Japan: Another failure; Reading the Trump tea leaves

According to Morgan Stanley analysts, the chances of pro-casino legislation passing in Japan this year are “quite low.” Yes, Prime Minister Shinzo Abe has booted the ball yet Shinzo Abeagain. His big push [sic] to bring casinos to the Land of the Rising Sun didn’t start until the Diet had but one month left in which to pass legislation — hardly propitious timing for so controversial an issue. Abe’s only hope, having frittered away a majority in both Houses of Parliament, is for gridlock to move the adjournment date from Nov. 30 to mid-December. Morgan Stanley blames Abe’s weak hand on the expenditure of political capital on the Trans-Pacific Partnership and uncertainly following the presidential election over here. Heck, Abe doesn’t even have a consensus within his own party: Morgan Stanley estimates that 80% of the ruling Liberal Democrats are behind him on the casino issue and he can’t look to help from frequent coalition partner, the Komeito Party: It’s against gambling.

We’ve lost track of the number of times casino legalization was just around a Japanese corner. Major gaming companies thought this was finally it. Las Vegas Sands committed to Continue reading

Posted in Architecture, California, Delaware, Donald Trump, Florida, Genting, Internet gambling, James Packer, Japan, Law enforcement, Macau, MGM Mirage, Nevada, Politics, Sheldon Adelson, Singapore, South Korea, Station Casinos, Tourism, Tribal | Comments Off on Japan: Another failure; Reading the Trump tea leaves

Ivey loses a round; Freeman loses it

Emboldened by a federal court ruling that Phil Ivey and an associate violated the New Jersey Casino Control Act by using “edge sorting” to alter the odds of baccarat in their favor, Borgata is upping its demands against the pair, requesting $15.5 million in damages. That not only covers the $9.6 million that Ivey and co-defendant Cheng Yin Sun won from the casino but “expectation damages” of $5.4 million, based on the ‘expectation’ that without edge sorting, Ivey would have lost $5.4 million, not won almost twice that amount. Oh, and Borgata wants to be refunded for interest and for $249,000 in comps. Casino.org took a jaundiced view of the latter claim, opining that “private jets were involved or they were drinking Chateau Margaux by the bath-load.”

* Damn those pesky anti-money-laundering rules! That seems to be the coded message coming from American Gaming Association President Geoff Freeman when Continue reading

Posted in Atlantic City, Boyd Gaming, Donald Trump, Economy, Geoff Freeman, Law enforcement, MGM Mirage, Sheldon Adelson, The Strip, Tourism | Comments Off on Ivey loses a round; Freeman loses it

Wayne Newton’s peacock peril

If you live near Casa de Shenandoah, look out: The neighborhood is being terrorized by roaming peacocks who make their base of operations at the mansion/museum of Mr. Las. Wayne+NewtonVegas himself, Wayne Newton. The latter’s people are trying to have it both ways, saying that the peafowl were present when Newton originally bought the estate but also remarking, “These are feral peacocks. This is a neighborhood problem, not a Newton problem, in fairness.” (Newton lawyer Jay Brown also offered this non-denial denial: “We never bought a peacock. We never brought in a peacock.”) But how is the neighborhood to solve the problem when the birds are making the Newton ranch their base of operations?

The situation at the Newton estate has become such a flashpoint that it occupied 30 minutes of a Clark County Commission meeting, but Continue reading

Posted in Animals, Dining, Massachusetts, Penn National, The Strip, Wayne F. Newton | 1 Comment

Trump, Adelson make a deal; Brazil moves toward casinos

Donald Trump may have sold his soul to the Las Vegas Review-Journal and cheaply at that. Pro-Trump Global Gaming Business is reporting that the mogul promised not to sheldon-adelson-25oppose Sheldon Adelson‘s anti-Internet gaming legislation if only the R-J would endorse him. It was, if true, a poor bargain. The R-J is a piddling newspaper in the grand scheme of things and its political endorsements (anyone remember anti-casino scold Sharron Angle? Or its threefold endorsement of Marco Rubio?) are widely ignored: The Silver State went “blue” at the presidential, senatorial and congressional levels this year, so Trump could have kept his Faustian pact in his back pocket. Perhaps he made his promise knowing that Adelson’s RAWA has bombed in Congress this year and was likely to do so again without any intervention from him. The congressional makeup has not changed enough to affect the political calculus.

