7 responses

  1. Harry Porter
    August 15, 2018

    Not intuitively clear that the case of 1000/500 tickets, with one prize per person, calls for something other than a 2/3 split for the holder of 1000 tickets. Considered separately, I’m pretty sure the EV(1000 tickets) = 2 * EV(500 tickets). I think that’s all that matters.

    Reply

    • Liz
      August 16, 2018

      If the rule is you can only get drawn once, then I think the fair deal would be 2:1 on the first one of you drawn, but after that the deal is over because whoever got drawn is now drawing dead. Also you’re assuming having double the tickets means double the chances of getting drawn, probably not a valid assumption with computer/virtual drawings. These EV things can be very tricky.

      Reply

      • Liz
        August 16, 2018

        Another point: the rule that you can only get drawn once is a penalty against those who have the most tickets, they are the ones who are likely to get drawn multiple times. So, now you have a non-linear relationship, twice the tickets is not necessarily twice as good. Conclusion: you have to pay attention to the “structure” to determine the true EV of your current situation. Question: what if the rule is you can only get drawn once and the prizes are awarded in order from less value to most value, what now happens to the EV of the person with the most tickets? If you want to gamble in today’s environment these types of questions are important because as a general rule the machines are played at a loss, one only hopes to get value back on things like drawings.

        Reply

  2. Candy
    August 16, 2018

    I’ve been in enough tournaments and promotions through the years to conclude that they are (often) rigged:
    – Husband and wife names drawn ‘virtually’ one right after the other;
    – The MC (male) cheering “the sisters” on throughout three rounds (yes, they were hot babes) and they end up winning 1st and 2nd place;
    – Same individuals have top scores all three sessions on three different machines.

    Didn’t used to be this way. Decades ago a fair procedure was used for machine assignment, but IMO “virtual” is a synonym for “fixed.” I can’t prove it, of course, not interested in trying. It is what it is, and not enough of a fair chance to waste my time, let alone spend money on a buy-in. Celebrities local and beyond will always have the advantage. Too bad for us peons. I think this is a bit off topic, so I’m sorry ’bout that. Rant over! LOL.

    Reply

    • GWB
      August 16, 2018

      Hi Candy,
      What does Kevin Lewis Think about this¿
      B-)

      Reply

      • Candy
        August 17, 2018

        Hi GWB,
        My best guess is that Kevin would concur. I think he and I may have similar traits…the “doubting Thomas”….conspiracy theorist…everything is a “racket” (my mom’s favorite word). Ha.

        Reply

  3. Reenie Luce
    August 19, 2018

    Not actually relevant, but I was looking to purchase the download training system. I used to have the CD but it was lost in a move and the ancient computer it was on has gone to the big windows computer graveyard. I have access to a windows 10 computer that I could use for the CD or download, but it appears the software is not updated for the new windows systems.

    Any idea when/if it will be updated and, if so, if it might also be updated for MacBooks/Apple products?

    Thanks.

    Reply

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