Isle of Capri

Illinois slouches; Boyd, Churchill praised; DraftKings assessed

Not even Rivers Casino Des Plaines was spared the impact of Hard Rock Rockford, as the newbie helped take a 4.5% bite out of Rivers’ December casino revenues compared to 2019, for a Des Plaines gross of $43 million, still easily the best in the state. Prairie State casinos grossed $110 million, down 12% from two years ago. Without the Hard Rock infusion, those numbers would have been worse still (-15%). The latter brought in $4 million, as did Bally’s Quad Cities (-25%), while Argosy Belle clung jealously to last place with $2.5 million (-35.5%). Other than Rivers, Grand Victoria suffered less than most, down 8% to $13 million. Business was not so kind to its sister properties, with Harrah’s Joliet off 27% to $11 million and Harrah’s Metropolis down 22% to $5 million.

Penn National Gaming wasn’t much more fortunate upstate than in Alton. Its Empress Joliet plunged 26% to $7 million and Hollywood Aurora slipped 13.5% to $9 million. Boyd Gaming‘s mid-state Par-A-Dice was down 14% to $5 million and DraftKings Casino Queen plummeted 30.5% to $6 million. God help ’em when the wave of temporary casinos fully comes online—let alone if the Lege legalizes i-gaming. Perhaps the winningest operator in the Land of Lincoln is MGM Resorts International, which had the good sense to get the hell out.

The big enchilada

“The Biggest Gaming Opportunity Since Riverboats in the Early ’90s.” That’s how JP Morgan gaming analyst Joseph Greff, a man not given to hype, characterized i-gaming and sports betting today. He described them as “as an emerging and exciting area of growth within US Gaming, with potential to drive significant multiple expansion and value creation for operations within our coverage universe.” How much value? Greff ascribes $17/share of Caesars Entertainment‘s worth of sports betting and Internet wagering. It’s even better for Penn National Gaming: $18/share. Sports betting “is highly competitive and should have a longer road to profitability, while iGaming is generally profitable for operators right now.” Furthermore, “near-term success drivers include brand recognition/customer engagement, first mover advantages, willingness to spend on marketing/customer acquisition, and media/league partnerships.” Said Greff, “the potential growth of this industry should result in emerging companies seeking access to capital … and online/digital companies entering the gaming industry.”

Sports betting currently reaches 41% of Americans, being legal in 23 states and operational in 19 of those. In states where it is online, sports betting via the Internet is overwhelmingly dominant in market share. Greff projects $7.6 billion in sports-betting revenues by 2025 (it was $900 million last year, with four states accounting for almost all the action). “Our $7.6b forecast assumes 13 additional states legalize sports betting over the next several years, bringing the total to 35 (~70%+ of US adult population), though we note this is highly subjective.” Part of that assumption is dysfunctional California, so that’s a mighty big ‘if.’

Louisiana gets soaked; Surrender flag waved

Louisiana gets soaked; Surrender flag waved

Boyd Gaming warned us that Deep South results would be weak, following two hurricanes, and they didn’t exaggerate. Flood-affected Louisiana casino receipts plummeted 11% in September. Boyd casinos got the worst of it, down 10.5%. New Orleans was flat but Lake Charles took a bashing, plunging 18%. Baton Rouge‘s mere 3.5% decline looks like a triumph. Golden Nugget slid 23.5% to $21 million, as L’Auberge du Lac squeaked past with $22 million, down 10%. Isle Grand Palais shed 15% ($7 million gross) and Delta Downs was 21% off the pace with $12 million. L’Auberge Baton Rouge actually gained 5%, clocking in with $12 million, while Casino Rouge dropped 9% to $4 million. That was far better than Belle of Baton Rouge, a sorry $2 million and 29% freefall.

