Merry Christmas

LVA's Stiffs & Georges bureau is on holiday in Cameron Park, Calif., for the remainder of the week. As I write this, I'm only four miles or so from the new Red Hawk Casino (which looks to present as much of a competitive danger to Lake Tahoe that Thunder Valley did for Reno) but our schedule of family activities hasn't included a swing past Red Hawk … especially not when one's eight-year-old nephew and six-year-old niece are in tow.

Regardless of whichever late-December holiday (if any) you observe, may it be joyous and bountiful, and may it augur more of the same in the coming year.

Posted in California | Comments Off on Merry Christmas

Deep Red: Encore

As much as casino-watchers have been vexed by the total media clampdown on all but the smallest scintillae of revelation about Steve Wynn‘s Encore, it was worth the wait. Or, to put it differently, Aria and Fontainebleau have just been given an exceptionally difficult act to follow.

I say that as someone who was disappointed with Wynn Las Vegas when it debuted in 2005. Despite the modernity promised by the exterior, what I found inside was a pastel-colored version of Bellagio — smaller, muted, rearranged and more than a bit fussy.

Let it not be said that there is anything pastel about Encore, nor anything tentative. For starters, primary colors are back “in” with a vengeance, specifically red. Now, I like red but we’re talking RED!!! Continue reading

Posted in Architecture, Cirque du Soleil, Cloverfield monster, Current, Dining, Economy, Encore, Fontainebleau, Harrah's, Macau, MGM Mirage, Planet Hollywood, Sheldon Adelson, Steve Wynn, The Strip | Comments Off on Deep Red: Encore

Quote of the Day

"My job is not to design the best hotel. My job is to design the best hotel experience … I hope people propose in my spaces." — Roger Thomas, design supremo for Steve Wynn, conducting a tour of Encore, which opens tonight (Dec. 22).

Posted in Architecture, Steve Wynn | Comments Off on Quote of the Day

Pinnacle's Bahamas debacle

It wasn’t so long ago that Pinnacle Entertainment was the fair-haired boy of the casino industry, especially after it hit a home run in the Lake Charles, La., market with tony L’Auberge du Lac. Then it nearly followed Columbia Sussex over the precipice in the crazy Aztar Corp. bidding war. Its much-anticipated Lumiere Place in St. Louis is now regarded as a succes d’estime, a budgetary overindulgence. (It’s certainly failed to make any significant dent in proximate Ameristar Casinos and Harrah’s Entertainment operations.)

Pinnacle paid a bundle to agglomerate land on Atlantic City‘s Boardwalk that it now can’t afford to develop — and may be regretting the precipitate fashion with which it shut down and demolished the Sands, which could have been generating a modest revenue stream all this time. A Baton Rouge riverboat project is behind schedule, and now …

Isle of Capri Casinos and Harrah’s now can welcome Pinnacle to the club of U.S. casino owners who have found nothing but a dead end in the Bahamas. (In fairness to Harrah’s, it never got a chance to operate there, its Baha Mar project having fallen victim to internecine plotting and counterplotting that still haven’t been sorted out.) The torrent of red ink from Exuma has done a number on Pinnacle’s bottom line, which really doesn’t need any more bloodletting right now.

It seems that Pinnacle decided last summer to either sell or outright close its casino on Exuma and will draw the blinds on Jan. 2 (which tells you just how bad business must be). Given that the Bahamas also turned out to be a fiscal graveyard for “Pile of Debris” (one of the bad decisions that ushered out the Goldstein Era), no wonder Pinnacle’s Exuma casino is wanting for takers. Yes, they couldn’t even get James Packer to take this turkey, so things must be very dire indeed. The ill-starred property has even been purged from Pinnacle’s corporate Web site. “Bahamas casino? What Bahamas casino? No, we never had one of those. Where did you read that?

I’m tempted to say this is the end of U.S. casino operators trying to reinvent the Bahamas as a market for Vegas-style gambling. But this is an industry with no shortage of persistence and optimism, mostly justified but sometimes not.

Last-minute reminder: The final episode, “Vegas” of Stargate Atlantis — partly shot on the Strip — airs tonight at 9 p.m. Eastern and Pacific. I’m just sayin’.

