Politics

Japan: Another failure; Reading the Trump tea leaves

According to Morgan Stanley analysts, the chances of pro-casino legislation passing in Japan this year are “quite low.” Yes, Prime Minister Shinzo Abe has booted the ball yet Shinzo Abeagain. His big push [sic] to bring casinos to the Land of the Rising Sun didn’t start until the Diet had but one month left in which to pass legislation — hardly propitious timing for so controversial an issue. Abe’s only hope, having frittered away a majority in both Houses of Parliament, is for gridlock to move the adjournment date from Nov. 30 to mid-December. Morgan Stanley blames Abe’s weak hand on the expenditure of political capital on the Trans-Pacific Partnership and uncertainly following the presidential election over here. Heck, Abe doesn’t even have a consensus within his own party: Morgan Stanley estimates that 80% of the ruling Liberal Democrats are behind him on the casino issue and he can’t look to help from frequent coalition partner, the Komeito Party: It’s against gambling.

We’ve lost track of the number of times casino legalization was just around a Japanese corner. Major gaming companies thought this was finally it. Las Vegas Sands committed to

Trump, Adelson make a deal; Brazil moves toward casinos

Donald Trump may have sold his soul to the Las Vegas Review-Journal and cheaply at that. Pro-Trump Global Gaming Business is reporting that the mogul promised not to sheldon-adelson-25oppose Sheldon Adelson‘s anti-Internet gaming legislation if only the R-J would endorse him. It was, if true, a poor bargain. The R-J is a piddling newspaper in the grand scheme of things and its political endorsements (anyone remember anti-casino scold Sharron Angle? Or its threefold endorsement of Marco Rubio?) are widely ignored: The Silver State went “blue” at the presidential, senatorial and congressional levels this year, so Trump could have kept his Faustian pact in his back pocket. Perhaps he made his promise knowing that Adelson’s RAWA has bombed in Congress this year and was likely to do so again without any intervention from him. The congressional makeup has not changed enough to affect the political calculus.

* Instead of trying to catch the wind in a ‘Net, Adelson might be better advised to

The day after

This morning’s biggest winners are not politicians or pundits (certainly not the pollsters) but the punters who laid their money on a Donald Trump victory when sites like Betfair trump 2had him as a one-in-five underdog or worse. Their wallets are fatter today, while bookies are softly cursing the polling industry for its “Dewey Defeats Truman” misfire. And, as a side bet, who would have expected the popular vote and the Electoral College to go separate ways for the second time in 16 years? (That, at least, was the situation as of 10:50 p.m., when major newspapers seem to have stopped tracking the raw vote count.) As for What It Means, that is above my pay grade. I will leave it to a far wiser head, that of the star of Mark Twain Answers All Your Questions, which played Las Vegas last summer. Asked “What is Brexit?”, “Twain” replied, “Wait four months. You’ll understand.” (In fact, the Trump forces used the same social media tools the pro-Brexit campaign did.)

* Sheldon Adelson absorbed a number of swift kicks in the posterior, having spent several million dollars per state to

Election Special; Station Reno project approved

Preoccupied with stumping for legalized sports betting, the American Gaming Association fell down on the job and failed to deliver a promised (yes, they literally Capitolpromised us) election roundup. By this shortcoming, the AGA flunked one of its mandates, which is to keep voters appraised of gaming-related ballot issues in their area. Fortunately, Global Gaming Business stepped into the gap. Gaming-expansion iniatives have been tossed by the courts in Arkansas and Nebraska, but several remain on the ballot in the Northeast. By this point, we are all well familiar with the proposal to expand New Jersey casino gambling outside of Atlantic City. The question at this point is not whether or not it will lose but by how much. A recent poll shows it failing by a three-to-one margin, a potential loss so crushing it would deter a 2018 sequel.

