Notes in the time of Coronavirus

Saying her city “cannot survive” a month-long shutdown, Las Vegas Mayor Carolyn Goodman (D) wants Gov. Steve Sisolak (D) to drastically reduce his 30-day casino closure. We admire Goodman normally but think she’s out of her depth here or, as a veteran travel-magazine editor put it, flying “totally in the face of good sense and reason.” Goodman should let Sisolak’s quarantine run its course. Even Rep. Dina Titus (D), who constituency is the Las Vegas Strip, writes, “Avoid social gatherings of 10 people or more.” Speaking of Las Vegas, some of the best restaurants—such as Marché Bacchus—are hanging tough, offering take-out and curbside dining. Here’s a list in progress.

* Someone else who doesn’t seem to get it—and who appears to think that it’s the federal government’s prerogative (which, thankfully, it isn’t) to close and reopen casinos is Continue reading

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Quote of the Day

“Using taxpayer money to favor certain businesses in a time of crisis is a practice that merits scrutiny, especially when it comes to companies whose long-term commitment to the greater public good is questionable. It’s also offensive to many Americans and risks undermining the spirit of shared sacrifice the country needs to get through this crisis.”—editorial in today’s Boston Globe

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Where do we go from here?

In the process of canceling its 2020 earnings guidance, Marriott International gave some oblique insight into how the casino industry is likely to cope with the Coronavirus quarantine. Occupancy, it said, had fallen to 25%, compared to 70% last year. In addition to suspending share repurchases (good) and cutting dividends, the company is taking a scythe to $140 million in costs. Brand standards have been put on hold, as hotel floors are closed, restaurants and bars are shuttered, staff is cut (heavily) and even entire hotels are going dark. Executive salaries are on the chopping block for “significant cuts,” temporary leaves and shorter work weeks may be required, and non-essential travel and spending are kaput. Even so, the pain from an idled travel sector is going to be deep, with as many as Continue reading

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Life after casinos; Sheldon is george

“The situation continues to evolve and will escalate rapidly and dramatically. These are unprecedented actions in an extraordinary situation, but they could be the difference in saving lives and keeping people safe.” So said Maryland Gov. Larry Hogan (R) on Sunday, ordered the indefinite closure of the Free State’s seven casinos. Cordish Gaming CEO David Cordish tried to push back, complaining that bars, restaurants, etc. remained open as his Maryland Live went dead. Cordish’s myopic push backfired, as Hogan simply extended the closings to more public venues. When business does return to some semblance of normal, Maryland casinos give us an idea of what we can expect: fewer seats at table games, fewer slots.

Cordish employees will be paid for two weeks but then … ? Hogan’s edict is open-ended. As Maryland Lottery & Gaming Control Agency spokeswoman Carole Bober Gentry said, “As this situation evolves, Continue reading

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Quote of the Day

“All the news reporting, all the conversation about this, is really helping. It’s so much less stigmatized.”—Justin Cicero, father of a Seattle Coronavirus victim. His child, happy to report, recovered.

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Tarnished Golden; Exec blasts Japan

Golden Gaming was coming off a strong 4Q19: Net revenues at its Nevada casinos were 24% higher, to $134 million, and its slot routes were up 4.5% to $73 million. However, JP Morgan analyst Joseph Greff warned investors to “stay neutral,” lowering his price target from $19/share to $15. Noting a plunge (63%) in 2020 equity, Greff wrote, “Unfortunately, GDEN‘s 4Q report does not matter much in the current environment of volatility and uncertainty.” The company “said its properties are seeing mostly normal levels of activity and are by no means ghost towns, and that no closures are currently planned. The Strat has been performing well (it was sold out just this past weekend), and GDEN looks forward to operating the property without any construction disruption over the coming year.” It added that it was looking at slot routes in Pennsylvania and Missouri.

