Sands: “Awful and apathetic”; Sheldon’s deep pockets

Despite ” taking into account a slower than anticipated rebound during the Golden Week period earlier this month and a generally slow visitation boost and revenue recovery from the (still early) resumption of the” Individual Visa Scheme in Macao, analysts at JP Morgan are sticking by Las Vegas Sands. In a pre-earnings note, Joseph Greff did concede a $7 reduction of the share price target to $50. However, “From here, we see year-over-year market-wide growth accelerating and showing sequential improvements (and, honestly, not much has to happen for this to occur)” in China. Basically, Greff is saying things have gotten as bad as they’re going to, Sands will bottom out soon, and everything will start getting better.

That said, Greff had a sheaf of questions for LVS brass, including: “Why isn’t Macau benefitting from Beijing forbidding travel to foreign gaming markets? How bad is VIP junket liquidity? What are the latest trends in mass vs. VIP, during Golden Week … and since? Is one segment meaningfully outperforming the other?” He characterized investor sentiment toward Sheldon Adelson‘s company as “awful and apathetic,” adding, “We get it. Numbers coming down is frustrating and causing incremental investor fatigue … All we need is investors to feel that less bad trends will continue and stocks could move higher against sentiment that is negative to apathetic. Macau is the one subsector that really hasn’t bounced from the bottom.”

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