Gaming exempt from Wall Street love; Harry-come-lately

Gaming stocks responded indifferently to yesterday’s Wall Street rally. Wynn Resorts was up and down but ultimately flat, MGM Resorts International ticked up 2%, Las Vegas Sands was flat and Melco Resorts & Entertainment slipped a percentage point. So much for the Macaoexposed stocks. Caesars Entertainment slipped 2.5%, Boyd Gaming was down almost as much, ditto Station Casinos and Eldorado Resorts took a 9.5% tumble. JP Morgan‘s intervention on behalf of Churchill Downs seems to have had some effect, as the stock regained lost ground, up 2%. But let’s face it, The Street is skittish about tourism-centric stocks. For those of the glass-half-empty persuasion, gaming stocks stabilized (except for ERI) because they had nowhere else to go: Sands had fallen 12%, MGM toppled 21.5% since Jan. 30, Station spiraled 17.5% earthward, Wynn plunged 15%, Caesars slipped 8% and Boyd skidded 13.5%.

Wynn is one of the few companies offering any transparency, advising investors, “A significant portion of our U.S. business relies on the willingness and ability of Continue reading

Posted in Boyd Gaming, Caesars Entertainment, China, Churchill Downs, Conventions, Dining, Donald Trump, Economy, Eldorado Resorts, Election, Entertainment, Harry Reid, Health, Japan, Las Vegas Sands, Macau, Massachusetts, Melco Resorts & Entertainment, MGM Resorts International, Oregon, South Korea, Station Casinos, The Strip, Tourism, Tribal, Wall Street, Wynn Resorts | Comments Off on Gaming exempt from Wall Street love; Harry-come-lately

Dream on (really); Golden gets downgrade

Dream on the south Las Vegas Strip is looking more like reality, Shopoff Real Estate Investments having purchased the requisite 5.25 acres. The exact location will be at the Strip at Russell Road, just south of Mandalay Bay. Calling the location “iconic,” William Shopoff immediately contradicted himself, remarking that the area “has historically been a little bit ignored.” He stressed the relative proximity to the stadium, saying, “that whole area is going to be activated be the stadium and all of the events that will take place there. To be a potential anchor to the stadium made this a really interesting dynamic for us.” The start of construction is still almost a year away, with completion envisioned for 2023.

While proximity to the Las Vegas Raiders will presumably Continue reading

Posted in Conventions, Economy, Golden Gaming, Horseracing, Kansas, Las Vegas Raiders, Lotteries, Phil Ruffin, Politics, Problem gambling, Sports betting, Station Casinos, Taxes, The Strip, Wall Street | Comments Off on Dream on (really); Golden gets downgrade

Bank rides to Churchill Downs’ rescue; Las Vegas healthy

Last week Churchill Downs posted perfectly good 4Q19 numbers but Wall Street wasn’t buying it. CHDN shares slumped 14%. That prompted some weekend damage control from JP Morgan, which bumped its rating up from “neutral” to “overweight,” and sent analyst Daniel Politzer out to reassure the markets that fears of a coronavirus-impaired (or worse, canceled) Kentucky Derby were “overblown.” He urged investors to look to the CHDN balance sheet for “calm in the storm.” (We can’t think of the last time a banking house interceded in this fashion on behalf of a company it covered.) Penned Politzer, “While we are not calling a bottom in CHDN here, nor can we say with strong confidence that the Derby will take place on May 2nd as scheduled, we believe the stock’s 14% decline in the past two trading days (24% off its recent high) … provides an attractive risk/reward.”

He added, “With its stable/growing cash flow profile, strong balance sheet, and trophy asset in the Continue reading

Posted in Caesars Entertainment, China, Conventions, Donald Trump, Economy, Eldorado Resorts, Health, history, Horseracing, Illinois, Indiana, International, Kentucky, Marketing, Problem gambling, Regulation, Rhode Island, Slot routes, Sports, Sports betting, The Strip, Tourism, Transportation, Tribal, Wall Street, Washington State, William Hill, Wynn Resorts | Comments Off on Bank rides to Churchill Downs’ rescue; Las Vegas healthy

Bennett returns, Aguilera leaves, Adelsons idolized

The Las Vegas Strip will be blessed for three nights in August, as Tony Bennett returns to The Venetian. He’ll play the 12th, 14th and 15th, with an assist from Antonia Bennett. Tickets start at $50, with a portion of the proceeds going to Exploring the Arts Inc. As New York Magazine said of the ageless songster, “no one else on Earth can make a lyric written eight decades ago sound as natural as a conversation at a coffee shop.” Tickets go on sale at 10 a.m. Friday.