Aside from damaging the Atlantic City economy, it is just a stopgap. By the time developers like Jeff Gural and Paul Fireman get multi-billion-dollar resorts built, the five boroughs of

MGM hearts Japan; Atlantic City aims for total victory

According to Reuters, if casinos are legalized in Japan, then MGM Resorts International would be willing to build the world’s second $9.5 billion megaresort. (Las Vegas Sands has already brandished $10 billion.) That’s leading with your chin. Japan-flagHowever, MGM believes that the Land of the Rising Sun is one of the world’s few markets where you can hit pay dirt that justifies that level of investment. Certainly not South Korea, where the restrictions on gambling by the citizenry are also a deterrent to a heavy capital commitment. At minimum, MGM is promising just under $5 billion toward a Japanese casino, numbers clearly meant to dazzle the Diet and bolster Prime Minister Shinzo Abe‘s latest pro-casino push. (Abe never really seems to “push” the issue, merely nudge it gently.) MGM CEO Jim Murren‘s pitch is contingent on the megaresort said being in Tokyo, Osaka and Yokohama but if the company funds the project through its REIT — so says Reuters — “multiple blue-chip companies” could get in on the deal.

Regional casinos in the far north and south of Japan have been mooted but American operators are (understandably) only fixated on the big sushi roll that is

Turnaround in Macao; Trop claims another victim

There’s finally solid ground for optimism with regard to Macao, admittedly a good market to be in even at the worst of times. October gaming revenues surged 9%. Deutsche Bank the-parisiananalyst Carlo Santarelli took the numbers with a couple of grains of salt, noting that it was a holiday month and a possible, second VIP-player “retrenchment” might be on the horizon. That being said, both Parisian and Wynn Palace seem to be driving improved results, as was hoped of them. At this time last year the enclave was in free fall, with gaming revenues down 22%. Last month’s numbers were the strongest in 21 months, to give you an idea of the depth of the trench in which operators found themselves. Not even a visit from China‘s premier measurably dampened the October results, though. Neither did Typhoon Haima or the detention of The Crown 18, although the latter could chill VIP play going forward.

JP Morgan analyst Joseph Greff predicts modest growth for the rest of the year, with gambling revenues up

Pennsylvania lawmakers screw the pooch; Adelson’s way or the highway

Pennsylvania communities are scrambling to reach voluntary revenue-sharing accords with the casinos they host after the Legislature left the issue in limbo. Rather than address the host-community fee on its own, the House of Representatives tacked on approval of Internet gambling and regulation of daily fantasy sports — a Christmas tree crammed harrahs-chesterthrough the door at the last minute and irreconcilable with the Senate’s flat-fee solution. Said senatorial lawyer Drew Compton, “We did what we did on gaming — and I think that’s all we plan on doing for the rest of the year.” Efforts were being made in Delaware County (home of Harrah’s Philadelphia) and Pittsburgh (host to Rivers Casino) to sidestep the Lege and reach independent fee arrangements. State Rep. Tommy Tomlinson (R) signaled that an accord was near between Parx Casino and Bucks County, along with the city of Bensalem. Delaware County City Council Chairman Mario Civera cut to crux of the matter, telling the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette, “The city can’t afford to lose even a penny there.”

The House’s impulse to try and force the Internet-gambling issue (as well as add slot routes at six airports) is understandable given

Five-point solution for Atlantic City; The Crown 18

Will Atlantic City be the master of its domain or will Gov. Chris Christie (R) insist upon a state takeover? That’s the question after Mayor Don Guardian (R) steered a five-Guardianpoint rescue plan through a heavily divided city council. In addition to the sale — already announced — of Bader Field, there will be additional privatizations (payroll, emergency dispatch, garbage, recycling, etc.), cuts in city services, reduction in the city’s workforce and restructuring of benefits packages … But no tax increases. That could be a deal-breaker for Trenton, which wants Atlantic citizens, already hard-hit by taxation, to pay more.