The sooner Golden can get those routes, the better. Its Achilles heel is its predominant exposure to the Continue reading

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Tough times return to Atlantic City; KY Derby delayed

As we saw earlier today, Las Vegas and Reno are pretty badly screwed for at least the next month. What about perennial problem child/comeback kid Atlantic City? Just when it’s back on its feet and roaring again, along comes Coronavirus to knock it off its pins. Global Gaming Business talked to gaming advisor Cory Morowitz about the Boardwalk’s indefinite shutdown. Morowitz likened Covid-19 to Hurricane Katrina … if Katrina had devastated the entire U.S. “Everyone’s in survival mode,” said Morowitz. “The people I’m talking to are thinking about emergency planning: How do you marshal cash to get through the next couple of months? If you own your building, how do you pay your bond payments? If you’re part of a REIT, how do you pay your rent? Will there be a federal response that’s going to be helpful?” (Yeah, those REIT rentals were a problem nobody foresaw when REITmania was sweeping the gaming industry.)

Big Gaming, Morowitz said, is “figuring out how to be fiscally responsible” and making recovery strategies, although that must be difficult when Continue reading

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Las Vegas is closed

America‘s favorite 24-hour town has finally caved to the inevitable and done what neither Sept. 11 nor the Great Recession made it do. It has turned out the lights and hung the “Closed for business” sign in the window. Finally displaying some leadership, Nevada Gov. Steve Sisolak (D) ordered a 30-day closure of casinos, resorts, restaurants (take-out excepted) and bars, starting at noon today. “Essential businesses, such as airports, banks, post offices, hospitals, grocery stores, pharmacies, urgent care centers, hardware stores, and gas stations will be allowed to remain open,” reports Susan Stapleton. At present, there are 42 active Coronavirus cases and one death in Southern Nevada. (Northern Nevada is getting off relatively lightly, with 13 reported cases.) In a speedy response, the Sisolak-friendly Culinary Union said the governor’s action “is necessary in Continue reading

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Quote of the Day

“The world is laughing at America’s politicians as we protect ships we don’t own, carrying oil we don’t need, destined for allies who won’t help.”—Donald Trump, about Saudi Arabia … in 1987.

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Gaming: Too big to fail?; Sports betting gets creative

Casino CEOs have no shame. They are capitalizing on the Coronavirus crisis to go to Congress, palms extended, cadging for a bailout. In an outrage-inducing story in today’s Washington Post, it is reported that the gaming industry’s wish list includes:

    • Direct cash payments (a Wynn Resorts brainstorm)
    • Tax deferments (already floated by the American Gaming Association)
    • Special bankruptcy protections
    • Zero-interest or low-interest loans

Although Donald Trump crony Steve Wynn is no longer in a position to benefit, he’s said to have Trump’s ear. A more direct beneficiary would be Treasure Island owner and Trump business partner Phil Ruffin. But that’s small potatoes compared to the enormity of Continue reading

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Turnaround in Springfield; Coping with Covid-19

Although it seems supremely beside the point at this grave moment, it’s time to report February’s gaming-revenue numbers from Massachusetts. Casinos in the state grossed some $86 million, with $52.5 million of that made at Encore Boston Harbor, with 61% market share. MGM Springfield grossed $22 million and Plainridge Park scooped up the remaining $12 million (14% market share). Win per day at Encore was $1.8 million, more than double MGM. That has to pass for good news, as the Massachusetts Gaming Commission, one of the most activist in the country, voted to suspend casino operations on March 14, a decision it will reassess in two weeks.

Plainridge Park was down 7%, with a still-impressive win/slot/day of $336. Handle was up 9% so luck was with Continue reading

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Darkness at noon

Casino dominos continue to topple. The Cosmopolitan of Las Vegas is the latest Las Vegas Strip casino to close thanks to Covid-19, “temporarily.” (Well, none of the closures has been permanent but there are different degrees of temporary-ness, MGM Resorts International‘s being the most radical.) Meanwhile, the damage continues to radiate through the regional gaming industry. Here’s a helpful chart—helpful unless you’re color-blind, like us. Add MGM Grand Detroit, MGM Springfield and Beau Rivage to the list of flagship regional properties that have gone dark. There was some belated solicitude for the workforce at Las Vegas Sands, which said it would provide flex time for employees who need to be with their children: “The health, safety and livelihood of our team members and their families is our most important consideration right now … The company is not considering layoffs or any changes to any of our existing health care benefit plans. Our team members are our most valuable asset, and we have every intention of getting through this challenging situation together.” Bravo, Sands.