* Instead of trying to catch the wind in a ‘Net, Adelson might be better advised to Continue reading

Posted in Dining, Donald Trump, Election, Entertainment, International, Internet gambling, Macau, Mohegan Sun, Pennsylvania, Politics, Stanley Ho, Taxes, The Strip, Tourism | Comments Off on Trump, Adelson make a deal; Brazil moves toward casinos

Florida: Scott loses, big time; Coup d’etat in Atlantic City

Fourteen more years. That’s how long the Seminole Tribe can have exclusive rights to blackjack in Florida, thanks to a ruling by U.S. District Judge Robert Hinkle. It’s a huge Seminole logowin for the Seminoles and not entirely unforeseen, given how poorly the State of Florida’s lawyers performed before Judge Hinkle. While we wouldn’t be surprised to see Gov. Rick Scott (R) appeal the decision, his negotiating position vis-a-vis the Seminoles is considerably weakened, giving him an incentive to wrap up a new, clean compact as soon as possible. Lawmakers have balked at Scott sending them a compact that was garlanded with concessions to the state’s parimutuels that would have allowed them to cut back on live racing while still offering poker and slots. Now that a compact-free Seminole Tribe can continue gaming with impunity, we think Scott will want to cut a deal and get a slice of that blackjack revenue sooner rather than later.

* Melco Crown Entertainment chief Lawrence Ho added the title of COO to his portfolio, forcing out Ted Chan. The latter was said to have resigned for “personal reasons,” such as being Continue reading

Posted in Atlantic City, Donald Trump, Economy, Election, Florida, Geoff Freeman, Georgia, Glenn Straub, Hard Rock International, Japan, Lawrence Ho, Macau, Marketing, Maryland, Melco Crown Entertainment, MGM Mirage, Pennsylvania, Racinos, Rhode Island, Seminole Tribe, Sheldon Adelson, Taxes, Tribal, Wall Street | Comments Off on Florida: Scott loses, big time; Coup d’etat in Atlantic City

Mixed bag in Indiana; Don’t mess with Massachusetts

One less weekend day in October helped depress casino revenues in Indiana, down 3%. However, individual property results were all over the place, making generalizations perilous. For instance, Majestic Star II in Gary was down 9%, to $5 million, but its sister Horseshoe-Southern-Indiana-288x172vessel was up 3%, to $7 million. Horseshoe Hammond declined 6% but still walloped the market with $34 million. Ameristar East Chicago pulled in almost $18 million, a 4.5% slippage. Although it draws primarily on a different market (Michigan), Boyd Gaming‘s Blue Chip was 5% down, making $13 million. Mid-state, French Lick Resort did well, up 4% to over $7.5 million, and so did the racinos: Hoosier Park banked $15 million (+3%) and Indiana Downs did better still — $19 million, for a 5% gain.

The most dramatic revenue fluctuation in the Hoosier State was Hollywood Lawrenceburg‘s 10.5% fall, down to $13 million. Pinnacle Entertainment‘s Belterra was Continue reading

Posted in Ameristar, Boyd Gaming, Election, Full House Resorts, Harrah's, Indiana, Law enforcement, Lawrence Ho, Macau, Majestic Star, Marketing, Massachusetts, Melco Crown Entertainment, Penn National, Pinnacle Entertainment, Racinos, Steve Wynn, Tropicana Entertainment | Comments Off on Mixed bag in Indiana; Don’t mess with Massachusetts

Riviera: Now they tell us!; Paddy Power’s bad electoral bet

Turns out there was more contaminated soil at the Riviera site than originally estimated … 23 times more. According to the Las Vegas Review-Journal, what was originally estimated riviera-pic2to be 430 tons of toxic dirt turned out to be 9,980. If you’re worried about asbestos issues (a major consideration in demolishing the Riv), don’t be. The tainted soil was in the vicinity of a several diesel-oil-storage tanks. This unpleasant discovery will up the cost of tearing down the Riviera by $1.6 million, to $44.6 million. The Las Vegas Convention & Visitors Authority has approved the additional expenditure but may still be on the hook for the extra funds: The final determination will be made by the Nevada State Petroleum Cleanup Fund. The latter has a budget that tops out around $9 million, so crossing the palm of the LVCVA with an extra $1.6 million takes a big hunk out of the fund’s remedial cash.