Posted in Atlantic City, Columbia Sussex, Harrah's, International, Isle of Capri, James Packer, Pinnacle Entertainment, Planet Hollywood, The Strip, TV | Comments Off on Pinnacle's Bahamas debacle

Next up: Gladiators, orgies & bear-baiting

In Atlantic City, whose casinos saw revenue decline by 8 percent last month compared with the same period last year, the Tropicana staged its own version of Pamplona’s Running of the Bulls on Saturday — participants dressed as Santa Claus ran through the casino chasing scantily clad Hooters waitresses.” — If de facto Trop President Pam Popielarski is trying to make Columbia Sussex look good by comparison, she’s off to what you might call a running start.

Posted in Atlantic City, Columbia Sussex, Tropicana Entertainment | Comments Off on Next up: Gladiators, orgies & bear-baiting

Quote of the Day

"[T]he fact that he's from a somewhat Western state is good." — a congressional spokesman, reacting to the nomination of Sen. Ken Salazar to head the Interior Department. Salazar is from the "somewhat" (but apparently not very) Western state of … Colorado.

Posted in Colorado, Current, Tribal | Comments Off on Quote of the Day

Right from the beginning

Time Magazine, no less, has designated the LBO of Harrah’s Entertainment by Texas Pacific Group and Apollo (Mis)Management the third-worst business deal of 2008. Harrah’s CEO Gary Loveman sought out this deal — and these particular buyers — out at a time when it made precious little economic sense, so I guess he earns sole possession of this “award,” having been the architect of the debacle. Those of us who were skeptical from Day One get a small measure of vindication to keep us warm on a day when the snowfall in Las Vegas is so heavy that I can’t even see Harrah’s The Rio, two blocks distant, from my office window.

Way to extend that brand! Moving from triumph to triumph, Harrah’s has found a way to perfume the pig that is its $578 million golf course in Macao. It is now Caesars Golf Macau (y’know, for when Total Rewards members get a sudden golfing jones that can only be sated via a trans-Pacific commute). Yup, Harrah’s sure is getting every inch of mileage out of its Caesars brand … if you mean frequent-flier mileage, that is. At least Harrah’s is maintaining its investment, not proposing to abandon it to the rough mercies of Mother Nature, like some.

Criss Angel goes to Disneyland, Hefbot in tow. Isn’t that special?

Speaking of Mr. Angel (if we must), it’s conventional wisdom to the nth power that Vegas isn’t going to make it as “Broadway West.” Of course not. If Cirque du Soleil opened an $85 million headliner show on the Great White Way to terrible reviews and — if possible — even worse word of mouth, we’d be talking about Believe very much in the past tense. Heck, it probably would closed after one performance, and all the king’s “fixations” and all the king’s clowns couldn’t have put it back together again. So producers of half-assed shows like Fuego Raw Talent Live ought to thank their lucky stars they’re not on Broadway West.

Posted in Cirque du Soleil, Harrah's, International, Macau, MGM Mirage, Wall Street | Comments Off on Right from the beginning

When all is said and done

The way old friends do. Last Sunday, I received an early Christmas present in the form of tickets to Mamma Mia!, entering its antepenultimate week on the Strip (where it's still the best entertainment value around). Happily, the cast was still grabbing all the gusto they could, to paraphrase an old beer commercial. You'd never know this particular ensemble had been together for three of the production's six years.

 

… to fill the hole in your soul.

The visitors. Anyway, I figured that might be my last-ever look at the show that's successfully flouted conventional wisdom about what "won't work in Vegas." And which is still packing them in, I might add. Well, the ABBA gods (or goddesses, for those who worship at the shrines of Frida and Agnetha) must have smiled upon us, as the Better Half just scored tickets to Jan. 4's last-ever performance of Mamma Mia! at Mandalay Bay.

It's liable to be a bittersweet experience. I'm sorry to see it end but we can take some consolation in observing that — like ABBA itself — it's going out with a full head of steam instead of being put out of its misery. (Compared to, say, Fuego Raw Talent Live, where you expect the closing notice to be posted in mid-show.) Besides, the same evening sees the final performance of Stomp Out Loud at Planet Hollywood, so it will be a dark night indeed for theatre on the Strip.

Why did it have to be me? At least in the case of Mamma Mia!, if it had to depart, I can think of no more auspicious successor than The Lion King.* (Did subliminal associations with Leo the MGM lion play any part in the decision?) Second-hand word from last week's media preview is that it will be the full-scale Lion King, without any of the downsizing that was hinted at in the initial announcement. Also, the Lion King's producers are prepared to go into the M'Bay theatre "as is," which must have endeared them to MGM Mirage no end. A seventh (God forbid) Cirque du Soleil show would have required expensive, er, I mean extensive customization of the space.

