San Manuel Band of Mission Indians

Hot July in Vegas; GLPI’s Illinois big gulp; Mega-Jottings

How impressive was the Las Vegas Strip‘s July performance? Pretty damned impressive, considering that it hit a best-ever record on only 1% higher visitation than last year and 4% less than in the halcyon year of 2019. Hotel occupany ran at 85% citywide, in a market whose inventory had increased 2% (151,718 rooms) since four years ago. The record was set without notable help from conventioneers, who were 17% fewer in number than last year and 46% fewer than in 2019. There were only 17 conventions in July against 23 in 2022. Room rates edged up 2%, whilst remaining well below 2019 levels. Not only were weekday occupancies strong (82%), weekend ones were 92.5%. Although road traffic at the Nevada/California border was off 5%, airline passenger loads rose 2%. All in all, a formula for success, although we’re keeping an eye on those drive-in numbers.

Indiana, Missouri down; Mega-Jottings

Indiana has joined the growing litany of states with disappointing May casino receipts. The statewide gross of $196.5 million represented a 7% drop-off from last year at this time. Only two casinos defied the trend. French Lick Resort leapt 14.5% to $7.5 million and tribal Caesars Southern Indiana rose 7% to $22 million. Not even Hard Rock Northern Indiana was immune to the blahs. It slipped 7% to a still-impressive $34 million. Horseshoe Hammond couldn’t take advantage, plummeting 15% to $24.5 million, while nearby Ameristar East Chicago plunged 15% to $15 million. Blue Chip got slammed -16% to $10 million. Down south, Bally’s Evansville (above) slid -7% to $13.5 million.

Atlantic City doldrums; Black Tuesday; Culinary wins one

Our man in Atlantic City has posted a flurry of dispatches, mainly concerning his new stomping ground, Harrah’s Resort. What you see above is the indoor pool, which doubles as a nightclub. When last visited, there was a (short) line to buy nightclub tickets. Next door, where the buffet formerly reposed, is Bobby’s Burger Bar, another in the McFranchising of Bobby Flay line. It’s described to us as “very plain looking, probably ‘naming rights’ only.” Adds our correspondent, “I should have said it is alleged to be a Bobby Flay restaurant. Since I’ve seen fancier food courts, it doesn’t have the look of a Bobby Flay-branded place.” Below the fold is, believe it or not, the Harrah’s casino floor. We say ‘believe it or not’ because Harrah’s is the best-performing of the Caesars Entertainment threesome in Atlantic City and one would expect it to be doing better. As our scribe writes, “Harrah’s is quite large and is well maintained. It’s hard to understand why they don’t have more customers.”

Big month for Strip; Miller’s rapid response; Titus time

Gambling grosses were ultra-boffo on the Las Vegas Strip last month, up 19% over the year previous and leaving 2019 in the dust, +25%. Locals casinos didn’t fare too badly, either if not as spectacularly as their Strip brethren: up 4.5%. Strip casinos went “Kaboom!” with $712.5 million in the bank. Strip slots were tight, as 11% more coin-in yielded 16% greater casino win, for $390.5 million. Table game players also played poorly, luck being with the house to the tune of $223 million, an 11% improvement on flat wagering. Baccarat was back with a vengeance, as 20% more was played and the house took whales to the cleaners, to the tune of a 59.5% improvement in win, despite looser-than-usual hold.

Dog & pony show; Snow job in Massachusetts melts

Yesterday’s Hard Rock International road show before the ostensibly investigative Nevada Gaming Control Board played out pretty much as expected. Hard Rock CEO Jim Allen effectively ran out the clock by dwelling on how Hard Rock would make over The Mirage when its purchase closes, which is now a fait accompli. Not one question was asked about Hard Rock’s 10-day defiance of Judge Dabney Friedrich‘s order to shut down its sports betting servers in Florida—and what this means about Hard Rock’s attitude toward regulations going forward. Nor did anyone raise the messy topic of a Seminole Tribe lottery that was mounted the incentivize Covid-19 vaccinations. (The Seminoles own Hard Rock, ICYMI.) The lottery was supposedly won by Chairman Marcellus Osceola‘s bastard son, sparking a petition drive to recall Osceola, who negotiated the compact with Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis (R) that granted Hard Rock sports betting in the Sunshine State. (Say what you like about DeSantis, he treated the Seminoles as equal partners, a hint other state governors should take.)

