A taxing topic … but mostly good for gaming

As the Trump administration’s tax bill heads into the reconciliation process, it could spark a new era of fiscal responsibility. That’s if corporations behave as they are predicted to do in this analysis. It forecasts that, with the slashing of the top corporate rate from 35% to 20%, companies will use the windfall to buy back shares (good for investors) and pay down debt, something that ought to be a priority at heavily leveraged MGM Resorts International, Caesars Entertainment and at Wynn Resorts. (All those profits made overseas in Macao and elsewhere will be taxed at a bargain-rate 10%.) However, judging by its recent actions, Caesars CEO Mark Frissora is already spending his new largesse before it’s arrived. Abolition of estate taxes could create new classes of “whales” and trust fund babies, something the industry will welcome.

On the downside, Baby Boomers on fixed incomes will be squeezed — a possible concern for Continue reading

Posted in Atlantic City, California, Current, Economy, Harrah's, Illinois, Macau, Marketing, MGM Mirage, Nevada, Palms, Pennsylvania, Station Casinos, Taxes, The Strip, Tourism, Wall Street | Comments Off on A taxing topic … but mostly good for gaming

Caesars buys Harrah’s; How it went with SCOTUS

Caesars Entertainment created a bit of income for itself, selling Harrah’s Las Vegas to its REIT, Vici Properties for $1.1 billion. That’s quite a tidy sum for Caesars’ dowdiest Strip property, some 43 years old and showing every one. As the money moves from one CZR pocket to another and then another, Vici will lease the casino-hotel back to Caesars for $87.5 million a year. It’s a 15-year agreement with options that could extend it to 35 years. Caesars also paid itself to buy the 18 acres designated for a convention center, retaining the prerogative to sell it to Vici at some future point. The Harrah’s LV deal is being done to generate cash flow to pay for the $1.7 billion (overpriced) acquisition of Centaur Gaming in Indiana. (I’ll say this for Mike Pence: He can’t be bought. Centaur drenched his re-election campaign in cash and didn’t get bupkis in return.)

* Here’s the American Gaming Association‘s spin on Continue reading

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Senators have hissy fit; Vegas: Back to normal or not?

With Pennsylvania having joined the roster of Internet-gambling jurisdictions, Sens. Dianne Feinstein (D) and Lindsey Graham (R) are pushing the panic button, hard. In a concession to the reality that the Senate won’t be able to rewrite the Wire Act, they’re asking for the Department of Justice to intervene by unilaterally reversing its 2011 opinion, which opened the ‘Net to U.S. casinos. “Internet gambling takes gambling too far. It preys on children and society’s most vulnerable,” wailed Feinstein and Graham, making a familiar — and groundless — case. “Online casinos are already opening across state lines pursuant to compacts and states are contemplating opening up their online casinos to foreign markets.” Oh, the horror! According to The Hill, the senators reiterated their 2011 high dudgeon that “allowing online gambling could turn every smartphone, tablet and personal computer into an around-the-clock casino.” Yes, God forbid anyone should be allowed personal liberty in this country.

Attorney General Jeff Sessions, during his confirmation hearings, made a pro forma promise to have another look at the Wire Act. However, he has subsequently Continue reading

Posted in California, Donald Trump, Economy, Entertainment, Foxwoods, Harrah's, Internet gambling, Japan, Lawrence Ho, Mandalay Bay Massacre, Melco Resorts & Entertainment, MGM Mirage, Mohegan Sun, Nevada, Politics, Steve Wynn, Taxes, The Strip | Comments Off on Senators have hissy fit; Vegas: Back to normal or not?

Quote of the Day

“With Mr. Trump’s outsized viewership back in 2005, everybody from Billy Bush on up to the top brass on the 52nd floor had to stroke the ego of the big cash cow along the way to higher earnings.” — Mr. Bush, on dealing with Donald Trump, back when the latter was merely a failed casino operator.

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Penn, Pinnacle nuptials in the offing; Connecticut sues Trump administration

To absolutely no one’s surprise, Pinnacle Entertainment and Penn National Gaming formally affirmed that they are in merger talks. Among the upsides, Deutsche Bank analyst Carlo Santarelli cites the alleviation of forced asset sale in Pennsylvania, where the number of casinos has just been roughly doubled, easing antitrust concerns. He predicts a $32/share sale price and $75 million to $125 million in synergies. Writes Santarelli, “For starters, we see at least two areas where forced dispositions are likely, Missouri and Indiana. In Indiana, where [Penn] operates Hollywood Lawrenceburg and [Penn] operates Belterra and Ameristar East Chicago, the law prohibits ownership interests in more than two riverboat casinos. Thus, we believe one of the three assets would have to be disposed of.

