Any way out for Caesars?

Woodfield Consulting Group has put a “strong sell” recommendation on Caesars Entertainment stock, deeming it “a poor equity investment choice that offers low expected return to equity investors with high speculative risk.” Noting that Caesars has six years’ and $17 billion in balloon payments to look forward to, it also pointed out that debt service is devouring Caesars’ income: “The company produces an impressive cash flow from operations of nearly $1.8 billion annually, but this is quickly spent on interest averaging around 10%.”

Linq revisedA recent buyback of $2 billion “likely” wiped out Caesars’ cash reserves, Woodfield opines. In the group’s view, Caesars mortgaged the future to pay for the present by Continue reading

Posted in Economy, Harrah's, Japan, Maryland, Ohio, The Strip, Wall Street | 5 Comments

Suffolk Downs: Devil in the details; Wynn exculpated

suffolk-downs-casino-thumb-520x301-92384jpg-7517a160501587b8Suffolk Downs has yet to reveal how it will shoehorn a $1 billion casino into the Revere portion of its property. However, its struggle to do so is being made even harder both by opposition groups and Boston politicians who’s like to see the project stone dead. In terms of a mandate, there’s no question that Suffolk Downs already has one from Revere, which supported the casino with 60% of the vote, even as East Boston rejected it. However, there’s some fine print in the host-community agreement that could trip up the casino’s reconfiguration.

The casino was originally to have sat entirely on the East Boston side of Suffolk Downs. “As planned, the project would be Continue reading

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Semi-failure to launch; Crackdown in Illinois

New Jersey flagIt’s not just Obamacare that’s having Web site glitches in its launch. The same goes for New Jersey‘s ‘Net-betting system. Test player Joseph Brennen attempted logging in from within Atlantic City but kept getting error messages. “It’s frustrating knowing you’re in the jurisdiction and you can’t get anywhere,” he told The Associated Press. The system’s digital fencing didn’t think he was in the state. (What an irony: Atlantic City-based servers not being able to service Atlantic City.) Solution? Drive to a highway plaza five miles inland and play from there. But then he drove 10 further inland and again encountered log-in problems. Similar nightmares plagued Ocean Township resident Tina Gonzalez, who was also exiled by the online fence. However, players from 23 other states who tried to make an end-run around the fences got nabbed.

Although every casino in Atlantic City can offer as many as five Web sites, the seven approved casinos are starting with two apiece. (Resorts International‘s partnership with PokerStars didn’t make the cut in time for the test launch.) Since the purpose of the test is, among other things, to ensure that underage players can’t get in, I suppose the casinos are going to have to find some kiddies in order to make sure that the age-verification applications are working.
State Sen. Raymond Lesniak (D), meanwhile, wants to take the experiment to Continue reading

Posted in Atlantic City, Bally Technologies, Economy, IGT, Illinois, International, Internet gambling, Regulation, Slot routes, Technology | Comments Off on Semi-failure to launch; Crackdown in Illinois

Quote of the Day

deval-patrick‘‘I think it is working exactly as it was supposed to, which was to authorize up to three destination resort licenses and one [slots parlor] and to let people make their own decisions about whether they want the facilities in their own communities.’’ — Massachusetts Gov. Deval Patrick (D), pushing back against an attempt to repeal the state’s casino legalization.

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Freeman vs. Adelson; Kentucky tries again

In a particularly stunning departure from American Gaming Association tradition, new prexy Geoff Freeman took a jab at Las Vegas Sands CEO Sheldon “Nuke ‘Em” Adelson in the pages of USA Today. Of course, Freeman didn’t mention Adelson explicitly. But those who have been following the debate over Internet gambling knew exactly for whom his words were intended. “Online gambling is here to stay. That is the reality,” began Freeman’s stemwinder. He pointed out that even in its illegal form it was a $3 billion/year industry.

Sheldon pashaPretending we can eliminate online gambling only places Americans at continued risk,” Freeman wrote, invoking the failed experiment of Prohibition. (Adelson was four months old when the Volstead Act was repealed.) “Ignoring the lessons of history and pretending that outlawing something — despite market demand — will make it disappear leads to negative consequences,” he continued. Given Adelson’s long history of playing the victim, expect him to cry foul. However, he threw the first punch in this fight, so he was fairly asking for Freeman to deck him on behalf of the AGA’s constituency, especially when Adelson’s crusade may well go nowhere legislatively but could have a chilling effect on the legitimate i-gaming industry.

