A sample conducted by the tag team of TruthPac and Strategic Polling finds support for the Ohio casino initiative backed by Penn National Gaming polling below 50%. Casinos still have a slight edge (48%/43%, with 8% undecided) … so in theory the ballot measure should squeak through, so long as the undecideds split down the middle.
If, however, “likely voters” means so-called “values voters,” then Issue 3 could be in serious trouble. Only 30% of Democrats polled were against putting casinos in Toledo, Cincinnati, Columbus and Cleveland — but 58% of Republicans gave it the thumbs-down. It should be noted, though, that a Dayton Daily News poll released three weeks ago had Issue 3 winning in a 59%/38% wipeout.
From the mailbag: An East Coast reader writes, “I live in Washington, D.C. Only a tiny 1%-2% of the D.C. television market is in West Virginia, yet I’m surprised to be seeing several TV ads to legalize table games in Charlestown, West Virginia — home of a racino (I’ve never been there). I hadn’t even known that was on the ballot. Anyway, if they are buying D.C. TV for a Jefferson County, W.V. issue, they sure are spending boatloads of money — not too surprising, I guess.”
Well, this did come as a bit of a surprise to me … but it makes sense in retrospect. Not in terms of influencing votes: However, with table games an inevitability in Pennsylvania, a push for casinos in Ohio, slot parlors (slowly) ramping up in Maryland, etc., the advertising blitz is probably a means of preparing ground for after the election. Should table games be voted in, D.C.-area gamblers will know Charlestown has them and may think twice about driving to Pennsylvania and points northeast.
