Quote of the Day

“To the world, he was a legend, an actor from the golden age of movies who lived well into his golden years, a humanitarian whose commitment to justice and the causes he believed in set a standard for all of us to aspire to.”—Michael Douglas, paying tribute to father Kirk Douglas, who died yesterday at age 103.

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Macao closed for business; Tribal troubles

In what once seemed unthinkable, Macao has been ordered to close all 41 of its casinos (and presumably its myriad slot parlors) to inhibit the spread of coronavirus. The inciting incident appears to have been a case of the virus being reported in a Galaxy Entertainment employee, meaning it has penetrated the enclave’s signature industry. (A Sociedade de Jogos de Macau bus driver was also infected.) You can kiss February goodbye—Wall Street is predicting a 60% (you read that right) revenue plunge—and 1Q20 is probably toast as well. In an effort to contain the spread of the virus, the Macanese government has asked casino companies to provide housing for the many nonresident workers. They’ll certainly have the empty hotel rooms to cover it. According to the government, the six casino operators are Continue reading

Posted in Charity, China, Donald Trump, Economy, Election, Galaxy Entertainment, Genting, Health, Macau, Massachusetts, Money laundering, Neil Bluhm, North Dakota, Oregon, Politics, Sociedade de Jogos de Macau, Tourism, Transportation, Tribal, Wall Street | 1 Comment

Turnaround at Station; Suburban sexcapades

Things are looking up for Station Casinos. The latest dispatch from JP Morgan analyst Joseph Greff was optimistic, citing “a market that should experience solid 2% to 3% [gross gaming revenue] growth and possesses the ability to harvest margin growth as well.” As for the elephant in the middle of the casino floor, “We think Palms [cash flow] expectations have come down to realistic levels, so profit drags from this property should be in the rear view mirror at this point, a statement we could/would not have made at any point last year with any conviction.” While plans for Durango Station, a hotel-less casino in Reno and a replacement for Days Inn at Wild Wild West went onto the back burner nearly a year ago, Greff expects Station’s next move to be to divest itself of Continue reading

Posted in Diversity, Downtown, Economy, Entertainment, International, Kentucky, Las Vegas Raiders, Law enforcement, Mohegan Sun, Pahrump, Palms, Racinos, Real Estate, Regulation, Reno, Station Casinos, Tribal, Wall Street | 1 Comment

Quote of the Day

“We can’t expect the world to get better by itself.”—the late journalist Gwen Ifill.

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Macao: Worse than expected; New deal on Connecticut table

When China gets coronavirus, Macao develops pneumonia. While Wall Street was expecting gaming revenues to dip 2% in January, they fell 11%. Macanese casinos still grossed $2.75 billion, so it’s not like they were hearing crickets. However, February is shaping up to be just as bad, if not worse, kicking the narrative of strong gambling-revenue recovery in 2020 into a cocked hat. Declines of 30% are being bruited about, according to the New York Times, at least as long as authorities are curbing travel within the mainland. Lunar New Year has been extended through the weekend, not to promote tourism but to keep banks and other businesses closed. Macao has reported seven cases of coronavirus with a watching brief being kept on another 31 potentially affected people. To say that all this is “presenting significant headwinds” to the casino industry earns a prize for understatement.

Las Vegas Sands President Rob Goldstein estimates Macao visitation has dropped Continue reading

Posted in Atlantic City, Caesars Entertainment, China, Connecticut, Derek Stevens, Downtown, Economy, Eldorado Resorts, Foxwoods, Health, IGT, Illinois, Japan, Las Vegas Sands, Louisiana, Macau, MGM Resorts International, Mohegan Sun, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Politics, Regulation, Sheldon Adelson, Sports betting, Tourism, West Virginia | Comments Off on Macao: Worse than expected; New deal on Connecticut table

Case Bets

My head feels more disorganized than the Iowa Democratic caucuses (and that’s going some), so take a few Case Bets and call me in the morning …

* Our salient recollection of Valentine’s Day in Las Vegas involves taking the wife-to-be to a romantic dinner in Nob Hill (now defunct) in MGM Grand, only to have it disrupted by the … uh … rowdy fans of NBA All-Star Weekend, one of Sin City’s biggest mistakes. A couple of trips to the ATM necessitated negotiating the casino floor between apparent members of rival gangs, hurling heated imprecations at each other across the gaming tables. It was a miracle that the disputes weren’t settled by gunplay, which seemed imminent. Since then, Valentine’s Day has passed uneventfully on the Las Vegas Strip and WalletHub deems the fair city of LV to be the fifth-best place to celebrate the occasion. Pourquoi? Well, we’re tops in the number of attractions, fourth in restaurants (and gift-card stores) per capita, fifth in Continue reading

Posted in Conventions, Dining, Election, Entertainment, FanDuel, history, International, Las Vegas Raiders, Las Vegas Sands, Marketing, MGM Resorts International, Scientific Games, Sports, Sports betting, The Strip, TV, Virgin Hotels | 2 Comments

Quote of the Day

“I would never watch Jaguars-Titans in a million years, but if I have fantasy players in it, then of course I’m watching Jaguars-Titans. I really think without fantasy football, the NFL would not be where it is today.”—daily fantasy sports analyst Adam Levitan, on the rise of DFS.