Competing for the Brass Balls Award, New Jersey state Sen. Raymond Lesniak (D) told Adelson to Continue reading

Posted in Atlantic City, Columbia Sussex, Harrah's, Internet gambling, Kentucky, Marketing, New York, Penn National, Pennsylvania, Politics, Racinos, Regulation, Sheldon Adelson, Taxes | Comments Off on Freeman vs. Adelson; Kentucky tries again

Unwelcome surprise for Steve Wynn

Wynn EverettA bomb just went off under Steve Wynn‘s $1.3 billion casino project in Everett. Multiple felon Charles Lightbody has been bragging upon his supposedly hidden ownership in the land on which Wynn has taken an option. So say confidential sources. The feds have empaneled a grand jury in the matter. Lightbody may not be the only convicted criminal holding a stake in the property, a lead that the FBI is pursuing. Lightbody says he sold his percentage last year but those who know him are telling a different tale, and Wynn Resorts is renegotiating the sales price downward, trying to mitigate the fallout.

Neither Lightbody nor his crony would have Continue reading

Posted in Harrah's, Internet gambling, Marketing, Massachusetts, MGM Mirage, Sam Nazarian, Steve Wynn, The Mob, Tourism | 1 Comment

Discord over Macao, harmony at MGM

macao1952If there’s anything murkier than the gambling subculture of Macao, it’s the report on same issued by  U.S.-China Economic Security Review Commission. Its conclusion that money laundering “might be out there” won’t come to a shock to anyone. U.S. casino companies received an equivocal bill of health, with the commission saying that it didn’t find any evidence of wrongdoing — but didn’t look for it either. It did suggest federal oversight of Sands China, Wynn Macau and MGM Grand Paradise, although there has been no evidence to date that state regulatory bodies are failing to handle this role perfectly well.

Big Gaming wasn’t even asked to provide its perspective. The commission received 11th-hour input from MGM and Wynn, but at the behest of those companies. The investigative body also didn’t deign to Continue reading

Posted in Culinary Union, Current, Macau, MGM Mirage, Regulation, Sheldon Adelson, Steve Wynn, The Strip, Tourism, Wall Street | Comments Off on Discord over Macao, harmony at MGM

Quote of the Day

Cards“Baccarat has saved the Strip’s bacon.” — Dr. David G. Schwartz, director of the Center for Gaming Research at the University of Nevada-Las Vegas, on the importance of table games.

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SLS arises, Adelson attacks and Atlantic City fights back

SLS_LV-Splash_v2“Will the change the game for the north Strip?” So asks the Las Vegas Sun. One could just say “no” and leave it at that, but there’s no getting around that SLS Las Vegas will be in a, um, challenged location. That’s not the only hurdle, as President Rob Oseland explains. “The fact that we’re able to sit on that [Sahara Boulevard/Las Vegas Strip] corner again is a really big advantage. It means we’re going to be accessible,” he says, trying to spin the SLS’s geographical isolation into a plus. He’s also promising a more casino-centric experience: “As a result of us having to work within the Sahara’s four walls, we’re able to re-create the energy we lost over the past two decades” to other amenities.

OselandOseland is something of a Vegas throwback: a man who worked his way up from dealing blackjack to running hotels. It speaks well of SLS owner Sam Nazarian that he went with such a person as opposed to bringing in some slickster from SBE Entertainment‘s nightclub empire. Work continues slowly but steadily at the old Sahara site, with the old Moorish fringes largely intact, but the hotel towers are evolving into the new look we’ve been promised. Continue, gentlemen.

Adelson2_2_12Sheldon’s game. The antiquated vizier of Las Vegas Sands is pushing all his chips to the middle of the felt in an attempt to stop Americans from having access to Internet gambling. Before you buy into Adelson’s ‘Do it for the children’ crap, remember that he dabbled in i-gaming himself. Venelazzo‘s Web site shrieks that “you can even play from your room!” Yes, away from the prying eyes of casino surveillance and the Nevada Gaming Control Board. That’s as close to ‘Net betting as you can get without being in it.