The Bader Field sale is meant to cover most of the tax shortfall caused when Borgata and several other casinos successfully challenged their property-tax assessments. That caused what’s been described as “a shock to the system” along

New player in Moulin Rouge saga; Jersey casino backers try to save face

There’s another entrant in the perpetual sweepstakes to redevelop the Moulin Rouge site. This time it’s British firm Psi Key Entertainment. It is proposing a 1,288-room hotel for moulinthe acreage. However, Psi Key’s redevelopment plans have to be taken with several grains of salt, as they are predicated upon an “elevated transport system that will bring guests from the airport, through the Las Vegas Strip, past the Downtown area to the Moulin Rouge.” Anybody care to pencil out the cost of that, let alone its probability? Psi Key execs need to take some sanity pills. Though not as much of a jumble of ideas as the last idea pitched for a new Moulin Rouge, the British proposal would combine an African-American history museum “showcasing figures of yesteryear throughout history in an artistic immersive and interactive 3-D and holographic experience,” with a convention center, spa, multiple showrooms and a 60,000-square-foot casino floor.

None of the big ideas floated for the Moulin Rouge site seems to take into account its relative isolation, away from

Hollywood Jamul opens; Hutchinson opposes Arkansas casinos

While the eyes of the industry were focused on the closing of Trump Taj Mahal, there was another long-awaited event on Monday: the opening of Hollywood Casino Jamul, near San Hollywood-Casino-JamulDiego. Combine in-progress road construction with a new casino and you had an opening-prescription for gridlock. However, by Tuesday traffic was reported as being back to normal. “This is pretty much nothing, compared to yesterday,” a California Highway Patrol spokesman told The Times of San Diego. Casino opponent and County Supervisor Dianne Jacob was guilty of the Bad Pun of the Week, when she chided Caltrans for the incomplete road work, saying, “I advise motorists to not gamble with their lives and stay away.” (Groan!)

Casino developer and manager Penn National Gaming opened Hollywood Jamul with 1,700 slots and 43 table games, plus a Tony Gwynn-branded restaurant that will now be a de facto memorial to the beloved slugger. There’s still no sign of Penn being able to offload the

Taj Mahal: Soon with 100% less Trump?; Sands jams up players

While the last vestiges of Donald Trump‘s ownership of Trump Taj Mahal were liquidated when Carl Icahn took over, it retained the name and continued to buy Trump Water. (The taste of douchebaggery?) What concerns politicians in Trenton is the Sweeneyprospect that the Taj could reopen with a new name and a non-union workforce. “What I don’t want to see him do is shut it down and then reopen it up and fire all the union workers. It’s called union-busting,“ said state Senate President Stephen Sweeney (D), perceived frontrunner to be the next governor of New Jersey. And, after all, Icahn has yet to surrender the Taj’s casino license to the Division of Gaming Enforcement and is under no time constraint to do so. Casino workers willing to cross a picket line would have a crack at as many as 2,500 jobs in the mammoth casino, if it is reopened. Icahn’s promised $100 million reinvestment would probably be spent on diversifying the property’s appeal beyond gaming, pundits say.

A proposed law that would prevent Icahn from “warehousing” the Taj license until he can reopen it as a scab casino is gaining traction in Trenton. Said Sweeney,

National Harbor opening looms; Murren’s march through Georgia

National Harbor opening looms; Murren’s march through Georgia

Lucky Dragon Casino had better enjoy its 15 minutes of fame while they last because all eyes will turn to the East Coast on Dec. 8, when MGM Resorts International opens MGM National Harbor. CEO Jim Murren is already predicting blockbuster financial results. The company is scrambling to line up entertainers and events — I was asked to scrub some speculation on that topic from an interview I did with MGM President Bill Hornbuckle. While they’re not going so far as to call it their best casino to date, MGM execs are saying it will be their most distinct, whether in its public art or its conservatory, among other amenities. MGM’s also going with a repertory company of chefs new to the company — a nice change of the same old-same old that has prevailed at its Las Vegas properties (when in doubt, call Wolfgang Puck).

