{"id":120458,"date":"2020-01-26T21:22:19","date_gmt":"2020-01-27T05:22:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/gambling-with-an-edge\/?p=120458"},"modified":"2023-06-22T14:58:28","modified_gmt":"2023-06-22T21:58:28","slug":"one-in-288-million-hands","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/gambling-with-an-edge\/one-in-288-million-hands\/","title":{"rendered":"One in 288 Million Hands"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

I regularly see and hear what players perceive as rare events taking place in casinos. Usually it’s something in the mid six-figure to one shots. A dealt royal is roughly 650,000 to 1 for example. As tough as that is, you see that now and then and may have even had one yourself. Last month I was at a blackjack table where the dealer drew to an 8 card 21. That one I don’t think I had ever seen before so snapped a pic and later did a little research on it’s rarity. Turns out it’s somewhere north of a million to one shot. OK – pretty good. Worth noting and showing around but not something people may have never seen before. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Having been at this gambling thing for close to 30 years now I finally saw one that I’m pretty certain I’ll never see again. All things considered I’d call this the Holy Grail of video poker hands. Check it out.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

So the first time I saw this I did a double take. “What am I looking at?” I asked. It was explained that the player (who I’ve known for over 20 years) was dealt a four card royal on a machine where a dealt royal was part of the specific motivation for playing. This particular bank has a separate meter for it which helped the overall payback. Upper left hand corner at the top you can see the All-Royal meter at $12,280. This is a 25-cent machine so that’s a fairly big number for anything on a quarter machine. Getting dealt four when you need all five for the meter was obviously a bummer — for the moment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

After bemoaning their luck and acknowledging just how close they came to hitting that jackpot it came time to draw to the hand. Nowhere in your head are you even considering hitting a royal on each line. The hope is you can maybe nab one of the three, which you’re a big underdog to do. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Then the draw – Bam! Bam!! Bam!!! <\/p>\n\n\n\n

It takes a moment for something like that to register. Eventually processing what just occurred they then realize that the machine did not differentiate between a dealt royal and somehow drawing to three royals so it awarded the meter. What was a near-miss of the jackpot a moment ago turns into a miraculous hand that also takes down the meter — the hard way! <\/p>\n\n\n\n

One interesting thing about this hand is that when it was first shown to me the probability was vastly understated. The quoted number of one in 103,823 would be correct IF you skipped right to the draw. As far as comparing it to other rare events in VP like the dealt royal or getting a sequential royal, this is not the way to document it. As presented, it was a one in 103,823 occurrence which are just the odds of drawing the same specifically needed card three consecutive times — (47x47x47). That part is right, but that’s just three of the four things that must happen to arrive at this particular result. You have to be dealt four to the royal first! This can’t be ignored. That’s a one in 2,777 shot itself. So what was presented as a one in 103,823 hand occurrence is, in fact, one in 288,316,471 — (2777x47x47x47). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Now 288,316,471 is a really big number so let’s give it some perspective.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The average decent player can get out about 600 hands per hour. Some people play slower but a decent regular player can do 600.
At 600 hands per hour a COMPUTER playing non-stop would reach that number of hands after 54 years 310 days 6 hours. That’s letting the computer run non-stop for over 54 years. Using something we call the Gamblers Formula (a short-cut calculation you can use to set an OV\/UN line for rare events) you’d be EV money to see this hand occur in the first 38 years. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

A human who can play 600 hands per hour that plays 20 hours a week, each and every week of the year, would see that hand an average of once every 462 years of play. Most people view a dealt royal as a once in a lifetime thing – if that. You should get one every 650,000 hands on average. During those 462 years of play that it would take to get just one of the Holy Grail hands you’d expect to get 443 dealt royals. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

We’re talking Powerball type odds. in fact, hitting Powerball is a good comparison. Powerball jackpot odds are 1 in 292,201,338 — a difference of just 1.34%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

What’s special about this is the astounding improbability of the hand and the fact that a dealt royal was a big reason for playing. Getting dealt the near miss and then miraculously getting there in the manner they did makes this the greatest video poker hand I’ve ever seen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\"Facebook\"<\/a>\"twitter\"<\/a>\"youtube\"<\/a>\"instagram\"<\/a>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

I regularly see and hear what players perceive as rare events taking place in casinos. Usually it’s something in the mid six-figure to one shots. A dealt royal is roughly 650,000 to 1 for example. As tough as that is, you see that now and then and may have even had one yourself. Last month […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"spay_email":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_is_tweetstorm":false},"categories":[2,686],"tags":[],"yoast_head":"\nOne in 288 Million Hands - Gambling With An Edge<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/gambling-with-an-edge\/one-in-288-million-hands\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"One in 288 Million Hands - Gambling With An Edge\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"I regularly see and hear what players perceive as rare events taking place in casinos. Usually it’s something in the mid six-figure to one shots. A dealt royal is roughly 650,000 to 1 for example. As tough as that is, you see that now and then and may have even had one yourself. Last month […]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/gambling-with-an-edge\/one-in-288-million-hands\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Gambling With An Edge\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/lasvegasadvisor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2020-01-27T05:22:19+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2023-06-22T21:58:28+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/gambling-with-an-edge\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/01\/8card21-1024x768.jpg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@lva_tweet\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@lva_tweet\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"4 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/gambling-with-an-edge\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/gambling-with-an-edge\/\",\"name\":\"Gambling With An Edge\",\"description\":\"\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/gambling-with-an-edge\/?s={search_term_string}\",\"query-input\":\"required name=search_term_string\"}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/gambling-with-an-edge\/one-in-288-million-hands\/#primaryimage\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/gambling-with-an-edge\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/01\/8card21.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/gambling-with-an-edge\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/01\/8card21.jpg\",\"width\":4032,\"height\":3024},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/gambling-with-an-edge\/one-in-288-million-hands\/#webpage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/gambling-with-an-edge\/one-in-288-million-hands\/\",\"name\":\"One in 288 Million Hands - Gambling With An Edge\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/gambling-with-an-edge\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/gambling-with-an-edge\/one-in-288-million-hands\/#primaryimage\"},\"datePublished\":\"2020-01-27T05:22:19+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2023-06-22T21:58:28+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/gambling-with-an-edge\/#\/schema\/person\/95a8788d018dac7c76d4045e2c50edb0\"},\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/gambling-with-an-edge\/one-in-288-million-hands\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/gambling-with-an-edge\/one-in-288-million-hands\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/gambling-with-an-edge\/one-in-288-million-hands\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/gambling-with-an-edge\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"One in 288 Million Hands\"}]},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/gambling-with-an-edge\/#\/schema\/person\/95a8788d018dac7c76d4045e2c50edb0\",\"name\":\"FrankB\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/gambling-with-an-edge\/#personlogo\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/gambling-with-an-edge\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/GWAELVASports-e1466728352769.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/gambling-with-an-edge\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/GWAELVASports-e1466728352769.jpg\",\"caption\":\"FrankB\"},\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/gambling-with-an-edge\/author\/frankb\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/gambling-with-an-edge\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/120458"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/gambling-with-an-edge\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/gambling-with-an-edge\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/gambling-with-an-edge\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/6"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/gambling-with-an-edge\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=120458"}],"version-history":[{"count":9,"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/gambling-with-an-edge\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/120458\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":120534,"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/gambling-with-an-edge\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/120458\/revisions\/120534"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/gambling-with-an-edge\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=120458"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/gambling-with-an-edge\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=120458"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/gambling-with-an-edge\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=120458"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}