go-go Bush Era.

Case Bets: M Resort, bad debt, Wall Street's bomb

Mon, 20 Jul 2009 14:26:00 -0700

After fairly flying out of the gate, M Resort has hit the wall. Unfortunately, CEO Anthony Marnell III's response to economic adversity has been to sweat the value propositions. Not only is M fretting about card counters (hands down, the silliest preoccupation in the casino industry), it's yanking full-pay video poker machines.

“We are in business to have an edge and these games are nearly break-even,” Marnell tells Liz Benston. Give him points for candor ... but if you didn't want players to have a 50-50 shot, you should never have installed the machines in the first place, fella. This reeks of bait-and-switch. The video poker community is tightly knit; word of this stuff gets arounds fast and will undoubtedly redound to Marnell's disadvantage.

Another thing that might be working against Marnell are M's distinctly underwhelming coupon offers -- far inferior to those from Station Casinos, for one. The Significant Other and I tend to forward our M "offers" straight into the WPB (waste paper basket). I'd also respectfully dissent with Benston re M's casino design: It's a throwback to the old "disorientation" days. For ease of navigation, M's not a patch on Eastside Cannery, to say nothing of Wynn Las Vegas. Heck, even the venerable Sahara isn't the rat maze that is M's gambling floor.

When "whales" attack. Indicted high roller Terrance K. Watanabe is taking on Nevada's casino-debt-collection machine and his lawyer is making some interesting legal arguments. Basically, he's contending that markers are loans, not checks (as longstanding Nevada precedent would have it). Should this argument prevail at trial, it could have far-reaching consequences.

Since markers could no longer be booked as income, Nevada would no longer be able to tax uncollected markers, as it currently does. Since enforcement of the debt is funded by assessing a 10% penalty on the debtor, Clark County couldn't afford to go after delinquent whales, either. And casinos themselves might have to think even harder before (in effect) lending money to players like Watanabe who, his attorney says, accounted for a fifth of The Rio's and Caesars Palace's casino revenue in a two-year period.

Hoist on its petard. In his latest Las Vegas Business Press column, Dr. David G. Schwartz explains how the consolidation mania of the 1990s (spurred by manic Wall Street analysts) came back to bite the casino industry in its ass when times were tough. So tell us, Nevada Gaming Commission, why was it such a good idea to have an oligopoly on the Strip (and in Lake Tahoe ... and ... )?

F'bleau: another triumph for Packer

Wed, 10 Jun 2009 14:06:00 -0700

James Packer sure knows how to pick 'em, doesn't he? He's just written off $250 million invested in (read: "wasted on") Fontainebleau. His Crown Ltd. also took the opportunity to kick F'bleau while it's down, stating it felt "no obligation and has no current intention to contribute any further equity or debt to Fontainebleau or participate in any restructuring under any bankruptcy arrangements." In other words, please excuse me whilst I push you under the nearest bus.

James Packer picked a peck of putrid portfolios.

Packer is on the Mendoza Line, now batting 1-for-5 in U.S. casino investments, with only a minority interest in Cannery Casino Resorts providing any ongoing yield. In baseball, a .200 average gets you a ticket to the minor leagues. S&G humbly suggests that, the next time Packer gets the urge to invest in American gaming companies, he ought to have a lie-down until the fit passes. Failing that, he might simply proceed to the water closet and "invest" his money straight down the crapper. The ROI should be about the same.

As for F'bleau, the significant storyline emerging from its bankruptcy appears to be the revelation that ex-CEO Glenn Schaeffer and associates spent $2.1 billion, performed years of construction ... and were only 70% finished when lenders pulled the plug. Which is significant because F'bleau execs maintained, right up to the bitter end, that they'd open in October -- giving them less than six months to do 30% of the work. I'm starting to have a glimmer of sympathy for the banks' point of view.

Welcome to Albania: Otherwise known as Post-Gibbons Nevada. And good riddance to the 2009 Lege for aiding in this debacle.

Rumble in Macao

Tue, 02 Jun 2009 17:34:00 -0700

Although an oft-promised loosening of visa restrictions by Peking stubborny refuses to materialize, an air of cautious hopefulness has crept back into Macao now that City of Dreams has opened on schedule -- and it looks dazzling. Aggressive revenue projections have literally reversed the fortunes of co-owner James Packer, whose disastrous venture into the U.S. casino industry is now seen by some as a blessing in disguise.

At $2.4 billion, City of Dreams rivals the cost of Venetian Macao and is hoped to equal or surpass the latter's 20% return on investment. One projection has it leapfrogging Wynn Macau into third place, with 20% of the Macanese market.

It also represents a double-edged sword for Sheldon Adelson's mammoth casino-resort. If it draws more punters to the Cotai Strip™, good. If it dilutes Adelson's customer base, not so good, obviously. In comments to the Wall Street Journal, Adelson seemed at pains to temper some headstrong pronouncements he'd offered to Steve Friess. As expected, an Adelson without the restraining influences of William Weidner and Brad Stone, is a pedal-to-the-metal Sheldon, saying Las Vegas Sands should have gone faster, faster, faster with its Cotai Strip™ projects, not slower. (The mind reels.)

"I just came back from Macau and we have five or six different options that we can pursue, each one of which would solve our liquidity problems," the Venetian's doge proclaimed ... which doesn't sound a lot different from what he's been saying for months. That is, until he contradicted himself by buying up a truckload of LVS stock -- something he wouldn't have done were a major deal in the offing.

Adelson predicts all his suspended Macao projects will be back in gear by year's end. He's on the curve in one respect, suggesting that his aborted St. Regis condo-hotel on the Strip could be revived by Sands' acting as lender to prospective unit buyers. Palms Place just started doing that very thing.

Sheldon's Commissariat for Optimism never closes, so one tends to grow skeptical of each new variant of "Victory is mine!" Anyway, Adelson was just off the plane from China, so perhaps jet-lag accounts for this reality-challenged assertion: "Our numbers have been going up and the [Macau peninsula] have been going down."

'Fraid not. Scarcely had that Adelsonian utterance made print than Lusa reported May's revenue numbers. If April had seen Wynn Macau falling back toward the pack, with 13% of market share, it returned with a vengeance in May. Steve Wynn's 18% market share -- with far less capacity than Adelson -- put him only three points behind LV Sands and came at the latter's expense. Stanley Ho still leads everybody with 30% -- as much as Galaxy Entertainment, Melco Crown Entertainment and MGM Grand Macau combined.

A few days earlier came news that visitation from Mainland China to Macao had been -43% in April ... hardly propitious conditions for flooring the Cotai Strip™ gas pedal. Ditto a 10% drop in May gambling revenues. Until that much-mooted visa liberalization actually happens, going apeshit with casino-hotel construction makes no sense whatsoever.

