Pritzker whistles past graveyard, Ivey more cautious

Casino revenue in Illinois last year was down 1.5% from 2018—and 17% from 2012, the seventh consecutive year of declines. Despite this empirical evidence, Gov. J.B. Pritzker (D) and his commissars for optimism remain hellbent on casino expansion, believing that there is more money to be made. It’s no mystery why casino revenue started nosing down in 2012; that’s the year the state started offering slot routes, sapping casinos (just ask Boyd Gaming). Taxed at 34%, the casinos forked over $455 million to Pritzker, who is “chasing losses” like a degenerate gambler. Casino-tax receipts have fallen 21% in nine years and can’t get back up. Some of that—$503 million—was made up by slot routes, whose 33,000 machines took in $1.7 billion … more than was made by all the state’s casinos combined.

Illogically, Pritzker argues that the strength of the slot routes bodes well for new casinos, despite the public’s obvious preference for Continue reading

Posted in Alabama, Election, Health, Illinois, Law enforcement, Lotteries, Louisiana, Missouri, Penn National, Politics, Slot routes, Taxes, Tribal | 1 Comment

The new China syndrome

Junket operators and gaming companies in Macao are donating $22.5 million to help find a coronavirus cure. Good on them. Would that we could say half that about the government of China, which has bungled a localized virus into a global pandemic. As of last weekend, some 40,171 people had been sickened, far more than the 8,098 infected by SARS. Almost 910 deaths (SARS killed 774) have occurred—97 last Sunday alone—indicating that the pace of the disease is quickening. Over 3,060 new cases have been reported, including at least 66 on a cruise ship that was quarantined in Japan.

This is entirely the fault of a doctrinaire cover-up in the Chinese government. Global Gaming Business provides a handy summary: “Medical personnel quickly raised the alarm, but initially local officials refused to act, fearful in no small part of censure from Beijing. Thus, a critical period of several weeks passed that allowed the contagion to spread. The situation was made worse by the fact that, by the time the epidemic was officially acknowledged and the central government began to mobilize to treat and contain it, the weeklong Lunar New Year had arrived. It’s China’s busiest travel season, and it occurred as the contagion rapidly spread throughout Hubei [Province] and beyond.”

Among the victims claimed by the disease was Dr. Li Wenliang, an opthamologist at the center of the outbreak who tried to warn the public of the dangers. He paid for this not only with his life (dying of coronavirus) but with an official crackdown in which he was forced to recent his warnings. The truth has belatedly outed and Dr. Li has become a hero, even a martyr to his countrymen, as Beijing scrambles to belatedly look concerned.

Coronavirus has crippled the Chinese economic recovery on which the gaming industry was counting. Inflation has hit 5.5%, its highest mark in Continue reading

Posted in Caesars Entertainment, China, CityCenter, Election, Entertainment, Health, Japan, Las Vegas Sands, Louisiana, Macau, Nevada, Oklahoma, Penn National, Rush Street Gaming, South Korea, Sports, Sports betting, The Strip, Tribal, Wynn Resorts | Comments Off on The new China syndrome

Quote of the Day

“Diets usually leave a person aggravated, discouraged, and the same size.”—Amy Lanou

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Boom in the Rust Belt

You’d be forgiven if you did a double take upon seeing the latest casino-revenue numbers out of the Midwest. Business is up—to sometimes-unprecedented degrees. Take Ohio, for instance. It’s always a casino-friendly state … but a 19% upsurge in revenue? In January, no less? Well, I suppose people have to go somewhere when it’s cold outside but the amount of discretionary dollars they have to spend is pretty impressive, especially when you consider that the out-of-season racinos did 20.5% better this year. Not even an extra weekend day (and there will be another in February) comes close to explaining it.

The overall gross was $167.5 million. MGM Northfield Park held onto the top spot with $23 million (no table games, remember), a 17% Continue reading

Posted in Boyd Gaming, Caesars Entertainment, Churchill Downs, Dan Gilbert, DraftKings, Economy, Eldorado Resorts, FanDuel, Full House Resorts, GLPI, Hard Rock International, Illinois, Indiana, MGM Resorts International, Missouri, Ohio, Penn National, Racinos, Rush Street Gaming, Spectacle Entertainment, Sports betting | 2 Comments

DFS dealt major setback; Mills is grist

Daily fantasy sports was dealt a major setback when a New York State court ruled it unlawful. It was deemed that the Lege had exceeded its remit by classifying DFS as a game of skill, not of chance. New York is a leading market for DFS, and operators like DraftKings and FanDuel thought they had reached an accommodation with the Empire State. The state gaming commission is defying the court by continuing to maintain its position that DFS is a skill game. The ruling, nonetheless, makes New York one of six states where DFS is illegal. As Fox Business reports, “Some states, such as the gambling capital of America, Nevada, have no fantasy operations because it is seen as gambling and as a gambling operation, a company such as DraftKings would require a state gambling license.”