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IGT, Twin River cut a deal; Atlantic City casino execs get riled

In what is either a grand compromise or the cynical conclusion to months of backbiting, International Game Technology and Twin River Holdings have patched up their differences, and formed a joint venture to run the Rhode Island state lottery. (The deal would still need the approval of the Lege, which has balked at Gov. Gina Raimondo‘s 20-year, no-bid juice job for IGT.) The new company will be split 60/40 in IGT’s favor and be contracted to provide slot machines and electronic lottery terminals to the state. For its part, Twin River would put $100 million into upgrades to its casino in Lincoln. Regulation will continue to reside with the Rhode Island Division of Lotteries, which rides herd on the $400 million/year industry. Raimondo was noncommittal, saying through a spokesman, “We look forward to reviewing this new proposal as it makes its way through the legislative process.” Senate President Dominick Ruggerio (D) and scandal-plagued House Speaker Nicholas Mattiello (D) were both more effusive about the deal.

Neither side made many concessions, although Twin River committed to Continue reading

Posted in Atlantic City, Caesars Entertainment, China, DFS, Donald Trump, e-sports, Eldorado Resorts, Hard Rock International, IGT, Japan, Kentucky, Las Vegas Sands, Law enforcement, Lotteries, Melco Resorts & Entertainment, MGM Resorts International, Morris Bailey, Rhode Island, Sports betting, Twin River, Wynn Resorts | 3 Comments

Lottery players loyal in Massachusetts; Gamblers shun Macao

After a year of casino-on-casino violence in Massachusetts, we have a winner: the state lottery. Ticket sales at outlets near Encore Boston Harbor are reported to be up 15%. “I was thinking positive. Because I knew more people would come [to town]. More crowds,” Elm Street Market manager Rajesh Keshar told the Boston Globe. Statewide, sales are up incrementally, albeit flat in casino-resident cities like Plainville and Springfield. Heck, even casinos had the foresight to offer lottery-ticket sales. Says Massachusetts Lottery Commission Executive Director Michael Sweeney, “I don’t think it’s had any marginal impact, either negatively or positively.” In other words, lottery players are distinctly different animals from casino ones. Despite much fretting about problem gambling, “Early commission research on gambling and public health around Plainridge [Park] found no significant changes in the number of regular gamblers reporting that the activity has led to problems such as bankruptcy or divorce.” Such (small) lottery declines as have been reported are largely in non-casino burgs. As Providence College casino expert Patrick Kelly put it, “Even if somebody might be inclined to go to a casino, if somebody’s buying a couple lottery tickets a week, they still are going to buy a couple of lottery tickets a week.”

* Macao was described as “a ghost town” over Chinese New Year and while we don’t have the numbers yet they’re not Continue reading

Posted in Caesars Entertainment, China, Derek Stevens, Hard Rock Hotel, Health, history, Japan, Lotteries, Macau, Massachusetts, Oklahoma, Sports, Sports betting, The Strip, Tribal, Wall Street | Comments Off on Lottery players loyal in Massachusetts; Gamblers shun Macao

Quote of the Day

“The man who never alters his opinions is like standing water and breeds reptiles of the mind.”—William Blake

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Super Bowl: Mack the Mark; Oscar odds predict upset

Yes, the Super Bowl has finally come and gone, and congratulations to those of you who took the under on the total points scored (51) and the number of times Mike Shanahan was shown on camera (0). If there was a prop bet on when Troy Aikman would say “It’s getting kind of chippy down there,” (this year’s favorite football cliché) kudos to all of you who pegged it at four minutes into the fourth quarter. A last-minute surge by the Kansas City Chiefs blew out the 1.5-point money line on the margin of victory, though. As for prop bets, no, Jennifer Lopez and Shakira did not kiss (yes, that was a real prop bet). Pitbull did not take the stage at halftime (ditto) nor did Alex Rodriguez (ditto and what would he be doing up there anyway?). And now a moment of silence for the million dollars that John “Mattress Mack” McIngvale blew on the 49ers, bringing his postseason losses to $3 million. Obviously it does not pay to bet against the Chiefs. But it does pay for sports books to take McIngvale’s action, considering his chronic inability to pick winners (remember his big World Series loss?). He’s as conspicuous a mark as has come down the pike in quite a while and the books should be lining up to take his money, er, bets. Results from the books won’t be available until tomorrow but it looks like bettors other than McIngvale will have done well this year.

