Penn National

The new China syndrome

Junket operators and gaming companies in Macao are donating $22.5 million to help find a coronavirus cure. Good on them. Would that we could say half that about the government of China, which has bungled a localized virus into a global pandemic. As of last weekend, some 40,171 people had been sickened, far more than the 8,098 infected by SARS. Almost 910 deaths (SARS killed 774) have occurred—97 last Sunday alone—indicating that the pace of the disease is quickening. Over 3,060 new cases have been reported, including at least 66 on a cruise ship that was quarantined in Japan.

This is entirely the fault of a doctrinaire cover-up in the Chinese government. Global Gaming Business provides a handy summary: “Medical personnel quickly raised the alarm, but initially local officials refused to act, fearful in no small part of censure from Beijing. Thus, a critical period of several weeks passed that allowed the contagion to spread. The situation was made worse by the fact that, by the time the epidemic was officially acknowledged and the central government began to mobilize to treat and contain it, the weeklong Lunar New Year had arrived. It’s China’s busiest travel season, and it occurred as the contagion rapidly spread throughout Hubei [Province] and beyond.”

Among the victims claimed by the disease was Dr. Li Wenliang, an opthamologist at the center of the outbreak who tried to warn the public of the dangers. He paid for this not only with his life (dying of coronavirus) but with an official crackdown in which he was forced to recent his warnings. The truth has belatedly outed and Dr. Li has become a hero, even a martyr to his countrymen, as Beijing scrambles to belatedly look concerned.

Coronavirus has crippled the Chinese economic recovery on which the gaming industry was counting. Inflation has hit 5.5%, its highest mark in

Boom in the Rust Belt

Boom in the Rust Belt

You’d be forgiven if you did a double take upon seeing the latest casino-revenue numbers out of the Midwest. Business is up—to sometimes-unprecedented degrees. Take Ohio, for instance. It’s always a casino-friendly state … but a 19% upsurge in revenue? In January, no less? Well, I suppose people have to go somewhere when it’s cold outside but the amount of discretionary dollars they have to spend is pretty impressive, especially when you consider that the out-of-season racinos did 20.5% better this year. Not even an extra weekend day (and there will be another in February) comes close to explaining it.

The overall gross was $167.5 million. MGM Northfield Park held onto the top spot with $23 million (no table games, remember), a 17%

DFS dealt major setback; Mills is grist

Daily fantasy sports was dealt a major setback when a New York State court ruled it unlawful. It was deemed that the Lege had exceeded its remit by classifying DFS as a game of skill, not of chance. New York is a leading market for DFS, and operators like DraftKings and FanDuel thought they had reached an accommodation with the Empire State. The state gaming commission is defying the court by continuing to maintain its position that DFS is a skill game. The ruling, nonetheless, makes New York one of six states where DFS is illegal. As Fox Business reports, “Some states, such as the gambling capital of America, Nevada, have no fantasy operations because it is seen as gambling and as a gambling operation, a company such as DraftKings would require a state gambling license.”

Gambling debts were the source of DFS’ Empire State setback. Losses incurred playing fantasy sports were

Tramway to Encore; Pennsylvania pony pennies pinched

Tramway to Encore; Pennsylvania pony pennies pinched

A gondola ride from Everett City Hall to Encore Boston Harbor? It could happen. Everett Mayor Carlo DeMaria has applied for a $200,000 study grant so that the city can look into the feasibility. He’s picking up the ball from Wynn Resorts, which has mulled a gondola line from the casino to the MBTA station across the Mystic River. Wynn had previously considered a footbridge connection but abandoned that idea. Permitting for the bridge continues to be sought but the smart money’s now on the prospect of Wynn switching its loyalty to the tram, at least if it’s required to subsidize something. Reports the Boston Globe, “Everett officials have long looked across the Mystic with envy at Somerville, where a vibrant community of shops, restaurants, apartments and offices sprouted up at Assembly Row, spurred in part by the T station’s opening in 2014. Commuter rail trains roll through Everett, meanwhile, but do not stop there.”