Nor did Adelson do his public image any favors with a gratuitous slam against jilted sidekick Weidner. (The latter, given the opportunity to respond, took the high road.) This 'hit 'em when they're down' move will accrue exactly zero sympathy for Adelson -- and it might have some nasty repercussions should it hamper Weidner's attempts to find another job. Then again, he's as rich as Croesus, so he can probably spend the next few decades on the golf course, should he so desire.

There's been no additional movement on the rumored Genting Berhad offer for MGM Grand Macau. However, even in a $13.8 billion/year casino market, the numbers don't look great for MGM. After it splits its 8% market share with partner Pansy Ho, it would have $55 million from which to pay an onerous tax bill, plus operating expenses. (The ROI must be dismal.)

Borgata, in Atlantic City, does $55 million a month -- in a bad month -- and MGM basically cashes a check from Boyd Gaming. So if MGM elects to stay in Macao and vacate Atlantic City, it won't be because the Chinese enclave is contributing more to the bottom line. Who ever thought MGM Grand Macau would function as a glorified "loss leader"?

Steve Wynn has a dragon ... and now Lawrence Ho does, too.

Back home, MGM is going downmarket at The Mirage. And they didn't even have to sell the place to Penn National in order to get there.

Strangely enough ... Penn's recent expression of interest in both Planet Hollywood and Station Casinos passed with scarcely a murmur of comment locally. You'd think that a well-capitalized company like Penn's hanging of a target on Robert Earl's or Frank Fertitta III's back would make headlines -- or maybe Vegas journos have tired of Penn's endless feints and tuned the company out. Well, almost all of them, anyway.

Planet Hollywood, at least, is acting far more aggressively than one would expect from a property that is contemplating a sale. So perhaps Earl is more pursued than pursuer. However, his conversion of Desert(ed) Passage into Miracle Mile appears to have run out of steam -- or money -- at the halfway point. Try as he might, Earl is never going to completely de-Aladdin-ize that place. A magic lantern and three wishes would come in real handy down there.

Also flying under the radar was former Planet Ho boss Michael Mecca's enlistment with Galaxy. Mecca jumped -- or, more likely, was pushed -- from the Planet right when the Omar Siddiqui scandal was at its height. Informed speculation had it that Mecca was thisclose to being tapped to head up James Packer's projected North American gambling empire. Crown Ltd. CEO Rowen Craigie was noncomittal, though, and Crown's big Cannery Casino Resorts acquisition fell through soon thereafter, leaving Mecca hanging.

Success being the best revenge, Mecca not only landed a prestigious new gig -- it's with one of Packer's direct rivals in Macao. Mecca shoots, he scores!

Which brings us full circle to Macao. That worked out tidily, didn't it?

The Company That Ate Itself

Wed, 01 Apr 2009 17:29:00 -0700

Perhaps it was with dry irony that the Las Vegas Review-Journal's latest Station Casinos story's subhead read, "Company blames economy, poached customers." And by whom might those customers have been poached? By Station Casinos itself! The company's imperial overreach has reduced it to gnawing on its own femur, as each new Station property cannibalizes business from somewhere else in the Fertitta empire.

Bad as the 2008 financials were, 2009 is going to be that much worse once the encroachment of M Resort begins to be felt. Last year, Station's casino revenues fell by 11% and ADRs were down comparably. A 14% slippage in cash flow from 2007 meant that a deal valued at a rose-colored 9.7X EBIDTA is now effectively over 11X cash flow. Even had the Fertitta Brothers not insisted upon carting home a half-billion dollars as part of the buyout, its valuation would still have been quite over-optimistic.

(Even in a boom year, Station's proposal to dilute Aliante Station's revenues with a nearby "Losee Station" would be inexplicable. Given the company's current financial performance, it's an idea quite a few fries short of a Happy Meal.)

Elsewhere in the casinosphere, the closest thing to good news was Planet Hollywood's disclosure that it shaved 40% off of last year's losses, thanks to a nearly 8% revenue increase. More alarmingly, the Las Vegas Hilton -- seemingly the one casino-hotel Colony Capital couldn't ruin -- has swung from a profit to a loss.

It's a business miracle! Losses at soon-to-be-cleft Herbst Gaming widened by 60%. Most of that was driven by a -33% downward spiral in slot-route revenues. By contrast, the ouster of sundry Herbsts in favor of CEO Ferenc Szony appears to have given the company's 15 casinos a boost because, as dowdy as some of those places are, their revenue actually grew 1% last year.

For most companies that might be unremarkable; for Herbst it's a miracle. It also puts paid to the Herbsts' face-saving insinuation that, by keeping the slot routes and parting with the casinos, the family was hanging onto the real goodies. I can't even remember the last time I went into a Terrible's convenience store and saw somebody playing the slots.

Humpty Dumpty had a great fall. The Nevada state budget is a two-legged stool, balanced upon gaming and sales taxes. That stool is getting wobblier by the day. Unfortunately, if the Lege has any solutions, it's keeping them to itself.

Casino apocalypse

Thu, 19 Mar 2009 13:08:00 -0700

I'm deeply imbedded in other projects today. In the meantime, by way of In Business Las Vegas and GamingFloor.com (source of yesterday's Harrah's Entertainment time warp, too) here's the answer to the question, "How many casino failures can you pack into nine minutes?" Watch it and weep.

Packer gets a discount; solving the I-15 problem

Mon, 16 Mar 2009 15:50:00 -0700

Though it can't seem to settle on a dollar figure for James Packer's renegotiated Cannery Casino Resorts purchase, this story makes one salient point: A $1.7 billion-plus acquisition could be converted into a 25% stake for $370 million-$390 million. That effectively reprices 100% of Cannery at $1.48 billion-$1.56 billion. Which enables Packer to save face on what is described as an "increasingly onerous deal." Or it could be a graceful way of bowing out of further U.S. casino adventures in favor of a renewed Down Under focus.

A reader writes ...

I know that you are a big fan of a high-speed rail system to Vegas, and I do see the need to increase the traffic flow from SoCal to Vegas.

But I wonder if anyone has run the numbers to compare adding an additional highway lane or two (and even expanding any bridges) from the north edge of the LA area to Vegas? And how that figure compares to the cost of a high-speed rail.

Again, I'm not an opponent of rail lines (in fact, my wife comes from a long-line of train-employed relatives), but I wonder where the best "bang for the buck" would come from.

