{"id":10442,"date":"2013-02-05T16:09:35","date_gmt":"2013-02-06T00:09:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/?p=10442"},"modified":"2013-02-05T16:09:35","modified_gmt":"2013-02-06T00:09:35","slug":"santarelli-bails-on-sgms-blasts-from-the-recent-past","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/santarelli-bails-on-sgms-blasts-from-the-recent-past\/","title":{"rendered":"Santarelli bails on SGMS; Blasts from the recent past"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignright size-medium wp-image-10418\" title=\"scientific-games-corp-logo\" src=\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/01\/scientific-games-corp-logo-300x147.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"147\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/01\/scientific-games-corp-logo-300x147.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/01\/scientific-games-corp-logo-150x73.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/01\/scientific-games-corp-logo-1024x503.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/01\/scientific-games-corp-logo.jpg 1862w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/>Scientific Games<\/strong> has lost the faith of <strong>Deutsche Bank<\/strong>&#8216;s <strong>Carlo Santarelli<\/strong>. The analyst put out a &#8220;sell&#8221; recommendation this morning on SGMS stock, issuing a new target price of $6\/share, down from $7. (Scientific was trading at $9.49 at the time.) Is this a big deal? Yes, because you see gaming stocks pegged as a &#8220;sell&#8221; slightly less frequently than as you see <strong>Halley&#8217;s Comet<\/strong>. Most <strong>Wall Street<\/strong> analysts take refuge in &#8220;neutral&#8221; ratings on iffy stocks but Santarelli went way out on a limb. Reasons for his decision include the contention that Scientific&#8217;s &#8220;<em>business model remains stagnant and will continue to be reliant on tough-to-handicap <img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignleft size-thumbnail wp-image-8693\" title=\"wms-gaming_profile\" src=\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/03\/wms-gaming_profile-150x62.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"150\" height=\"62\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/03\/wms-gaming_profile-150x62.png 150w, https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/03\/wms-gaming_profile.png 240w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 150px) 100vw, 150px\" \/>and somewhat binary legislative events<\/em> [read: politics],&#8221; whose benefit to Scientific is difficult to quantify. &#8220;<em>[The] rich premium and difficult to identify synergies make the pro forma outlook &#8230; daunting<\/em>,&#8221; not least because Scientific is no longer as dominant a candidate for privatized state lotteries and the online-lottery sector has been slow to develop. Or so the argument. <strong>Bottom line<\/strong>: Scientific is overpaying for an asset &#8212; <strong>WMS Industries<\/strong> &#8212; with a &#8220;difficult fundamental outlook&#8221; during a slow business cycle.<\/p>\n<p>Y&#8217;all remember <strong>Columbia Sussex<\/strong>, the onetime hotel giant whose highly leveraged, low-budgeted venture into the casino industry was <!--more-->its undoing? It continues to shrivel. Last year it had 41 hotels. Now <a href=\"http:\/\/www.columbiasussex.com\/hotels.php\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"broken_link\">it&#8217;s down to 37<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.richmondbizsense.com\/2013\/02\/05\/glen-allen-hotel-sinks-toward-foreclosure\/\" target=\"_blank\">about to lose one more<\/a>. The <strong>Richmond Marriott West<\/strong> was picked up during ColSux&#8217;s mid-decade buying spree, when CEO <strong>William J. Yung<\/strong> was overpaying for assets right and left. The <strong>Kentucky<\/strong> hotelier recently unloaded another <strong>Richmond<\/strong> hotel for considerably less than its assessed value. As Yung&#8217;s rinky-dink empire continues to crumble, it&#8217;s nice to see that bad things <em>do<\/em> happen to bad people.<\/p>\n<p><strong>If we&#8217;ve learned anything<\/strong> from the closing of <strong>Bill&#8217;s Gamblin&#8217; Hall &amp; Saloon<\/strong> is that <a href=\"http:\/\/https:\/\/twitter.com\/vegaschatter\/status\/298495745890344960\/photo\/1\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"broken_link\">it&#8217;s never too early for the world&#8217;s oldest profession<\/a>. As one reader wrote e-mailed us, &#8220;<em>Nice to know that the last interior shot I&#8217;ll ever see of Bill&#8217;s is of two &#8216;working ladies<\/em>.'&#8221;<\/p>\n<p><strong>Does &#8220;Winners Play Here!&#8221;<\/strong> mean that losers play somewhere else? If you think casino ad campaigns tend toward the stale, <a href=\"http:\/\/view.exacttarget.com\/?j=fe5c16707d60017c721c&amp;m=ff031570776603&amp;ls=fde613727363027f731c7672&amp;l=fec915757d60067f&amp;s=fdf21571776203797c1c7476&amp;jb=ffcf14&amp;ju=fe2a16707d650174761d70\" target=\"_blank\">you&#8217;re not alone<\/a>. <strong>Raving Consulting<\/strong>&#8216;s <strong>Chris Archunde<\/strong> has some thoughts on the subject.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Scientific Games has lost the faith of Deutsche Bank&#8216;s Carlo Santarelli. The analyst put out a &#8220;sell&#8221; recommendation this morning on SGMS stock, issuing a new target price of $6\/share, down from $7. (Scientific was trading at $9.49 at the &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/santarelli-bails-on-sgms-blasts-from-the-recent-past\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[15,28,14,7,53,160,9,38,89],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10442"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=10442"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10442\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":10443,"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10442\/revisions\/10443"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=10442"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=10442"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=10442"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}