Optimism for MGM, Churchill Downs; Cheap rooms = riff-raff

Although they remain relatively pessimistic on Macao, analysts at JP Morgan like MGM Resorts International sufficiently to raise their price target on its stock to $24/share. The primary reason was “better than expected trends” at MGM’s regional U.S. casinos, followed by a higher cash-flow estimate for the Las Vegas Strip. Finally, MGM’s online-gaming prospects looked good enough to goose the stock to two-dozen dollars. “We could conceivably become more positive on MGM as an investment at lower levels, but look at current valuation as giving fair value to its regional portfolio, a multi-year LV Strip recovery (we think commences in 2H21/4Q21), value for [MGM Growth Properties] and Macau, as well as its longer-term sports betting/iGaming opportunity,” wrote Joseph Greff. Note that Greff says MGM is just going to have to hang in there on the Strip for another full year. Then things get better.

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