From some VERY basic numbers on the web, I'm getting estimates of about $1 million per mile per lane for highway building in the desert. Even with adding a lane in each direction, that's about $2 million per mile, or around $400 million for the approx. 200 miles from the north edge of metro LA to Vegas. Even if you more than double that figure for bridge expansions, etc., you still only end up with a cost of $1 billion. Compare that to the $8 billion in the stimulus package for high-speed rail (although I'm not sure how much of that $8 billion goes to the Vegas rail, or what the total cost of that project would be).

As you can tell, I am NO expert on this, but it might be interesting to hear from some experts (and who don't have a dog in the hunt).

You make good points, Kemosabe.

Nevada Lege sticks it to you

Tue, 10 Mar 2009 16:52:00 -0700

Although a few Democrats in the state Senate toyed with the idea of growing a spine and opposing raising the hotel-room tax, all of them -- plus several Republicans -- did the easy thing and opted for Plan A: Soak the tourists. Again. So the new top rate in Las Vegas will be 13%. Pardon us while we put this cigar butt out in your face, too.

All the rationale you need can be found in the final line of Ed Vogel's story, where he's told this "may be more palatable than other tax increases because the tax would be paid by tourists." The disdainful tone expressed toward tourists by KVVU-TV talking heads on this morning's 7 a.m. newscast simply drove the point home: Tax that schmuck behind the tree.

Of course, the tax increase was popular with two-thirds of Clark County voters. Wouldn't you love any tax that somebody else has to pay? Despite having booked the revenue already, Gov. Jim Gibbons will take the coward's way out and let the new impost become law sans signature. That hardly befits a decorated military veteran. (Proving yet again that irony is dead, Gibbons reiterated his now-is-not-the-time-to-raise-taxes mantra the very same day.)

The solons' fecklessness is pithily summarized by an understandably exasperated Jon Ralston:

The session is nearly a third over and a pervasive sense of deja vu is settling in. Governor presents controversial idea(s). Legislature declares them DOA. Partisan sniping ensues between lawmakers and governor and among legislators. Final budget/revenue plans are an abomination, some kind of Frankensteinian creation that has no policy underpinnings but fills a budget hole with cobbled together revenue Band-Aids.

While Gibbons' budgetary 'solution' might be dubbed the Nevada Chainsaw Massacre, the Dems' non-response is equally deplorable, consisting as it does of socking it (among others) to the casino industry even more than ever. This approach would simply amplify existing inequities in Nevada's structure, as Hugh Jackson tried to explain to the Lege, throwing in some charts that even a legislator could understand. They neatly highlight the disparity between the enormous revenue contribution made by casinos -- hundreds of millions of bucks -- and the measly input from the mining industry.

Silver Lining Dept.: Amid all those beyond-horrid numbers from the Nevada Gaming Control Board, note that slot hold is down almost a full percentage point. Hopefully the example of M Resort, trading off loose slots for longer play (the old Cactus Jack's philosophy) will find more adherents. Oh, and Washoe County was up. We'll take any good news we can get and this was pretty unexpected.

A reader enlightens me. Among the possible reasons for the increased smoke infestation at formerly respectable joints like Sunset Station (and Eastside Cannery), a California visitor suggests another: The ban on smoking in Nevada restaurants has driven the cigarette-and-cigar crowd to the casinos more than ever, since the latter represent one of the few safe havens remaining. He's noticed a gradual increase in the smokiness of Red Rock Resort and comparable places that provide a one-stop-shop for dinner, video poker and a smokin' them while you've got 'em.

Can't argue with that ... although the rapid declivity of both Sunset and E-Can into mega-ashtrays suggests to me a confluence of factors, all of them untoward.

Big bounce in Pennsylvania

Thu, 05 Mar 2009 14:04:00 -0700

Casino revenues in the Keystone State leapt 14% from February of Leap Year to this year, at least at six of the state's seven casinos. (Hollywood Casino at Penn National Race Course is excluded; it wasn't open a year ago.) That's $126 million against $110 million, even with one less day in the month, which is divided 55/45 between the state and operators. A 1,578-machine increase in slots, mostly at Mohegan Sun at Pocono Downs really helped, too, as you'll see.

The comparisons of gross-revenue (not to be confused with cash flow, which can be considerably less) are as follows ...

Mohegan Sun @ Pocono Downs: $12.4 million/$17.8 million (44%)

Philadelphia Park: $28.5 million/$30.3 million (6%)

Harrah's Chester: $28.5 million/$27.9 million (-2%)

Presque Isle Downs: $12.1 million/$13.9 million (15%)

The Meadows [Cannery Casino Resorts]: $17 million/$20.6 million (20%)

Mount Airy Resort: $11.6 million/$15.3 million (32%)

Plus another $19.7 million realized at Penn National. Once expansions are completed at The Meadows and Philadelphia Park (more bad news for Harrah's Chester), and Sands Bethlehem and Rivers Casino in Pittsburgh open, the state expects the annual take to swell to $2.25 billion, with industry employment growing to 8,500 souls.

Three-fourths of the value of the troubled, $1.7 billion Cannery/Crown Ltd. deal now rests on The Meadows. Crown says it expects an annual cash flow contribution to be $115 million versus only $35 million from the two Canneries in Las Vegas. If New Yorkers really are willing to drive an hour and 50 minutes to pull the slot handles in Bethlehem, then Sheldon Adelson's 17% projected ROI won't be as zany as it appeared at first blush.

Cannery sale on ice?

Wed, 25 Feb 2009 15:41:00 -0700

Nevada Gaming Control Board Chairman Dennis Neilander was kind enough to ring up pesky old NGCB detractor S&G today and provide some clarification on why Crown Ltd. and its supremo, James Packer, passed muster in the Silver State but have run into heavy weather in Pennsylvania.

"When we first started ... the Packer shares are held in a variety of trusts," controlled by Packer himself, Neilander explained. NGCB representatives met with trust counsel and "pored through all of the trusts," concluding that Packer was the controlling shareholder. "We have no concerns about it here. It was all disclosed to us."

(A government source adds that trustees fear Keystone State confidentiality provisions are less airtight than Nevada ones and information provided to regulators would become public. Which is why three Crown Ltd. participants are suing -- under aliases -- for declaratory relief, in a Delaware court.)

As for a spate of recent developments, Neilander said that Gretel Packer (above) -- who's suddenly gotten cold feet about Pennsylvania licensure -- didn't reach the 10% ownership threshhold necessary to mandate Nevada scrutiny. "We did" have contact with gambler Harry ~~Kanavos~~ Kakavas, Neilander added, saying that at the time there was no indication that Kanavos had tapes of Crown executives allegedly making illegal overtures to him. (Pennsylvania has sent an investigator Down Under to hear the recording.) And with regard to bribery allegations connected to Melco Crown Entertainment's City of Dreams project, those arose late in the proceedings, the chairman said, and there was not enough evidence from which to reach a conclusion as to their validity.