For DeMaria, the gondola would be a cost-effective way to

Penn looking good; From the police blotter

Penn National Gaming reported 4Q19 revenues that aligned with Wall Street projections, with cash flow modestly higher than expected “on a combination of better operations and lower than forecast corporate expenses.” JP Morgan analyst Joseph Greff said that Penn was reducing leverage at a rate quicker than modeled, although the +24% stock-price euphoria that followed the Barstool Sports acquisition might be subsiding. Robust market segments were the South and West, offsetting challenges in the Upper Midwest and in the Northeast (read: Encore Boston Harbor … but still a cash cow, generating $621 million). Rent payments were a tad higher than anticipated and launching Penn’s sports-betting application incurred some one-time charges. On the plus side, sports betting is propelling higher table-game volume and

MGM, Cordish boom in Maryland; Here come the robots

Turns out the Maryland market hasn’t quite been saturated, after all. January saw 6% growth in gambling revenue, led by MGM National Harbor‘s $58.5 million (+4%). Slots at MGM were up 10% but table win down 2%. MGM had 40% market share to Maryland Live‘s 35.5%. The latter grossed $52 million for a 12% gain. Horseshoe Baltimore‘s decline softened, down only 4.5% with a $19 million gross. (But it was the only revenue-negative property in the state.) Everybody else had a big month. Ocean Downs was up 11% to $5 million, Hollywood Perryville hit the jackpot, gaining 12% to $6 million and Golden Entertainment‘s Rocky Gap Resort leapt 10.5% to $4.5 million. A 10% gain in slot play boosted West Virginia revenues 8%, with Charles Town Races ceding 6% at the tables but recouping 11% at the slots for a 7% uptick overall.

* Human bartenders, watch your backs. Maybe you can’t retrain

Penn/Barstool deal a home run; Blatstein lightens Showboat ship

Penn/Barstool deal a home run; Blatstein lightens Showboat ship

Shares of Penn National Gaming jumped 12% on news of its 36% acquisition of Barstool Sports. Penn plans to unroll a Barstool-branded line of sports books, online applications and mobile-wagering services. Barstool, in turn, will promote Penn until 2060 … infinity in casino years. “The stake is a big play for the regional gaming company to expand its exposure in sports betting, which will reduce its marketing costs and the price of customer acquisition. Penn is hoping it lures younger gamblers into its retail and online offerings as well,” reported CNBC, which also disclosed that Barstool’s core audience members are known as “Stoolies,” which sounds rather cloacal to us.

Penn CEO Jay Snowden described his company as “scrappy” and said Barstool was a kindred spirit in that respect. Wall Street certainly loved the marriage. “The $450 million valuation implied by this agreement builds in future growth enabled by Penn. This deal will clearly raise Penn’s profile in sports betting with the returns on investment demonstrated over time,” said Jefferies Gaming analyst David Katz. Barstool itself generated as much as $100 million in revenue last year, “with the majority coming from podcasts, merchandise sales, and gambling deals.” Also making out like a bandit

Penn pulls up a Barstool; Fear and trembling in Macao

As expected, Penn National Gaming bought a significant position in Barstool Sports, investing $135 million cash, $28 million PENN shares, and getting 36% of the two board seats and 36% of the company. The remainder is split between Chernin Group (36%) and Barstool employees (28%). Come 2023, Penn invests another $62 million, gets half of the company and two more board seats (out of seven). JP Morgan analyst Joseph Greff was bullish on the transaction, writing that “If PENN saves ~$15m in annual customer acquisition costs, the deal almost pays for itself … and any upside profits flows straight to equity value.” He added that Barstool’s younger, heavily male demographic would be complimentary to Penn’s largely female “and much older customer demographic, and should help

Eldorado gets one state closer; Banditry in Arizona

Check Louisiana off the list of states giving the thumbs-up to the Eldorado Resorts takeover of Caesars Entertainment. CEO Tom Reeg had to assure regulators that the company would invest $500 million (there goes that highly touted half-billion cost savings) in the Pelican State if approved. That includes redoing all-but-defunct Belle of Baton Rouge “a venue so decrepit the gaming boss wouldn’t even stay there during his recent visit,” reports Casino.org. We’re glad of anything that lights a fire under Reeg to upgrade that casino, which generates negligible revenue.

* A gaggle of dirty tricksters in the Arizona Lege are trying to hold tribal gaming compacts hostage

Springfield: The boss hits town

After a worst-month-ever December at MGM Springfield, company CEO Jim Murren has apparently had enough. He flew into Springfield today to put a bit of stick about, as the Brits would say. His ostensible purpose is to hang out with the Boston Red Sox, not that being seen with a bunch of cheaters is the world’s greatest PR idea. His new business plan is to emphasize events: more comedy acts, more concerts, more sports … more things other than gambling. He’s basically waving a white flag at Foxwoods Resort Casino and Mohegan Sun, tacitly admitting that seasoned gamblers aren’t going to change their playing habits easily (if at all).