Risky mandate in Macao; Penn’s problems; Debacle at Mirage

That sowing sound you hear is casino executives from Las Vegas to Hong Kong heaving a gargantuan sigh of relief that all the incumbent gaming concessions in Macao were renewed last weekend, leaving Genting Group still on the outside looking in. Some Wall Street analysts made fools of themselves by rushing out on a limb and predicting Genting would make the cut. Considering that it had no presence on the ground in Macao, Genting’s bid was pretty rash and we’re not at all surprised that Chinese authorities ultimately backhanded it. But it was useful for putting a scare into the senior concessionaires and getting them to pony up billions upon billions of dollars for non-gambling attractions that are probably not going to be very remunerative, barring a drastic transformation in the makeup of the Macao-bound traveler. (Maybe that Hello Kitty theme park mooted by SJM Holdings will be making a comeback.) As The Associated Press put it, “the requirement to spend on theme parks, music and sports adds to financial pressure at a time when revenue has plunged under anti-virus restrictions.”

Upsurge in Louisiana; Stitt stiffed; Fubo Sportsbook folds

In a major reversal of fortune, Louisiana casino revenue vaulted 18.5% over September 2021. Foot traffic rose 41.5%, which more than made up for thriftier gamblers: On average they lost 16% less per player. It helped the year/year comparison that Louisiana in autumnal 2o21 was still reeling from Hurricane Ida. However, even compared to the previous peak (2019) the numbers were 3% higher. Even sports betting is showing signs of life, with $32 million in revenue derived from handle of $207.5 million.

Not all markets benefited. Baton Rouge was in the doldrums with even L’Auberge Baton Rouge (pictured) flat at $13 million. Belle of Baton Rouge tumbled 21% to $1 million and Hollywood Baton Rouge slipped 10% to $4 million. Lake Charles saw a bonanza though, with Golden Nugget rocketing 41% to $32 million, past L’Auberge du Lac‘s $30 million (+14%), while Delta Downs gained 12.5% to achieve $13.5 million. Boyd Gaming‘s two rural properties fared poorly, however, with Amelia Belle sinking 10% to $3 million and Evangeline Downs down 12.5% to $6 million.

Station goes off its meds; Hochul names casino pickers

Richard Schuetz writes today that “the reality of casino company board rooms is that they are overwhelmed with way too much testosterone.” That certainly seems to be the case at Station Casinos, which has announced seven projects to be executed over the next seven years. Overreach much? A company that took 39 years to reach its present size intends to double it in less than eight. Company President Scott Kreeger told the Las Vegas Review-Journal, “There’s no one more bullish on Las Vegas than Station Casinos.” That much is obvious. And the economic auguries are positive, with credit card delinquencies in the Las Vegas Valley running very low, among other favorable economic indicators. The area population is 24% larger than it was before the Great Recession and gross gaming revenue is 15% higher than before the pandemic (but 8% lower than in 2007).

Meet Lori Leadfoot; Flamingo shopped

A comedy of errors is playing out in Chicago. After Mayor Lori Lightfoot (D) was reported by the Chicago Sun-Times to have gift-wrapped the winning bid for Bally’s Corp., Her Honor immediately backpedaled, saying, “We have a very specific process, and the process is there is an evaluation committee that’s been hard at work through this process. They will evaluate all the information that has been provided by the three finalists and they will give their recommendation to me.” Evidently Lightfoot didn’t trust her own process or was lying through her teeth, as reports leaked out later that day that Bally’s Chairman Soo Kim was flying to the Second City to be awarded the gaming concession.