Neilander added that the NGCB is monitoring both the Kanavos and Macanese situations for potential post-licensure action. But with Cannery Casino Resorts bosses William Paulos and William Wortman accusing the Packers of colluding to scuttle the sale, these questions may soon be extremely moot.

Another setback for Packer

Mon, 23 Feb 2009 14:57:00 -0700

Several potential owners of Cannery Casino Resorts want to withdraw from the process rather than disclose their identities to Pennsylvania regulators. In addition, Gretel Packer, sister to Crown Ltd. CEO James Packer, has asked to pull back her license application.

This development inspires no end of questions. If Pennsylvania holds its ground and the Crown affiliates who are insisting upon secrecy pull out, does the whole Cannery deal begin to unravel? (Crown says no.) Was a similar identity waiver granted in Nevada? If so, why? Who are these mystery investors and why is their anonymity so important?

Considering that a gaming license is a privileged and highly prized asset (to say nothing of a potentially lucrative one), there's no conceivable justification for the citizens of Pennsylvania to be kept in the dark about who's behind the Crown Ltd. bid. If the Pennsylvania Gaming Control Board accedes to Crown, its already shaky credibility will be shot.

Packer steps in it again

Thu, 19 Feb 2009 18:50:00 -0700

Now aren't you glad that the Nevada Gaming Control Board and Gaming Commission were so quick to give James Packer the green light to own Cannery Casino Resorts? Not only is he facing an unfolding scandal in Australia, two casinos he co-owns in Macao have been tied into a high-profile bribery case. Whoops.

When asked for comment, Packer's Crown Ltd. passed the buck ($1AU) to Melco Crown Entertainment, in effect dumping the matter in the lap of Packer partner Lawrence Ho. Considering that Packer/Ho's City of Dreams was built on land earmarked for an institution of higher learning -- without even waiting for formal rezoning approval -- this could stir serious backlash in Macao. Foreign-born casino owners are the villain of choice this season, perceived to have their thumbs on the scales of justice.

Who knows? Maybe the younger Ho or one of his associates did grease somebody's palm. However, the casino career of the Packer scion continues to be a catalogue of missteps and misfortunes. Vegas will make short work of him ... if he's still allowed to set up shop here.

Case Bets: James Packer, Isle of Capri

Mon, 09 Feb 2009 18:30:00 -0700

Geez, maybe the Nevada Gaming Control Board shouldn't have been in such a hurry to green-light James Packer's purchase of Cannery Casino Resorts. (In a bow to noblesse oblige, Packer wasn't even required to put in an appearance at the Nevada Gaming Commission's vote on the matter.) At least the NGCB might have wanted to see how the Harry Kakavas scandal plays out, especially when Kakavas purports to have Crown Ltd. execs committing improprieties on tape. And since one of the people in the hot seat is Crown CEO Rowen Craigie -- with whom Nevada regulators have become quite familiar -- close attention is warranted.

Regulators from Pennsylvania -- a state not heretofore known for the thoroughness of its casino due diligence -- are taking this matter a little more seriously. In fact, they're sending a deputy Down Under to hear Kakavas' sub rosa recordings in person. Having dropped the ball on Don Barden and Louis DeNaples, the Pennsylvania Gaming Control Board clearly doesn't want a third botched background investigation on its ledger.

Packer, money soon parted: A $300 million writedown of other stateside Packer casino investments is on the way. Reuters' dispatch implies that some of Packer's Fontainebleau stake may be written off. That's neither a vote of confidence for Packer or F'bleau, which looks more and more like the wrong project in the wrong place at the wrong time. At the time Packer bought in, it'd looked like he'd found a "steal" -- and that F'bleau had been hard up for investors. Well, the second part may still be accurate.

Update: Then again ... maybe both still hold water. All though all of Packer's U.S. casino holdings (exclusive of Cannery) may be only worth $65 million combined, getting 20% of F'bleau for 65 mil still qualifies as a steal.

Isle bags U.K. venture: Even had it stuck to its knitting (U.S. regional casinos), Isle of Capri Casinos would still be in the doldrums -- its revenues weren't growing on a same-store basis. A duff casino project in the bowels of Coventry's Ricoh Arena just made things worse and now its end is nigh. Perhaps, as Isle contends, Britain's regulatory regime is partly to blame, but that's an excuse which suggests Isle didn't quite know what it was getting into -- nor would a strong performance in Coventry have cured the company's underlying malaise. Couple this with a 'debacular' Bahamas venture and Isle can't come home soon enough.

Dancing Tsar? No, not he: Normally admitting to be an ABBA fan wouldn't be a problem ... unless you happen to be Vladmir Putin, that is. Bjorn Again probably never imagined they were onto the publicity coup of their careers.

Atlantic City Death Watch V

Mon, 26 Jan 2009 18:08:00 -0700

Joys, Shakespeare famously wrote, come as solitary spies while griefs arrive by the battalion. So it is with Atlantic City, where the bad news washes up along the Boardwalk in bunches. If you picked Resorts Atlantic City as the Casino Likeliest to Be Seized, you've just won the office pool.

In what would be an historic first, Resorts' mortgage holder wants Colony Capital -- which has missed three straight payments -- to surrender title to the property. Failing that, the New Jersey Casino Control Commission has been asked to sanction the seizure of the casino. And if Plan B doesn't work, Column Financial threatens to dispatch its agents on "cash sweeps" across the property. That's right, money could be commandeered straight from the casino floor in a forcible attempt to hold Colony to account.

If that seems harsh, imagine what might happen to you or I if we skipped 90 days' worth of house or car payments. Having snagged Resorts for a bargain-basement $140 million, Colony Capital proceeded to lumber it with 2.6X debt. It's the classic American story of our decade: mortgaged to the hilt, maxed out on the credit card and with no way to pay.

Should Column be successful in either of its first two proposed scenarios, it won't mean the end of Atlantic City's oldest casino. Colony's loss would become a nice little management contract for somebody else. (Maybe thrift-consicous soon-to-be-ex-Cannery Casino Resorts owners William Paulos and William Wortman should volunteer for the gig.)

With insolvency literally at Resorts' doorstep, the Tropicana in Chapter 11 and three Trump Entertainment Resorts casinos headed that way, Atlantic City faces a depressing prospect: Five of its 11 casinos could easily be in either bankruptcy or foreclosure by the end of next month. The market has boiled down to the Haves (Boyd Gaming, Harrah's Entertainment) and the Have-Nots (everybody else). As David Schwartz points out, while Pinnacle Entertainment may not have done itself a favor by tearing down the Sands, it probably kept the other small fry afloat that much longer.