In Missouri, the situation is less clear, but we expect at least one asset would have to be disposed of (5 total), as the FTC forced the sale of a St. Louis asset when PNK acquired Ameristar. We also believe Ohio and Mississippi could be reviewed with scrutiny. We note that given the [Pennsylvania] gaming expansion,” which lifted ownership restrictions, “a sale of Meadows or Hollywood Grantville is no longer required.” In Ohio, Belterra Park is stuck permanently in last place among gambling houses and is will surely be jettisoned.

In Indiana, Belterra would be the logical candidate for a sale, being relatively Continue reading

Posted in Ameristar, Boyd Gaming, Foxwoods, Genting, IGT, Indiana, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, Mohegan Sun, New York, Ohio, Penn National, Pennsylvania, Pinnacle Entertainment, Regulation, Scientific Games, Wall Street | 3 Comments

The Main Event; Macao roars

Monday is the big day: Oral arguments in the Supreme Court over Christie v. NCAA. It’s an understatement to say the gaming industry is getting pretty excited over the hearing, which is expected to lead to a rejection of the Bradley Act, not because SCOTUS is all hot and bothered for sports betting but because it infringes upon states’ autonomy. (As with Internet gambling, a fight Sheldon Adelson is losing, it’s a Tenth Amendment issue.) No fewer than 20 states — even Utah! — have weighed in against the Bradley Act, as has the American Gaming Association. The latter’s Geoff Freeman is promising real-time coverage of the hearing, which gives you some idea of the interest level in this potentially game-changing courtroom clash. “It seems to be that the wise thing to do would be to do some hearings on the issue and get the latest information as to sport as to the capabilities to secure it so that it doesn’t infiltrate with organized crime,’’ conceded former senator Dennis DiConcini, author of the Bradley Act. He’d have the support of NBA Commission Adam Silver and Major League Baseball‘s Rob Manfred, both of whom favor legalized betting — with substantial regulatory caveats attached.

Freeman says that “there are multiple signs of the sports leagues, including the NFL, taking a fresh look at this issue. You don’t place a team in Continue reading

Posted in Baseball, Economy, history, International, Internet gambling, Macau, Mississippi, Nevada, Problem gambling, Regulation, Sheldon Adelson, Sports, Steve Wynn, Wall Street | Comments Off on The Main Event; Macao roars

Strip loses, locals joints win; Aristocrat hooks Big Fish

Given the robustness of October 2017, last month’s Las Vegas Strip revenues ($529 million) were already facing a difficult comparison and the Stephen Paddock shooting spree didn’t help matters. Gambling revenues fell 6% last month along Las Vegas Boulevard. (Statewide, gaming revenues were flat.) A 6% drop-off in baccarat wagers translated into flat casino win, while non-baccarat table games were big losers — down 13% — for the house, as wagering slipped  7%. The only place where the house was even slightly lucky was slot win, down 3.5% on 4% less coin-in.

A tough, +10% comparison with last year didn’t deter locals casinos, who won 13% more this year, pretty phenomenal when you think about it. Admittedly, a little bit of September revenue was stashed in there, the month having ended on a weekend, but if that’s the case what’s the Strip’s excuse? Downtown ($63.5 million) did just fine, up Continue reading

Posted in Aristocrat, Boulder Strip, Churchill Downs, Downtown, Entertainment, Internet gambling, Lake Tahoe, Laughlin, Mandalay Bay Massacre, Mesquite, North Las Vegas, Reno, Technology, The Strip | 2 Comments

Good news for Sheldon and other Case Bets

Singapore‘s casinos are looking at an up year in 2018, according to normally cautious Fitch Ratings analyst Alex Bumazhny. “Singapore [gross gaming revenue] grew by around 10 percent year-on-year in first half 2017, after falling by around 30 percent over 2015 to 2016,” he wrote. “We expect GGR to continue to grow in 2018, driven by sustained growth in visitor arrivals.” Sheldon Adelson and Genting Group can utter a sigh of relief as the prospect of new casinos was deemed “unlikely.” The Fitch report follows a Sanford C. Bernstein one that predicts 18% gaming-revenue growth in VIP play when this year’s receipts are tallied. Bernstein projects year-end VIP receipts to be $1.7 billion, mainly propelled by Marina Bay Sands.