(* — Of the mooted replacement for Stomp Out Loud, the less said the better.)

Nonetheless, Cirque high pajandrum Guy Laliberté has continued to play the role of spider on the valentine, openly coveting the M'Bay space for himself even before Lion King has planted its first paw there. Hey, M. Laliberté, don't you have a Criss Angel vanity project that's stinking up the joint over at Luxor? Why don't concentrate on your three months of "fixations," as you call them, while MGM Mirage gets on with a show that's certain to succeed (and I don't mean Believe).

Oh, and thanks for asking people to shell out $160 apiece to see a work in progress. Quel schmuque.

Here's to six long years or more of The Lion King — and at least as many before we have to endure any more of M. Laliberté nicotene-stained bombast. The silver lining to Jan. 4's dark cloud is that Mamma Mia! will be making room for another class act.

Posted in Cirque du Soleil, MGM Mirage, Planet Hollywood, The Strip | Comments Off on When all is said and done

Scary clown at Echelon!

Let me say at the outset, I do not like Ronald McDonald. He gave me creeps as a child and still does. (The thought of him wanting to buddy up to you … it's just disturbing.) The Ronald McDonald Houses, on the other hand, are a great and good thing.

However, after tasking MGM Mirage — perhaps excessively — over its $5K donation to Clark County's Music in the Schools program (a drop in the bucket in a year when Gov. Jim Gibbons is taking a flamethrower to Nevada's education budgets), some perspective is in order. MGM's donation absolutely blows away the meager $1,576.10 donated to Ronald McDonald House Charities of Greater Las Vegas at the opening of Viva McDonalds, the only part of the Echelon master plan to open as … as … well, as planned. (See the yellow box, halfway down the "Echelon" page.)

The guy in the goofy suit to Ronald McD's right is Mac King, magician and fellow alumnus of Macalester College. (He was two years ahead of me scholastically and remains light years ahead of me career-wise.)

At least RHMC of Greater LV doesn't need to feel quite so bad. It made out like a bandit compared to Mayor Oscar Goodman. He got a shoe.

Posted in Boyd Gaming, Charity, MGM Mirage, The Strip | Comments Off on Scary clown at Echelon!

Phil Ruffin's big deal

As you've already read umpteen times over by now, MGM Mirage sold Treasure Island over the weekend to Phil Ruffin. The latter's sitting on a massive chunk of change ever since playing El Ad Group to the tune of $1.24 billion — or $36 million/acre) for what used to be the New Frontier.

(Slightly less than three acres of undeveloped land, previously destined for Tower II of Trump International — which now appears to be on permanent hold — remain in the hands of one Phillip G. Ruffin of Wichita, Kansas. The land directly titled to El Ad — 18.4 acres would work out to a staggering $67.3 million/acre, so the exact breakdown of Ruffin's bonanza can be difficult to ascertain.)

At $775 million (7-8X projected cash for flow 2008-09), it's an entirely reasonable price — and at 6X EBITDA for 2007, it borders on a steal. "I would not be able to get a property like [Treasure Island] in normal times," the billionaire candidly told Forbes. Moreover, it leaves Ruffin still theoretically sitting atop a veritable throne of cash, with casinos aplenty to be had — not always worth having, but other top-tier properties may soon be on offer.

Already the 'Net is abuzz with speculation as to what MGM might part with next, in order to close the financing gap on CityCenter: MGM Grand (aka "the Green Monster"), New York-New York, Monte Carlo, Circus Circus, maybe even The Mirage itself … not to mention various and sundry pieces of raw land, although the greater appeal of an up-and-running, brand-name casino is obvious. As for Ruffin, with greyhound racinos in his native Kansas having a snowball's chance in Hell of happening, it's no wonder that he decided to re-enter the fray on the Strip, especially at such a favorable price.

Not only that, he'll help make the deal pencil out by keeping Treasure Island affiliated with MGM Mirage's loyalty-card program. As MGM explains, "We're working out a Technical Services Agreement to provide for that and a variety of services including hotel and accounting systems, parking, tram, etc." And if Ruffin's going to affiliate with MGM on one property, why not two?