Gambling debts were the source of DFS’ Empire State setback. Losses incurred playing fantasy sports were Continue reading

Posted in Affinity Gaming, Churchill Downs, Connecticut, Crown Resorts, Detroit, DFS, Diversity, DraftKings, FanDuel, Foxwoods, International, Las Vegas Sands, Lotteries, Maine, Melco Resorts & Entertainment, MGM Resorts International, Mohegan Sun, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New York, Penn National, Politics, Problem gambling, Regulation, Sports betting, Technology | Comments Off on DFS dealt major setback; Mills is grist

“The fix is in”; MGM’s youth movement

Hard Rock International CEO Jim Allen is trying to have it both ways in Greece, saying that Mohegan Gaming & Entertainment hasn’t been awarded the Hellenikon casino concession but that “the fix is in.” Well, is it or isn’t it? “Mohegan hasn’t been officially awarded the license because the appeal process needs to be completed. The government has yet to open the technical and financial offers. So no one, in fairness to Mohegan, has been confirmed as the winner at this time,” said Allen, trying to keep hope alive. He does allow that Hard Rock has been disqualified by the government, for reasons to which he takes umbrage, such as a lack of financial wherewithal, mainly because a bank guarantee was allowed to lapse, which Allen says Hard Rock self-reported.

“We have the strongest financial balance sheet in the industry. We’re the first gaming company to achieve and maintain an investment grade rating from Continue reading

Posted in Atlantic City, Australia, Boyd Gaming, Canada, Crown Resorts, Diversity, DraftKings, Economy, Hard Rock International, Health, International, Japan, Las Vegas Sands, Lawrence Ho, Lucky Dragon, Macau, MGM Resorts International, Mohegan Sun, Money laundering, Movies, Ocean Resort, Pennsylvania, PokerStars, Singapore, Sports betting, The Strip, Twin River, Wall Street, Wynn Resorts | 1 Comment

Quote of the Day

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Weak quarter at Wynn, worse to come

Wynn Resorts remains our top story today. It missed fourth-quarter cash-flow projections by 4%, partly due to mediocre high-end play in Macao, although the mass-market trade was better (up 4% but lagging the Macanese industry’s 8% gain). Wynn Palace underperformed and Wynn Macau outperformed. A 10% EBITDA downturn in Las Vegas was blamed on “soft Asian high end play,” so it’s going around everywhere. Encore Boston Harbor, though, was “a bit better than projected,” according to JP Morgan analyst Joseph Greff. Coronavirus put a damper on what began as a strong 2020 in Macao. While Greff characterizes the epidemic’s impact as “temporary and transient,” we’re talking real money here: Wynn will burn through $2.5 million for each day that its Macanese casinos are closed. “While not a ton of details were given on Far East/China player visitation to Las Vegas, it doesn’t sound great, though it’s not nearly as bad as Macau,” Greff wrote.

The analyst shaved his estimates of Macao cash flow by a hair or two: Continue reading

Posted in China, DraftKings, Health, Law enforcement, Macau, Massachusetts, MGM Resorts International, South Korea, Sports, Sports betting, The Strip, TV, Wall Street, Wynn Resorts | Comments Off on Weak quarter at Wynn, worse to come

Tramway to Encore; Pennsylvania pony pennies pinched

A gondola ride from Everett City Hall to Encore Boston Harbor? It could happen. Everett Mayor Carlo DeMaria has applied for a $200,000 study grant so that the city can look into the feasibility. He’s picking up the ball from Wynn Resorts, which has mulled a gondola line from the casino to the MBTA station across the Mystic River. Wynn had previously considered a footbridge connection but abandoned that idea. Permitting for the bridge continues to be sought but the smart money’s now on the prospect of Wynn switching its loyalty to the tram, at least if it’s required to subsidize something. Reports the Boston Globe, “Everett officials have long looked across the Mystic with envy at Somerville, where a vibrant community of shops, restaurants, apartments and offices sprouted up at Assembly Row, spurred in part by the T station’s opening in 2014. Commuter rail trains roll through Everett, meanwhile, but do not stop there.”