New Jersey state Sen. Raymond Lesniak (D) immediately saw and raised Adelson, telling reporters Continue reading

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Japan factor overrated?; Gural’s head start

japan_flag_01-300x300Skepticism is starting to emerge regarding Union Gaming Group‘s projection of $10 billion a year from Japanese casinos, should they be legalized. Among the reasons given are that “whales” from Japan aren’t a major factor in Pacific Rim casinos. Also, mass-market pachinko is a very low-hold game, unlike slot machines. Lastly, according to some, “Japan – with its distinct culture and low penetration of English language skills – is likely to focus its casino offer mainly on domestic players.” The Japan Restoration Party, a nationalist brainchild of Shintaro Ishihara, the patron saint of gambling in Japan, is proposing its own casino-approval bill. It’s not waiting for the ruling coalition to get its act together. Action in the Diet is expected by Dec. 6.

Irony Alert.: Smiles were supposedly abounding with the closure of the Scientific Games takeover of WMS Industries, to the extent that Scientific COB Lorne Weil was quoted as saying, “Closing the WMS acquisition marks a new chapter for all of us.” That’s especially true for Continue reading

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Foxwoods Massachusetts: All the king’s horses …

In what must be the shortest-lived deal in Penn National Gaming‘s history, its nascent partnership with Foxwoods Resort Casino went down to defeat yesterday. Crossroads Massachusetts, as it was called, didn’t just lose — it was crushed. An unofficial tabulation has Foxwoods taking it on the chin, 35% to 65%. Unlike cities such as Everett and Springfield, Foxwoods’ host community of Milford just didn’t feel the need the infusion of casino dollars. Opponents can congratulate themselves on having organized early and for waging a 10-month campaign against gambling, earning an electoral jackpot (for them, if not for the Milford economy). Not all of the opponents were anti-gambling per se. Said one, “We’re not against the casino, that’s just not the right spot for it.”

Foxwoods renderings for proposed Milford CasinoFoxwoods CEO Scott Butera was gracious in defeat. “Throughout this process we’ve gotten to know Milford and thousands of its residents. While we worked hard to offer a resort casino we believe would benefit the area, the town made a decision similar to many other communities across the state,” he said. Implicit in his statement is the fact that much of Continue reading

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Case Bets: Scientific, Japan, Pennsylvania, Arizona

scientific-games-corp-logoHappy trails to Scientific Games CEO Lorne Weil, who got the axe this morning. He was immediately replaced by former Revlon CEO David L. Kennedy. Revlon ower Ronald Perelman takes over as CEO. Kennedy isn’t a newcomer to Scientific: He served with the company from 2010 to 2012. Deutsche Bank analyst Kelly Knybel said the move should be viewed “with some level of caution.”

Don’t pop any champagne corks for casinos in Japan just yet. As part of his ruling coalition, Prime Minister Shinzo Abe has to appease the New Komeito Party, which contends that the Japanese public lacks a “full understanding” of the issue. Abe may have to table the issue until next year, leaving any number of major casino operators to bide their time and hone their sales pitches.

Pennsylvania 064Saturation isn’t a problem in Pennsylvania just yet, but the state’s cutting it pretty fine. Gambling revenue increased 2.4% this month, with new Isle of Capri Nemacolin helping to put the Keystone State over the top. In the Philadelphia area, Valley Forge Casino Resort (up 28%) led all gainers, with Parx Casino and SugarHouse up just 1%. Harrah’s Philadelphia dropped 5%. In the Pittsburgh area, Rivers Casino (up 9%) had a good month while The Meadows racino (-8%) did not. And a 12% surge at Sands Bethlehem made Continue reading

Posted in Arizona, Cannery Casino Resorts, Current, Greenwood Racing, Harrah's, Isle of Capri, Japan, Neil Bluhm, Pennsylvania, Scientific Games, Sheldon Adelson, Tribal, Wall Street | Comments Off on Case Bets: Scientific, Japan, Pennsylvania, Arizona

Foxwoods finds a partner and, yes, it’s Penn

massachusetts_flagBy the narrowest of odds, Crossroads Massachusetts caught a couple of breaks late last week. The Foxwoods Resort Casino-led project was found “conditionally” suitable to go forward. The condition imposed by the Massachusetts Gaming Commission was that Foxwoods find the $550 million it lacked in financing. As predicted here, Foxwoods pulled Penn National Gaming — or rather its parent, Gaming & Leisure Properties Inc. — out of a hat. Penn is already licensed in Massachusetts, so that should remove any remaining clouds over Crossroads before it goes to the voters tomorrow. GLPI is extending financing to Crossroads without taking an equity position, so it will be interesting to see how this arrangement works.