Between the fact that A) nobody expects Ruffin to tear down Treasure Island, unlike the New Frontier, and B) it and The Mirage are listed jointly as one property for tax-assessment purposes, it's difficult to use this transaction as a benchmark of land value on the Strip. Thomas Weisel Partners analyst Jake Fuller approximates a $15 million/acre valuation for the deal. (Since that'd work out to an improbable 52.6 acres, Fuller is obviously building a valuation of the existing casino-hotel into his math.)

MGM's Alan Feldman responds that the purchase price was arrived upon strictly on an EBITDA-multiple-basis, "not per acre. That's because [Ruffin is] buying the operation rather than making a real estate development deal. We'll know the acreage once we go to subdivide as part of the close." Even if Ruffin winds up with considerably less than half of the 84 shared Mirage-Treasure Island acres (plus 14 acres' worth of parking lot out back), we're looking a substantial downward correction in the value of being on Strip, compared to the giddy heights reached in '06, especially in the El Ad and Columbia Sussex deals.

Posted in Columbia Sussex, Donald Trump, MGM Mirage, Phil Ruffin, The Strip | Comments Off on Phil Ruffin's big deal

Isle of Capri Biloxi previewed

Ironically, now that Isle of Capri has put its Biloxi plans on hold, we finally get a look at what the revamped Isle (minus the “of Capri” and the parrot) would look like. It’s not beauty-contest winner but, if it can be financed, would be an improvement on the very sparse-looking hotel-casino presently on the site. The current Isle Biloxi has been dubbed “the Tropicana of Biloxi,” which is almost the worst insult anyone can level at the place.

Meanwhile, Isle’s market cap continues to dwindle ($88.6 million as of today), as the executive makeover continues. It’s difficult to foresee a turnaround scenario for Isle that doesn’t involve a stopover in Chapter 11, given the size of the hole dug by previous management, but Glenn Curtis thinks Isle’s an attractive takeover target (for whom, I wonder?) and a bargain play among current stocks.

Posted in Architecture, Isle of Capri, Mississippi, Wall Street | Comments Off on Isle of Capri Biloxi previewed

Case Bets: Stanley Ho in Vegas?, HRH grows but Morgans shrinks

A local columnist raises the spectre of Stanley Ho getting back-door access into Las Vegas via James Packer‘s acquisition of Cannery Resorts. This isn’t the first time I’ve heard this question raised and, call me complacent, but I believe it stems from confusion. Namely, a conflation of Crown Ltd., the umbrella under which Packer’s U.S. casino investments are huddled, and Melco Crown Entertainment, his joint venture with Lawrence Ho, son of dear old Stan.

While the Packer and Ho heirs do business together in Macao (and belatedly tried to get into Singapore), there hasn’t been a whiff of Lawrence Ho being involved in Packer’s U.S. ventures. (Obviously, because we’re talking about discrete companies here.) Concern about Stanley Ho getting his mitts into Cannery are not only a stretch, but far more of one than the worries that were aired when MGM Mirage built a casino in Macao that was half-financed with money borrowed — by Pansy Ho — from the ancient casino vizier.

Doom, gloom in context. While the headlines are full of apocalyptic pronouncements on the subject of October’s Nevada casino revenue decline, note where it says these numbers are the lowest “since April 2005.” That was when the Las Vegas economy was on an upward trend that would make “bargain” and “Strip” virtually oxymoronic. So 2005’s good numbers become 2008’s panic-inducers … of course, Las Vegas’ ability to sustain its ensuing merge-n-splurge spree (and the ensuing Excedrin headache of ebt) on 2005-level revenues is a whole ‘nother story.

April ’05 would postdate the point in our economy where Americans started saving money at a negative rate and living off credit. At the time (i.e., March of that year), then-Council of Economic Advisers Chairman Ben Bernanke said, as recounted in the Dec. 1, 2008 issue of The New Yorker, “the main source of imbalance in the global economy was not excess spending at home but, rather, excess saving in China … ”

Darn those party-pooping Chinese! Everything would be just ducky if it weren’t for them! But seriously, folks …

Hindsight being 20/20, this was probably the point where the casino industry ought to have recognized that the U.S. economy (goaded by three-plus years of easy-money policies at the Federal Reserve) was on an unsustainable course and started curbing its growth projections — and development plans. Instead, it stomped on the gas pedal and we got (in no particular order) leveraged buyouts of Station Casinos and Harrah’s Entertainment, crazy land inflation on the Strip — peaking at over $40 million/acre, CityCenter, Echelon, Palazzo, Viva, umpteen failed or undersold condo projects, bankruptcy at Tropicana Entertainment and the Cosmopolitan, potential bankruptcy at Herbst Gaming and Isle of Capri, and now a loud screeching sound as the brakes are belatedly applied.