For DeMaria, the gondola would be a cost-effective way to Continue reading

Posted in Caesars Entertainment, Churchill Downs, DraftKings, Eldorado Resorts, Election, Greenwood Racing, Horseracing, Indiana, Iowa, Massachusetts, Movies, Nevada, New Jersey, Penn National, Pennsylvania, Regulation, Sports betting, Taxes, Transportation, William Hill, Wynn Resorts | 1 Comment

Quote of the Day

“Any man who can drive safely while kissing a pretty girl is simply not giving the kiss the attention it deserves.”—Albert Einstein

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Billboards in the eye of the beholder; Betting on Trump

One of the greatest scourges of drivers in Las Vegas is mobile billboards, 79 of which tool up and down the Strip. It’s been a nuisance for years but something might finally be done about it, now that the casino industry has had its fill of the visual pollution. The messages range from the sinful (“Asian Girls for You”) to the saintly (“Jesus Rose From the Dead for You”) and it’s irking the casinos that they’re blotting out attractions like the Mirage volcano. “We would like to see the county place a moratorium on new applications and study the operation of mobile billboards until such time as a study of the impacts and limitations can be established,” Nevada Resort Association President Virginia Valentine said.

Valentine cited the lost productivity of casino employees who are stuck in traffic behind these eyesores, continuing, “Add to this the Continue reading

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Penn looking good; From the police blotter

Penn National Gaming reported 4Q19 revenues that aligned with Wall Street projections, with cash flow modestly higher than expected “on a combination of better operations and lower than forecast corporate expenses.” JP Morgan analyst Joseph Greff said that Penn was reducing leverage at a rate quicker than modeled, although the +24% stock-price euphoria that followed the Barstool Sports acquisition might be subsiding. Robust market segments were the South and West, offsetting challenges in the Upper Midwest and in the Northeast (read: Encore Boston Harbor … but still a cash cow, generating $621 million). Rent payments were a tad higher than anticipated and launching Penn’s sports-betting application incurred some one-time charges. On the plus side, sports betting is propelling higher table-game volume and Continue reading

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MGM, Cordish boom in Maryland; Here come the robots

Turns out the Maryland market hasn’t quite been saturated, after all. January saw 6% growth in gambling revenue, led by MGM National Harbor‘s $58.5 million (+4%). Slots at MGM were up 10% but table win down 2%. MGM had 40% market share to Maryland Live‘s 35.5%. The latter grossed $52 million for a 12% gain. Horseshoe Baltimore‘s decline softened, down only 4.5% with a $19 million gross. (But it was the only revenue-negative property in the state.) Everybody else had a big month. Ocean Downs was up 11% to $5 million, Hollywood Perryville hit the jackpot, gaining 12% to $6 million and Golden Entertainment‘s Rocky Gap Resort leapt 10.5% to $4.5 million. A 10% gain in slot play boosted West Virginia revenues 8%, with Charles Town Races ceding 6% at the tables but recouping 11% at the slots for a 7% uptick overall.

* Human bartenders, watch your backs. Maybe you can’t retrain Continue reading

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Quote of the Day

“To the world, he was a legend, an actor from the golden age of movies who lived well into his golden years, a humanitarian whose commitment to justice and the causes he believed in set a standard for all of us to aspire to.”—Michael Douglas, paying tribute to father Kirk Douglas, who died yesterday at age 103.

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Macao closed for business; Tribal troubles

In what once seemed unthinkable, Macao has been ordered to close all 41 of its casinos (and presumably its myriad slot parlors) to inhibit the spread of coronavirus. The inciting incident appears to have been a case of the virus being reported in a Galaxy Entertainment employee, meaning it has penetrated the enclave’s signature industry. (A Sociedade de Jogos de Macau bus driver was also infected.) You can kiss February goodbye—Wall Street is predicting a 60% (you read that right) revenue plunge—and 1Q20 is probably toast as well. In an effort to contain the spread of the virus, the Macanese government has asked casino companies to provide housing for the many nonresident workers. They’ll certainly have the empty hotel rooms to cover it. According to the government, the six casino operators are Continue reading