* In the meantime, Christina Aguilera is calling it quits on her Planet Hollywood residency. The final six shows will take place in November, although what’s more newsworthy than Aguilera’s exit is the bizarrely staggered Continue reading

Posted in Aristocrat, Boyd Gaming, CityCenter, Entertainment, Florida, Health, history, IGT, Indiana, Las Vegas Sands, Louisiana, Macau, Maine, Marijuana, MGM Resorts International, Oregon, Planet Hollywood, Problem gambling, Scientific Games, Scott Butera, Sheldon Adelson, Shuffle Master, Singapore, Sports, Sports betting, Technology, The Strip, Tribal, Wisconsin | 1 Comment

Quote of the Day

“I go to the coffee shop and hear it from my people. They don’t want to go to Jersey. They don’t want to get in their car, or jump on the train and go to Jersey. They want to stay here.”—state Sen. Joseph Addabbo, stumping for expansion of gambling, sports betting and mobile wagering in New York State.

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Quote of the Day

“Central banks don’t make vaccines.”—Cumberland Advisors Chairman David Kotok on attempts to fight coronavirus with economic stimulus.

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Caution at Churchill Downs doesn’t impress Wall Street

Churchill Downs‘ stock reacted adversely to a cautious 4Q19 revenue report, as investors worried about the impact of coronavirus on the running of the Kentucky Derby, slated for May 2. JP Morgan analyst Joseph Greff, although one of those staying neutral on CHDN, tried to wax reassuringly: “We note that heading into the event, the majority of the Derby’s revenue/EBITDA is already baked (premium tickets/PSLs, sponsorships, media rights, etc.), so as long as the event takes place (it has run for the past 145 consecutive years), we believe the impact of COVID-19 on CHDN should be limited.” He added that “CHDN is seen as a good place to be amidst current market volatility (strong balance sheet, stable cash flow/trophy asset, and limited exposure to Continue reading

Posted in Arizona, Caesars Entertainment, Canada, Churchill Downs, Dining, Health, Horseracing, Illinois, International, Internet gambling, Kentucky, Macau, Money laundering, Regulation, Resort fees, Scientific Games, Slot routes, Sports betting, Taxes, The Mob, The Strip, Virginia, Wall Street, William Hill | Comments Off on Caution at Churchill Downs doesn’t impress Wall Street

Big January for the Strip; Mega-jottings

January was very good for the Las Vegas Strip, up 7.5% to $572 million. Baccarat played a big role, with winnings up 16% on 24% greater wagering. (In fairness, January 2019 was terrible for baccarat.) Other table games didn’t do too badly, up 5.5% (despite 31% more wagering) and while coin-in at the slots rose 11%, casinos just won 5%, thanks in part to looser hold. February should be easy pickings for the Strip, coming off a 2019 that was 2% and in which the house got its clock cleaned at baccarat (-26%). Speaking of slot win, some of that at Las Vegas locals casinos may have been rolled into February reporting. Otherwise it’s hard to account for a 2% diminution in Continue reading

Posted in Australia, Boulder Strip, Caesars Entertainment, China, Conventions, Downtown, Downtown Grand, Eldorado Resorts, Health, Illinois, International, Internet gambling, Lake Tahoe, Laughlin, Marketing, MGM Resorts International, Mississippi, North Las Vegas, Philippines, PokerStars, Regulation, Reno, Technology, The Strip, Tourism, Transportation, Wendover | 2 Comments

Massachusetts tries, tries again; Eldorado underperforms

In what can be viewed either as a victory for democracy or simply passing the buck, Massachusetts regulators opened the door to public comments on whether to approve a casino for the southeastern corner of the Bay State. The Massachusetts Gaming Commission—unlike its counterparts in Nevada and New Jersey—is empowered to weigh the economic impact of such a move, a question over which it has been agonizing for months. Now residents of Bristol, Plymouth, Nantucket, Dukes and Barnstable counties are being asked to weigh in. “We want to see how likely it is that there could be a good proposal or a good viable license in that region,” explained Commissioner Enrique Zuniga. This discussion could lead to Neil Bluhm‘s $677 million Brockton casino project being resurrected from the ashcan to which it was consigned four years ago.

