{"id":121315,"date":"2020-10-01T16:00:30","date_gmt":"2020-10-01T23:00:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/gambling-with-an-edge\/?p=121315"},"modified":"2020-09-30T11:49:43","modified_gmt":"2020-09-30T18:49:43","slug":"podcast-guest-matt-of-plusevanalytics","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/gambling-with-an-edge\/podcast-guest-matt-of-plusevanalytics\/","title":{"rendered":"Podcast &#8211; guest Matt of PlusEVanalytics"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Our guest this week is Matt from <a href=\"http:\/\/www.plusevanalytics.com\">http:\/\/www.plusevanalytics.com<\/a>. He is a Canadian actuary who also dabbles in advantage play. We discuss Taleb&#8217;s concept of anti-fragility and how that is very useful in sports betting. We also discuss how the Kelly Criterion comes up with different answers sometimes and how are we to know which is which?<\/p>\n<p>We welcome your questions &#8211; send them to us at gamblingwithanedge@gmail.com, or you can find me at @RWM21 on Twitter or <a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/GamblingWithAnEdge\">https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/GamblingWithAnEdge<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/chtbl.com\/track\/44231\/www.slot-machine-resource.com\/podcasts\/plusev1.mp3\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">podcast<\/a><br \/>\nClick to listen &#8211; Alt click to download<\/p>\n<p><b>Show Notes<\/b><\/p>\n<p>[00:00]\u00a0 Introduction of Matt from PlusEVAnalytics.com<\/p>\n<p>[00:50]\u00a0 Show notes information and availability<\/p>\n<p>[02:36]\u00a0 The best forum for site comments and feedback is at GamblingWithAnEdge.com<\/p>\n<p>[03:21]\u00a0 Actuarial science as a profession<\/p>\n<p>[05:40]\u00a0 Nassim Nicholas Taleb, Twitter.com\/nntaleb<\/p>\n<p>[11:14]\u00a0 NFL season totals and antifragility<\/p>\n<p>[15:45]\u00a0 Dow Jones and antifragility<\/p>\n<p>[17:36]\u00a0 PointsBet.com and distributional mathematics<\/p>\n<p>[24:46]\u00a0 Super Bowl prop bets, Michael Shackleford, and market efficiency<\/p>\n<p>[30:35]\u00a0 Sportsbook hold versus roulette hold, epistemic uncertainty and adverse selection<\/p>\n<p>[39:19]\u00a0 South Point Casino October Promotions &#8211; &#8216;Free Play with a Kicker&#8217;<\/p>\n<p>[39:59]\u00a0\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/Predictit.org\/promo\/edge\">Predictit.org\/promo\/edge<\/a>\u00a0&#8211; place small bets on various political outcomes, $20 deposit match for GWAE listeners<\/p>\n<p>[40:40]\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/BlackjackApprenticeship.com\">BlackjackApprenticeship.com<\/a> &#8211; card counting training site and community<\/p>\n<p>[41;02]\u00a0\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/VideoPoker.com\/gwae\">VideoPoker.com\/gwae<\/a>\u00a0&#8211; Gold Membership offers correction on most games<\/p>\n<p>[41:57]\u00a0 Kelly Criterion<\/p>\n<p>[45:49]\u00a0 Being both an actuary and a gambler<\/p>\n<p>[53:10]\u00a0 How can listeners contact Matt?<\/p>\n<p>[56:03]\u00a0 Recommended &#8211; Schitt&#8217;s Creek on Netflix, Captain Jack Andrews on Youtube and Twitter<\/p>\n<p><b>Sponsored Links:<\/b><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/SouthPointCasino.com\">SouthPointCasino.com<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/Predictit.org\/promo\/edge\">Predictit.org\/promo\/edge<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/BlackjackApprenticeship.com\">BlackjackApprenticeship.com<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/VideoPoker.com\/gwae\">VideoPoker.com\/gwae<\/a><\/p>\n<p><b>Guest Links:<\/b><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/PlusEVAnalytics.com\">PlusEVAnalytics.com<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/Twitter.com\/PlusEVAnalytics\">Twitter.com\/PlusEVAnalytics<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/PlusEVAnalytics.wordpress.com\/publications\">PlusEVAnalytics.wordpress.com\/publications<\/a><\/p>\n<p><b>Recommended:<\/b><\/p>\n<p>Schitt&#8217;s Creek, <a href=\"http:\/\/Netflix.com\/title\/80036165\">Netflix.com\/title\/80036165<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Captain Jack Andrews, <a href=\"http:\/\/Youtube.com\/CaptainJackAndrews\/videos\">Youtube.com\/CaptainJackAndrews\/videos<\/a>, <a href=\"http:\/\/Twitter.com\/capjack2000\">Twitter.com\/capjack2000<\/a><\/p>\n<a class=\"synved-social-button synved-social-button-follow synved-social-size-48 synved-social-resolution-single synved-social-provider-facebook nolightbox\" data-provider=\"facebook\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\" title=\"Follow us on Facebook\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/lasvegasadvisor\" style=\"font-size: 0px; 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width:48px;height:48px;margin:0;margin-bottom:5px;\"><img