Morgans’ Faustian pact. What doth it profit Morgans Hotel Group to acquire the Hard Rock Hotel & Casino only to sell it back to the bank in little bits and pieces? Morgans’ stake in the exponentially expanding HRH barely exceeds 14% and is on track to get smaller still. Some of us thought from the start that Morgans had bitten more than it could chew. Or, to look at it another way, what a long, strange trip Morgans has taken to wind up with a glorified management contract.

Chrysler cars getting worse? Yup, it looks like another triumph for private equity buyouts.

Posted in Boyd Gaming, Cannery Casino Resorts, Colony Capital, Columbia Sussex, Cosmopolitan, Economy, Harrah's, Herbst Gaming, Isle of Capri, James Packer, Macau, MGM Mirage, Morgans Hotel Group, Stanley Ho, Station Casinos, The Strip, Tropicana Entertainment, Wall Street | Comments Off on Case Bets: Stanley Ho in Vegas?, HRH grows but Morgans shrinks

Quote of the Day

“I won’t quote back some of the things that were said about me. This is a family program, I know.” — President-elect Barack Obama, referring to the thuggish and expletive-laden locutions favored by Gov. Rod Blagojevich (D-IL), whose crimes against humanity include shuttering Frank Lloyd Wright‘s Dana-Thomas House, along with many other Illinois landmarks.

Posted in Architecture, Illinois | Comments Off on Quote of the Day

Harrah's honored

Harrah's Entertainment can use any business leverage it can get these days and it just received the endorsement of Stand Out for Equality, an opposition movement spurred by the passage of Proposition 8 in California (where Harrah's Rincon has been hosting same-sex nuptials). Harrah's is the only casino company listed on The Gay-Friendly List, save for the small (but enlightened) Eldorado Casino in Henderson.

The good news for every other casino is that none of them made The Blacklist, which targets businesses and (in an ethically questionable move) individuals — including several judges and lawmakers — for boycott or "buycott," as Stand Out is calling it, laying particular emphasis on the holiday season. If you're in Vegas this weekend and feel strongly about the issue, there'll be a march from the Gay & Lesbian Community Center of Southern Nevada (953 E. Sahara Ave.) at 3 p.m. on Saturday, ending at the Flamingo Road/Maryland Parkway intersection. Meaning you can A) make a political statement, B) get some exercise and C) ferret out Christmas bargains at Target, near the terminus of the march.

If MGM Mirage would like to carve out a bigger share of the gay dollar, it might rethink its plan of fobbing Luxor off on LGBT patrons as the "gay ghetto." (What, Circus Circus wasn't available?) Seriously, it sounds like one more "try anything" non-solution to the Strip's most identity-crisis-plagued property. It's a lovely thought, too: Give 'em the "death-themed" resort, the one that's home to Bodies and the Titantic exhibit, to say nothing of being designed in the shape of a tomb, fer crissakes. Oh, and it's home to the most reviled show in Cirque du Soleil history.

With Bellagio, The Mirage and Mandalay Bay (home to Broadway on the Strip) from which to choose, why Luxor? But it could have been far worse: MGM could have tried to steer the gay crowd to Excalibur instead … though the exterior does resemble a Village People iteration of Camelot.

Posted in California, Harrah's, MGM Mirage, Politics, The Strip | Comments Off on Harrah's honored

Quote of the Day

"They’re taking a real gamble. It’s like playing poker with the capital markets." — KDP Investment Advisors bond analyst Barbara Cappaert, regarding a rejected Station Casinos debt swap that would have covered the butts of Station insiders and Colony Capital at the risk of leaving senior debtors exposed.

Poker? Try "playing chicken." Or maybe Russian roulette.

Posted in Colony Capital, Economy, Station Casinos, Wall Street | Comments Off on Quote of the Day

What'$ in a name?

A reader recently enquired as to what became of the plan to re-name Harrah's Entertainment as Caesars Entertainment. When I asked Harrah's as to whether that was still on, no response was forthcoming.

