{"id":21266,"date":"2018-03-01T10:24:58","date_gmt":"2018-03-01T18:24:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/?p=21266"},"modified":"2018-03-01T10:24:58","modified_gmt":"2018-03-01T18:24:58","slug":"eldorado-sells-down-vegas-tourists-stay-home","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/eldorado-sells-down-vegas-tourists-stay-home\/","title":{"rendered":"Eldorado sells down; Vegas tourists stay home"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Churchill Downs<\/strong> continues to grow as a casino operator, cutting a deal with <strong>Eldorado Resorts<\/strong> to buy <strong>Presque Isle Downs<\/strong> in <strong>Erie<\/strong>, <strong>Pennsylvania<\/strong>, and <strong>Lady Luck Vicksburg<\/strong> Casino in Mississippi for $229.5 million. That&#8217;s an above-average valuation for gaming assets but <img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignright size-medium wp-image-21268\" src=\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Churchill-Downs-300x225.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"225\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Churchill-Downs-300x225.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Churchill-Downs-150x113.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Churchill-Downs-768x576.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Churchill-Downs-1024x768.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Churchill-Downs.jpg 1600w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><strong>JP Morgan<\/strong> analyst <strong>Daniel Politzer<\/strong> took a favorable view of the transaction in an investor note. It should be observed that Churchill Downs is paying separately for each asset, spending 10X cash flow &#8212; a very liberal multiple &#8212; to get into Pennsylvania but only 6X EBITDA (below industry average) for <strong>Vicksburg<\/strong>. As Politzer wrote, Lady Luck &#8220;does not really move the needle on EBITDA.&#8221; Calling the deal &#8220;fair and strategic,&#8221; Politzer wrote that &#8220;the transaction provides an infusion of cash that could accelerate the company\u2019s next transaction, while also limiting ERI\u2019s exposure to less favorable gaming markets\/properties where it sees limited opportunities for incremental EBITDA. We also do not view ERI as leaving much on the table, given that CHDN expects to generate ~$1m in synergies across both properties.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Politzer called the high cash-flow multiple for Presque Isle Downs &#8220;fair\u00a0given the <!--more-->current backdrop of gaming expansion in Pennsylvania &#8230;\u00a0We do not believe Pennsylvania is a market ERI views favorably.&#8221; He also thinks this might be a prelude to Eldorado extricating itself from its management contract at puny <strong>Lady Luck Nemacolin<\/strong>. The transaction, which is expected to close sometime after September, takes Eldorado out of the mini-casino race but probably won&#8217;t finalize in time for Churchill Downs to get into it.<\/p>\n<p>* Lower visitation (down 3%) may be to blame for the <strong>Las Vegas Strip<\/strong>&#8216;s poor showing in January gaming revenues. Hotel rooms cleaned up (so to speak) with rates rising 10% to <img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignleft size-medium wp-image-2658\" src=\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/03\/cosmopolitan-las-vegas-187x300.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"187\" height=\"300\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/03\/cosmopolitan-las-vegas-187x300.jpg 187w, https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/03\/cosmopolitan-las-vegas-93x150.jpg 93w, https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/03\/cosmopolitan-las-vegas.jpg 207w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 187px) 100vw, 187px\" \/>an average of $180\/night, at 85% occupancy. Displacement of conventions like <strong>International Market Center<\/strong> from January to February drove a 17% decline in convention-related attendance. And since <strong>Consumer Electronics Show<\/strong> was an all-weekday event, that hurt all-important weekend numbers. A diminished hotel-room inventory (2,181 fewer rooms) may have helped the numbers, however. &#8220;For 2018, we think the LV Strip can generate ~2% [revenue per available room growth and low-single-digit visitation growth,&#8221; predicted JP Morgan analyst <strong>Joseph Greff<\/strong>. As to the diminution of tourism, it seems mostly to have stemmed from <strong>California<\/strong> and other drive-in markets (down 5%), not international travelers, as fliers were up by 3%. Got all that?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Churchill Downs continues to grow as a casino operator, cutting a deal with Eldorado Resorts to buy Presque Isle Downs in Erie, Pennsylvania, and Lady Luck Vicksburg Casino in Mississippi for $229.5 million. That&#8217;s an above-average valuation for gaming assets &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/eldorado-sells-down-vegas-tourists-stay-home\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":21268,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[34,176,14,199,35,95,9,19,38],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21266"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=21266"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21266\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":21269,"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21266\/revisions\/21269"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/21268"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=21266"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=21266"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=21266"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}