{"id":25300,"date":"2019-11-07T08:20:05","date_gmt":"2019-11-07T16:20:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/?p=25300"},"modified":"2019-11-07T08:20:05","modified_gmt":"2019-11-07T16:20:05","slug":"wynn-misses-estimates-sports-betting-wins-in-colorado","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wynn-misses-estimates-sports-betting-wins-in-colorado\/","title":{"rendered":"Wynn misses estimates; Sports betting wins in Colorado"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Wynn Resorts<\/strong> reported 3Q19 earnings and the headline was <strong>Macao<\/strong>. As <strong>J.P. Morgan<\/strong> analyst <strong>Joseph Greff<\/strong> wrote, &#8220;For the first time in a while, we feel that the tough Macau VIP segment is stabilizing\/not getting worse, <img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignright size-medium wp-image-19430\" src=\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/Wynn-Palace-300x190.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"190\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/Wynn-Palace-300x190.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/Wynn-Palace-150x95.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/Wynn-Palace.jpg 625w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/>and mass growth there remains in attractive growth territory.&#8221; A renovation of part of <strong>Wynn Macau<\/strong>&#8216;s casino floor is expected to improve results in late 2019. On the <strong>Las Vegas<\/strong> front, the opening of the new convention center is also expected to move the needle and &#8220;allow it to grow high-margin room revenues and capture more share of the group segment.&#8221; The reopening of the golf course is also anticipated to help drive table-game revenues.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;In <strong>Boston<\/strong>, which we view as a tertiary driver for the stock behind Macau and Las Vegas, the five month old <strong>Encore Boston Harbor<\/strong> is experiencing <!--more-->a slower than originally anticipated ramp on slot profitability, but other segments at the property are doing as expected,&#8221; Greff continued. Wynn&#8217;s Macanese cash flow of $323 million came up short of Greff&#8217;s predicted $330 million but easily exceeded <strong>Wall Street<\/strong>&#8216;s consensus $310 million. Its market share in table games held steady at 14%, despite new competition from <strong>MGM Mansions<\/strong> and <strong>Morpheus Tower<\/strong>. By contrast, Encore Boston Harbor only delivered $8 million in cash flow, which implies a poor return on investment going forward.<\/p>\n<p>VIP-derived revenues in Macao were down 41% but there was consolation in the form of mass-market slot winnings, up 8%. <strong>Wynncore<\/strong>, which had net revenues of $400 million, badly missed Greff&#8217;s cash-flow project, <img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignleft size-full wp-image-7167\" src=\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/07\/wynn-pic.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"227\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/07\/wynn-pic.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/07\/wynn-pic-150x113.jpg 150w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/>delivering $88 million. Bad-debt write-offs of $4.5 million played a role. Wynncore realized $86 million in table game revenues and $58 million from slots. Room revenues were up 5%, with renovations scheduled for 2020. Wynn &#8220;continues to refine marketing at its new Encore Boston Harbor property, in efforts to make the property more local,&#8221; including introducing a tiered loyalty card. As for Macao capital projects, <strong>Crystal Palace<\/strong>&#8216;s first phase, costing $2 billion, won&#8217;t break ground until late 2021. Regarding\u00a0its plans for the old <strong>New Frontier<\/strong> site, management remains tacit.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Credit Suisse<\/strong> analyst <strong>Ben Combes<\/strong> was far less sanguine than Greff, pointing to a series of revenue missing and adding, &#8220;We remain neutral on WYNN, given macro uncertainty, current [<strong>Hong Kong<\/strong>]\u00a0protests and <img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignright size-medium wp-image-14268\" src=\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/08\/macau_wynn-300x225.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"225\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/08\/macau_wynn-300x225.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/08\/macau_wynn-150x112.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/08\/macau_wynn.jpg 670w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/>policy risk in Macau and <strong>China<\/strong>.&#8221; He added, &#8220;The Las Vegas 4Q outlook is strong, with our forward room rate survey, forward air capacity and convention attendance all positive.&#8221; He added that room-revenue improvement at Wynncore lagged the rest of the Strip&#8217;s 5%. Other priorities for the company include launching a <strong>New Jersey<\/strong> sports book and one in <strong>Massachusetts<\/strong>, should the Bay State legalize it.<\/p>\n<p>In other Wynn metrics, Wynncore room rates ran to $306 at 88% occupancy. Table game wagering was flat but slot coin-in increased 9% for a win\/slot\/day of $335, well above industry average. Wynncore revenues were $399.5 million, while Wynn Macau took in $474 million (falling 18%) and <strong>Wynn Palace<\/strong> grossed $598 million, also down 18%. As for Encore Boston Harbor, it took in $175 million, with no year\/year comparison available, for obvious reasons. Wynn curbed corporate expenses by 18% for a $26 million tally.<\/p>\n<p>* <strong>Proposition DD<\/strong>, legalizing sports betting in <strong>Colorado<\/strong>, finally <a href=\"https:\/\/www.denverpost.com\/2019\/11\/06\/colorado-proposition-dd-results-sports-betting\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">squeaked across the finish line<\/a>, winning by 22,000 votes out of 1.4 million ballots cast. The new law will tax sports betting revenue at 10% and allow <img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignleft size-medium wp-image-17303\" src=\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/12\/colorado-300x235.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"235\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/12\/colorado-300x235.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/12\/colorado-150x118.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/12\/colorado.jpg 817w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/>for mobile wagering. The high level of dissent is attributed to disingenuous opposition that painted Proposition DD as a tax increase. Winners include <strong>Full House Resorts<\/strong>, which was banking on the legalization of sports wagers. Said House Minority Leader <strong>Patrick Neville<\/strong> (R),\u00a0\u201cBlack markets aren\u2019t conservative and they aren\u2019t good for Colorado.\u00a0Bringing sports betting into the daylight, regulating it and leveraging it for the benefit of our water future is a common-sense approach.\u201d Tax proceeds from sports betting will go toward to relief of water shortfalls.<\/p>\n<p>* A <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/features\/2019-11-06\/k-pop-s-dark-side-assault-prostitution-suicide-and-spycams?cmpid=BBD110619_CUS&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_source=newsletter&amp;utm_term=191106&amp;utm_campaign=closeamericas\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" class=\"broken_link\">Korean scandal<\/a> suggests that <strong>Mohegan Sun<\/strong>&#8216;s decision to include a <strong>K-Pop<\/strong> theme park in <strong>Inspire<\/strong> could be a double-edged sword.<\/p>\n<p>* Make tracks to <strong>Carnegie Deli<\/strong> while you still can. The restaurant at <strong>The Mirage<\/strong> is <a href=\"https:\/\/vegas.eater.com\/2019\/11\/6\/20951576\/carnegie-deli-closed-february-2020\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">shutting its doors<\/a> next February. No replacement has been named, although fast food seems likely.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Wynn Resorts reported 3Q19 earnings and the headline was Macao. As J.P. Morgan analyst Joseph Greff wrote, &#8220;For the first time in a while, we feel that the tough Macau VIP segment is stabilizing\/not getting worse, and mass growth there &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wynn-misses-estimates-sports-betting-wins-in-colorado\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[275,27,18,26,198,62,112,222,245,167,248,187,243,38,233],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25300"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=25300"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25300\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":25301,"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25300\/revisions\/25301"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=25300"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=25300"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=25300"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}