The prodigal son

Mon, 19 Jan 2009 18:03:00 -0700

Poor Kerry Packer; the late Australian mogul and famous high roller must be doing all his rolling in the grave now. Reputed for being daring at baccarat and cautious in business, the media baron is at least spared the indignity of seeing son James Packer blow through his patrimony at a record pace.

Going is the $33 million yacht; on hold is the $40 million corporate jet. Even work on the $2.5 million backyard swimming pool has been suspended. (Don't you hate it when that happens?) At least the pin placements on Packer's Greg Norman-designed golf course are still "changed every day at massive expense," reports Rupert Murdoch's News.com.au.

More seriously, Packer is reported to be suffering from depression, though other media reports dispute this. Given the debilitating, even paralyzing nature of the disease (something for which I can vouch firsthand), it puts a potentially very different cast upon Packer's December no-show for a Nevada Gaming Control Board hearing.

When Packer did turn up, Chairman Dennis Neilander admitted to being somewhat foxed by Packer's acquisition of Cannery Casino Resorts (for $1.8 billion). "You and me both," I thought. As Packer seemingly played Pin the Tail on the Donkey, buying not only Cannery but positions in Fontainebleau, Station Casinos, Harrah's Entertainment and the flaccid Crown Las Vegas 'failsino'-tower, I tried to convince myself that an overarching strategy was at work. In retrospect -- especially after the writedown of the Station and Harrah's investments -- what we were witnessing was James Packer, Shopaholic. (How did he manage to miss out on the Cosmopolitan?) One begins to see why Steve Wynn steered clear of Packer, back when the talk of a Wynn-Packer joint venture was the buzz du jour on the Strip.

Even the Crown Macau cash spigot has been sputtering, although Melco Crown CEO Lawrence Ho keeps insisting that Chinese access to Macao will improve in time for the City of Dreams opening. (Either he's whistling past the graveyard or he knows something for which others would pay a very great number of patacas.) Market share is down at Crown Macau and the Macanese government is predicting a serious diminution of gaming revenue for for the overall market in 2009, placing it somewhere near $10.7 billion.

Plus, the ripple effect doesn't stop there. Aristocrat Leisure, which could really stand to have some good news, had been hoping for a fivefold increase in its installed slot base in Macao over the next two years. Not only is that unlikely, operators are trimming their existing slot inventory.

Underscoring their pessimism regarding reduced visa restrictions, Macanese tourism officials are turning their gaze at least partly away from China. Among the newly coveted markets are Singapore's presumed feeder markets -- India, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Thailand, and even Australia and New Zealand -- to say nothing of Singapore itself. It's long been presumed that Singapore's got a tough row to hoe when its casino megaresorts come on line and it just keeps getting tougher.

Rogues' gallery

Thu, 15 Jan 2009 13:08:00 -0700

After a fitful start, blogorrhea is sweeping the business desk of the Las Vegas Review-Journal, resulting a veritable flood of news nuggets today ...

Planet Hollywood prexy Michael Mecca has resigned to pursue the proverbial "other opportunities" at a time when revenues have been up. On the next Vegas Gang, Jeff Simpson predicts -- with unassailable logic -- that Mecca is going over to Crown Ltd. to head up James Packer's North American gambling operations (in which case Mecca will have his work cut out for him, but congratulations all the same).

A less-charitable alternative theory would be that Mecca has been scapegoated by Planet Ho for having been in charge when it got dragged into the Omar Siddiqui scandal. (The indicted ex-Fry's Electronics exec lost $9 million there in one gambling session alone.) Planet Ho's lawsuit against Siddiqui got tossed last month.

"No more wire hangers!" Whatever the case, somebody leaked Siddiqui's player profile to the San José Mercury News and, geez, this "whale" sure is a whiny little bitch. (Sorry, I meant that to read, "a high-value, loyal customer and a good friend of our casino staff, who look forward to his every visit.")

Good news for visitors: The Nevada Department of Transportation is at least talking about widening I-15 south of Tropicana Ave. Whether NDOT can get the money from Gov. Jim "Scissorhands" Gibbons is another matter, but it can at least remind Midnight Jim that he himself identified California as Nevada's Numero Uno tourism priority in the course of disparaging Asian marketing as "a waste of taxpayer money."

And who knew that the Circus Circus RV park was the new "in" place to stay?

Randy Black, aka Mr. Thrift. Many of his employees are out of work, the former Si Redd's Oasis may be a hollow sepulchre these days and his Black Gaming has defaulted on debt. But we don't need to pass the hat for the self-aggrandizing Black Sr. quite yet.

Seeing financial havoc all around him, Black decided that austerity measures are for other people (like his employees) and awarded himself a nearly 4% raise for this year, escalating to 5% for each year afterwards. Whatever meagre EBITDA Black's Mesquite casinos achieve, 5% of that will be redirected into Black's pockets as a "management fee," on top of $21,200 in other goodies.

At a time when Nevadans from all walks are being asked, or sometimes told, to accept wage freezes and outright reductions, Black's greed is a disgrace to the state. R-J reporter Arnold Knightly is to be commended for keeping tabs on SEC filings and ferreting out not-so-niceties like this.

In other news ...

Folies Bergere: 49 is the new 50.

From showgirls to no-girls: What's Ron Thacker's first official act as president of the Tropicana Las Vegas? What else but shut down Folies Bergere well shy of its 50th anniversary? The no-frills spirit of Columbia Sussex remains, protestations to the contrary, clearly alive and well [sic] at the Trop.

Thacker's press release made noises implying that the Trop had a replacement for Folies waiting in the wings but, when pressed by Norm(!) Clarke, a Trop flack could only weakly respond that it was "exploring options" and was "definitely not closing up shop." (The Trop gave the Las Vegas Sun a different, more definitive story, saying it does have a new show en route.) Unspecified property improvements are also promised. Pardon my skepticism, but we've heard that before -- and are still waiting.

Geez, first Titanic and Bodies take a hike over to Luxor (where they're doing even bigger business). Now this. Since it's a just a wee bit too cold for swimming right now, is there any reason left to visit the Tropicana? Bueller ... Bueller?

Harmon blame game: It looks as though the truncation of The Harmon into a 25-story stump is ultimately the fault of the same people who overlooked scofflaw remodeling jobs at sundry Harrah's Entertainment properties: Clark County's ever-(not)-vigilant building inspectors. "What? Fifteen floors of deficient rebar you say? Gosh, I guess I missed it. My bad. When's lunch?"