Land-based casinos bested riverboats in New Orleans, with Harrah’s New Orleans grossing

Ohio prospers, others don’t; Labor trouble at Eldorado

Maryland continues to show signs of casino saturation. Revenue ($143 million) was down 4% last month. Not even MGM National Harbor ($57 million) was immune, off 4%. Slots were up 10% but table games got walloped, down 19%. Still, MGM commands 40% of market share in the Free State, followed by Maryland Live with 34%. The latter slipped but 2%, to $49 million. Horseshoe Baltimore got lapped, fading 18% to $19 million. Ocean Downs‘ luck finally ran out, as a string of revenue-positive months gave way to a 5% stumble and $7 million. Hollywood Perryville was off 4% to $6.5 million. Over in West Virginia, revenue was down 2% despite 5% higher winnings at the tables. Hollywood Casino at Charles Town Races didn’t have good luck at the tables, down 9%, leading to a 5% overall decline.

No worries about contraction in Ohio, where casino revenues were up 4% last month, to $161.5 million. MGM Northfield Park led the way with $21 million but that was a

Around the horn

Around the horn

Gambling revenue hit a record amount in Maryland last month, up 9% to $164 million. The good news for MGM National Harbor was that winnings were up 4% to $64 million. The bad news is that this was driven by high-tax slots (up 11%), not low-tax table games (down 4%). National Harbor was dominant in market share, with 38.5%, compared to Maryland Live‘s 34% and Horseshoe Baltimore‘s 16%. Maryland Live gambling win vaulted 19%, to $56 million, while the ‘Shoe did $25.5 million (+3%). Ocean Downs jumped 12.5% to $6.5 million, while Hollywood Perryville was flat at $7 million. Out in the boonies, Rocky Gap Resort gained 9% to $5 million. Next door, West Virginia had

Midwest report; Icahn caps his bet; Churchill Downs grows

Midwest report; Icahn caps his bet; Churchill Downs grows

Missouri was down 4% last month, no explanation given, with a statewide gross of $134 million. The decline was driven by lower slot play, as table-game revenues ($20 million) were up 7%. Penn National Gaming had a good result at River City, up 3% ($17.5 million), offset by declines at Hollywood St. Louis ($18.5 million, -1%) and Argosy Riverside ($12.5 million, -9.5%). Boyd Gaming gained 2% at Ameristar St. Charles ($21 million) but yielded 2% at Ameristar Kansas City ($12.5 million). Eldorado Resorts had a really bad month at Lumiere Place, down 12% to $12 million. Harrah’s North Kansas City slipped 5%, finishing at $12 million. Affinity Gaming also had some adversity at Mark Twain Casino, down 7.5% to $2.5 million.

As for the rest of the Eldorado portfolio, it was a study in

Indiana, Missouri have good months; Hands-free vibrators conquer Las Vegas

Indiana, Missouri have good months; Hands-free vibrators conquer Las Vegas

Casinos in Indiana grossed $187 million last month, a 3% increase. Caesars Entertainment would appear to have robbed Peter (Horseshoe Southern Indiana) to pay Paul (its two racinos). Horseshoe was down 8% to $20 million, while Indiana Downs cantered past it to a $21 million finish, gaining 4.5%. Hoosier Park surged 12.5% to $16 million. Biggest gainer of all was French Lick Resort, up 14.5% to $9 million. Tropicana Evansville and Hollywood Lawrenceburg were flat, for $13 million and $15.5 million respectively. Rising Sun set 2%, to $4 million, while Boyd Gaming was pushing the right buttons at Belterra, up 5% to $10 million. In the northern tier of the Hoosier State, Horseshoe Hammond was becalmed but still pulled in $32 million. Primary rival Ameristar East Chicago gained 10% on the competition to finish at $19.5 million. Blue Chip continues to rebound from tribal competition at Four Winds Casino. For December it was up 7.5% to $13 million. As for the two Majestic Star boats, the first lost