* In a little-covered ballot question, voters in Florida‘s St. Lucie County “strongly” approved adding slot machines to jai alai frontons and parimutuels. Don’t Continue reading

Posted in Arizona, Donald Trump, Election, Florida, Internet gambling, LVCVA, Movies, Racinos, Riviera, Seminole Tribe, The Strip, Tribal | Comments Off on Riviera: Now they tell us!; Paddy Power’s bad electoral bet

Straub makes some odd choices; Tiverton still up for grabs

Glenn Straub won one round, lost another in his quest to revive Revel as Ten. On Oct. 18, he received a certificate of occupancy, paving the way for him to reopen the property. (Last revel_0601spring’s effort was a Chinese fire drill.) Since Straub plans to lease the casino proper to an outside operator, he tried to have it both ways, collecting a slice of gaming revenues as landlord while not having a gaming license. The New Jersey Division of Gaming Enforcement wasn’t buying that argument and says Straub needs to get a license. We can think of no reason why he couldn’t. Compared to some of the people who have been licensed in the Garden State, Straub is a saint. However, his choice of managerial talent has us a bit worried. Senior Vice President of Casino Operations Frank Leone is a refugee from failed Trump Taj Mahal, as is Senior Vice President of Hotel Operations Cindi LePine. More propitious is the selection of Vincent Turrano, late of Hard Rock Tampa Hotel & Casino, to head up the F&B department. Dip into the Hard Rock brain trust and you’re going to find a lot of good minds.

Straub’s exact timeline for reopening Ten remains a bit vague — he doesn’t have a casino operator, after all. And his disagreement with former Revel nightclub owners IDEA Boardwalk is Continue reading

Posted in Affinity Gaming, Ameristar, Atlantic City, Election, Glenn Straub, GLPI, Hard Rock International, Isle of Capri, Kansas, Massachusetts, Missouri, Penn National, Pinnacle Entertainment, Regulation, Revel, Rhode Island, Tropicana Entertainment, Trump Entertainment Resorts | Comments Off on Straub makes some odd choices; Tiverton still up for grabs

The day after

This morning’s biggest winners are not politicians or pundits (certainly not the pollsters) but the punters who laid their money on a Donald Trump victory when sites like Betfair trump 2had him as a one-in-five underdog or worse. Their wallets are fatter today, while bookies are softly cursing the polling industry for its “Dewey Defeats Truman” misfire. And, as a side bet, who would have expected the popular vote and the Electoral College to go separate ways for the second time in 16 years? (That, at least, was the situation as of 10:50 p.m., when major newspapers seem to have stopped tracking the raw vote count.) As for What It Means, that is above my pay grade. I will leave it to a far wiser head, that of the star of Mark Twain Answers All Your Questions, which played Las Vegas last summer. Asked “What is Brexit?”, “Twain” replied, “Wait four months. You’ll understand.” (In fact, the Trump forces used the same social media tools the pro-Brexit campaign did.)

* Sheldon Adelson absorbed a number of swift kicks in the posterior, having spent several million dollars per state to Continue reading

Posted in Atlantic City, Donald Trump, Election, Florida, Harry Reid, Horseracing, Maine, Massachusetts, Nevada, Politics, Racinos, Regulation, Sheldon Adelson, Steve Wynn | 1 Comment

Jacked around in Ohio; Wrong about Trump

At this point, we don’t know jack about Dan Gilbert‘s new “Jack” casino brand. In September, it appeared to be gaining traction with players. Then the bottom fell out. Jack horseshoeCleveland‘s $15 million take was a 14% fall while Jack Cincinnati stumbled 11%, grossing $14 million. The only Gilbert property where the rebranding has taken hold is ThistleDown Racino, up 4% to $10 million. Of course, unless informed otherwise one should always assume that the top dog in Ohio is Hard Rock Rocksino, grossing almost $19 million, a 7% gain for Hard Rock International. Statewide, gaming revenues were placid, flat with last year, in part due to a 9% decline in table wagering.