The Las Vegas Sun's story comes with a helpful graphic that shows how Perini Building Co. and its subcontractors ineptly installed and then further compromised the rebar that ultimately turned the (would-have-been) 49-story Harmon into what we might call The Half Harmon. In the accompanying video, Clark County's Ron Lynn threatens the culprits with a "potential disciplinary hearing." Oh, they must be quaking in their boots.

Peppermill exec in line for state job. No, not the beloved Peppermill restaurant on the Strip but rather Reno's Peppermill Resort Casino. Director of Marketing Kim Stoll is one of six finalists for the job of Nevada's tourism czar. Not making the cut was underqualified Gibbons crony Kirk Montero. Then again, Gibbons wants to eliminate the selfsame job that he tried to gift-wrap for Montero, so maybe the also-rans in this competition are its real winners.

MGM CEO sez, "Make me an offer"

Thu, 08 Jan 2009 14:47:00 -0700

“We are certainly not looking to aggressively sell assets, but the point is that we do have assets that are attractive and we are going to be very responsive.”

That's MGM Mirage CEO Jim Murren's way of saying that he's not going to hold a fire sale ... but don't be shy with those purchase offers, either. He's identified drastic debt reduction as his top priority, which partly explains why the company is spinning its undoubtedly mortifying The Harmon fiasco as A Good Thing, Really, as it brings the moving target which is CityCenter's budget down to a svelte $8.6 billion ... assuming they don't have to refund those $88 million worth of Harmon deposits. (Murren may have conceived CityCenter but it is his perceived rival, CityCenter CEO Bobby Baldwin, whose resumé is much likelier to be blotched by the forced truncation of a planned 47-story tower into a 25-story stump.)

CityCenter: Now with 50% less Harmon!

Elsewhere, Murren contends that MGM could have gone back and finished The Harmon at its intended height. Well, yes ... but even if the bankers are reopening their checkbooks, as Murren says, it's difficult to imagine a scenario in which they happily agree to pile additional hundreds of millions in debt onto a project that still isn't fully funded. Unspecified Chinese banks are reportedly being supplicated for those elusive last few (millions of) dollars.

Perhaps Murren was being a mite tongue-in-cheek, as the odds of financiers underwriting a Harmon do-over are probably somewhere in the same realm of probability as flying pigs and Guy Laliberté admitting that Cirque du Soleil screwed the pooch with Believe. (Mais non, it's nothing that as much as six months of "fixations" can't cure, mes amis.)

The James Packer Jinx redux? This isn't reassuring: Soon-to-be Cannery Casino Resorts owner James Packer's Crown Ltd. is promising "a new Las Vegas-based senior management team and board" and that "many" current managers and employees will stay. Furthermore, the company will apply business models that have worked for it in Australia, Canada and Macao to improving the not-exactly-struggling Cannery performance.

Now, this is what's called fixing what isn't broken. Nor has the Vegas market been kind to operators who have come here from overseas and attempted to reinvent the wheel. One cautionary example Packer hopefully will heed is that of Swiss Casinos, whose somewhat pretentious Resort at Summerlin tanked unmercifully, to much glee within the industry. Swiss Casinos made it plain it didn't want to hear Word One about what worked in Las Vegas, they had it all figured out. Their pride went before a fall into Chapter 11. Ironically -- or prophetically, perhaps -- Packer will inherit the erstwhile Resort @ Summerlin, which Cannery manages in its current guise, the Rampart Casino.

Less the value of that management contract, Packer is paying $600 million apiece for two locals casinos and a Pennsylvania racino. That seems more than a bit steep, even in a good economy, but looked like a much better idea at the time it was hatched, before Wall Street did a face-plant and hindsight became 20/20.

Well, at least Packer was able to get a plane ticket to Las Vegas this time. (He missed his previous scheduled appearance.) That's a good start.

Case Bets: Stanley Ho in Vegas?, HRH grows but Morgans shrinks

Thu, 11 Dec 2008 13:47:00 -0700

A local columnist raises the spectre of Stanley Ho getting back-door access into Las Vegas via James Packer's acquisition of Cannery Resorts. This isn't the first time I've heard this question raised and, call me complacent, but I believe it stems from confusion. Namely, a conflation of Crown Ltd., the umbrella under which Packer's U.S. casino investments are huddled, and Melco Crown Entertainment, his joint venture with Lawrence Ho, son of dear old Stan.

While the Packer and Ho heirs do business together in Macao (and belatedly tried to get into Singapore), there hasn't been a whiff of Lawrence Ho being involved in Packer's U.S. ventures. (Obviously, because we're talking about discrete companies here.) Concern about Stanley Ho getting his mitts into Cannery are not only a stretch, but far more of one than the worries that were aired when MGM Mirage built a casino in Macao that was half-financed with money borrowed -- by Pansy Ho -- from the ancient casino vizier.

Doom, gloom in context. While the headlines are full of apocalyptic pronouncements on the subject of October's Nevada casino revenue decline, note where it says these numbers are the lowest "since April 2005." That was when the Las Vegas economy was on an upward trend that would make "bargain" and "Strip" virtually oxymoronic. So 2005's good numbers become 2008's panic-inducers ... of course, Las Vegas' ability to sustain its ensuing merge-n-splurge spree (and the ensuing Excedrin headache of ebt) on 2005-level revenues is a whole 'nother story.

April '05 would postdate the point in our economy where Americans started saving money at a negative rate and living off credit. At the time (i.e., March of that year), then-Council of Economic Advisers Chairman Ben Bernanke said, as recounted in the Dec. 1, 2008 issue of The New Yorker, "the main source of imbalance in the global economy was not excess spending at home but, rather, excess saving in China ... "

Darn those party-pooping Chinese! Everything would be just ducky if it weren't for them! But seriously, folks ...

Hindsight being 20/20, this was probably the point where the casino industry ought to have recognized that the U.S. economy (goaded by three-plus years of easy-money policies at the Federal Reserve) was on an unsustainable course and started curbing its growth projections -- and development plans. Instead, it stomped on the gas pedal and we got (in no particular order) leveraged buyouts of Station Casinos and Harrah's Entertainment, crazy land inflation on the Strip -- peaking at over $40 million/acre, CityCenter, Echelon, Palazzo, Viva, umpteen failed or undersold condo projects, bankruptcy at Tropicana Entertainment and the Cosmopolitan, potential bankruptcy at Herbst Gaming and Isle of Capri, and now a loud screeching sound as the brakes are belatedly applied.

Morgans' Faustian pact. What doth it profit Morgans Hotel Group to acquire the Hard Rock Hotel & Casino only to sell it back to the bank in little bits and pieces? Morgans' stake in the exponentially expanding HRH barely exceeds 14% and is on track to get smaller still. Some of us thought from the start that Morgans had bitten more than it could chew. Or, to look at it another way, what a long, strange trip Morgans has taken to wind up with a glorified management contract.