18 Fremont’s cover blown; Resorts World LV delayed yet again

Last week, Ryan Hess stole Derek Stevens‘ thunder, posting a stunning rendering for 18 Fremont on Twitter and linking to an EB-5 visa Web page that included more sexy pictures — six swimming pools — of the Stevens brothers’ upcoming hotel-casino (slated for 2021 completion), pictures which have subsequently removed. TravelZork.com was also quick to pick up on the 18 Fremont disclosure. Funding from Wall Street must be hard to come by if Stevens is reduced to going the EB-5 route. The Stevens promise “18 Fremont will create 48 to 50 Jobs per investor. Significant number of jobs have already been created.” To ameliorate any fears of EB-5 investors  being left out in the cold (Lucky Dragon, anyone?), they explain that “Ownership generates approximately $130-140 Million USD annually from their other businesses, which creates cash flow that can be used to payback [sic] EB-5 investors.” (emphasis added) It just figures that

Trop defies Atlantic City odds; Massachusetts underachieves

Trop defies Atlantic City odds; Massachusetts underachieves

October was good for Atlantic City‘s new casinos, with the overall market up 8%, but bad for the incumbents, down 11.5%. Terrestrial gambling win totaled $200.5 million, with mixed messages all over the place. Slot win was up 5% but down 12% on a same-store basis (i.e., minus Hard Rock Atlantic City and Ocean Resort) while table game win was up 16% but down 10.5% same-store. Borgata ($51 million) fell 8% despite 12.5% higher table win on 11% lower wagering. The decline was driven by a 15.5% tailspin in slot win. The Caesars Entertainment portfolio tumbled 20%, with table win plummeting 30% on 18.5% less wagering — i.e., the house lost — while slot win toppled 15%. Nonetheless, Caesars gave the market a vote of confidence by announcing a $56 million renovation of star performer Harrah’s Resort.

Tropicana Atlantic City literally beat the odds, its gross gaming revenue up 2%, to $25 million. Of the newcomers, Hard Rock ($23 million) is still

Stasis in Missouri; Steve Wynn’s got a secret

Stasis in Missouri; Steve Wynn’s got a secret

Missouri casinos grossed $138 million last month, essentially flat with 2017. The big winner was Eldorado Resorts, up 19% at Lumiere Place (shown, $13 million) but 9% lower at Isle of Capri Kansas City ($5 million). Boyd Gaming had an inauspicious start to its return to the Show-Me State, down 1% at both Ameristar Kansas City ($15 million) and Ameristar St. Charles ($21 million). Eldorado’s outstate properties delivered a very mixed performance with Lady Luck Caruthersville 1.5% down ($3 million), Isle of Capri Boonsville up 1.5% ($6 million) and Isle of Capri Cape Girardeau down 4.5% ($5 million). Penn National Gaming was absolutely flat — $18 million — at Hollywood Casino St. Louis but up 5% in Kansas City, where it grossed $14 million. Harrah’s North Kansas City did almost $15 million in business, a 2% gain. One of Penn’s new trophies, River City, dove 6%, to $17 million, while Affinity Gaming‘s Mark Twain Casino was down 1% to $2.5 million.

* There’s something — maybe a lot of somethings — in the Massachusetts Gaming Commission‘s dossier on Steve Wynn that

New era in Macao; Joy and misery in Louisiana

New era in Macao; Joy and misery in Louisiana

Beginning tomorrow, travel to Macao becomes much easier, as the Zhuhai bridge connecting Hong Kong and Macao officially opens. The ribbon is cut at 9 a.m. and several bus services are at the ready to make the half-hour run, compared to the hour it takes to ferry to the gambling capitol from Hong Kong. Ironically, the ceremonial first bus will leave from Macao, specifically from Hotel Grand Lisboa, in a nod to former casino monopolist Sociedade de Jogos de Macau. Peninsula casinos to enjoy bus service include MGM Macau, StarWorld Hotel (Galaxy Entertainment) and Sands Macao. Primary stops on the Cotai Strip™ will be Venetian Macao, Galaxy Macau and MGM Cotai, which could use some extra business. Casino shuttles will not be allowed on the new bridge. Rather, city hall is trying to get the enclave’s six concessionaires to consolidate and cooperatively run shuttle serves. Good luck with that.