Speaking of Pitbull (must we?), he has been announced for a residency Continue reading

Posted in Caesars Entertainment, Entertainment, Florida, Hard Rock International, history, International, Marketing, Mattress Mack, Movies, Planet Hollywood, Politics, Sports, Sports betting, The Strip, TV | Comments Off on Super Bowl: Mack the Mark; Oscar odds predict upset

Brady to Raiders? It could happen

How could the Las Vegas Raiders upstage the biggest sporting event of the year? By leaking that they’re primed to pursue Tom Brady, how else? We don’t know that the Raiders let slip the news on Super Bowl Sunday but who else would have the inside knowledge and the incentive to do it? If the Malosos want to make a Brady-to-Vegas deal happen for a certainty they could give Coach Jon Gruden the sack (which would be hella expensive) and hire Josh McDaniels instead. But ESPN makes a convincing case for why Gruden could sweet-talk Brady and how the 7-9 Raiders would offer the legendary QB a promising array of weapons. The team has to do something to make their 2020 more auspicious than their perfunctory exit from Oakland was. Us, we think Brady is likelier than not to return to the New England Patriots but seeing him in the silver and black would give the Raiders and Las Vegas—think all those extra fannies in the seats—a shot in the arm.

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Penn/Barstool deal a home run; Blatstein lightens Showboat ship

Shares of Penn National Gaming jumped 12% on news of its 36% acquisition of Barstool Sports. Penn plans to unroll a Barstool-branded line of sports books, online applications and mobile-wagering services. Barstool, in turn, will promote Penn until 2060 … infinity in casino years. “The stake is a big play for the regional gaming company to expand its exposure in sports betting, which will reduce its marketing costs and the price of customer acquisition. Penn is hoping it lures younger gamblers into its retail and online offerings as well,” reported CNBC, which also disclosed that Barstool’s core audience members are known as “Stoolies,” which sounds rather cloacal to us.

Penn CEO Jay Snowden described his company as “scrappy” and said Barstool was a kindred spirit in that respect. Wall Street certainly loved the marriage. “The $450 million valuation implied by this agreement builds in future growth enabled by Penn. This deal will clearly raise Penn’s profile in sports betting with the returns on investment demonstrated over time,” said Jefferies Gaming analyst David Katz. Barstool itself generated as much as $100 million in revenue last year, “with the majority coming from podcasts, merchandise sales, and gambling deals.” Also making out like a bandit Continue reading

Posted in AGA, Atlantic City, Caesars Entertainment, Derek Stevens, Downtown, Fontainebleau, Golden Gaming, Hard Rock Hotel, Japan, Las Vegas Sands, LVCVA, Massachusetts, Maverick Gaming, MGM Resorts International, Palms, Penn National, Problem gambling, Regulation, Resorts World LV, Sports betting, Station Casinos, Steven Witkoff, Technology, The Strip, Tribal, Wall Street, Washington State, Wynn Resorts | 1 Comment

Super Bowl betting: Mack is back; Warren’s gambling problem

According to one online-betting site, Super Bowl odds are staying firm, with the Kansas City Chiefs 1.5-point favorites to win. “Last minute odds are some of the best,” it claims. Not when they’re as static as these. Speaking of “the Big Game” (ugh!) my all-time favorite press release came after the New England Patriots drove into the end zone to beat the Atlanta Falcons for the national championship in overtime. Just before the Patriots’ winning play, Fox Sports flashed a chyron that said, “New England Wins Super Bowl with a Touchdown.” One self-appointed expert extrapolated from this a theory that the outcome of the game was rigged, a finding he blasted all over the Internet. Aside from the Falcons having to throw a match in humiliating fashion, for such a fix to be in would require a conspiracy so vast it would make the JFK assassination look like the work of a lone gunman.

As for that rumored $1 million bet on the San Francisco 49ers, well, “Mattress Mack” McIngvale is back and he’s putting a cool million on the underdogs. The reasoning may be more visceral than empirical: Continue reading

Posted in Baseball, Dining, Donald Trump, Election, Environment, Hard Rock Hotel, Health, Marketing, Massachusetts, Sports betting, Texas, Tilman Fertitta, Tribal | 1 Comment

Quote of the Day

“The only security of all is in a free press.”—Thomas Jefferson

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Santa kind to the Strip; Oklahoma compact mess explained

Gambling revenues on the Las Vegas Strip rose 4.5% last month, even as locals casinos vaulted 13.5% and the state as a whole was up 6%. Strip casinos grossed $592 million, despite a 27% tumble in baccarat winnings on 29.5% less wagering. (Really bad when you consider that the comparison was a 19% slide in December 2018.) Baccarat has been pretty much a non-event for the Strip lately, down 25.5% for the fourth quarter. Non-baccarat table win surged 13.5% and slot win was up 10% on 6.5% higher coin-in. Man, those slots must have been tight (92%). A day’s worth of November slot win was rolled into the December numbers, which didn’t hurt either. Locals slot win consequently shot up 17%, coming off a strong prior-year comparison, even though coin-in was microscopically down.