Since then, the Mashpee Wampanoags have lost their land-into-trust application in Taunton and their casino financier, Genting Group. Their Project First Light ought to be called Continue reading

Posted in AGA, Caesars Entertainment, Donald Trump, Economy, Eldorado Resorts, Genting, Health, Las Vegas Sands, Macau, Massachusetts, Maverick Gaming, Neil Bluhm, Pennsylvania, Politics, Regulation, Slot routes, Sports betting, Tourism, Tribal, Vietnam, Washington State | Comments Off on Massachusetts tries, tries again; Eldorado underperforms

Quote of the Day

“Although national leaders respond to health crises when fear and panic grow strong enough, most countries do not devote the consistent energy and resources needed to keep outbreaks from escalating into disasters.”—from a report by the Global Preparedness Monitoring Board.

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Politics as unusual; Macao stocks ailing

A pro-casino group in Pope County, Arkansas, may have committed an electoral no-no. Pope County Majority is accused of making in-kind contributions to two candidates and of making political endorsements, in effect becoming a PAC. PCM, which is trying to raise money—perhaps disingenuously—through GoFundMe, describes itself as a “group dedicated to community awareness. We are in favor of a casino/resort and other progressive establishments for the growth and development of Pope County.” Complainant Teresa Russell says she’s against a casino, at least one that’s a grind joint.

PCM “does not donate to candidates, nor was it formed for a particular local election,” said leader Kelly Jett. “We’re glad that neighborhood associations and community groups like ours are not Continue reading

Posted in Arkansas, Caesars Entertainment, Economy, Election, Health, Las Vegas Sands, Macau, MGM Resorts International, Politics, Regulation, The Strip, Virginia, Wall Street, Wynn Resorts | Comments Off on Politics as unusual; Macao stocks ailing

Quote of the Day

“We have contained [coronavirus]. I won’t say airtight but pretty close to airtight.”—administration official Lawrence Kudlow, on CNBC.

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Wind of change; Packer “like a car crash”

There’s change in the breeze at Wind Creek Bethlehem. Former general manager Brian Carr “is leaving the organization,” replaced by Kathy McCracken, a longtime veteran of the property, which has underperformed since the Poarch Bank of Creek Indians took ownership. Not coincidentally, Wind Creek is announcing “initiatives which will further enhance the property’s position in the region.” (McCracken’s previous remit was the marketing department.) Plans include a second hotel tower—hopefully better-looking than the first, an indoor water park and an “entertainment complex.” Of the exiting Carr, CEO James Dorris said, “Brian did a fantastic job keeping the staff and employees focused and committed to the property during the time that it took Continue reading

Posted in Australia, Crown Resorts, James Packer, Massachusetts, Melco Resorts & Entertainment, Money laundering, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, Regulation, Stanley Ho, Technology, The Mob, Tribal, Wynn Resorts | 1 Comment

Quote of the Day

“This had been seen as mainly a China problem. Now, there is more concern about how difficult this virus will be to contain.”—Rockland Trust Director of Research Doug Butler, after coronavirus fears drove the Dow Jones down 1,030 points.

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More Stitt double talk; Tribes try again for Maine casinos

Oklahoma Gov. Kevin Stitt (R) continues to bake over $130 million/year in tribal-casino exclusivity fees into his next two budgets, despite A) contending that the state’s Native American casinos are operating illegally and B) raiding those exclusivity fees to pay his pricey, out-of-state lawyers. Stitt’s remarkable mind can obviously hold a multiplicity of contradictory opinions simultaneously. Indeed, if the tribes are paying exclusivity fees next year, isn’t Stitt implicitly conceding that their compacts have aut0-renewed, as the tribes insist? In an additional bit of wishful thinking, Stitt budgets for $18 million in extra exclusivity fees—let’s call them taxes—this fiscal year and next year. Throw in tribally operated horse tracks, and Stitt is counting on Continue reading

Posted in Cambodia, China, Churchill Downs, Economy, Internet gambling, Maine, Oklahoma, Penn National, Racinos, Regulation, Taxes, Tribal | Comments Off on More Stitt double talk; Tribes try again for Maine casinos

Reeg savages Caesars; Catskills rescue plan

Having rashly committed $500 million in reinvestments to the Louisiana market (he’ll have to build whole new casinos to spend that much), Eldorado Resorts CEO Tom Reeg has to make those forfeited savings back somewhere. Potential sales of Caesars Entertainment‘s branded sports-betting operation and Internet gambling have already been reported. Ditto selloffs of the Colosseum and Caesars Forum convention center (Sheldon Adelson will take your call, Mr. Reeg). Now comes news of more showroom sales, as well as outsourcing of the company’s entertainment operations. It’s an open question how much of Caesars will be left after Reeg finishes chipping away at it. Incidentally, we don’t have access to a photo of Reeg but imagine Attorney General William Barr having an identical twin brother and you’ll be on the money.

