Casinos unleash Culinary’s wrath

Las Vegas‘ casino industry seems to be behaving counterintuitively, reopening casinos and hotels (Vdara is the latest) at a time when visitor demand is softening. JP Morgan analyst Joseph Greff reports today that, for the July 11-18 period, Clark County casino visitation levels were at 56% of where they were pre-Coronavirus and lower than they had been for the previous month (62%). Las Vegas Strip casino companies seem more than willing to trade hotel capacity for the appearance that things are Better Than Ever. Outside of Nevada, the regional sector also slipped, down by 4% over the same comparison periods. Wrote Greff, “Results, to us, reflect, the resurgence in COVID-19 cases, and while the data in NV doesn’t clearly illustrate this, we believe the LV Strip is underperforming the LV Locals segment.”

Greff continued, “We assess demand levels at casinos by analyzing both the number of visitors and the duration of their visits. We still are seeing median visit length at/above February levels in certain jurisdictions, which we believe is indicative of higher quality, more dedicated players.” Clark County was up 7% (Mississippi did even better, at 9%) while Louisiana players are cutting their visits short, 11% briefer than normal. Time on device in Missouri and Iowa is pretty much the same as before. Explained Greff, “We view this most recent batch of visitation data as a modest step backwards, though not entirely surprising given the continued increase in COVID-19 cases (which has resulted in certain casinos/card rooms re-closing) and a slower/decelerating recovery in credit card spend.”

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