Except for Reno ($52.5 million, -3%) and Carson City ($9 million, -2%), all jurisdictions were revenue-positive for the month. Downtown grossed Continue reading

Posted in Boulder Strip, Downtown, IGT, Lake Tahoe, Laughlin, Lotteries, North Las Vegas, Oklahoma, Racinos, Reno, Rhode Island, The Strip, Tribal, Twin River | Comments Off on Santa kind to the Strip; Oklahoma compact mess explained

Las Vegas Sands braces for impact; Big Rob’s big scam

Las Vegas Sands missed Wall Street expectations in Macao, made up for that in Singapore (partly on the strength of runaway Chinese high rollers) and “was solidly in line” on the Las Vegas Strip, according to JP Morgan analyst Joseph Greff. Protests in Hong Kong and an extended visit by China President Xi Jinping were blamed for the not-quite-disappointing Macanese numbers but, as Greff wrote, that is all “less relevant” than what is going to happen in 1Q20 with coronavirus on the rampage. “LVS’s Asian operations and investor sentiment will be shaped, at least in the near-term, by worsening impact or progress in finding a cure for the virus and a return to normalcy in China/Macau travel and spending patterns. In any event, we view the impact as temporary and transient while all the Macau stocks seem to be reflecting this as permanent.”

Even so, Greff slashed his first-quarter cash-flow projections by Continue reading

Posted in California, China, Health, James Packer, Las Vegas Sands, Law enforcement, Macau, MGM Resorts International, Pennsylvania, Singapore, Sports betting, The Strip, Tribal, William Hill | Comments Off on Las Vegas Sands braces for impact; Big Rob’s big scam

Quote of the Day

“Every night somewhere in America, somebody takes their life in a casino because they’ve wasted the last semblance of dignity and hope that they had. Families are ruined. Lives are ruined.”—Kentucky ex-Gov. Matt Bevin, in a statement he later pretended he’d never made … except that he did so on tape.

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Coronavirus hits Vegas; Connecticut’s massive screwup

This just in … It’s here! The Southern Nevada Health District has reported a possible case of coronavirus. More details as we get them. In the meantime, there are at least six confirmed cases in Macao, as gaming stocks suffer and the outbreak’s devastating effect on casino revenue strengthens President Xi Jinping‘s case for Macanese economic diversification.

MGM Resorts International has received the nod to be an “official gaming partner” of the Las Vegas Raiders. You have to be an early riser to beat MGM when it comes to inking sponsorship pacts with sporting leagues and teams. MGM will be hosting “official” pre-game and post-game parties, so it had been brace itself for some wild and woolly venting of steam, especially if the Malosos lose. Raider Nation has to be the rowdiest Continue reading

Posted in Atlantic City, Caesars Entertainment, Connecticut, Cosmopolitan, Dan Gilbert, Eldorado Resorts, Foxwoods, Health, Japan, Las Vegas Raiders, Macau, Massachusetts, MGM Resorts International, Mohegan Sun, Ohio, Oklahoma, Politics, Sports, Sports betting, Taxes, The Strip, Tourism, Transportation, Tribal | Comments Off on Coronavirus hits Vegas; Connecticut’s massive screwup

Penn pulls up a Barstool; Fear and trembling in Macao

As expected, Penn National Gaming bought a significant position in Barstool Sports, investing $135 million cash, $28 million PENN shares, and getting 36% of the two board seats and 36% of the company. The remainder is split between Chernin Group (36%) and Barstool employees (28%). Come 2023, Penn invests another $62 million, gets half of the company and two more board seats (out of seven). JP Morgan analyst Joseph Greff was bullish on the transaction, writing that “If PENN saves ~$15m in annual customer acquisition costs, the deal almost pays for itself … and any upside profits flows straight to equity value.” He added that Barstool’s younger, heavily male demographic would be complimentary to Penn’s largely female “and much older customer demographic, and should help Continue reading

Posted in China, Derek Stevens, Dining, Donald Trump, Economy, Macau, Movies, Nevada, Penn National, Problem gambling, Reno, Rhode Island, Sports betting, Technology, Wall Street | Comments Off on Penn pulls up a Barstool; Fear and trembling in Macao