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  • Whom Do You Trust?

Whom Do You Trust?

March 7, 2017 9 Comments Written by Bob Dancer

I’m showing my age, but I remember the “Who Do You Trust?” television show hosted by Johnny Carson before he got the Tonight Show gig. He always said later that the first word should have been “Whom” rather than “Who,” and if you can’t trust Johnny Carson, whom can you trust?

Many of the people who attend my classes are quarter or dollar players. It’s no secret that I play for higher stakes, at least some of the time. Usually once or twice a semester, someone says something like, “Although I would never play for the stakes you do, I’m really curious as to what games you play and where. Will you tell me?”

My standard answer is that I write about the places I play that I don’t mind you knowing about, and don’t write about the ones I would rather keep secret. So, if they don’t already know about one of my plays, I’m not going to tell them.

The reason for this is simple. Many plays can only support one or two competent players. Telling the world about such a play would be the kiss of death to the play. No thanks.

One player followed up with, “But I promise I won’t tell anybody, and I certainly won’t be playing those stakes myself. Don’t you trust me?”

Well, I’m not sure. I’d rather not put it to the test. If I trust 20 people and 19 of them never told a soul, the secret is still out. Is this guy one of the 19, or the one who says, “It won’t hurt anything if I mention this to my brother-in-law?” I don’t know beforehand, so it’s better that I keep quiet.

I’m not a proponent of the “Two can keep a secret only if one of them is dead” philosophy. If Richard Munchkin wants to know the where and why on any of my plays, I’m going to tell him. I trust him — even though he has the bankroll along with family members and close friends who could burn out any play I told him about. Among top gamblers, their word is their bond. If I told him, “I’ll tell you about it but you can’t play because of xxxxx,” I believe he’d honor that.

On the radio show, we’ve had blackjack team captains describe teams they were on where one of the team members ripped off the others. This is rare — but it happens — and it’s always a shock when it does. You can protect yourself from this by never telling anybody anything, but that’s going to be a lonely life you lead.

Trusting somebody has similarities with marriage. Although it ends badly some of the time (and I’ve experienced my share of that), overall, I’m convinced my life works better being married than being single.

I’d actually be more comfortable telling Richard about a play than I would be telling Bonnie! Bonnie is not a player at all and although she’s definitely on my side, if I tell her I’m going to be playing at the (pick a casino), it’s possible that she would inadvertently tell her sister, daughter, or a girlfriend where I’m playing. If I tell her over and over again, “This is a secret — you can tell no one,” she’ll honor my wishes. But she has no good gambling sense about what is a secret and what isn’t and she’s not really practiced in keeping secrets. It’s better not to tell her.

If I took her to a comped meal at the Wicked Spoon buffet at the Cosmopolitan, she would figure out that there was some play (now gone) that I had there, but she isn’t really capable of understanding why the play there was better or worse than playing at some other casino. She’s willing to listen and nod her head if I tell her, “The game pays xxx% off the top, with yyy% from the slot club, and zzz% from the mailers.  This other promotion they’re having now adds another vvv%, and there’s a pretty good chance I can talk them into www% worth of comps.”  These are just numbers to her and it’s all kind of gobbledygook.

Richard, however, would understand each of these things and if he didn’t, he’d ask me to explain further. And he could put the numbers into context of other plays he knew about. That is, a 100.5% play is pretty good if the best you can find otherwise is 100.3%. But if you can find a 101% play for the same stakes, a 100.5% isn’t such a good deal.

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blackjack, blackjack teams, cosmopolitan, johnny carson, Richard Munchkin, tonight show, top gamblers, video poker, who do you trust, wicked spoon buffet
Podcast – guest Brian Zembic – The Man With the $100,000 Breasts
Podcast – guest Greg “Fossilman” Raymer

9 Comments

  1. Jeffrey Jeffrey
    March 7, 2017    

    But, when you start playing, how long would the play last?

    Everybody knows you face and who you are. Wouldn’t the jungle drums start pounding?

  2. Rick Rick
    March 7, 2017    

    Hi Bob,

    Just thought I’d share a story with you about my visit to South Point. As a snowbird with a cage account I have to come in each month to get my mailer. After years of “A” or “B” mailers, last month I received a “D” mailer even though my play was substantial and today they took away my club card. They immediately gave me a check for my points and said I’m welcome to play any machines but can not have a club card. Needless to say this was very disappointing as even though I’ve been on the “DNI” list at stations for years, they still let me accumulate points and use them. I did not expect this from a Michael Gaughan owed property. Enjoy your day.

  3. Bob Dancer Bob Dancer
    March 7, 2017    

    This has happened there to others as well. I wish it wasn’t the case, but it is what it is. So far as I know, ALL casinos periodically exclude winning video poker players.

  4. alpax alpax
    March 7, 2017    

    Though the column thoroughly covers the perils of trusting complete strangers with a trade secret, it would feel more complete if there were positives mentioned in trusting the right people. From past articles, I recall some of these secrets can be obtained for a monetary price, “finder’s fee”. I would be interested in reading a column about putting a fair value/worth to these “finder’s fee” deals.

  5. LC Larry LC Larry
    March 8, 2017    

    Remember this. You’re not beating video poker. You’re beating the comp system. You got “backed off” the comp system like a card counter would get backed off of blackjack but is told they can play other games.

  6. Dave E Dave E
    March 8, 2017    

    The guy getting no carded at SP shows that they still sweat the cash. They are smart enough to do the math on a promo, so they must be counting on idiots to lose and then cry when someone wins. And yet they keep allowing VP classes to be taught at their casino. Maybe Michael needs to stop dumping millions into his sons race career as he just isn’t that good.

  7. grg grg
    March 9, 2017    

    please explain A B D mailers and DNI. i come to vegas 2 or 3 times and play at South point.

  8. Bob Dancer Bob Dancer
    March 9, 2017    

    Assume the mailers for locals are

    A: $75 a week
    B. $50 a week
    C. $20 a week
    D. $10 a week
    E. $5 a week
    F. $5 twice a month

    Whether these designations are exactly correct or not, you can get the gist of what he was talking about.

    DNI is probably “do not invite.” I assume it is the same as being “no mailed,” which generally means you are not eligible for promotions that most players are. Although the exact definition varies by casino, you get the idea.

  9. grg grg
    March 10, 2017    

    thanks

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