Tourism from China was credited with the improvement, although there’s room for growth. “Overall, we view the Asia-Pacific market as underpenetrated, at least in Continue reading

Posted in Ameristar, Australia, Crown Resorts, Genting, Harrah's, International, Iowa, Law enforcement, Mandalay Bay Massacre, Pinnacle Entertainment, Regulation, Sheldon Adelson, Singapore, The Crown 18, Tribal, Wall Street | Comments Off on Good news for Sheldon and other Case Bets

Favorable forecast for 2018; New look at Cosmo

Good news for casinos: “2018 is set to be a good year for gaming operators and suppliers globally amid a strong economic backdrop and a relatively benign new supply environment,” says Fitch Ratings analyst Alex Bumazhny, one of the more circumspect analysands in the gaming ‘verse. “More broadly, the regulatory and new supply risks are relatively benign in the mature gaming industry,” Bumazhny writes, while warning of saturation in the northeastern United States, whose sorry effects are already playing out in upper New York State. In the Atlantic City market, Hard Rock Casino is expected to open in mid-year, infusing new energy into the Boardwalk, and Revel might finally be sold. (That’s if Glenn Straub ever ceases litigating for special treatment because, well, because he’s Glenn Straub.)

In favorable news for manufacturers, 8,875 new slots are expected to come online, goosing an Continue reading

Posted in Architecture, Atlantic City, CityCenter, Cosmopolitan, Economy, Hard Rock International, Harrah's, Macau, MGM Mirage, New York, Sheldon Adelson, Sociedade de Jogos de Macau, Steve Wynn, The Strip, Wall Street | 1 Comment

Day of the Gun

Bellagio needs to get serious about security. As has happened multiple times in the past, an armed robbery was conducted on the premises, this time at the poker cage, at 3:45 p.m. I wouldn’t say casino security stood idly by but they failed yet again to stop a brazen stickup of the Las Vegas Strip‘s top casino. Players, however, were not so oblivious. Actor James Woods was among the onlookers. Tweeted Woods, “a guy walks up with a gun and robs the cage thirty feet from us ten minutes ago.” Since the suspect was wearing a mask and looked like a forlorn member of Cirque du Soleil, one wonders if security was blind to this anomaly or simply absent. The bandit was so confident, he actually valet-parked his getaway car (subsequently abandoned). What if the gun-toting robber had been bent upon shooting people instead? It would have been the second epic fail of MGM Resorts International security in as many months.

“Those who commit crimes like this on the Strip will be hunted down and whatever amount of cash he got is not enough to Continue reading

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Quote of the Day

“The price of oil has been rising steadily, a fact hardly noted by prognosticators. At some point, higher prices pinch consumer spending power. A shock, whether an exogenous event like war or simply profit-taking gone out of control, could shatter investor confidence.” — Frank Fantini, exercising a note of caution with regard to runaway casino-stock prices.

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Case Bets

Council Bluffs, Iowa, isn’t reacting so well to the revival of a 2007 casino plan by the Ponca Tribe of Nebraska to open in nearby Carter Lake. First off, the proposed site was ostensibly intended for an as-yet-unbuilt tribal medical facility. Secondly, Council Bluffs is already home to one Ameristar-branded Pinnacle Entertainment casino and two Caesars Entertainment properties. City Attorney Dick Wade is hunkering down for another court fight. “We don’t think the action of the [National] Indian Gaming Commission is consistent with their rules and the way the land was originally put into trust,” he told the press.

The 4,100-member Ponca Tribe, if it prevails, would build a 2,000-slot, 50-table game-casino. It would also be Continue reading

Posted in Ameristar, Atlantic City, Harrah's, Iowa, Japan, Mandalay Bay Massacre, MGM Mirage, Regulation, Sports, Taxes, Tribal | Comments Off on Case Bets

Wall Street loves Station; New wine in old bottles

Wall Street has identified one beneficiary of the tax bill currently before Congress: Station Casinos. As how it will affect those sought-after Millennials, well, companies like Station may have to re-do their math. (Pillaging discretionary income for people making less than $100,000 seems like a surefire prescription for a recession, to which — as we have discovered — casinos are far from bulletproof.) Anyway, on to Station. Deutsche Bank analyst Carlo Santarelli writes that “we see [Station] as the best play on tax reform within our gaming coverage universe and believe the current proposals could be conservatively worth $3-6 in present equity value per share (+10-20%) … Ultimately, depending on how the final bill comes together, the effective tax rate could be considerably lower, as we estimate [Station]’s 2018-2020 capex plans essentially approximate our pre-tax income forecasts, rendering taxable income insignificant.”

Free cash flow could increase as much 20%. Good news is you’re either a Station stockholder or Continue reading

Posted in Downtown, e-sports, Economy, Entertainment, Harrah's, IGT, Marketing, MGM Mirage, Palms, Station Casinos, Taxes, Technology, The Strip, Wall Street | Comments Off on Wall Street loves Station; New wine in old bottles

Coming soon to Las Vegas

A fistfight during an Oakland Raiders game? Horrors! Surely you jest! The Aqib TalibMichael Crabtree slugfest constituted the undercard to a Raiders/Denver Broncos tilt. Las Vegans can look forward to many such fisticuffs a few years hence.

(It’ll probably be good for ticket sales.)