Although the property itself opens on Dec. 8, you can shoot craps but not stay in the hotel until

Crisis mode in Pennsylvania; Hard Rock unifies the brand

Although Pennsylvania lawmakers theoretically have three months to amend an “incredibly complex” state law that directs casino revenue to host cities and counties, the grim reality is that the Lege has only eight session days in which to get it done. It’s not just Pennsylvania 064a question of reconciling the casinos with their host communities, and finding a solution that both deem fair, the process also pits big casinos like Sands Bethlehem (which had supported the tax) against small ones like Mount Airy, the David who slew the tax goliath. Already the affected cities are crying foul. The mayor of BensalemJoseph DiGirolamo, staring a $15 million a year shortfall in the face, has already raised the specter of police layoff and/or tax increases if revenue-sharing from Parx Casino comes to a halt. On the opposite side of the coin, state Sen. Tommy Tomlinson (R) has floated the prospect of a flat fee for all casinos. This would still fall harder on small casinos like Presque Isle Downs but it would eliminate the “true-up” payments the high court ruled unconstitutional, along with the the disproportionate effects of making host-community payments percentage-based.

* When Morgans Hotel Group made its ill-fated purchase of the Hard Rock Hotel & Casino, in Las Vegas, the deal split the rights for the Hard Rock brand between

Stadium debate heats up; Seminole Tribe ousts boss

 

While it looked for a moment like the wheels were greased for an NFL stadium on the Las Vegas Strip, financed primarily by hotel-room taxes, there’s a bit less certainty today. For one thing, Sheldon Adelson either assumed or demanded that [your city here] Raiders owner Mark Davis give him a piece of the team in return for $650 million in stadium financing. Davis wasn’t having any of that. And NFL Commissioner Roger Goodell, who might be less than thrilled to have a casino mogul among the league’s owners, pointedly reminded everyone that Davis needed 24 votes out of 32 in order to move the team. Pressure to keep the Raiders in Oakland is ramping up, as former team CEO Amy Trask is making the rounds with a scheme that would keep a new stadium from being a budget-busting proposition. Among the many facets of Trask’s concept would be to save money by leaving off the third deck of seats and thus “eliminate the cost of the portion of the stadium that is the hardest to monetize.”

In a case of dueling endorsements, the Nevada Taxpayers Association came out with a firm “no” on the stadium proposal. In response, the Nevada Resort Association said, 

Industry braces for post-Reid void

Why has Geoff Freeman become such an outspoken voice in favor of the gaming industry? In part to fill the vacuum soon to be left by retiring Sen. Harry Reid (D). One of the two candidates running to replace him, Rep. Joe Heck (R), has several terms on Capitol Hill but hasn’t emerged as a go-to guy for the industry and Democratic Party rival Catherine Cortez Masto would be a Washington newbie (don’t let the campaign ads fool you). With no disrespect to Freeman — one of our favorite S&G readers — nobody’s got the pull of Old Sixty Votes, even on a bad day. Let’s hope Sen. Dean Heller (R) has been studying the Reid playbook closely, because the role of point man for Big Gaming now falls to him.

As Caesars Entertainment lobbyist Jan Jones Blackhurst put it, “Now we need to learn to be smart and fast on our own. All of us are acutely aware that

Pennsylvania casinos trounce state; MGM looks to Brazil

Pennsylvania cities and counties could find themselves short of money soon — and legislators have to locate even more cash on short notice, as though the current budget Coat_of_arms_of_Pennsylvania.svgimpasse wasn’t trouble enough. The commonwealth has been given three months, tops, by the Pennsylvania Supreme Court to fix the host-fee regime under which Keystone State casino disburse funds to their surrounding communities. The court found that the current law — which Mount Airy Casino and Rivers Casino have loudly decried — violates the state constitution’s ban on non-uniform taxation. (Bethlehem counts on the tax for 12% of its budget but Sands Bethlehem pointedly refrained from litigation, saying it was happy to pay the levy.) Bethlehem Mayor Robert Donchez equated the upcoming shortfall to the cost of 100 police officers, adding that the city would have to scramble to cover an anticipated $9 million shortfall — on top of a $2 million budget gap that was already looming.