Hollywood Toledo ($15 million) was off 1.5% but Hollywood Columbus ($18 million) was up 2%. Paradoxically, slot/win/day was better in Toledo ($199) than in Columbus ($179). Manager Penn National Gaming‘s star performer continues to be Hollywood Austintown ($282/slot/day), while Hollywood Dayton was no slouch at $255/slot/day. The two racinos grossed $9 million and $8 million respectively. Miami Valley Gaming had an outstanding month, up 10% for $11.5 million and Eldorado ResortsScioto Downs rose 4% to $12 million. Not even a 4% gain was enough to lift Pinnacle Entertainment‘s Belterra Park out of last place, grossing $6 million.

* Today is Election Day (so get out and vote, pronto) and Global Market Advisors tried to predict the outcome of a Donald Trump victory, and we’d say GMA couldn’t hit the side of Trump in LVa barn with a shotgun. It heavily implied that Trump would get behind Sheldon Adelson‘s crusade to ban Internet gaming. Somebody’s not been paying attention. Private Citizen Trump has tried to get into the ‘Net-betting business and says it’s a multi-billion-dollar industry on which the U.S. is losing out — and he’s right. As for the other major area in which federal policy and gambling intersect, tribal gaming, the impact of a Trump presidency is hard to forecast. Trump was against it (vehemently) in New York State but jumped with both feet into the California market, one of his more successful casino endeavors. So, whether he’d continue the Obama administration’s tribal honeymoon or revert to the more restrictive policies of George W. Bush is anyone’s guess.

* Despite several positive economic indicators, JP Morgan analyst Joseph Greff rated Station Casinos‘ near term prospects no better than “OK.” This is in part due to some well-merited renovations at Palace Station that are pegged at $115 million. New Station family member, the Palms is projected to yield a $37 million return on investment next year, just under 12%. If Station can bolster locals play at the Palms, it will have made a very strategic acquisition indeed. As for its newly approved Reno mini-casino, Station has no timeline for the project, despite the very low cost it will entail.

Posted in Dan Gilbert, Donald Trump, Eldorado Resorts, Election, GLPI, Hard Rock International, Internet gambling, Marketing, Ohio, Palms, Penn National, Pinnacle Entertainment, Racinos, Reno, Sheldon Adelson, Station Casinos, Tribal, Wall Street | Comments Off on Jacked around in Ohio; Wrong about Trump

Election Special; Station Reno project approved

Preoccupied with stumping for legalized sports betting, the American Gaming Association fell down on the job and failed to deliver a promised (yes, they literally Capitolpromised us) election roundup. By this shortcoming, the AGA flunked one of its mandates, which is to keep voters appraised of gaming-related ballot issues in their area. Fortunately, Global Gaming Business stepped into the gap. Gaming-expansion iniatives have been tossed by the courts in Arkansas and Nebraska, but several remain on the ballot in the Northeast. By this point, we are all well familiar with the proposal to expand New Jersey casino gambling outside of Atlantic City. The question at this point is not whether or not it will lose but by how much. A recent poll shows it failing by a three-to-one margin, a potential loss so crushing it would deter a 2018 sequel.

Aside from damaging the Atlantic City economy, it is just a stopgap. By the time developers like Jeff Gural and Paul Fireman get multi-billion-dollar resorts built, the five boroughs of Continue reading

Posted in Arkansas, Atlantic City, Election, Entertainment, Harrah's, Internet gambling, Massachusetts, Nebraska, New York, Politics, Regulation, Reno, Scientific Games, Station Casinos, Steve Wynn, Technology, Wall Street | Comments Off on Election Special; Station Reno project approved

LV Monorail lives; MGM shatters expectations

Whether or not you consider the Las Vegas Monorail a while elephant, its trunk is going to grow a bit longer. Clark County is diligently pursuing the permits that would enable it to Newmonorailextend the Monorail to Mandalay Bay, where it would be within walking distance of the planned NFL stadium. (And even if the [your city here] Raiders don’t move to Las Vegas, the county is committed to building at least a $500 million stadium, mainly for the benefit of UNLV.) Among the changes to the existing Monorail would be a stop near Sands Expo Center, meaning that Sheldon Adelson has belatedly seen the benefit to his convention business … And wants to be tied as closely to his stadium as infrastructure will permit.