“We know that we need to drive a more consistent entertainment calendar in order to gain more consistent growth in gaming revenue,” Murren told the Boston Globe. Noting the speedy revenue growth of

Encore owns Massachusetts; Harrah’s Reno (almost) sold

Encore owns Massachusetts; Harrah’s Reno (almost) sold

Massachusetts gaming-revenue numbers are out and Encore Boston Harbor is the story. It’s got 65% market share and $1.75 million casino win per day. MGM Springfield is far behind, with 19% market share and 600 dimes win per day, with Plainridge Park bringing up the rear with $330K daily win. Plainridge Park’s $10 million haul represented a devastating 27.5% falloff, as it is caught in a pincer between Twin River in Tiverton and Encore. Players were obviously staying away, as handle was down 22% despite an impressive win/slot/day of $274. Also slipping at the slots was MGM, down to $176/win/slot/day, for a gross of $14 million, a dip of 2.5%. MGM had a terrible month at the tables, toppling 30% to $5 million.

Encore, by contrast, grossed $54 million, with only

Big MGM payday; Halting casino extortion; Wynn scammed

Betting the farm on Japan, CEO of MGM Resorts International Jim Murren has realized his goal of selling MGM Grand and Mandalay Bay. The price was a sweet $4.6 billion it will only cost MGM $292 million a year to lease them back and operate them. The buyers are a consortium that includes Blackstone Real Estate Income Trust. MGM expects a speedy close, in 1Q20. We’ll have more details, including Wall Street‘s reaction, as we get them.

* Spectacle Entertainment could save as much as $3 million in the next two years, depending on action by the Indiana Lege. Casinos like Spectacle’s Terre Haute project have to pay

Indiana flat, Missouri down, Jones up

Indiana gaming revenues were microscopically down last month, to $186 million, not bad when one considers that December 2018 had one more weekend day. It’s too soon to have numbers from table games at the racinos, so January’s will be more-closely watched data. That being said,

here’s what Santa left under various casinos’ Christmas trees. Caesars Southern Indiana‘s new casino (and brand) was a hit with players, up 10% to $22 million. Coal and switches went to Rising Star, falling 13.5% to $3.5 million. Except for a flat month at Indiana Grand ($21 million), numbers tended to be somewhat meager in the southern tier. Belterra Resort was down 7% to $9 million, Tropicana Evansville slumped 5% to $12.5 million (Remember when it used to regularly

Churchill Downs, Eldorado power Illinois; Atlantic City upgraded

Santa Claus was generous to Illinois casinos. Despite ever-increasing competition and an unfavorable calendar (one less weekend day) their receipts rose 5.5% last month. The gross was $124 million, with most of that ($94 million) coming from the state’s northern tier. Last year December was flat, despite nine weekend days, which makes this year’s performance even more impressive. Driving the increase among the northerly casinos were Rivers Casino Des Plaines and Grand Victoria in Elgin. At the former, Churchill Downs saw a 17.5% revenue spike to a market-leading $45 million. The latter, Eldorado Resorts-owned riverboat grew 10% to $14 million.

Those made up for a lot of unimpressive performances elsewhere. Empress Joliet slid 7% to $9.5 million, Hollywood Aurora was off 3% to $10 million and Harrah’s Joliet was down 2.5% to $15 million (still better than

Maryland maxed out; Adelson’s $40 million lesson

Casino revenues in the Free State continue to be flat. Maryland gambling houses grossed $149 million last month. MGM National Harbor‘s $62.5 million—a 4.5% gain—led the state. Slots were down 2% at MGM but table win up 12%, a development that will thrill management, since table games are taxed far more conservatively. MGM had 42% of market share to Maryland Live‘s 35%. The latter was up 3.5% to $52 million. Horseshoe Baltimore, which has become an authority on alienating players—as we saw yesterday—dove 16% to $19 million. Maybe Eldorado Resorts CEO Tom Reeg should sell the place to somebody who knows how to run a casino.