Foxwoods now must contend in Milford with a highly organized and motivated opposition. It also must Continue reading

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Quote of the Day

penn-national-gaming“While we see valuation as undemanding, we think the stock is stuck given sluggish regional gross gaming revenue trends.” — J.P. Morgan analyst Joseph Greff, staying neutral on ‘new’ Penn National Gaming and its parent, Gaming & Leisure Properties Inc. Greff prefers Pinnacle Entertainment and its higher cash flow.

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The little slot company that could; Thinking small in New York; Thinking big in Macao

MultimediaEarlier this week, Howard Stutz looked into the fascinating story of Multimedia Games, beloved of stock analysts but shunned by share buyers. What’s not to like? Multimedia widened its profit last quarter, to $10 million. Sales in FY13 rose 27%, to an installed base of 12,440 machines. Profit grew 19% during that same period. But, with typical Wall Street logic, share prices fell $2.30 after those rosy fiscal-year numbers were published. What’s wrong on Wall Street?

Multimedia has chosen an interesting time to have made a push into Nevada, New Jersey and Illinois (next stop: Pennsylvania). Slot inventory in Nevada has fallen to sub-1995 levels. This is attributable to many factors, the most plausible of which is that one machine can now support many more games — especially in the era of server-based gambling. As Dr. David G. Schwartz put it simply, “The casino floor is changing.”

TraditionsNow there are three. Many potential players in the New York casino industry are still keeping their hands close to their corporate vest. However, the number of applicants is quickly proliferating. The would-be developers of Traditions Resort & Casino, in the vast Southern Tier, will probably have to put more than $150 million in investment on the table to get chosen. “We’re going to recreate Broome County as a destination once again,” co-owner Pete Walsh proclaimed. Not with that low-roller budget he’s not. Ironically, the Walsh family’s presentation had begun with, “It’s time to think big.” I agree. So when do you plan to start?

As reported earlier, Tioga Downs isn’t even waiting for a license but is expanding already, to the tune of Continue reading

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Racing the clock at Foxwoods, in Philly

It’s entirely possible that Milford voters could pink-slip Crossroads Massachusetts next Tuesday. But even if they don’t, Foxwoods Casino Resort CEO Scott “Woody” Butera is watching the project crumble before his Tigger Eeyorevery eyes. The Massachusetts Gaming Commission looked at the project’s financing — or lack of same — and didn’t like what it saw. On the flip side, voters could approve Crossroads, only to have the MGC nix it because the financing is so vaporous. Flinging a Hail Mary pass, Butera promised to have a co-owner by the weekend. That’s a pretty bold promise when you consider Foxwoods has had years to line up capital and the project is still only 45% funded. “Because $1 billion is a lot of money, the return an investor would generate is much riskier,” replied Macquarie Capital analyst Chad Beynon, playing Eeyore to Butera’s Tigger. The latter said he was dickering with yet another casino company, as well as a private equity firm “that has been involved in gaming.” Oh no! It’s Colony Capital! (Let’s hope not.)

“I’m 110 percent comfortable, I know what we have and I know where we’re headed,” said COO David Nunes, who must be in a unique position indeed. The gaming company is transparently Penn National Gaming parent Gaming & Leisure Properties Inc.: “a publicly traded entity that would Continue reading

Posted in CityCenter, Cordish Co., Current, Dining, Election, Foxwoods, Horseracing, Kansas, Maryland, Massachusetts, Penn National, Pennsylvania, Regulation, Steve Wynn, Tomato King Procacci, Wall Street | Comments Off on Racing the clock at Foxwoods, in Philly

X Train dead? Is so! Is not!

XTrainStation“I’ll believe when I see it” has always been a good policy to follow when dealing with the X Train. This, you may recall, was the rail service that was to be underwritten with onboard gambling and was to double as a freight service to bring Rick Moonen‘s seafood to Las Vegas. However, a recent SEC filing throws the X Train into even more doubt than ever before. Heck, we should have known better when the X Train unveiled a rendering of a station to be built by the Plaza. Counting on Tamares Group to come through with anything capital-intensive is almost always a losing bet.