Chrysler cars getting worse? Yup, it looks like another triumph for private equity buyouts.

Fear of flying

Fri, 05 Dec 2008 18:26:00 -0700

There may have been more to James Packer's inability to attend his scheduled Nevada Gaming Control Board appearance than not having a plane ticket (which was more or less the official excuse). Today's Sydney Morning Herald reports that Packer's Crown Ltd. can't close on its purchase of Cannery Casino Resorts until early '09. So, being unable to arrange a flight from Australia to Las Vegas works out rather conveniently, no?

Not coming soon to a theater near you: Macau Studio City.

Even so, Crown assures the investment community that, once some i's are dotted and t's crossed, it'll have $900 million for additional casino purchases. And if ever there was a buyer's market for casinos, we're entering it. Then again, Packer has a history of rolling snake eyes on casino investments (Station Casinos, Harrah's Entertainment, Crown Las Vegas, and the all-but-dead Macau Studio City. City of Dreams isn't looking too hale, either. Oh, and even employees at volatile Crown Macau are being furloughed; but management says they're really happy about it).

Meanwhile, let's hope that the next time Mr. Packer has an appointment with Nevada regulators the dog doesn't eat his homework the night before.

Server-based gambling takes off. See, you skeptics! You said it would never happen, didn't ya? The joke's on you!

Oh ... hold on ... what's that? The "high-potential gaming market of Cambodia," you say? To be followed by the cleaner-than-a-hound's-tooth Philippines?

On second thought, forget I said anything.

Packer's reverse Midas Touch

Tue, 25 Nov 2008 18:52:00 -0700

Remember what I wrote yesterday about James Packer being bad luck for everything with which he gets involved? Now Station Casinos is the latest victim of his reverse Midas Touch (and he owns a portion of Harrah's Entertainment, too). Maybe we should be hoping his purchase of Cannery Casino Resorts doesn't go through, because Dame Fortune is not smiling upon the heir to Packer billions these days.

Control Board changes its tune

Thu, 09 Oct 2008 13:19:00 -0700

Waaaaaaaaaaay back in 2000, the Aladdin 2.0 was struggling into being, and Jack Sommer and London Clubs International were at each others' throats. Sommer's shallow pockets had forced LCI into taking a much bigger stake in the megaresort than it had ever envisioned. We all know what happened next: The Aladdin tanked massively, took LCI down with it and broke the health of the company's CEO.

Much of this handwriting was on the wall when the Aladdin went through its licensing hearings. Much Sommer/LCI dirty laundry was aired in public, providing ample reason to doubt the project's viability and solvency. Nevada regulators, however, saw no reason not to let the foredoomed project move ahead. It's that old "Too big to fail" thing.

Aliante Station: All the charm of a corporate HQ.

Perhaps they've learned better, though. The solvency of Aliante Station was front and center at its licensing hearing. Even if revenue projections are 66% overestimated, the new locals casino will still break even, we're assured.

On the other hand, what was Control Board member Randall Sayre smoking when he said it was "refreshing" to see a Vegas casino built for less than $1 billion? Only a fool would spend that much on a locals casino (which relies on a drastically different business model than a Strip resort). And Aliante's $662 million price tag is scarcely a badge of frugality.

Sayre might want to ask why Station had to spend so much when Eastside Cannery, a comparable property, was brought in for 38% of that budget. Station has the two poshest locals casinos in the Vegas area -- Red Rock Resort and Green Valley Ranch -- but its spending levels strongly suggest that Station's cost control isn't terribly stringent.

Mont-blew it; more E-Can; Trump struggling

Fri, 05 Sep 2008 13:45:00 -0700

"Montbleu screwed our pooch." That's the conclusion of Chuck Monster, who chronicles a bait-and-switch at the former Caesars Tahoe. It's now part of the prospering casino fleet that is Columbia Sussex and its "pet friendly" package turned out to be more like "pet indifferent." After withholding it for a full year, in hopes of a partial refund that materialized, Chuck has finally released a Montbleu-by-blow account.

New casino overseer Scott Butera may be promising a new, improved Tropicana Entertainment but, from what Chuck says, it's still ColSux as usual for the time being. At least the incident gave him excuse to post numerous photos of Montbleu being inspected by a totally adorable pug named Maxine, who is certain to steal your heart.

E-Can makes the rounds. The reviews of Eastside Cannery keep rolling in. There's a Compton/Dancer critique of its gambling value (good). Steve Friess went a while back and was mildly amused/bemused. For his part, Chuck Monster deconstructs its decor. Our new issue of Las Vegas Advisor contains a lengthy appraisal by Anthony Curtis.

Trumped. Perhaps the single most interesting fact in Chuck's review is buried way down at the end and it's this: On an upcoming weekend, when E-Can is commanding $129/night ($1 less than Circus Circus), rooms at Trump International are going for $163/night -- $38/night less than Excalibur. Yes, Excalibur! (And $346/night less than Wynn Las Vegas.) Can you say "bomb"? I thought you could.

E-Can debuts

Fri, 29 Aug 2008 17:27:00 -0700

We got out of the way of the front doors of Eastside Cannery last night just in the nick of time. For all the apprehension about opening new casinos in the current economy (especially when locals' gambling budgets have taken a big hit), patrons were out in force for the opening, literally charging the casino floor when the doors swung wide. Whether by car or by foot, it was impressive turnout -- not the mob scene that greeted The Palms in 2001 -- but quite a heartening sight nonetheless.

E-Can is yet another nail in the coffin of the old "entrapment" theory of casino design. The entryways are airy and easily visible throughout the casino floor. Aisles are wide and, even with 2,100-plus slots, one gets that sense that Cannery Casino Resorts could have jammed in quite a few more but elected not to. Good on them.

Ceilings aren't so low as to be oppressive, but not so high as to engender the "slot barn" feeling of Palazzo or South Point. The various eateries are distributed in a "restaurant row" along the east wall. The sports book is very open and spacious, and wouldn't look out of place at a Strip casino -- and is far superior to some Strip books I could name, but won't.

We gorged a little too much early in our go-around, so we didn't do justice to each restaurant's offerings. (Though, for the record, oysters on the half shell and covered with chives and melted cheese tastes a helluva lot better than it probably reads. Kudos on the sausage-stuffed mushrooms, too.) If what was on display -- and in our stomachs -- last night was a representative sample of the everyday fare, my biggest concern will be whether such a high standard can be maintained over the long haul.