The fait accompli went out over the wires yesterday morning, in an official press release in which Lightfoot said, “Following significant analyses and community input on all aspects of our three finalists for Chicago’s casino license, the selection committee and I have chosen Bally’s to move forward in the development of the City’s first integrated casino resort. We are confident that Bally’s Tribune Publishing Center development will shore up the City’s pension funds, create thousands of good-paying jobs, and lead to a bright financial future for our city.” Chimed in Kim, “We would like to thank Mayor Lightfoot and her office for conducting a tough, but fair, RFP process, and selecting Bally’s Chicago as the final bidder for the City’s casino,” Of course it’s “tough but fair” when you’re the winner. Hard Rock International and Rush Street Gaming‘s Neil Bluhm might disagree.

Windy City shakedown; Strip explodes, Palms reborn

$75 million or else. That’s extortionate Chicago Mayor Lori Lightfoot‘s latest demand of casino applicants. If you win the bid, fork over the cash. Her Dishonor might settle for ‘only’ $40 million on the barrelhead, followed up by a $2 million ransom the subsequent year. So far only Bally’s Corp. has offered upfront money—$25 million—while its rivals want Lightfoot to settle for the city’s cut on the back end. With the Chicago Tribune (Bally’s), waterfront (Rush Street Gaming), and Soldier Field area (Hard Rock International) sites all being blown raspberries by aldermen and public alike, some are even advocating putting McCormick Place back into play.

They won’t have much time. Chicago Casino Committee Chairman Tom Tunney wants a final selection by May, with the goal of having the Illinois Gaming Board sign off on the choice by autumn. In the meantime, Lightfoot has been caught playing footsie with Bally’s, charging it only one application fee for two sites. (Rush Street had to pay twice over.) Lightfoot’s office cited technicalities to justify the favorable treatment while Bally’s Chairman Soo Kim, citing his deep pockets, said, “We paid the fees that were asked. Don’t you think we would have sent another $300,000 if they asked us to?” Certainly—but Kim wasn’t asked, another indication of which way Lightfoot is leaning.

Back to the beach; Churchill Downs comes under scrutiny

Golden Nugget Atlantic City was packing them in with a ‘george’ promotion. Let our East Coast correspondent tell the tale: “It was extremely busy Sunday afternoon in their atrium for the BMW X-5 giveaway. They called six names and three were MIA, so they called three more, and two of those also not there. Each person got a sealed envelope and when they got six there, one lucky person got the car, the others free slot/table play.” The next Hard Rock Atlantic City promo? Logo umbrellas that have flashlights embedded in the handles. Not as george as a BMW but darned useful.

Atlantic City stutters; Shocker in New Orleans; Palms changes hands today

Casinos in Atlantic City grossed $207 million last month, an 8% declivity from 2019, as players tightened their purse strings. Overall, slot revenues were down 1% on a commensurately lower amount of coin-in. The house played unluckily at the tables, falling 22% on 16% less wagering. For Borgata ($48 million) the numbers were a catastrophic 47% plunge at the tables on 30% less betting and looser hold, compounded by 6% less slot win on 6% less coin-in for a total 18% decline. The Caesars Entertainment threesome tumbled 26%, driven by terrible table win (-47% on 33% less betting) and poor slot performance (-17% on 13% less coin-in). Individually, Caesars Atlantic City plummeted 42.5% to $16 million, Harrah’s Resort slipped 12% to $22.5 million and Tropicana Atlantic City slid 21% to $19 million.

Only two casinos were revenue-positive. Hard Rock Atlantic City skyrocketed 59% to $37 million and Ocean Resort soared 46% to $28.5 million. New-look Bally’s Atlantic City was still down 17% to $11 million, Resorts Atlantic City declined 12.5% to $12 million and Golden Nugget grossed $12 million, a 30% falloff.