Windmilling Hollywood Perryville had one of its down months, off 3.5% to $6 million. Ocean Downs rose 4% to

Trop sold (we think); Angels in the casino

After fielding multiple offers for the Tropicana Las Vegas, one has been accepted by Penn National Gaming and negotiations are underway. All this comes by way of Scott Roeben‘s VitalVegas, which pegs the sale price at $700 million, making a tiny dent in Penn’s $11 billion debt overhang. As a return on investment that would be terrific, Penn having paid $360 million—or roughly $10 million an acre—for the Trop back in 2015. At the time Penn felt it imperative to have a Las Vegas Strip presence. However, the company had difficulty ramping up business (or room rates) and upgrades/expansions were put on hold. Wall Street will like this deal … a lot. Meanwhile, Penn hasn’t uttered even a hint of disenchantment with M Resort so we think that is safe for the foreseeable future.

* Sign of the Apocalypse: A robotic sex toy could win

Fourth Massachusetts casino mulled; Hard Rock making hard sell in Japan

Fourth Massachusetts casino mulled; Hard Rock making hard sell in Japan

While the Boston Globe may call it a “baby step,” the Massachusetts Gaming Commission is doing the right thing by means-testing the market before awarding a full-scale casino license in the southeastern part of the Bay State, which looks pretty saturated at the moment. The key questions are whether the market can support such a casino and would the state benefit from it? Rush Street Gaming will be all gung-ho for the move, as it’s still pushing a $677 million project in Brockton. Still, Rush Street attorneys confessed to impatience, writing, “We ask that whatever else you do … you recognize that the ongoing delay comes at a tremendous human and financial cost. We ask that you move the process forward quickly.” Oh, the humanity. Still, as the Globe puts it, “regulators are now facing an increasingly

Louisiana stagnant, Michigan a sports-betting go

An extra weekend day didn’t do bupkis for Louisiana, where November gaming revenues ($205 million) were flat with last year’s. The good news is that Baton Rouge, so troubled a market, was incrementally higher than in 2018. Eldorado ResortsBelle of Baton Rouge continues to suck wind, down 25% to $2 million but L’Auberge Baton Rouge gained 6% to $12.5 million and Casino Rouge was up 3% to $4 million. (In other news, Casino Rouge owner Gaming & Leisure Properties is reportedly being pressured to merge with Vici Properties.) In Lake Charles, only Delta Downs was revenue-positive, up 5.5% to $15 million. L’Auberge du Lac slipped 5% to just under $26 million, while Golden Nugget was down 1.5% to $26 million. Isle Grand Palais ceded 11% to $7 million.

In New Orleans, gaining 2.5% Harrah’s New Orleans led the market with

Greed is good (Not!); Miller looks back on 2019

Most gaming CEOs are wearing hair shirts and taking vows of poverty compared to bet365 CEO Denise Coates, the new poster girl of greed. She awarded herself $422 million in compensation (no, that’s not a typo). In 2015-6 Coates scraped by one a mere $154 million, gave herself a raise to $284 million the next year—also a record amount—and collected $347 million in 2017-8. That’s quite a pay packet for somebody who bought her company off eBay for $25K, obviously an astute move. Seeing that online gambling was the wave of the future, Coates sold off her family’s OTBs for $50 million. Today bet365 (which streams soccer matches, among other things) turns a $1 billion profit, of which there won’t be much left after Coates wallows at the trough. Compared to Coates, the second-highest-paid CEO, Discovery‘s David Zaslov, must make ends meet on

Tribal gambling rampant in Oklahoma?; Penn National gets swindled

Tribal gambling rampant in Oklahoma?; Penn National gets swindled

Could “casinos and smoke shops soon begin popping up on every corner of downtown Tulsa?” So wondered Indian Country Today about a Supreme Court case that could dramatically alter the complexion of tribal gaming in Oklahoma. (Serves Kevin Stitt right.) The case hinges on whether or not the Muscogee Nation was disestablished in 1887. The original reservation, created in 1866, covered portions of eight counties. According to Casino.org, “If the court decides it was never disestablished, then the area and its citizens would be regulated, not by the state, but by the Creek Nation. It would also mean that crimes involving a tribal member as victim or perpetrator could only be tried by tribal or the federal governments.”

Where does gaming enter into this? A reaffirmation of the 1866 treaty means, by extension, that the Creek and other tribes could promulgate Class II all across their lands, without