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Quote of the Day

“In each of these games, the random number generator will pick essentially a maximum win for the player. So, in the case of Deep Sea Saga, the maximum number of special gems is 10. But, in some games it might only be 7 or 8. Thus, an expert player can still only win as much as the maximum number of gems allowed in that game. So, an expert player is not winning the theoretical maximum every game, but might be winning the theoretical maximum for that specific game, which may be well below the overall maximum.” — Elliot Frome on how GameCo and its brethren are planning to take the skill element out of skill-based slots.

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Happy Thanksgiving

Thanks be to all the newsmakers (yes, especially you, Glenn Straub) who are the gift that keeps on giving. Thanks to Huntington Press, S&G‘s safe harbor for over 10 years. And thanks, most of all, to you the reader, without whom this space would just be one hand clapping. You keep me going and for that I am truly grateful.

Posted in Current | 2 Comments

Curtains for Trump Plaza; Prez “downright dumb” about tribes

It’s dynamite time for Trump Plaza in Atlantic City — and about time. The pertinent question seems to be how owner Carl Icahn is going to get rid of this eyesore or, more specifically, how he’s going to pay for it. Rather than shell out his own money, Icahn is looking to tap the Investment Alternative Tax fund that the Casino Reinvestment Development Authority collects. Provided that Icahn has something more than a vacant lot in mind for the space, it sounds like a good and logical idea. Icahn wouldn’t raid other companies’ levies but is asking only for monies paid in by Tropicana Entertainment. Most of the casino is destined for a spring implosion, with only one hotel tower and the parking garage being spared.

“The demolition would open several acres of premium oceanfront property that could Continue reading

Posted in Atlantic City, Carl Icahn, Donald Trump, Harrah's, International, Internet gambling, Minnesota, Politics, Sam Nazarian, Taxes, Transportation, Tribal | 2 Comments

A sensible proposal

Under the right circumstances, driving down the Las Vegas Strip (preferably by night) can be a hedonistic experience. Too often, however, it is a bumper-to-bumper nightmare. Something needs to be done and Clark County Commissioner Chris Giunchigliani (D) has stepped up to the plate, proposing to block the Strip to all traffic save RTC buses, taxicabs, and Lyft and Uber drivers. She cites the “difficulty” first responders had in getting to Mandalay Bay during the 10/1 shootings and I, for one, would not have wanted to be navigating an ambulance through Strip traffic on an average evening. The details of Giunchigliani’s proposed no-drive zone are not explicitly stated, but it sounds like it would begin at Russell Road, south of Mandalay Bay, and end at least as far north as Sahara Avenue. Sounds good to me. The Regional Transportation Commission of Southern Nevada has $2.3 million to devise a new “transportation strategy” for the Las Vegas area. I’d Giunchigliani just saved them a lot of money and gray matter.

* MGM Resorts International has gotten a head start on its refurbishment of Excalibur. Today it unveiled its Continue reading

Posted in Entertainment, Indiana, Internet gambling, Iowa, Louisiana, Mandalay Bay Massacre, MGM Mirage, Mohegan Sun, Movies, Pennsylvania, The Strip, Transportation, Tropicana Entertainment | 3 Comments

This just in …

Eldorado Resorts has pulled out of a planned sale of Isle of Capri Lake Charles to tribally owned Kicks Entertainment. At least one analyst, JP Morgan‘s Daniel Politzer, sees this as a good thing. For starters, Eldorado pockets Kicks’ $20 million deposit. “While investors may initially view this news negatively, we see a silver lining here as it enables ERI to either (1) take advantage of the favorable/active M&A environment to obtain a far better transaction multiple for the property ….  or (2) fully integrate the property into its existing portfolio.” He added, “we estimate ~$10m of EBITDA upside if the property were run similarly to ERI’s other properties.” However, as Isle Lake Charles is the weakest property in the market, its appeal for Eldorado may be negligible. Unfortunately for the company, two of the more aggressive hunters and seekers of acquisitions, Pinnacle Entertainment and Boyd Gaming, already have strong Lake Charles footholds. But Penn National Gaming does not and Caesars Entertainment might want to get back into the market, one that Gary Loveman foolishly forfeited in favor of added exposure in Biloxi. New CEO Mark Frissora certainly has an itch to spend, judging by Continue reading

Posted in Boyd Gaming, Eldorado Resorts, Foxwoods, Harrah's, Isle of Capri, Louisiana, Mohegan Sun, Penn National, Pinnacle Entertainment, Politics, Regulation, Tribal, Wall Street | Comments Off on This just in …

Quote of the Day

“My vision is of Naga as a dragon. It curves around China … and the north-eastern part of Russia, and the north of Mongolia.” — NagaCorp CEO Chen Lip Keong, whose Cambodian casino company is in talks with the governments of Nepal, Mongolia, Kazakhstan and Russia.

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