* Unlike some other regional markets, Louisiana eked out a gain last month, up 2%. This was done largely on the strength of

Ohio up, Missouri down and Caesars tries harder

Although it will forever be a mystery why Caesars Entertainment evacuated Ohio, now that gaming revenues in the Buckeye State are on the upswing, it’s understandable that CEO Mark Frissora would want to get back in. Last month, gross gaming revenues were $152 million, a 4% increase, powered by an 8% improvement at the racinos. (Casino business was static.) Penn National Gaming‘s Hollywood Toledo was flat at $16 million, while Hollywood Columbus slid 5% to $17.5 million. But Hollywood Dayton was up 2.5% to $8.5 million and Hollywood Mahoning Valley jumped 5.5% to $10 million.

Dan Gilbert‘s on-the-auction-block Jack Entertainment properties were led by Jack Thistledown, up 10% to $10 million. Jack Cincinnati had a good month, up

Wisdom from G2E; Sisolak lights up

This week’s Global Gaming Expo gives Wall Street analysts plenty of time to sniff around the big gaming operators and manufacturers, trying to suss out trends. Credit Suisse analyst Cameron McKnight, the new kid on the block, says that 3Q18 weakness was “a blip … driven by a ‘perfect storm’ of: (1) Very tough comps from two ‘supercharged’ Summers in 2016 and 17, (2) Much higher mix of Leisure and price sensitive [online travel agency] customers, (3) Mid-week July 4 holiday, and (4) Continued impact of October 1.” He also notes “continued rate pressure at the lower end of the market, especially from lower rates at Park MGM and continued weakness in the vicinity of Mandalay Bay.”

On the other hand, “Regional operators are bullish, given record low unemployment, tightest labor market in 20 years, consumer confidence at 20-year highs, and continued

Infamy on the Strip; Baton Rouge obliterated

Infamy on the Strip; Baton Rouge obliterated

Mandalay Bay” is becoming a two-word synonym for infamy. Hotels’ Daily News Service recently bannered a set of dispatches with “What Security Looks Like in post-Mandalay Bay world.” (Subscription required.) As for what Las Vegas looks like in same, well, Lego has banished Mandalay Bay from its Las Vegas Strip model. Stratosphere is still there, as is Wynn Las Vegas and an out-of-position Luxor but Bellagio takes MBay’s space on the model. There’s even a mini-Fremont Street Experience. Reports VitalVegas, “The Las Vegas Lego set is expected to sell for about $40, with nearly 500 pieces … You can bet there was a heated debate at Lego about whether to replace Wynn Las Vegas following revelations

Missouri becalmed; Scientific smackdown

Missouri becalmed; Scientific smackdown

One less weekend day was costly to Missouri casinos in July, when their revenue declined 2% to $150.5 million. The Kansas City market had the worst of it, off nearly 4%. Slot revenues ($128.5 million) were down 2% and table games ($22 million) fell 4%. Don’t tell that to Ameristar Kansas City, which was up 8%, to $17.5 million. Harrah’s Kansas City had a terrible month, plunging 12% to $15 million. Argosy Riverside slid 5.5% to $13.5 million while Isle of Capri Kansas City was 6.5% underwater, grossing $6 million.

In the St. Louis market, Ameristar St. Charles ceded 1.5%, grossing $23.5 million. Pinnacle Entertainment‘s other property, River City, didn’t

Penn, Caesars come together; Big bet in smallest state

Penn, Caesars come together; Big bet in smallest state

Penn National Gaming swooped in and bought itself a nice little operating contract in Louisiana, the Margaritaville Casino Resort, for $115 million. Considering that the price translates to 5.5X cash flow, Penn got itself quite a bargain. It’s also a vote of confidence in the Shreveport/Bossier City market when you consider that Penn will own Boomtown Bossier when its acquisition of Pinnacle Entertainment closes. Margaritaville has grossed $157 million year to date, an 8% increase from early 2017. It’s a curious hybrid of a deal, as the physical assets will be owned by Vici Properties, the REIT of Penn’s archrival Caesars Entertainment, the market leader in the greater Shreveport area. Vici paid $261 million for the riverboat and casino, which it will lease at $23 million a year.