If you grew up in the Sixties, as I did, the prevalent color and décor schemes will have a comforting familiarity. The overall aesthetic could be called 'Light Industrial,' and I don't mean that in a cute or pejorative way. Exposed pipework appears to be part of the statement, although I'm not so sure about the lack of drop ceiling. I couldn't tell whether the acoustical tiling has simply been omitted or is going to be installed later.

There's not a lot of fine detailing; strong colors, acute angles and long, undulating curves all typify a casino where the design elements are writ large. Sometimes form takes precedence over functionality: Stools in the sports book and one of the restaurants may be pleasing to the eye but they're distinctly unforgiving to the ass. On the other hand, the keno lounge is as classy and comfortable as any I've seen in Vegas.

Given the unbelievable thrift with which "the dollar Bills," Messrs. Paulos and Wortman* pulled E-Can off, one does feel the compulsion to scan the place for obvious economies, trying to figure out how they did it. The exterior is pretty Spartan; big, sharp and sweeping lines (and a wraparound neon display after dark) endeavor to divert one's attention from an otherwise utilitarian look.

Inside, certain of the wall coverings and materials screamed "Cheap!", especially around the proscenium in Marilyn's, the live-entertainment lounge. Some upfront savings will probably mean frequent-replacement costs on the back end. Then again, I heard similar criticisms of The Palms when it opened (and George Maloof arguably overcrowded his slot floor in the early going -- a mistake not repeated here), but keeping construction costs low was one of the cornerstones of that place's success.

Paulos and Wortman's heir, James Packer, will be in profit on E-Can a lot more quickly than will any recent or forthcoming Station casino, given the latter company's current tendency to spend lavishly and then scrimp down the road. Assuming that maintenance is proactive and frequent, I don't see any downside for E-Can.

Despite my longstanding fondness for Sam's Town, the pioneering Boyd Gaming property will seem that much more like a crowded and badly laid-out warren of gambling rooms -- definitely Old School, if that's what you dig. Given the two casinos' proximity, I can see Sam's Town evolving into a "dormitory" where people stay or park their RVs, take advantage of the movie theaters, etc., but do their playing at E-Can. Plus, the cheerful, retro Cannery "brand" has struck quite a chord with Las Vegans. Aggressive counter-marketing will have to be the order of the day.

* -- "The dollar Bills" was Hollywood's nickname for producer William Pine and his business partner, William Thomas, so named for their budget-conscious tendencies. It seems affectionately apt for the Paulos/Wortman duo, who balance fiscal conservatism with quality.

Eastside Cannery update

Thu, 28 Aug 2008 12:25:00 -0700

Yesterday, I asked how William Paulos and William Wortman were able to bring in Eastside Cannery (which opens tonight) for 250 million clams -- $425 million less than Station Casinos is splurging on Aliante Station. In today's Sun, Liz Benston explains how. The two Bills have a history of turning sow's ears into silk purses and, should the buyout of Cannery Casino Resorts by James Packer go through, they'll only stay on long enough to get their Pennsylvania racino open.

Hopefully -- hopefully -- Packer will retain enough of the Paulos/Wortman-assembled executive team to get things humming along in their wonted fashion, and will refrain from meddling. Casino operators, especially ones from overseas, who are novices in the Vegas market tend to have a very rough go of it here.

Harrah's makes the news and not in good way. On the other hand, who knew that the erstwhile Barbary Coast was where the hip-hop crowd likes to roll, especially after a run-in with the law? Of course, the "Suge" Knight incident is big news for us at LVA, seeing as it went down an Olympic shot put-throw's distance from our Procyon Ave. corporate headquarters. And now Gary Loveman can brag on how "gangsta" his properties have become.

Durango Station, slightly downsized

Wed, 27 Aug 2008 18:28:00 -0700

Station Casinos has filed its latest set of plans for Durango Station and it looks like they've pulled back a bit, although you can judge for yourself. Hotel inventory has been reduced from 1,040 rooms, then 1,000, to 726; the smaller of the two towers has been scaled back an additional 10 feet in height.

Bingo players will be displeased, as a bingo room has been scrapped; ditto a bowling alley. Two fewer reasons to go there, IMO.

Rather than wait, though, Station will go ahead straightaway with the second of two parking garages. Even with 4,048 covered spaces, Station is also budgeting for over 2,100 surface-parking spaces, causing Clark County planners some minor qualms over the oceans of asphalt surrounding Durango Station and the pedestrian hazard they could represent.

Joe Hasson, Aliante Station GM

Carol Thompson, Aliante's assistant GM

On the executive front, Station has selected the general manager and assistant GM for Aliante Station. They are, respectively, Joe Hasson and Carol Thompson. The former boss of Harrah's New Orleans, Hasson -- who Casino Executive Magazine once described as "whippet-thin" (and who, if memory serves, is a marathon runner), comes to Aliante from a lengthy tenure at Green Valley Ranch. If he looks familiar, it's because he was a regular on the Discovery Channel's American Casino, filmed at GVR. Thompson, who is active in local philanthropy, honed her managerial school at some of Station's "farm team" properties, such as Barley's.

The only question remaining is this: If Aliante Station cost $675 million, why was Cannery Casino Resorts able to build Eastside Cannery for $425 million less? Yes, Aliante has a concert hall and a 16-screen cineplex. But ECan has 105 more hotel rooms, more meeting space and an equal number of restaurants. (It also boasts a spa and a bingo room, items not listed among Aliante's amenities.)

ECan also makes a bolder, striking architectural statement, the jagged parapet of its hotel tower serrating the sky. Aliante's outward style might be described as Office Park Chic.

Station just doesn't seem to be getting nearly as much bang for its buck. How come?

Case Bets: Luxor, Excalibur, Cannery East

Fri, 08 Aug 2008 11:32:00 -0700

MGM Mirage has provided a little more insight into just how much it's doing in terms of spending on renovations to Luxor and Excalibur. "We are spending around $100M in improvements on each of these properties this year, and we have invested millions more since the 2005 merger," writes a company representative (emphasis added).

You could argue that Excalibur needs a lot more than that -- or maybe just some well-placed dynamite -- but it's good to see something being done. It's an open secret that Mandalay Resort Group let things slide at its Strip properties while MGM's buyout was in progress, leaving the new owners with a lot of remedial work to do.

Out-of-towners who haven't seen Eastside Cannery arising along the Boulder Strip may enjoy this funky montage of its nightly light show. The building is an extremely striking addition to the eastside, dominating the landscape for miles around much as Sam's Town used to do. Poor Sam's Town: It used to look so monumental and now it's dwarfed by the upstart down the street. (For the record, Cannery Casino Resorts only manages Rampart Casino and it's [CCR] being bought out by Crown Ltd., not Melco PBL.)