My questioner wanted to know, "Do you think Harrah's shelved the plan to rename the company to Caesars partly because they might like to sell Caesars if the price were high enough … Does going up market with the company image become a hindrance in these tough times?"

Second question first: This is actually a great time to be a casino patron, provided you've got a modicum of discretionary income. I was working on next year's iteration of the Pocketbook of Values today and the offers for 2009 are much better, IMO. Also, we've been seeing a barrage of bargain-oriented marketing messages from MGM Mirage, "freecations" at Herbst Gaming's Primm Valley trio of casino-hotels, plus a Harrah's Las Vegas promo for its comedy club that — after you factored in the value of Improv tickets and buffet admission — actually paid customers to stay there, to the tune of $1.50/person. (Some will argue that Harrah's should pay people to stay at its titular Las Vegas property.)

So, yeah, unless you're Steve Wynn, a "snob appeal" message doesn't have much traction these days. The people who can afford a high-end Vegas experience are already here; it's the other demographics we have to worry about. Even Las Vegas Sands — hardly the image of a consumer-oriented company — is expanding its loyalty program (Club Grazie) beyond a casino-only proposition. Expenses charged to your Palazzo or Venetian room will now earn points as well.

As to the greater fungibility of the Caesars name if it's only attached to single properties and not the whole company … absolutely. Who'd want to buy a spun-off Caesars Atlantic City, say, if you had to forfeit or sub-license the Caesars brand? Putting any Harrah's-to-Caesars plan on hold avoids all manner of red tape and legal rigamarole, as well as keeping the option open of unloading those lucratively branded Caesars properties.

Of course, given that a strategy at Harrah's these days has the lifespan of a soap bubble, who knows if that just another of CEO Gary Loveman's will o' the wisp ideas, flung out for public consumption, then quickly forgotten. Indeed, to speak of "strategy" in the same sentence as "Harrah's" is oxymoronic, as the company doesn't evince any — unless flailing about in every direction like a spastic octopus constitutes "strategy."

Which brought to mind another Loveman idea, mooted and apparently discarded, that of concentrating Harrah's around three brands (Caesars, Harrah's and Horseshoe), which would be designated as its "core" brands. It currently carries 11 on its masthead and has several others. Re-branding Bally's Las Vegas as a Horsehoe was floated — though mostly razzed — and Harrah's squandered a capital opportunity to bring the Horseshoe name back to Vegas when it redubbed the Barbary Coast with the generic "Bill's" brand.

An effort to maximize the Caesars brand moved but in fits and starts. So far it's consisted of taking it off the Glory of Rome riverboat casino in Indiana and putting it onto the former Casino Windsor, in Ontario. Harrah's Jacqueline Peterson says, "I can't put a price tag on how much it costs because so much more went into these properties than just marquee and business card changes … there were new spaces created and upgrades made throughout."

Asked about the "core brand" concept, she was understandably flummoxed. "We have no intention of becoming three brands and we need look no further than Las Vegas to understand why that wouldn't work[:] we have eight distinctive properties here and renaming those into just three names would be silly and really confusing for customers." Of course, during the five minutes that the Harrah's/Caesars/Horseshoe-centric strategy lasted, it was thought that Imperial Palace wasn't long for this world (this was back in 2005, remember) and the Barbary Coast was still firmly within the Boyd Gaming orbit.

If Loveman has more brands than his company can exploit, he's neither alone nor the first. What used to be Caesars Entertainment (née Park Place Entertainment) went through three CEOs without ever cracking that particular nut.

So, is the Caesars brand up for grabs? I'd be very much surprised if it weren't, although that would be one of the most extreme measures Harrah's could take in order to lighten its colossal debt burden.

Posted in Atlantic City, Boyd Gaming, Detroit, Economy, Harrah's, Herbst Gaming, Indiana, Marketing, MGM Mirage, Sheldon Adelson, The Strip | Comments Off on What'$ in a name?

Nevada in October: It was the pits

Taken at face value, October's revenue numbers for Nevada casinos were calamitous. Looked at in context (i.e., coming off a 10% increase from October '06 to '07) they were … still bad. But I'm going to resist the temptation to jump off my second-floor balcony at LVA HQ, especially since we're measuring the most anemic month of 2008 against the strongest second-strongest of 2007.

