{"id":23532,"date":"2019-02-15T11:14:42","date_gmt":"2019-02-15T19:14:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/?p=23532"},"modified":"2019-02-15T11:14:42","modified_gmt":"2019-02-15T19:14:42","slug":"clouds-over-macao-what-sheldon-wants-sheldon-gets","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/clouds-over-macao-what-sheldon-wants-sheldon-gets\/","title":{"rendered":"Clouds over Macao; What Sheldon wants, Sheldon gets"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Cameron McKnight<\/strong> of <strong>Credit Suisse<\/strong> is projecting gambling-revenue flatness in <strong>Macao<\/strong> (<a href=\"https:\/\/calvinayre.com\/2019\/02\/13\/casino\/macau-wins-big-gaming-taxes-january\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">despite higher tax return<\/a>s) through 2019 and into 2020, despite a record amount of available credit in China. &#8220;Stronger credit data may partially assuage <strong>China<\/strong> macro concerns, as it comes in <img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignright size-medium wp-image-23159\" src=\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/Macao-300x200.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"200\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/Macao-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/Macao-150x100.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/Macao.jpg 700w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/>tandem with other supportive measures, such as reducing the reserve requirement and cutting taxes,&#8221; he wrote. But he doesn&#8217;t think the credit-growth benefit will kick into Macao until early next year or maybe March 2020. He also warns that credit escalation is &#8220;very volatile.&#8221; In the meantime, <strong>Beijing<\/strong> is cracking down on the &#8220;shadow banks&#8221; that finance gamblers. VIP and premium-mass (the demographic of choice) could find life a little leaner. China&#8217;s desire to minimize capital flight remains as strong as ever. Adds McKnight, &#8220;If macro conditions worsen and\/or the US\/China trade dispute heats up, capital controls could be tightened \u2013 and this new policy enforced more strictly.&#8221; Chinese exports were up 9% but home prices are slackening, two important economic indicators moving in opposite directions.<\/p>\n<p>Whereas stock-pickers had projected February revenues to be up <!--more-->5%-10%, so far they are tracking flat. Chinese New Year visitation is up 29% but, thanks to the <strong>HKZM Bridge<\/strong>, many of those coming to Macao are believed to be sightseers\u00a0rather than players. Whatever they were doing, they weren&#8217;t hitting the shops: Retail spending was at its lowest pace since 2005. In related news, <strong>Galaxy Entertainment<\/strong> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ggrasia.com\/casino-op-galaxy-giving-2019-pay-hike-for-eligible-staff\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">busted out wage increases<\/a> for workers but targeted them mostly at middle and upper management. Kudos to <strong>Sands China<\/strong> and <strong>Wynn Resorts<\/strong> for focusing recently salary hikes\u00a0on floor-level employees.<\/p>\n<p>* <strong>New Jersey<\/strong> sports books were a little too quick off the mark in posting <strong>Academy Awards<\/strong> odds. They had to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pressofatlanticcity.com\/news\/press\/casinos_tourism\/new-jersey-becomes-first-state-to-take-legal-oscars-bets\/article_11a28c47-8617-552a-98d5-699444dfbf73.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">temporarily take the betting lines down<\/a>, pending regulatory approval. Now that it&#8217;s back to business as usual voters are defying the oddsmakers, putting a plurality of their wagers on <strong>Lady Gaga<\/strong>, not <strong>Glenn Close<\/strong> to take home a Best Actress statuette.<\/p>\n<p>* <strong>MGM Growth Properties<\/strong> is raising the rent it charges <strong>MGM Resorts International<\/strong> at <strong>Park MGM<\/strong> (made more valuable by Lady Gaga)? The REIT also <img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignleft size-medium wp-image-16398\" src=\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/07\/Monte-Carlo-Theater-The-Park-Arena-Rendering-300x169.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"169\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/07\/Monte-Carlo-Theater-The-Park-Arena-Rendering-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/07\/Monte-Carlo-Theater-The-Park-Arena-Rendering-150x84.