{"id":14975,"date":"2014-11-11T09:52:13","date_gmt":"2014-11-11T17:52:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/?p=14975"},"modified":"2014-11-11T09:52:13","modified_gmt":"2014-11-11T17:52:13","slug":"penn-the-world-according-to-garp","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/penn-the-world-according-to-garp\/","title":{"rendered":"Penn: The world according to GARP"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Observing stability in regional gaming markets, <strong>Deutsche Bank<\/strong>&#8216;s <strong>Carlo Santarelli<\/strong> is out with a bullish investor note on <strong>Penn National Gaming<\/strong> today, declaring &#8220;the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/07\/Penn-Plainville-2.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignright size-full wp-image-14126\" src=\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/07\/Penn-Plainville-2.jpg\" alt=\"Penn Plainville 2\" width=\"298\" height=\"169\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/07\/Penn-Plainville-2.jpg 298w, https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/07\/Penn-Plainville-2-150x85.jpg 150w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 298px) 100vw, 298px\" \/><\/a>worst appears over.&#8221; He sets a $17 target price for the stock (currently trading just below $14), ascribing $4 of that value to Penn&#8217;s <strong>Plainridge<\/strong> project alone. &#8220;As such, with competitive headwinds largely behind them, for the first time in a long time, we see PENN as a compelling GARP [growth at a reasonable price] idea.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Dismissing the REITmania surrounding <strong>Boyd Gaming<\/strong> and <strong>Pinnacle Entertainment<\/strong>, Santarelli forecasts that Penn will increase cash flow at a compound annual growth rate over the next two years of 11%, compared to 2% at Boyd and a slight contraction at Pinnacle. He predicts &#8220;the discount closes as investors get more comfortable with the &#8230;\u00a0growth story.&#8221; He also noted &#8220;solid aggregate October results and continued strength at the recently opened <strong>Ohio<\/strong> tracks [and]\u00a0a reasonable, though outside, shot at the soon-to-be-decided-upon [<strong>New York<\/strong>]\u00a0license.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>* In the wake of this month&#8217;s election, expect to see a lot more stories like one I read yesterday in which <!--more--><strong>Sheldon Adelson<\/strong> took a victory lap &#8212; the first of many, I&#8217;m sure &#8212; for a perceived victory over online gambling. Never mind that <strong>Internet<\/strong> gambling wasn&#8217;t on the ballot anywhere <a href=\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/11\/Graham.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignright size-full wp-image-14976\" src=\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/11\/Graham.jpg\" alt=\"Graham\" width=\"199\" height=\"253\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/11\/Graham.jpg 199w, https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/11\/Graham-117x150.jpg 117w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 199px) 100vw, 199px\" \/><\/a>and people would probably find it less off-putting than they would Adelson. The question is, What happens next? Some think Sheldon will get an anti-gambling hearing or two on <strong>Capitol Hill<\/strong>, strictly out of gratitude and for show.<\/p>\n<p>However, Sen. <strong>Lindsey Graham<\/strong> (R, <em>right<\/em>) has never been so close to victory in his attempts to re-rewrite the <strong>Federal Wire Act<\/strong> to reinstate\u00a0his aversion to online play. I don&#8217;t think he&#8217;ll be satisfied with cosmetic congressional hearings and Kabuki theatre. Getting trampled in this jostling for position is a little thing called the 10th Amendment. It specifies that &#8220;The powers not delegated to the <strong>United States<\/strong> by the <strong>Constitution<\/strong>, nor prohibited by it to the states, are reserved to states respectively, or to the people.&#8221; That would seem to make intrastate Internet gambling firmly a states&#8217; rights issue but never underestimate the capacity for congressional overreach.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Observing stability in regional gaming markets, Deutsche Bank&#8216;s Carlo Santarelli is out with a bullish investor note on Penn National Gaming today, declaring &#8220;the worst appears over.&#8221; He sets a $17 target price for the stock (currently trading just below &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/penn-the-world-according-to-garp\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[26,37,112,101,71,69,30,111,12,38],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14975"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=14975"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14975\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":14977,"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14975\/revisions\/14977"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=14975"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=14975"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=14975"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}