However: The next time somebody, anybody says the casino industry is "recession proof," they should be made to walk the plank straight into the new Mirage volcano, where their screams will mingle piquantly with the percussive stylings of Mickey Hart. Every day, I see more boarded-up store fronts and, last weekend, the Better Half and I were able to book a bargain-rate stay at Loews Lake Las Vegas. Talk about a ghost town: Other than the quacking of ducks, there was not a sound to be heard from our patio. (The casino across the lake at MonteLago wasn't quite dead, but they might want to keep those defibrillators handy.)

In an economy that has been brought to near-total ruination under the malign neglect of George W. Bush, it would be just plain unrealistic to expect people to gamble as they did during Vegas' halcyon years. We should have known this day was coming the moment we started reading about credit card and mortgage debt reaching unprecedented levels, as Americans lived off tomorrow to pay for today.

To the numbers …

Again, remember that these declivities are magnified by being directly compared to a robust year-before performance. The big story appears to be quadruple-whammy leveled on the Strip, where table game drop was down (-20%), as was baccarat drop (-36%), ditto table hold, ditto baccarat hold. Less play + unlucky play goes a long way (as in $100 million-plus) toward explaining the wretched -26% overall comparison. A 17% slippage in slot handle didn't help, but the real damage was done in the table pits, which led the way to a 10th straight month of declines.

The locals market is still slightly (3%) up for the year, but October won't help, with Downtown (-20%), Laughlin (-15%), the Boulder Strip (-28%) and North Las Vegas (-35%) — where Station Casinos was poised to open Aliante Station — all taking it on the chin. Compared to those numbers, Reno's "mere" 7% dropoff looks like a moral victory or something.

After posting an anemic $475 $905 million for October '08 ($475 million on the Strip), was Nevada able to match the previous November's less-than-stellar $520 $981 million ($520 million " ")? The answer will tell us whether we've hit an extremely nasty pothole or been driven clear off the road.

Update: Table game play was extremely lucrative on the Boulder Strip, of all places, which means … which means … nah, I got nuthin'.

In fairness to Leon Black (see previous item), his new gambit of gobbling up $20 billion worth of devalued debt beats the heck out of, say, buying an already-debt-encumbered Harrah's Entertainment at a premium price. But, given the choice between investing one's money with Apollo Management and hiding it under the mattress, the mattress is looking awful good at the moment. At least money's not going to lose any value there.

Posted in Boulder Strip, Current, Downtown, Economy, Harrah's, Lake Las Vegas, Laughlin, Station Casinos, The Strip | Comments Off on Nevada in October: It was the pits

Expunging the Columbia Sussex brand

If Columbia Sussex ran its Tropicana Entertainment casino hotels the way it maintains its regular hotels, TropEnt CEO Scott Butera is looking at a big refurbishment tab. Southwest Hospitality Management picked up a couple of ColSux discards in Charleston, W.V., in June '07 (which would coincide with a period in which ColSux was trying to sell off assets to pay down Trop-related debt) and, "I feel that if we hadn't done the renovations, we would be hurting more than we are now," according to an SHM exec. (Plus, in a reversal from ColSux policy, wi-fi is now free.) "It is certainly more pleasant and looks more modern … not what they used to be."

Another ringing endorsement of the Columbia Sussex spare-every-expense business model.

Posted in Columbia Sussex | Comments Off on Expunging the Columbia Sussex brand

Fear of flying

There may have been more to James Packer‘s inability to attend his scheduled Nevada Gaming Control Board appearance than not having a plane ticket (which was more or less the official excuse). Today’s Sydney Morning Herald reports that Packer’s Crown Ltd. can’t close on its purchase of Cannery Casino Resorts until early ’09. So, being unable to arrange a flight from Australia to Las Vegas works out rather conveniently, no?

Even so, Crown assures the investment community that, once some i’s are dotted and t’s crossed, it’ll have $900 million for additional casino purchases. And if ever there was a buyer’s market for casinos, we’re entering it. Then again, Packer has a history of rolling snake eyes on casino investments (Station Casinos, Harrah’s Entertainment, Crown Las Vegas, and the all-but-dead Macau Studio City. City of Dreams isn’t looking too hale, either. Oh, and even employees at volatile Crown Macau are being furloughed; but management says they’re really happy about it).

Meanwhile, let’s hope that the next time Mr. Packer has an appointment with Nevada regulators the dog doesn’t eat his homework the night before.