MGM resurgent in Maryland; More Mega-Jottings

November was another terrific month for Maryland casinos, as revenues picked up a bit from October, accumulating 14% more than in November 2019.. (If inflation is so bad, where do Marylanders find all this money with which to gamble, one wonders? But anyway … ) After a month out of the top spot, MGM National Harbor was back at #1, grossing $68 million, a 26% leap by the lion. Maryland Live was not quite so buoyant, up 10% to $58 million. Horseshoe Baltimore tumbled 15% to $16 million, remaining the problem child of Caesars Entertainment. Business was slightly slower at Rocky Gap Resort, up 11.5% to $5 million, while Ocean Downs cantered +22.5% to $6.5 million and Hollywood Perryville gained 22% to $7 million. Despite flat slot revenues, West Virginia casinos garnered 3% more last month, on the strength of robust (+18%) table win. Hollywood Charles Town Races was particularly fortunate, climbing 4% at the slots and 32% at the tables.

MGM to sell Mirage; Caesars disappoints Wall Street

At a time when the north Las Vegas Strip is finally heating up, MGM Resorts International has chosen this moment to put The Mirage on the market. Although it’s 32 years old (224 in dog years), The Mirage should fetch an attractive price—albeit short of the 14X cash flow that Jim Murren used to shop it around at, back in the Great Recession. Best case scenario, MGM disposes of a geographically isolated asset at a handsome markup (look what happened with The Cosmopolitan of Las Vegas). It’s a seller’s market and MGM chose its moment wisely. The only drawback for a potential buyer is that only the operational half of The Mirage is for sale, not the underlying real estate. You’d have to settle for being a Vici Properties tenant.

On the upside, you get a lot of real estate to play with: 77 acres, much of it underdeveloped, according to CEO Bill Hornbuckle. He was in altruistic mood, saying “I’m excited for somebody to come in and make it their marquee property.” As for his own company, “we have enough of Las Vegas … We think there is an opportune time, and we think this might be it to sell an asset in Las Vegas. So it, for us, became the obvious one.” No potential buyer or buyers were tipped, although Hornbuckle’s remarks implied he’s looking for someone without a Strip presence. We’re loath to prognosticate. It would be sentimentally pleasing to see Boyd Gaming back on the Strip but …

Biden wades into Florida swamp; New eras at Palms, Ocean

Intentionally or not, President Joe Biden (D) has done Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis (R) a solid. He wants the federal judiciary to dismiss litigation that would invalidate DeSantis’ controversial compact with the Seminole Tribe. As amusing as the spectacle of Biden and DeSantis in bed together is, the motive may have more to do with launching a preemptive strike in defense of what is a very shaky Department of the Interior case for tribal online sports betting. The Biden administration’s rather daffy interpretation of IGRA (or rather, supine acceptance of the Florida Legislature’s daffy translation) would extend “tribal lands” infinitely into cyberspace, at least within state boundaries. Just imagine the effect if the same logic is applied to tribal OSB in California in a year’s time.

Dream comes true; Recovery stays strong; DraftKings’ clock cleaned

If they can scrape together $500 million (which shouldn’t be a problem in this investment climate), developers David Daneshforooz and Bill Shopoff have the Clark County Commission‘s blessing to move forward with the Dream casino-hotel. Despite a raft of security concerns that the Las Vegas Review-Journal summarized as “potential illegal drone flying, laser lights, shooting attacks and even bombs hidden in garbage trucks,” commissioners approved it 6-1. The project will have 527 hotel rooms but at present seems to lack a target audience, with Shopoff rather wishfully stating Dream “will find our following” among Las Vegas tourists put off by multi-thousand-room resorts. Dream will be good news for the Pinball Hall of Fame, which will be its next-door neighbor and might be close enough to Allegiant Stadium to give Raider Nation a place to crash.

Shopoff and Daneshforooz will spend an extra $10 million to allay the worries of the TSA and a coalition of major airlines, none of whom is clearly on board with the new, improved Dream. The proposed security wall with McCarran International Airport will be reinforced and the hotel tower itself will be moved further away from the airport and closer to Las Vegas Boulevard. A security checkpoint and other deterrents will be added. There won’t be any guest-room balconies anymore, the pool will be ringed with a high fence and the parking garage will be fully enclosed. Oh, and if you break a window, security will automatically be alerted. It may be Fort Dream, but it’s also several reassuring steps in the right direction.