{"id":3380,"date":"2016-06-28T16:20:09","date_gmt":"2016-06-28T16:20:09","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.gamblingwithanedge.com\/?p=3380"},"modified":"2016-06-28T16:20:09","modified_gmt":"2016-06-28T16:20:09","slug":"too-good-to-be-true","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/blog\/too-good-to-be-true\/","title":{"rendered":"Too Good to be True?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Casinos are in the business to make money. They don&#8217;t intentionally make mistakes. Still, sometimes mistakes happen that smart players can exploit. You don&#8217;t need to be a pro. You just have to be alert and savvy &#8212; and find one of these mistakes. It also helps if you have the requisite knowledge and bankroll &#8212; but that&#8217;s not necessary. If someone brought the following to me and nobody else knew about it, I might well have paid a $1,000 finder&#8217;s fee.<!--more--><\/p>\n<p>Consider the following announcement from &#8220;Casino City Times&#8221;:<\/p>\n<p>Plaza Hotel and Casino to &#8216;pay your taxes&#8217; on April 18<\/p>\n<p>4 April 2016<\/p>\n<p>(PRESS RELEASE) &#8212; It may have recently been April Fools&#8217; Day, but this is no joke: the Plaza Hotel and Casino will pay winners the amount of taxes they owe in free slot play on all taxable jackpots up to $20,000 on tax day, April 18.<\/p>\n<p>Jackpots of more than $1,200 are subject to federal taxes. The Plaza will pay a 28% bonus on all taxable winnings over $1,200 and up to $20,000 in free slot play on Monday, April 18.<\/p>\n<p>To be eligible, players must be members of the Plaza&#8217;s Royal Rewards Players Club. There is no limit on how many jackpots a person can win and receive the bonus. Additional details on this and all of the Plaza&#8217;s gaming offers and tournaments are available at the Plaza&#8217;s Royal Rewards center.<\/p>\n<p>The question became: What was the best way to hit this promotion? What it said was that W2Gs got a 28% bonus &#8212; so a $1,250 jackpot was actually worth $1,600. Dollar games basically only get W2Gs on royals (or maybe four aces with a kicker) and those are pretty rare hands. But $5 games where quads receive 250 coins or higher get W2Gs on every quad, straight flush, or royal flush &#8212; or about every 400 hands. Now we&#8217;re talking!<\/p>\n<p>I went to Video Poker for Winners and found out that this bonus added about 6% to Double Double Bonus games or 5% to Double Bonus games. It added much less to Bonus Poker and Jacks or Better games because most quads in these games only return $625, which is not enough to trigger the W2G premium. Even 8\/5 Double Double Bonus (normally 96.8% and totally unplayable) became a game with almost 3% advantage on a $5 machine. Quite acceptable indeed!<\/p>\n<p>I checked out www.vpfree2.com for the best games at the casino and sure enough, they had 9\/7 Double Bonus and 9\/6 Double Double Bonus at the $5 level. The latter gave the player a 5% advantage &#8212; plus slot club benefits, plus mailers. If you could play $20,000 an hour through the machine, that&#8217;s an EV of $1,000 an hour. Not bad!<\/p>\n<p>Okay, so what to do? The news came out two weeks before the event. I assumed that a number of pros heard about it. I also assumed that all of us thought a $1,000\/hour promotion was worth playing. If they had 50 machines (clearly they wouldn&#8217;t have that many), there were enough pros (or semi-pros) in town to cover every seat for the duration of the promotion. The casino would lose $5 million or so. This was a very unlikely scenario.<\/p>\n<p>If there were two or four machines (far more likely), it was a guess how early I would have to show up. Was twelve hours prior to the start early enough? How about eighteen? How about twenty four? In the good old days, I could stay alert for 40 hours straight. So I could show up 16 hours early and last the entire 24 hours of the promotion. Those days are about two decades behind me. I can now efficiently play 12 hours straight (barely) but that&#8217;s about my limit. I could play six hours, rest six hours, play another six, and let somebody else finish off the promotion.<\/p>\n<p>So, if I was going to get a spot on the machines, I would need to team up with one or more people. Although I know a lot of players, I have no &#8220;partners&#8221; (except Bonnie, who&#8217;s a life partner and a non-player). But I have enough names in my contact list that I was confident I could come up with a sufficient number of temporary partners once I worked out a game plan. Since I was working out the plan, I was planning on selecting the hours for myself that worked best for me and finding other players to fill in the rest. That was the plan anyway.<\/p>\n<p>First I needed to check out the machines a day or two before the promotion started. Casinos sometimes change machines just before a promotion starts, so information gathered too far in advance can easily become outdated.<\/p>\n<p>When I checked 48 hours before the event was scheduled to start, I found that there were no $5 poker machines at all! They did have $2 9\/5 Double Double Bonus. No thanks.<\/p>\n<p>I looked around for games like dollar Fifty Play or Hundred Play. Nope. No such luck. The games that they offered were not interesting to me at all.<\/p>\n<p>They could have had roulette machines. If you played something like $600 on red, $600 on black, and $35 each on zero and double zero, you would end up with a W2G every hand with no risk whatsoever. You would pay $1270 each hand and always get back at least $1536. I didn&#8217;t look for such machines. Surely if they existed the casino would have figured out quickly that they couldn&#8217;t possibly win and they would have removed the machines (and\/or the players) from the promotion. So I didn&#8217;t even check for them.<\/p>\n<p>So, as it turned out, I didn&#8217;t play. Whether the promotion was poorly designed or not at the outset, it was &#8220;fixed&#8221; before it began so the casino didn&#8217;t suffer &#8212; and the players didn&#8217;t benefit. (Possibly the plan all along was to remove the $5 machines before the event started. I don&#8217;t know.)<\/p>\n<p>After doing my &#8220;due diligence&#8221; I would not have paid a full finder&#8217;s fee. A finder&#8217;s fee would have been contingent on me finding the promotion acceptable to play. But possibly I would have given $200 or so for bringing it to my attention. I WANT to learn about good deals. This would have qualified as at least something I wanted to check further.<\/p>\n<p>It didn&#8217;t pan out this time, but that&#8217;s part of the business. You don&#8217;t know until you check things out. But if you wait until somebody else figures things out and tells you after the fact, you&#8217;ll miss whatever opportunities are there.<\/p>\n<p>Maybe next time they won&#8217;t fix the mistake before the promotion starts.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Casinos are in the business to make money. They don&#8217;t intentionally make mistakes. Still, sometimes mistakes happen that smart players can exploit. You don&#8217;t need to be a pro. You just have to be alert and savvy &#8212; and find one of these mistakes. It also helps if you have the requisite knowledge and bankroll [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":15763,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[601,558,643,605,557],"tags":[800,649,801,776,739,618,753,711,727,676,802,585,760],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/shop\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3380"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/shop\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/shop\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/shop\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/15763"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/shop\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3380"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/shop\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3380\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/shop\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3380"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/shop\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3380"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/shop\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3380"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}