Server-based gambling takes off. See, you skeptics! You said it would never happen, didn’t ya? The joke’s on you!

Oh … hold on … what’s that? The “high-potential gaming market of Cambodia,” you say? To be followed by the cleaner-than-a-hound’s-tooth Philippines?

On second thought, forget I said anything.

Posted in Cannery Casino Resorts, International, James Packer, Macau, Regulation | Comments Off on Fear of flying

Collapse in Kansas; Herbst is toast

And then there was one.

A Cordish Co./Kansas Speedway joint venture has pulled the chicken switch on a $400 million casino project. This leaves avionics firm Butler National Service Corp., with its Dodge City concession, as the only company with an ongoing casino project in Kansas — Penn National, Harrah's Entertainment and now Cordish having walked away from the other three concessions. Project head Joseph Weinberg wants to build a casino-first, amenities-later version of what had been proposed. Of course, in order to do that, the bidding process will have to be re-started from scratch. Also, Weinberg's plan assumes that Cordish gets the nod a second time and, were I a member of the Kansas Lottery's board, I'd be getting pretty fed up with the diva-dom displayed by some of the casino applicants.

On the other hand, if a company as well-regarded as Cordish can't get its Speedway casino financed, that makes it easier to excuse Harrah's exit from the Sunflower State. The Lottery says it is willing to"invite applicants to apply with proposals they feel fit the current economic climate." [read: "smaller budgets"]. That, combined with the sudden availability of Sumner County, opens the door wide for Penn National. If the Lottery's board wants to give Penn the Sumner/Cherokee County parlay it requested (and lower the budget for the latter), Penn is the one company that could execute the projects out of cash on hand. Or is it saving its pennies for a Vegas Strip property now?

Across the border, the clever chaps at Pinnacle Entertainment have found a loophole in Missouri law that might enable them to open yet another casino market. Revenues at the old President riverboat, on the St. Louis waterfront, are down somewhere in the bilge water. But Pinnacle has a discrete gaming license for the ship and an option on some land toward the northern end of St. Louis, near the Chain of Rocks Bridge. There, it proposes to essentially dry-dock the President.

Since Missouri law doesn't expressly forbid what Pinnacle is contemplating, the company could open a new market in the state, even though the number of licenses remains frozen at 13. Smooth move. But it's not one that's going to sit well with the backers of Sugar Creek and Cape Girardeau projects that were frozen out when Missourians voted for the license cap last month. And it underscores the perils of shutting the door to new competition, as Pinnacle and Ameristar Casinos are beginning to treat Missouri as their private fiefdom.

Already, Ameristar veep Troy Stremming — the architect of the freeze — is huffing that Missourians dare not let Sugar Creek get into the game: “We don’t want to get into a situation where we are over-saturating the market and cannibalizing existing destination facilities.” No, but it's hunky-dory to let Stremming's buddies at Pinnacle have three St. Louis-area locations instead of their current two. No oversaturation or cannibalization there, huh? At least Stremming won't have the casinos-in-Kanas bogeyman to brandish anymore, now that all but one of those projects has collapsed.

Hope for Harrah's. The Chinese government is experimenting with parimutuel wagering on horse races. If the ChiComms can be persuaded to extend the sport of kings to Macao, maybe Harrah's can make serious use of that golf course it purchased and which is now ineligible for casino development. Frank Fahrenkopf couldn't resist mentioning that white elephant during his joint appearance with Harrah's CEO Gary Loveman during G2E. Judging from some of Fahrenkopf's subtle rapier thrusts and Loveman's harrumphing response, there seems little love lost between the twosome.

Herbst Watch, Day Two. The Magic 8 Ball (in the guise of Liz Benston) says bankruptcy likely for Herbst Gaming, which is in default on $1.27 billion of debt. This has been in the cards for Herbst ever since it got taken to the cleaners by MGM Mirage for some Primm, Nev., casinos that had seen better days (like, maybe 10 years ago). Benston's description of the $394 million boondoggle is "ill-advised." Understatement doesn't get any better than that, my friends.

Posted in Ameristar, Economy, G2E, Harrah's, Herbst Gaming, Horseracing, International, Kansas, Macau, MGM Mirage, Penn National, Pinnacle Entertainment, Regulation | Comments Off on Collapse in Kansas; Herbst is toast