Posted in Charity, China, Donald Trump, Economy, Election, Galaxy Entertainment, Genting, Health, Macau, Massachusetts, Money laundering, Neil Bluhm, North Dakota, Oregon, Politics, Sociedade de Jogos de Macau, Tourism, Transportation, Tribal, Wall Street | 1 Comment

Turnaround at Station; Suburban sexcapades

Things are looking up for Station Casinos. The latest dispatch from JP Morgan analyst Joseph Greff was optimistic, citing “a market that should experience solid 2% to 3% [gross gaming revenue] growth and possesses the ability to harvest margin growth as well.” As for the elephant in the middle of the casino floor, “We think Palms [cash flow] expectations have come down to realistic levels, so profit drags from this property should be in the rear view mirror at this point, a statement we could/would not have made at any point last year with any conviction.” While plans for Durango Station, a hotel-less casino in Reno and a replacement for Days Inn at Wild Wild West went onto the back burner nearly a year ago, Greff expects Station’s next move to be to divest itself of Continue reading

Posted in Diversity, Downtown, Economy, Entertainment, International, Kentucky, Las Vegas Raiders, Law enforcement, Mohegan Sun, Pahrump, Palms, Racinos, Real Estate, Regulation, Reno, Station Casinos, Tribal, Wall Street | 1 Comment

Quote of the Day

“We can’t expect the world to get better by itself.”—the late journalist Gwen Ifill.

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Macao: Worse than expected; New deal on Connecticut table

When China gets coronavirus, Macao develops pneumonia. While Wall Street was expecting gaming revenues to dip 2% in January, they fell 11%. Macanese casinos still grossed $2.75 billion, so it’s not like they were hearing crickets. However, February is shaping up to be just as bad, if not worse, kicking the narrative of strong gambling-revenue recovery in 2020 into a cocked hat. Declines of 30% are being bruited about, according to the New York Times, at least as long as authorities are curbing travel within the mainland. Lunar New Year has been extended through the weekend, not to promote tourism but to keep banks and other businesses closed. Macao has reported seven cases of coronavirus with a watching brief being kept on another 31 potentially affected people. To say that all this is “presenting significant headwinds” to the casino industry earns a prize for understatement.

Las Vegas Sands President Rob Goldstein estimates Macao visitation has dropped Continue reading

Posted in Atlantic City, Caesars Entertainment, China, Connecticut, Derek Stevens, Downtown, Economy, Eldorado Resorts, Foxwoods, Health, IGT, Illinois, Japan, Las Vegas Sands, Louisiana, Macau, MGM Resorts International, Mohegan Sun, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Politics, Regulation, Sheldon Adelson, Sports betting, Tourism, West Virginia | Comments Off on Macao: Worse than expected; New deal on Connecticut table

Case Bets

My head feels more disorganized than the Iowa Democratic caucuses (and that’s going some), so take a few Case Bets and call me in the morning …

* Our salient recollection of Valentine’s Day in Las Vegas involves taking the wife-to-be to a romantic dinner in Nob Hill (now defunct) in MGM Grand, only to have it disrupted by the … uh … rowdy fans of NBA All-Star Weekend, one of Sin City’s biggest mistakes. A couple of trips to the ATM necessitated negotiating the casino floor between apparent members of rival gangs, hurling heated imprecations at each other across the gaming tables. It was a miracle that the disputes weren’t settled by gunplay, which seemed imminent. Since then, Valentine’s Day has passed uneventfully on the Las Vegas Strip and WalletHub deems the fair city of LV to be the fifth-best place to celebrate the occasion. Pourquoi? Well, we’re tops in the number of attractions, fourth in restaurants (and gift-card stores) per capita, fifth in Continue reading

Posted in Conventions, Dining, Election, Entertainment, FanDuel, history, International, Las Vegas Raiders, Las Vegas Sands, Marketing, MGM Resorts International, Scientific Games, Sports, Sports betting, The Strip, TV, Virgin Hotels | 2 Comments

Quote of the Day

“I would never watch Jaguars-Titans in a million years, but if I have fantasy players in it, then of course I’m watching Jaguars-Titans. I really think without fantasy football, the NFL would not be where it is today.”—daily fantasy sports analyst Adam Levitan, on the rise of DFS.

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