{"id":27884,"date":"2020-09-02T07:08:58","date_gmt":"2020-09-02T15:08:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/?p=27884"},"modified":"2020-09-03T05:22:50","modified_gmt":"2020-09-03T13:22:50","slug":"primary-special-markey-wins-trump-closes-betting-gap","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/primary-special-markey-wins-trump-closes-betting-gap\/","title":{"rendered":"Primary special: Markey wins, Trump closes betting gap"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

In a win for sites like PredictIt<\/strong>, Sen. Edward Markey<\/strong> (D) beat Rep. Joe Kennedy<\/strong> (D) 55% to 45%. The futures market went from 2-to-1 for Kennedy to an even more lopsided favoritism of Markey even before Massachusetts<\/strong> polls showed the senator opening up a 10-point lead prior to the actual vote<\/a>. If there’s a loser it’s not Kennedy as much as Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi<\/strong> (D), who blundered into the race at the 11th hour with an attempt to dislodge Markey that was probably counterproductive, stamping Kennedy as the candidate of the Establishment, a label that ultimately proved toxic. Elsewhere in the Bay State, Rep. Ayanna Pressley<\/strong> (D) had the brass to send out a ‘victory’ e-mail even though she had run uncontested.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n

\"\"Meanwhile, in the overcard, former boxing promoter Donald Trump<\/strong> wants to be reelected in the worst<\/a> way possible<\/a>\u2014and<\/a> it seems to be working<\/a>. At least in the betting markets. A $100 wager at BetShark<\/strong> that Trump wins in November nets you $105<\/a> if he succeeds. Those are Trump’s best odds since June 22, giving him a 45% probability. Joe Biden’s choice of Kamala Harris<\/strong> as running mate has backfired with the punters, dropping him from -155 to -135, a decline further exacerbated by the virtual Democratic National Convention<\/strong> (-130) and a subsequent fusillade of incendiary rhetoric from Trump (-120). \u201cWe had one player place a $29,000 wager on Trump on the third night of the [DNC], with that same bettor coming back the next night to add another $14,000 on The Donald,\u201d reported BetOnline<\/strong>‘s Dave Mason<\/strong>. Good news for Biden: He holds strong betting leads in four swing states. Bad news: He’s running behind where quintessential loser Hillary Clinton<\/strong> did in 2016. Right now, BetOnline offers a 10-point spread on the race and Betfair<\/strong> gives Biden a 49.5% probability to win<\/a>, down from 61%. Over the year, Biden’s odds have tended to improve and Trump’s to worsen but it’s looking like a squeaker at the moment.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

In a win for sites like PredictIt, Sen. Edward Markey (D) beat Rep. Joe Kennedy (D) 55% to 45%. The futures market went from 2-to-1 for Kennedy to an even more lopsided favoritism of Markey even before Massachusetts polls showed … Continue reading →<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[42,26,37,112],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27884"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=27884"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27884\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":27885,"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27884\/revisions\/27885"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=27884"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=27884"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lasvegasadvisor.com\/stiffs-and-georges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=27884"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}