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/07\/Monte-Carlo-Theater-The-Park-Arena-Rendering-1024x576.jpg 1024w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/>announced it would &#8220;purchase the investments MGM has made in Park MGM&#8221; for $637.5 million, another vote of confidence for the casino. In other MGM news, the company has r<a href=\"https:\/\/www.casinobeats.com\/2019\/02\/13\/mgm-gains-further-praise-for-us-diversity-efforts\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">eceived high marks<\/a> for diversity from <em>Forbes<\/em> and <em>Black Enterprise<\/em> magazines. The former weighed the company&#8217;s performance with\u00a0age, gender equality, ethnicity, disability, LGBTQ+ and general diversity issues, with the votes of affected groups given greater weight than those of non-minority employees. Keep up the good work, MGM.<\/p>\n<p>* A credible source linked to the <strong>Golden Nugget Las Vegas<\/strong> denies that <strong>Tilman Fertitta<\/strong> is selling his <strong>Landry&#8217;s<\/strong> empire. So that presumably is the end of that. Of course, Tilman&#8217;s other financial problems, like paying for the <strong>Houston Rockets<\/strong>, haven&#8217;t gone away. Still, we are glad that he is staying in the casino industry because he sets the bar in almost every market in which he operates.<\/p>\n<p>* Because we never get tired of linking to pictures of <strong>Sheldon Adelson<\/strong>&#8216;s ludicrous (and ill-fitting) toup\u00e9es, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vox.com\/world\/2018\/10\/10\/17959096\/trump-adelson-casino-japan-pro-publica\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">here&#8217;s a reprise<\/a> of <strong>Donald Trump<\/strong>&#8216;s personal lobbying for <img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignright size-medium wp-image-5051\" src=\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/11\/Shelly-Adelson-300x199.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"199\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/11\/Shelly-Adelson-300x199.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/11\/Shelly-Adelson-150x99.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/11\/Shelly-Adelson.jpg 512w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/>Sheldon to Japanese Prime Minister <strong>Shinzo Abe<\/strong>. Said an Abe confidant, \u201cThey were a little incredulous that he would be so brazen.\u201d Abe was reportedly noncommittal, perhaps stunned into silence. As for the present day, Mr. Trump seems to be fulfilling one of Adelson&#8217;s most dearly-held wishes, sending his surrogates <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2019\/02\/13\/world\/middleeast\/warsaw-summit-pompeo.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" class=\"broken_link\">to gin up a war<\/a> with <strong>Iran<\/strong>. When Sheldon Adelson talks, the <strong>White House<\/strong> listens.<\/p>\n<p>* Speaking of security concerns, don&#8217;t go gambling in <strong>Cambodia<\/strong> unless you want to get your ass blown off. One of as many as five bombs in <strong>Poipet<\/strong>&#8216;s <strong>Golden Crown Casino<\/strong> was <a href=\"https:\/\/calvinayre.com\/2019\/02\/12\/casino\/cambodia-golden-crown-casino-bomb-plot\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">discovered in a lavatory<\/a> and subsequently detonated in the parking lot. Golden Crown was also targeted for multiple bombings in 2002, so I&#8217;d certainly give it a wide miss if I were you. Fortunately, the latest incident was averted by the\u00a0<strong>Cambodian Mine Action Center<\/strong>, which has a lot of experience defusing land mines and other explosives, mostly legacies of Cambodia&#8217;s tragic past.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Cameron McKnight of Credit Suisse is projecting gambling-revenue flatness in Macao (despite higher tax returns) through 2019 and into 2020, despite a record amount of available credit in China. &#8220;Stronger credit data may partially assuage China macro concerns, as it &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/clouds-over-macao-what-sheldon-wants-sheldon-gets\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":22288,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[42,51,14,201,22,171,241,245,10,248,25,12,74,9,129,100,38,233],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23532"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=23532"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23532\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":23535,"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23532\/revisions\/23535"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/22288"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=23532"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=23532"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=23532"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}