After waffling for a couple of (precious?) days on the issue, New Jersey Gov. Phil Murphy (D) ordered Continue reading

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Quote of the Day

“We live in a divided world right now—we can all feel it. It’s been bullshit. But now is the time for solidarity, now is the time for thinking about each other.”—Idris Elba, actor and all-around cool guy, who just tested positive for Coronavirus. You can hear his full statement here.

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Sports betting kneecapped; What Sauce!

We’re far from knowing the full ramifications of widespread sports cancellations and postponements upon the gaming industry. However, the impact upon sports betting looks to be deep and dire. Last March, Nevada casinos saw $499 million in handle and $39.5 million in revenues with $349 million of that estimated to have been bet on March Madness—which has been scrapped this year. In New Jersey it was $106 million handle and $10 million revenue. If any other marquee sports events are played, it will not be for months. This causes complications for bettors who already had skin in the games. Disaster set in too quickly for nascent markets like Michigan and Illinois to have been greatly affected but it will be quite another story in established territories.

“Many bettors, especially novices, have been learning the past two days about ‘house rules’ that determine if bets have Continue reading

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Casino closures sweep the country

We’re all going through what are called “adjustment reactions,” including casino executives across the country. They’d like to stay open for business—many are—but others are being forced to close or making the difficult choice to go dark on their own. Shareholders won’t like it but it shows courage. (Points to remember about an adjustment reaction: “It is automatic. It comes early. It is temporary.”) Said an S&G source, “It’s crazy here in Las Vegas. We are literally competing to get food. It’s ridiculous. The food bank said they may lock our area down as we are right behind the Strip. All store deliveries stopped. All store pickup stopped with a few exceptions.  Can’t find [toilet paper] period. I’ve never seen anything like this.”

Casino stocks are having adjustment reactions of their own: Continue reading

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Quote of the Day

“We’re not trying to come up with long-term plans to stop the pandemic. What we are doing now is trying to stop it from destroying us.”—Harvard Center for Communicable Disease Dynamics Associate Professor of Epidemiology Bill Hanage on Coronavirus.

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A silver lining for gaming?

by Jeff Goldberg, guest contributor

With each passing day, if not hour, Covid-19 overwhelms another entertainment institution—including sports. By Thursday afternoon, three major American sports leagues—NBA, NHL and Major League Baseball—had all suspended their seasons. The NCAA March Madness tournament was cancelled. Even the lights went out on Broadway. All shows in New York have been cancelled over the next 30 days. People across the county and around the globe are being urged to stay away from crowds. On Thursday in California, Gov. Gavin Newsom (D) joined a chorus of state leaders across several states calling for the suspension of any public gatherings of more than two-hundred-fifty people, in the hopes of curtailing the community spread of Covid-19.

The ripple effects are everywhere. Many aspects of our economy are about to undergo major shocks, particularly in service-based jobs. But as more and more people stay home and their entertainment choices are dramatically reduced, the online casino industry could actually Continue reading

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Quote of the Day

“This is a very contagious virus. It’s incredible. But it’s something that we have tremendous control of.”—Donald Trump

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Crisis mode hits Las Vegas

Our country is still trying to grasp the ramifications of Coronavirus, as Broadway goes dark, Disneyland and Disneyworld are closed, The Masters and Boston Marathon are postponed, and cancellations of sporting and cultural events (here and abroad) comprise a list longer than our arm. Larry “Airtight” Kudlow says that Americans are panicking but he’s been wrong about Covid-19 so many times before that now we actually do feel the temptation to panic. But it’s a passing thought. Despite some mitigation efforts observed by S&G sources and readers like Mike Zidik (thanks, all of you), the casino industry has been hanging tough. While it has to answer to state authorities in most cases (Florida being a Continue reading

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Quote of the Day

“We’re finally getting that a little late to the party, but it’s better to be late to the party then not to come to the party.”—LPL Financial Senior Market Strategist Ryan Detrick on Friday’s stock-market rally. Gaming stocks traded up, some in double-digits.

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