{"id":854809,"date":"2024-03-06T08:43:31","date_gmt":"2024-03-06T16:43:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/shop\/?p=854809"},"modified":"2024-03-06T08:43:31","modified_gmt":"2024-03-06T16:43:31","slug":"oscar-odds-and-fearless-forecast","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/blog\/oscar-odds-and-fearless-forecast\/","title":{"rendered":"Oscar odds and fearless forecast"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Oppenheimer | Official Trailer\" width=\"980\" height=\"551\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/bK6ldnjE3Y0?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Thanks to the epic throwdown<\/strong> between <strong>Greta Gerwig<\/strong>&#8216;s <em>Barbie<\/em> and <strong>Christopher Nolan<\/strong>&#8216;s <em>Oppenheimer<\/em>, bettors are out in force <a href=\"https:\/\/www.mvariety.com\/lifestyle\/barbenheimer-mania-fuels-us-gambling-on-the-oscars\/article_0430e734-daf8-11ee-a55e-db77ae69022d.html\">in seven states<\/a> as the <strong>Academy Awards<\/strong> derby comes down to the wire. <strong>Bookies.com<\/strong> analyst <strong>Bill Speros<\/strong> bluntly told <strong>Reuters<\/strong>, &#8220;You have two movies that everybody&#8217;s seen.&#8221; <strong>FanDuel<\/strong> is even taking prop bets (color of dresses, etc.) in <strong>Canada<\/strong>. At the moment, though, it looks like <em>Oppenheimer<\/em> will virtually run the table while <em>Barbie<\/em> is struggling to not get shut out. Virtually the only significant suspense is whether <strong>Emma Stone <\/strong>(<em>Poor Things<\/em>, +125) pulls a narrow upset over <strong>Lily Gladstone<\/strong> for Best Actress, thereby validating the <strong>National Board of Review<\/strong> jinx. Meanwhile, <em>Barbie<\/em> is a lock for nothing except Best Original Song. Since the odds are pretty consistent at this point, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.covers.com\/entertainment\/academy-awards-oscars-odds\">we&#8217;ll go with<\/a> <strong>Covers.com<\/strong>&#8216;s set (plus some averaging by ourselves) and take it away &#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<!--more-->\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best Picture<\/strong>: Should win\u2014<em>Oppenheimer<\/em> (-5,000); Will win\u2014<em>Oppenheimer<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best Directo<\/strong>r: Should win\u2014Christopher Nolan (-5,000, down from a prohibitive -10,000); Will win\u2014Nolan<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best Actress<\/strong>: Should win\u2014<strong>Sandra H\u00fcller<\/strong> (<em>Anatomy of a Fall<\/em>, +3,750); Will win\u2014Lily Gladstone (<em>Killers of the Flower<\/em> <em>Moon<\/em>, -175)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best Actor<\/strong>: Should win\u2014<strong>Paul Giamatti<\/strong> (<em>The Holdovers<\/em>, +525); Will win\u2014<strong>Cillian Murphy<\/strong> (<em>Oppenheimer<\/em>, -1,000)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best Supporting Actress<\/strong>: Should win\u2014<strong>Da&#8217;Vine Joy Randolph<\/strong> (<em>The Holdovers<\/em>, -4,250); Will win\u2014Randolph<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best Supporting Actor<\/strong>: Should win\u2014<strong>Robert Downey Jr<\/strong>. (<em>Oppenheimer<\/em>, -4,250); Will win\u2014Downey<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"THE HOLDOVERS - Official Trailer [HD] - In Select Theaters October 27, Everywhere November 10\" width=\"980\" height=\"551\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/AhKLpJmHhIg?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best Original Screenplay<\/strong>: Should win\u2014<em>The Holdovers<\/em> (+175); Will win\u2014<em>Anatomy of a Fall<\/em> (-240)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best Adapted Screenplay<\/strong>: Should win\u2014<em>American Fiction<\/em> (-190); Will win\u2014<em>Oppenheimer<\/em> (+200)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best Editing<\/strong>: Should win\u2014<em>Oppenheimer<\/em> (-650); Will win\u2014<em>Oppenheimer<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best Animated Feature<\/strong>: Should win\u2014<em>The Boy &amp; the Heron<\/em> (+125); Will win\u2014<em>Spider Man: Across the Spider-verse<\/em> (-160)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best Documentary Feature<\/strong>: Should win\u2014<em>20 Days in Mariupol <\/em>(-1,000); Will win\u2014<em>20 Days in Mariupol<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"The Teachers&#039; Lounge - Official Trailer\" width=\"980\" height=\"551\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/FEsPfCOAc8o?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">If you haven&#8217;t seen this movie you&#8217;ve missed a masterpiece.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best International Feature<\/strong>: Should win\u2014<em>The Teachers Lounge<\/em> (+2,500); Will win\u2014<em>The Zone of Interest<\/em> (-2,500)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best Cinematography<\/strong>: Should win\u2014<em>Oppenheimer<\/em> (-2,000); Will win\u2014<em>Oppenheimer<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best Production Design<\/strong>: Should win\u2014<em>Barbie<\/em> (+110); Will win\u2014<em>Poor Things<\/em> (-210; we hated this movie, for the record)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best Costume Design<\/strong>: Should win\u2014<em>Barbie<\/em> (-175); Will win\u2014<em>Poor Things<\/em> (+125); this category has been very fluid<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best Hair &amp; Makeup Design<\/strong>: Should win\u2014<em>Maestro<\/em> (-165); Will win\u2014<em>Poor Things<\/em> (+120)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best Visual Effects<\/strong>: Should win\u2014no opinion; Will win\u2014<em>Godzilla Minus One<\/em> (-190)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best Original Score<\/strong>: Should win\u2014<em>Killers of the Flower Moon<\/em> (+1,000); Will win\u2014<em>Oppenheimer<\/em> (-2,000)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Barbie | Main Trailer\" width=\"980\" height=\"551\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/pBk4NYhWNMM?