{"id":15742,"date":"2015-03-18T09:54:34","date_gmt":"2015-03-18T17:54:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/?p=15742"},"modified":"2022-09-14T07:04:20","modified_gmt":"2022-09-14T15:04:20","slug":"whats-pinnacle-worth-trump-dump","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/whats-pinnacle-worth-trump-dump\/","title":{"rendered":"What&#8217;s Pinnacle worth?; Trump dump"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>J.P. Morgan<\/strong> analyst <strong>Joseph Greff<\/strong> has been running the numbers on <strong>Gaming &amp; Leisure Properties<\/strong>&#8216; hostile-takeover bid for <strong>Pinnacle Entertainment<\/strong> and concluded &#8212; no surprise &#8212; that the current offer won&#8217;t get the deal done, even if Pinnacle leadership will <a href=\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/11\/lauberge_exterior.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignright size-medium wp-image-5087\" src=\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/11\/lauberge_exterior-300x231.jpg\" alt=\"lauberge_exterior\" width=\"300\" height=\"231\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/11\/lauberge_exterior-300x231.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/11\/lauberge_exterior-150x115.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/11\/lauberge_exterior.jpg 400w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a>eventually have to bow to shareholder pressure and sell. (All of this is subject to the caveat that GLPI hasn&#8217;t performed its due diligence on Pinnacle yet.) I&#8217;ll admit that the thought of Pinnacle assets falling into the mitts of GLPI makes me a bit queasy, like selling a Rolls-Royce to someone who still drives a Yugo. That thought aside &#8230;<\/p>\n<p>Greff doesn&#8217;t think the present, $35.77\/share price will get the deal done but $42\/share may be the magic number, even though it requires GLPI to put another <!--more-->10 million shares on the table. GLPI can&#8217;t turn its proposal into a firm offer because it &#8220;is still seeking access to certain non-public information from PNK management, which largely <a href=\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/03\/Ameristar-St.-Charles.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignleft size-medium wp-image-15716\" src=\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/03\/Ameristar-St.-Charles-300x194.jpg\" alt=\"Ameristar St. Charles\" width=\"300\" height=\"194\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/03\/Ameristar-St.-Charles-300x194.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/03\/Ameristar-St.-Charles-150x97.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/03\/Ameristar-St.-Charles.jpg 620w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a>pertains to the tax basis in PNK\u2019s assets.&#8221; It&#8217;s already a pricey transaction: $4.1 billion for $365 million in real estate, or a dizzying 11X cash-flow multiple in an industry where 7X or 8X is the norm. Another attraction for Pinnacle management is that the proposed transaction is that it &#8220;allows PNK\u2019s current management and board to keep their jobs, which PNK has to find at least somewhat appealing and potentially reduces a PNK social impediment to getting a potential transaction with GLPI done. GLPI apparently doesn\u2019t expect [<strong>Penn National Gaming<\/strong>]\u00a0to be involved (perhaps due to overlap issues) and likely wants the tenant diversification.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>As for GLPI, &#8221; it would receive acquisition-related growth (a heretofore investor concern) and reduce its largely single tenant risk exposure (ditto) through creating and spinning out another OpCo.&#8221; Greff thinks the likelihood of rival bids, particularly by <strong>Boyd Gaming<\/strong> and <strong>MGM Resorts International<\/strong>, is low. He also dismisses scenarios wherein Pinnacle management accepts GLPI&#8217;s offer as is or trawls for other bidders. He thinks CEO <strong>Anthony Sanfilippo<\/strong> and his cohort will &#8220;dismiss the current offer as inadequate and signal that its board would be amenable to a higher offer.&#8221; He expects the deal to close by year&#8217;s end.<\/p>\n<p>* <strong>Donald Trump<\/strong> has uttered <a href=\"http:\/\/www.businessinsider.com\/donald-trump-i-am-the-only-one-who-can-make-america-truly-great-again-2015-3\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">another desperate cry for help<\/a>. At least it means we will be rid of his TV sitcom, in which demi-celebrities humiliate themselves for the sake of Trump&#8217;s grudging approval.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>J.P. Morgan analyst Joseph Greff has been running the numbers on Gaming &amp; Leisure Properties&#8216; hostile-takeover bid for Pinnacle Entertainment and concluded &#8212; no surprise &#8212; that the current offer won&#8217;t get the deal done, even if Pinnacle leadership will &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/whats-pinnacle-worth-trump-dump\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[60,28,42,190,11,69,30,17,38],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15742"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=15742"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15742\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":31661,"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15742\/revisions\/31661"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=15742"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=15742"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=15742"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}