alt=\"instagram\" title=\"Check out our instagram feed\" class=\"synved-share-image synved-social-image synved-social-image-follow\" width=\"48\" height=\"48\" style=\"display: inline; width:48px;height:48px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border: none; box-shadow: none;\" src=\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/gambling-with-an-edge\/wp-content\/plugins\/social-media-feather\/synved-social\/image\/social\/regular\/96x96\/instagram.png\" \/><\/a>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Our guest this week is Matt from http:\/\/www.plusevanalytics.com. He is a Canadian actuary who also dabbles in advantage play. We discuss Taleb&#8217;s concept of anti-fragility and how that is very useful in sports betting. We also discuss how the Kelly Criterion comes up with different answers sometimes and how are we to know which is [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":6207,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"spay_email":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_is_tweetstorm":false},"categories":[21],"tags":[1079,137,174],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v16.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Podcast - guest Matt of PlusEVanalytics - Gambling With An Edge<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/gambling-with-an-edge\/podcast-guest-matt-of-plusevanalytics\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Podcast - guest Matt of PlusEVanalytics - Gambling With An Edge\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Our guest this week is Matt from http:\/\/www.plusevanalytics.com. He is a Canadian actuary who also dabbles in advantage play. We discuss Taleb&#8217;s concept of anti-fragility and how that is very useful in sports betting. We also discuss how the Kelly Criterion comes up with different answers sometimes and how are we to know which is [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/gambling-with-an-edge\/podcast-guest-matt-of-plusevanalytics\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Gambling With An Edge\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/lasvegasadvisor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2020-10-01T23:00:30+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2020-09-30T18:49:43+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/gambling-with-an-edge\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/06\/1aaaGWAE4.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"320\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"320\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@lvaadmin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@lva_tweet\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/gambling-with-an-edge\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/gambling-with-an-edge\/\",\"name\":\"Gambling With An Edge\",\"description\":\"\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/gambling-with-an-edge\/?s={search_term_string}\",\"query-input\":\"required name=search_term_string\"}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/gambling-with-an-edge\/podcast-guest-matt-of-plusevanalytics\/#primaryimage\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/gambling-with-an-edge\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/06\/1aaaGWAE4.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/gambling-with-an-edge\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/06\/1aaaGWAE4.jpg\",\"width\":320,\"height\":320},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/gambling-with-an-edge\/podcast-guest-matt-of-plusevanalytics\/#webpage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/gambling-with-an-edge\/podcast-guest-matt-of-plusevanalytics\/\",\"name\":\"Podcast - guest Matt of PlusEVanalytics - Gambling With An Edge\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/gambling-with-an-edge\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/gambling-with-an-edge\/podcast-guest-matt-of-plusevanalytics\/#primaryimage\"},\"datePublished\":\"2020-10-01T23:00:30+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2020-09-30T18:49:43+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/gambling-with-an-edge\/#\/schema\/person\/e6066119f83d3e6bc2c3752550de8244\"},\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/gambling-with-an-edge\/podcast-guest-matt-of-plusevanalytics\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/gambling-with-an-edge\/podcast-guest-matt-of-plusevanalytics\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/gambling-with-an-edge\/podcast-guest-matt-of-plusevanalytics\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/gambling-with-an-edge\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Podcast &#8211; 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