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Better luck next year, Ms. Gerwig, and we mean that.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best Original Song<\/strong>: Should win\u2014anything that isn&#8217;t &#8220;It Never Went Away&#8221; from <em>American Symphony<\/em> (+2,500); Will win\u2014&#8221;What Was I Made For&#8221; from <em>Barbie<\/em> (-790; slush wins every time)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best Sound<\/strong>: Should win\u2014<em>Oppenheimer<\/em> (-210); Will win\u2014<em>Oppenheimer<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best Live-Action Short<\/strong>: <em>The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar<\/em> (-690); Will win\u2014<em>The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar<\/em>; no contest here<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best Animated Short<\/strong>: Should win\u2014<em>Our Uniform <\/em>(+4,000); Will win\u2014<em>War is Over!<\/em> (-120, edging out previous <strong>Holocaust<\/strong>-themed fave <em>Letter to a Pig<\/em>, +110); and yes, we&#8217;ve seen all five nominees<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best Documentary Short<\/strong>: Should win\u2014<em>The Last Repair Shop<\/em> (+190); Will win\u2014<em>The ABCs of Book Banning<\/em> (-200, the missus says this one is really good too)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>See you Sunday night.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"600\" height=\"300\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/shop\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/Trump-mouth.jpg?resize=600%2C300&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-845370\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/shop\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/Trump-mouth.jpg?w=600&amp;ssl=1 600w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/shop\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/Trump-mouth.jpg?resize=300%2C150&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/shop\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/Trump-mouth.jpg?resize=445%2C223&amp;ssl=1 445w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n<p><strong>Failed casino owner<\/strong> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2024\/02\/16\/nyregion\/trump-civil-fraud-trial-ruling.html\">convicted fraudste<\/a>r <strong>Donald Trump<\/strong> says he is essentially insolvent. For once, we believe him. (Trump went on <em>Fox &amp; Friends<\/em> to make the exact opposite claim, but there is no penalty for lying in that forum.) Maybe, just maybe the incorrigible blowhard should have thought of this before he defamed <a href=\"https:\/\/www.motherjones.com\/politics\/2024\/01\/a-federal-judge-has-gone-to-great-lengths-to-make-clear-trump-really-did-rape-e-jean-carroll\/\">sexual assault victim<\/a> <strong>E. Jean Carroll<\/strong> over &#8230; and over &#8230; and over &#8230; and over again. Some people are too self-infatuated to learn. Anyway, Trump has been all hat and no cattle for over two decades, so it&#8217;s refreshing to hear his shysters <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2024\/03\/05\/trumps-best-option-to-get-540-million-for-legal-penalties-could-be-clean-property-private-lenders-.html#:~:text=Trump%20has%20also%20asked%20to,portfolio%20under%20%22exigent%20circumstances.%22\">admit this to the court<\/a>, even if their client has a relationship with the truth that&#8217;s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/politics\/2021\/01\/24\/trumps-false-or-misleading-claims-total-30573-over-four-years\/\">chancy at best<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Thanks to the epic throwdown between Greta Gerwig&#8216;s Barbie and Christopher Nolan&#8216;s Oppenheimer, bettors are out in force in seven states as the Academy Awards derby comes down to the wire. Bookies.com analyst Bill Speros bluntly told Reuters, &#8220;You have two movies that everybody&#8217;s seen.&#8221; FanDuel is even taking prop bets (color of dresses, etc.) [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":83928,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[1728],"tags":[],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/shop\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/854809"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/shop\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/shop\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/shop\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/83928"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/shop\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=854809"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/shop\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/854809\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/shop\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=854809"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/shop\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=854809"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/shop\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=854809"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}