“The pace of deal activity has picked up meaningfully over the LTM period with nine announced deals totaling ~$6.2 bn of REIT capital outlays. In fact, the $6.2 bn of transactions over the LTM period represents roughly half of

Big day in New Jersey; Atlantic City slips

Sports betting in New Jersey will go off as planned. As I write this, Monmouth Park is 20 minutes away from taking its first wager, presumably placed on the World Cup by Gov. Phil Murphy (D). “I’m thrilled to be doing it,” Murphy told a radio host, It’s been a long time coming. Many, many years.” You said it, Phil. Borgata will be close upon Monmouth Park’s heels, opening a sports book at 11 a.m. Kudos to MGM Resorts International for having the class not to rain on Murphy’s parade, which will contain other Garden State dignitaries. The governor thinks that the state’s official projection of $13 million in tax revenues is a low-end number but we’ve been down this road before with Internet gaming and it’s better to be conservative when budgeting gambling levies.

So great was the sense of urgency that

Midwest torpor; Freeman says goodbye

Midwest torpor; Freeman says goodbye

A wave of prosperity among Midwest casinos has hit the wall, at least for the near term. Indiana and Missouri joined Illinois, Ohio and Iowa in reporting flat year/year gaming revenues for May. In Indiana, gamblers were losing 15.5% more but attendance was down 13.5%, for a $191 million gross. The coffee achiever for the month was Belterra, up 21.5% to $10 (good news for incoming owner Boyd Gaming). It was closely followed by the ever-impressive Tropicana Evansville, jumping 21% to $13 million. Elsewhere in the southern tier, Rising Sun was up 5% to $4 million and Hollywood Lawrenceburg was down 3% but still managed $14.5 million. Horseshoe Southern Indiana was flat but dominated the market with $22 million while French Lick Resort suffered an 11.5% tumble, grossing $7.5 million.

Centaur Gaming‘s two racinos posted mixed results. Hoosier Park was down 4% to $15,5 million, while Indiana Downs was

Atlantic City: Calm before the storm; Stormy weather in Louisiana

Atlantic City: Calm before the storm; Stormy weather in Louisiana

Atlantic City was stable last month, defying an unfavorable calendar (one less weekend day) and grossing $191.5 million, while online gambling had its second-best-ever month, pulling in $23 million (+10.5%). Slot handle was down 3.5%, as was revenue, while a tiny increase in table wagering produced 12.5% more winnings for the casinos. Borgata stumbled, down 9% to $53 million, although all Atlantic City casinos would like to trip so badly. The culprit was a 39% plunge in table winnings ($9.5 million), while slot revenue grew 2% to $42 million. It had the second-best share of Internet-gambling revenue — 20% — although well behind Golden Nugget‘s 35% share.

Both Harrah’s Resort and Caesars Atlantic City clocked in at $29 million, 8% and 4% gains respectively. Bally’s didn’t have it so good, down 11% to

How much for a used Dragon?; Indiana good, Missouri ‘meh’

How much for a used Dragon?; Indiana good, Missouri ‘meh’

Believe it or not, there is “a lot of interest in the property at this time” according to Lucky Dragon Casino owner Andrew Fonfa, a contention independently verified by the Las Vegas Review-Journal. That being said, a Lucky Dragon sale is far from imminent, given the vast difference between Fonfa and his creditors as to what the boutique casino is worth. He says $143 million, they say $60 million or thereabouts. Fonfa hopes to sell the Lucky Dragon via a foreclosure court auction, although such a turnover has been postponed at least once. Fonfa’s explanation of the widely varying valuations was a cryptic, “It doesn’t take a genius to figure that out.” Snow Covered Capital is exposed to the extent of $50 million in loans to Lucky Dragon and a $60 million sale price would cover its nakedness nicely.

Contradicting Fonfa’s narrative, Snow says

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