The plan currently on the drawing boards calls for the extension to leave MGM Grand, go south on Koval Lane, past several small hangars on the northwest corner of McCarran International Airport, swing west onto Continue reading

Posted in Atlantic City, Boyd Gaming, Detroit, GLPI, Harrah's, Illinois, Macau, MGM Mirage, Mississippi, Neil Bluhm, Penn National, Sheldon Adelson, Slot routes, The Strip, Transportation, Wall Street | 1 Comment

Quote of the Day

“It’s just like Christmas Eve, except that Santa will grope the reindeer and delete your e-mails.” — Stephen Colbert on the night before the election.

Posted in Election, TV | Comments Off on Quote of the Day

Paris goes dark; A Bennett returns

In the first major Strip power outage in 12 years — the last was at Bellagio in 2004 — players at Paris-Las Vegas saw the entire casino resort go dark before their very eyes. paris-las-vegasNot even the auxiliary power kicked into gear. It seems that Paris was the victim of some ineptitude by its maintenance staff. Workers drilling deep within the resort, in its boiler room, merrily sliced right through the main power cable, cutting off both regular and backup power to Paris, and forcing the evacuation of the property. Normal operating conditions were restored by 10:30 in the evening but guests weren’t allowed back onto the premises until one in the morning today. (The extra delay was prompted by the need to check the readiness of fire-safety systems.) Only 11 people, mercifully, were trapped in elevators — and rescued — but a leg amputee said he and elderly customers had to struggle down dark stairwells without any customer assistance.

The incident appears to have caught Caesars Entertainment flat-footed. Executive Vice President Rich Broome admitted that an emergency of this nature was Continue reading

Posted in Columbia Sussex, Harrah's, Hooters, International, Lake Tahoe, Paragon Gaming, Penn National, Pennsylvania, Regulation, Taxes, The Strip, Tourism, Westgate LV | Comments Off on Paris goes dark; A Bennett returns

Atlantic City rescue rejected; Klondike lives!

A New Jersey takeover of Atlantic City seems all but inevitable. Although Mayor Don Guardian (R) is vowing to “fight this until we cannot fight any longer,” the state has Guardiantentatively rejected his bailout plan for the city. The kibosh was put on it not by Gov. Chris Christie (R) or pal state Sen. Stephen Sweeney (D) but by relatively obscure Department of Community Affairs Commissioner Charles Richman … An ironic moniker for a man dealing with a pauper city. Richman faulted the Guardian plan — which calls for selling everything from Bader Field to city-owned filing cabinets (no kidding) for not going far enough. He was skeptical of the municipal water authority being able to finance the Bader Field sale and said the city “has had ample time to improve the city’s financial condition and yet has avoided doing so in any meaningful way.” He also faulted city leaders for underestimating the cost of debt servicing and failing to dissolve the water authority.

While Richman’s recommendation is nonbinding it will Continue reading

Posted in Atlantic City, Boulder Strip, International, Marketing, Regulation, Sheldon Adelson | Comments Off on Atlantic City rescue rejected; Klondike lives!

Trump’s Mob buddy; Cubs win!

As we mentioned yesterday, despite no longer being in existence, Donald Trump‘s fallen casino empire continues to make news. Today it’s his relationship with Robert LiButti, a Trump facefigure so mobbed up that he was barred from New Jersey casinos in 1991 for his ties to John Gotti. Trump has denied knowing LiButti but newly unearthed video (which you can find at Yahoo News) shows the two men side by side at a 1988 Wrestlemania event in Atlantic City. Worse yet, Trump Plaza had to pay $650,000 in fines for hosting LiButti. “The Wrestlemania event is just one of many times that Trump was close to Bob, who was the biggest loser at Trump’s casinos and therefore Trump’s most important customer,” said former Philadelphia Inquirer reporter David Cay Johnston. Incredibly — well, credibly for him — Trump once said of LiButti, “If he was standing in front of me I wouldn’t know what he looked like.” Who knew Trump’s eyesight was so poor?