Parent Las Vegas Railway Express has abandoned its strategy of having Continue reading

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Foxwoods, Suffolk struggling in Massachusetts

Foxwoods Resorts Casino‘s inability to keep its financial house in order has, as predicted, caught up with it in Massachusetts. The
tribally owned casino’s debt burden put it in the hot seat before the Massachusetts Gaming Commission. Chairman Stephen Crosby said the casino’s equity structure was an issue that called for resolution — or else. Also, even with Genting Group bringing money by the bushel, Foxwoods has less than 50% of the needed financing lined up. MGC lead investigator Karen Wellswas unable to advise the panel on whether the Foxwoods bid should be cleared to continue. She said the ‘glaring issue’ was the group’s failure to secure a 55 percent equity ownership interest.” Equally predictably, the recent convictions of tribal execs Michael and Steve Thomas drew scrutiny from the regulators.

CEO Scott “Woody” Butera, playing for time, said interested buyers were being sought. Foxwoods will manage the project and own Continue reading

Posted in Election, Foxwoods, Genting, Harrah's, Internet gambling, Massachusetts, New York, Racinos, Technology, The Mob, The Strip | 1 Comment

Looking for a few good gamblers; Loveman lauded

If you live in New Jersey, this may be your lucky day. The state is looking for players to try out its i-gaming system ahead of the Nov. 26 launch. A month into real-money play, New Jersey will permit bonus accruals which can be cashed out only after a certain amount of rewards have piled up: “For instance, a casino can make an offer in which it requires a customer to deposit $100 in an account, and matches that with $100 of its own. The casino could require the customer to make $1,000 worth of bets before cashing out any winnings.” Betfair, incidentally, has received a grace period that will allow it to begin test play on Nov. 21 while its application is reviewed.

Loveman fluffyCaesars Entertainment CEO/Chairman/President/Grand Poobah Gary Loveman is the center of attention at a rubber-chicken dinner tonight, marking his induction into the Gaming Hall of Fame. Here at S&G, we make no secret of the fact that we think Loveman belongs in the Hall of Shame instead. “Loveman has presided over a period of growth for Caesars” is how the Las Vegas Review-Journal euphemistically describes his spendthrift ways, which have left the company hanging by a thread. His acceptance speech is said to focus on Caesars’ employees, which certain of his detractors would say is more than he’s ever done as CEO.

However, we hope Prof. Loveman enjoys a lovely evening and it’s inarguable that the former Harrah’s Entertainment has served as quite an academy for men and women who would go on to gaming presidencies elsewhere. One of them, Continue reading

Posted in Florida, Harrah's, Internet gambling, Massachusetts, Regulation, Steve Wynn | 1 Comment

Life beyond Wynn; Crazy bounce in Atlantic City; Pressure rises in Macao

weinbergApplicants for Philadelphia‘s remaining casino license say they’re still keen on their chances even though Steve Wynn has dropped out? And why not? Everybody else’s odds just got better. I’d be doing the happy dance, too, if I was Penn National Gaming spokeswoman Karen Bailey. (I also agree with her that Penn’s project is “right-sized” for the market and others are much too ambitious.) But it was quite an understatement by SugarHouse CEO Greg Carlin to say Philadelphia was “showing signs” of saturation: It’s been downright soggy for some time now. As for Wynn’s blaming New York‘s casino vote, I’m glad to see that I’m not the only person who found that perplexing. RBC Capital MarketsJohn Kempf took note of the huge geographical distance involved, adding, “We’re a little bit skeptical about [Wynn].”

As for Wynn Resorts‘ entry into Massachusetts, should a federal criminal probe be a bar? Probably not, since the feds have had seven months to request documents and can’t be bothered to do so. The SEC has already called off the dogs regarding Wynn’s gift of $135 million to the University of Macau. Perhaps, given its lack of urgency, the DoJ should do the same.

It’s time for a new business strategy at Continue reading

Posted in Economy, Macau, Neil Bluhm, New York, Penn National, Pennsylvania, Revel, Steve Wynn, Tropicana Entertainment, Trump Entertainment Resorts, Wall Street | Comments Off on Life beyond Wynn; Crazy bounce in Atlantic City; Pressure rises in Macao