{"id":14563,"date":"2014-09-15T13:30:56","date_gmt":"2014-09-15T21:30:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/?p=14563"},"modified":"2020-06-24T05:26:43","modified_gmt":"2020-06-24T13:26:43","slug":"cycle-of-futility-hard-luck-in-indian-country","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/cycle-of-futility-hard-luck-in-indian-country\/","title":{"rendered":"Cycle of futility; Hard luck in Indian Country"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>As the casino industry braces itself for <strong>Global Gaming Expo<\/strong>, this <a href=\"http:\/\/www.reviewjournal.com\/columns-blogs\/inside-gaming\/industry-isn-t-facing-slots-fun\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">could hardly be a worse moment<\/a> to be hawking slot machines. Not only is it undergoing a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/06\/slots.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignleft size-medium wp-image-3810\" src=\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/06\/slots-300x151.jpg\" alt=\"slots\" width=\"300\" height=\"151\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/06\/slots-300x151.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/06\/slots-150x75.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/06\/slots.jpg 370w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a>painful contraction but new markets (like <strong>Boston<\/strong> and <strong>Washington, D.C.<\/strong>) are a long way off from opening. As the U.S. casino industry does the unthinkable &#8212; remember the days when it was &#8220;recession proof&#8221;? &#8212; and downsizes, that makes for a lot of orphaned slots &#8230; 9,675 according to analyst <strong>Todd Eilers<\/strong>.\u00a0Roughly 3,600 of the idled machines can be found in defunct <strong>Caesars Entertainment<\/strong> casinos, another 2,200 just in <strong>Revel<\/strong>, more still in <strong>Biloxi<\/strong>&#8216;s <strong>Margaritaville<\/strong> and <strong>Atlantic City<\/strong>&#8216;s <strong>Trump Plaza<\/strong>. Almost certainly, in the case of Caesars, a significant number of these boxes will find new homes in other casinos, further depressing a <!--more-->wan replacement cycle that is expected to drive down slot sales 29% this year, according to Eilers.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cOur checks really couldn\u2019t come back much more negative on the outlook for sales for [<strong>International Game Technology<\/strong>.] We expect that IGT will continue to see a share loss going forward, which should create an opportunity for the combined <strong>Bally<\/strong>&#8211;<strong>Scientific Games<\/strong> and <strong>Multimedia Games<\/strong>,\u201d reported analyst <strong>Brian McGill<\/strong>, who described IGT&#8217;s business as in &#8220;free fall.&#8221; Although one would expect rampant consolidation in the manufacturing sector to drive product prices in the slot makers&#8217; favor, a casino industry awash in supply and short of demand can afford to drive hard bargains.<\/p>\n<p>* Market forces are making themselves felt with a vengeance in Northern <strong>California<\/strong>, where <strong>Station Casinos<\/strong>-run <strong>Graton Resort &amp; Rancheria<\/strong>\u00a0(<em>pictured<\/em>) has <a href=\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/07\/Graton.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignleft size-medium wp-image-14035\" src=\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/07\/Graton-300x199.jpg\" alt=\"Graton\" width=\"300\" height=\"199\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/07\/Graton-300x199.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/07\/Graton-150x99.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/07\/Graton.jpg 640w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a>dealt a deathly blow to <strong>River Rock Casino<\/strong>, owned by the\u00a0<strong>Dry Creek Rancheria Band of Pomo<\/strong>. Revenues at River Rock have fallen 50%, and have &#8220;caused them to default on payments to investors and miss a $3.5\u00a0million payment to <strong>Sonoma County<\/strong>&#8221; for police services. By its own admission, River Rock has no Plan B. Meanwhile, bondholders are finding themselves up a very dry creek indeed, as they learn the hard way that when a tribe defaults on what it owes you, there&#8217;s no recourse. Or, as one analyst puts it,\u00a0\u201cThere\u2019s no bankruptcy for tribes.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>County supervisor <strong>Mike McGuire<\/strong> put the best face on the problem, saying \u201cIt\u2019s still more [money] than <strong>Alexander Valley<\/strong> and <strong>Geyserville<\/strong> ever saw prior to the casino being constructed.&#8221; For his part, tribal Chairman <strong>Harvey Hopkins<\/strong> in waffling, arguing that the payments to the county were contingent on the Dry Creek band building a newer, bigger casino. That&#8217;s off the table now. He&#8217;s angling for concessions from Sonoma County, including more signage and greater latitude in when and where the casino can serve liquor. He&#8217;s just asking, he says, for what Graton Resort already has. McGuire calls the demands &#8220;nonstarters.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Dry Creek&#8217;s problems are magnified by as much as $145 million in long-term debt, a burden it will have to either retire by 2018 or restructure on more favorable terms. &#8220;Eviscerated&#8221; by the competition, Dry Creek has turned over its financial affairs to a third-party trustee. It&#8217;s also halved distributions\u00a0to tribal members. That&#8217;s just one of many cutbacks that have been made. Tribes like to present themselves as a united front but, when it comes to the casino business, they&#8217;re as unsentimental as the most ruthless capitalist.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>As the casino industry braces itself for Global Gaming Expo, this could hardly be a worse moment to be hawking slot machines. Not only is it undergoing a painful contraction but new markets (like Boston and Washington, D.C.) are a &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/cycle-of-futility-hard-luck-in-indian-country\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[23,77,34,14,104,7,29,72,112,35,157,160,57,20,169],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14563"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=14563"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14563\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":27399,"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14563\/revisions\/27399"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=14563"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=14563"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=14563"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}