LiButti was certainly Trump’s kind of guy, having demanded that women Continue reading

Posted in Atlantic City, Baseball, Donald Trump, Election, New York, Regulation, The Mob, TV | 1 Comment

Boyd: The big squish; Trump’s double-dip

“Squishy.” That was how JP Morgan analyst Joseph Greff described Boyd Gaming‘s third quarter. The soggy verbiage was probably inspired by flooding that has vexed Boyd in Louisiana. The company is also facing stiff, new competition for IP Biloxi on the Eastside Cannery Casino & Hotel ExteriorMississippi Gulf Coast and continued adversity from slot routes around Par-A-Dice in Illinois. But even though the company backed some anticipated Aliante Casino and Cannery Casino Resorts revenue out of its 4Q16 projections, Greff wrote, “We continue to see a solid LV Locals macro (population, job, wages are all moving in the right direction: up).” While noting many of the same pluses and minuses, Deutsche Bank analyst Carlo Santarelli was more circumspect in his forecast, warning that an increase in Affordable Care Act premiums could impinge upon discretionary spending, causing him to project very modest revenue growth going forward. This is the first time I’ve seen Obamacare referenced in an analyst note, giving Santarelli’s preview the aspect of novelty.  The Borgata sale provided a one-time, $900 million cash infusion, contributing to a $2.97/share profit.

* The American Gaming Association continues to beat the drum for Continue reading

Posted in Atlantic City, Boyd Gaming, Cannery Casino Resorts, Culinary Union, Donald Trump, Economy, Geoff Freeman, Illinois, Louisiana, Mississippi, Regulation, Sports, Station Casinos, Taxes, Trump Entertainment Resorts, Wall Street | Comments Off on Boyd: The big squish; Trump’s double-dip

Quote of the Day

“Just because blackjack is played on a computer doesn’t mean it’s OK.” — Seminole Tribe attorney Barry Richard, arguing against the electronic table games deployed at Florida parimutuels. The Seminoles have/had a compacted exclusivity on table games. Tribal exclusivity is currently being litigated in the Sunshine State.

Posted in Florida, Technology, Tribal | Comments Off on Quote of the Day

MGM hearts Japan; Atlantic City aims for total victory

According to Reuters, if casinos are legalized in Japan, then MGM Resorts International would be willing to build the world’s second $9.5 billion megaresort. (Las Vegas Sands has already brandished $10 billion.) That’s leading with your chin. Japan-flagHowever, MGM believes that the Land of the Rising Sun is one of the world’s few markets where you can hit pay dirt that justifies that level of investment. Certainly not South Korea, where the restrictions on gambling by the citizenry are also a deterrent to a heavy capital commitment. At minimum, MGM is promising just under $5 billion toward a Japanese casino, numbers clearly meant to dazzle the Diet and bolster Prime Minister Shinzo Abe‘s latest pro-casino push. (Abe never really seems to “push” the issue, merely nudge it gently.) MGM CEO Jim Murren‘s pitch is contingent on the megaresort said being in Tokyo, Osaka and Yokohama but if the company funds the project through its REIT — so says Reuters — “multiple blue-chip companies” could get in on the deal.

Regional casinos in the far north and south of Japan have been mooted but American operators are (understandably) only fixated on the big sushi roll that is Continue reading

Posted in Atlantic City, Election, Genting, Japan, Marketing, Massachusetts, MGM Mirage, Politics, Sheldon Adelson, South Korea, Station Casinos, Steve Wynn, Taxes, Tribal, Unite-Here | 1 Comment

Turnaround in Macao; Trop claims another victim

There’s finally solid ground for optimism with regard to Macao, admittedly a good market to be in even at the worst of times. October gaming revenues surged 9%. Deutsche Bank the-parisiananalyst Carlo Santarelli took the numbers with a couple of grains of salt, noting that it was a holiday month and a possible, second VIP-player “retrenchment” might be on the horizon. That being said, both Parisian and Wynn Palace seem to be driving improved results, as was hoped of them. At this time last year the enclave was in free fall, with gaming revenues down 22%. Last month’s numbers were the strongest in 21 months, to give you an idea of the depth of the trench in which operators found themselves. Not even a visit from China‘s premier measurably dampened the October results, though. Neither did Typhoon Haima or the detention of The Crown 18, although the latter could chill VIP play going forward.

JP Morgan analyst Joseph Greff predicts modest growth for the rest of the year, with gambling revenues up Continue reading

Posted in Economy, Entertainment, Macau, Melco Crown Entertainment, MGM Mirage, Penn National, Pennsylvania, Politics, Sheldon Adelson, Sports, Stanley Ho, Steve Wynn, Taxes, The Strip, Tourism, Wall Street | 1 Comment