The idea is to reinvent Caesars as a gaming-centric company, in which case (if you share Continue reading

Posted in Alaska, Animals, Caesars Entertainment, Conventions, Donald Trump, Economy, Eldorado Resorts, Election, Entertainment, Foxwoods, Genting, Internet gambling, Japan, Las Vegas Sands, Lotteries, Louisiana, Marketing, Massachusetts, New Jersey, New York, Planet Hollywood, Resorts World LV, Sexual misconduct, Sports betting, The Rio, The Strip | 1 Comment

“Empty gesture” in Macao; Big deals for Scientific, Hill

Casinos may have reopened in Macao but coronavirus cannot be so easily wished away. Fears of its spread hit U.S. stock markets hard, with the Dow Jones tumbling 840 points, ceding all 2020 gains. Overseas bourses are taking it hard, too, worse than American ones. Like Ron Swanson on Parks & Recreation, investors are putting their money in gold. Airlines, computer companies, even shoe manufacturers are preparing for their bottom lines to catch the flu. Oil prices are down 4.5% (rare good news for consumers) but your overseas purchases—like that Alpine Symphony CD I just ordered from Amazon—are going to take longer. While most of the infection is confined to China, some 79,000 cases have been chalked up worldwide. So bad is the situation that a Thursday Chinese bulletin of Continue reading

Posted in Alabama, Arizona, Atlantic City, China, Culinary Union, Economy, Election, Galaxy Entertainment, Genting, Health, International, Internet gambling, Las Vegas Sands, Macau, Melco Resorts & Entertainment, MGM Resorts International, Michigan, Mississippi, Nevada, New Jersey, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, Scientific Games, Singapore, Sociedade de Jogos de Macau, Sports, Sports betting, Taxes, Tilman Fertitta, Tourism, Tribal, Wall Street, William Hill, Wynn Resorts | Comments Off on “Empty gesture” in Macao; Big deals for Scientific, Hill

Quote of the Day

“The humblest servant of the Government should not be at the mercy or the caprice of the most distinguished politician. Let every man who may receive a commission from the United States know that he holds it from the people, in service of the people.”—Rep. Thomas Jenckes, speaking in 1868.

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Quickie caucus summary

Winner: Medicare for All. As reported in the Boston Globe, “As [Sen. Bernie] Sanders piled up wins at precincts inside casinos up and down the Las Vegas Strip, it seemed clear that he had overcome deep opposition from the leadership of the state’s most powerful union to his marquee proposal, Medicare for All.”

Runner-up: Jim Murren. The CEO placed all his chips on Joe Biden and the former vice-president came through with a solid second-place finish, keeping his candidacy—and Murren’s clout—alive for the time being. Too bad Murren is not as persuasive to the MGM Resorts International board.

Loser: Harry Reid. His ‘don’t alienate anyone’ strategy handed the state to Sanders.

Biggest Loser: The Culinary Union. See “Medicare for All.”

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Life’s good if you’re Boyd; Caesars fire sale threatened

Boyd Gaming‘s share price got a bump from JP Morgan analyst Joseph Greff, who wrote “We continue to believe BYD is well positioned in both U.S. regional gaming markets as well as the LV Locals market.” Since Boyd is ahead of schedule on its deleveraging campaign, Greff believes that the company will put more emphasis on share buybacks and dividend increases in the second half of the year. Plus it won’t have to pay any taxes this year. The company expects cash flow derived from Las Vegas locals to grow 3%, while the Midwest and South regions should be up at least 2.5%. Boyd narrowly beat Wall Street expectations for 4Q19 cash flow ($227.5 million vs. $225 million) and posted total revenue of $833 million. Recent acquisitions continue to pay off, as cash flow at Ameristar– and Belterra-branded casinos was Continue reading

Posted in Ameristar, Boyd Gaming, Caesars Entertainment, Churchill Downs, Conventions, Downtown, Eldorado Resorts, Election, GLPI, Las Vegas Sands, Louisiana, Penn National, Sheldon Adelson, Taxes, The Strip, Tilman Fertitta, Wall Street | 1 Comment