The law in question, enacted in 2004, imposes a 2% levy on gross slot machine receipts. But that was only if slot revenue went above $500 million a year. If not, a

GameCo hearts the Boardwalk; Internet gambling fails in Pennsylvania

GameCo hearts the Boardwalk; Internet gambling fails in Pennsylvania

GameCo CEO Blaine Graboyes promised that his company’s first skill-based slots would be rolled out in Atlantic City … and he was as good as his word. While the eyes of the industry were on Las Vegas for Global Gaming Expo, it was announced that the Parx slotsBoardwalk would be the recipient of GameCo’s first skill-based product. (In fairness, it should be noted that Graboyes is “not in love with the term skill-based slots” but we can’t think of anything better.) Caesars Atlantic City, Harrah’s Resort and Bally’s will jointly debut Danger Arena. Its minimum wager is 50 cents but you can bet up to $20 on your ability to “shoot” digitally animated robots. The game contains 10,000 “maps,” randomized in their degree of difficulty, to provide the required element of chance. Graboyes told The Bergen Record that it’s a more “cartoonish” game than other first-person-shooter ones like Call of Duty. As for his choice of Atlantic City as his primary market, Graboyes cited his nostalgic fondness for the Boardwalk, an attachment dating back to his youth.

The New Jersey Division of Gaming Enforcement hasn’t signed off on Danger Arena yet but, if it does, expect a stampede for the game: Applications are pending in Nevada, Pennsylvania, Connecticut and maybe even

Sheldon’s new errand boy; Caesars: Let’s make a deal

Las Vegas Sands CEO Sheldon Adelson is known to be the Lady Bountiful of the 2016 election, showering promising senatorial candidates with cash. One such hopeful is tom_cottonArkansas Sen. Tom Cotton (R), who has thrown a legislative Hail Mary, attempting to reverse the Obama administration’s interpretation of the Wire Act. At least that seems to be Cotton’s intent, which could be as broad as to ban Internet gambling altogether. Trouble is, the bill has a number but actually hasn’t been written yet, a technicality that hasn’t kept Cotton from putting in the hopper, perhaps hoping to attach it as a rider to some must-pass piece of legislation at year’s end. (Adelson’s minions tried this with Restore America’s Wire Act and failed miserably.) What we know for sure about the Cotton bill is that it is “to ensure the integrity of laws enacted to prevent the use of financial instruments for funding or operating online casinos are not undermined by legal opinions not carrying the force of law issued by Federal Government lawyers.” At the least, that sounds like an attempt to give UIGEA more teeth. While the Poker Players Alliance monitors the situation, it remains to be seen whether Cotton is attempting to curry favor with Sheldon or is acting at his behest. Generally speaking,

Atlantic City saved

It’s all over. The fat lady hath sung. And Atlantic City lives to gamble another day. Discouraged by poll numbers that showed insurmountable support for the status quo in atlantic-cityNew Jersey, expansion PAC Our Turn NJ is closing up shop. That means that well-heeled potential casino developers Jeff Gural and Paul Fireman (the two frontrunners) are out of the fight. They’re pulling their ads from Garden State media. Sure, they would have been mandated to construct billion-dollar pleasure palaces, but you know what we would have gotten on Election Day Plus One: slots in a box. (Strangely, the American Gaming Association buried this banner-headline story deep in its daily briefing.)

Polling showed the voters were skeptical that the state would do as it said in terms of using the new tax proceeds to shore up economically blighted areas of New Jersey (a big vote of no-confidence for state leaders). Gural and Fireman covered their retreat with self-serving verbiage. “We believe deeply that gaming expansion to Northern New Jersey is a