Pictures worth a thousand words

Cadesha Michelle Bishop‘s callous murder of fellow Las Vegas bus passenger Serge Fournier can now be seen in all its horror, thanks to the British press’ acquisition of security-camera footage. The age of civility really is over in America when you can be pushed to your death in return for asking for a modicum of politeness.

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Rough April for Atlantic City; Britney to jilt MGM?

As always, Atlantic City proves to be a good-news/bad-news story. Gaming revenue there was up 8.5% higher last month but the love had to be spread thin, as same-store revenues fell 12%. Casinos grossed $207.5 million with slots up 6% (but down 13% same store) and tables won 15% more, but 8% less same-store. Despite a sensational month at the tables (64% higher win, despite 21.5% less wagering), Borgata was flat as slot win plunged 13.5% on 15% less coin-in. It grossed $53.5 million overall. The Caesars Entertainment cluster was 13.5% lower, driven by a 20% decline at the tables—where wagering was 10.5% and a 10% slippage at the slots, on 9% less coin-in. Harrah’s Resort is projected to have the roughest 2Q19, down a forecast 14%.

Tropicana Atlantic City ($24 million) also got hit hard, sliding 13% netherward. Bally’s was down 7%, grossing $14 million, Harrah’s pulled in $27 million for a 6.5% decline and Continue reading

Posted in Atlantic City, Baseball, Boyd Gaming, Caesars Entertainment, Churchill Downs, Dan Gilbert, Detroit, Eldorado Resorts, Entertainment, Greenwood Racing, Hard Rock International, Internet gambling, MGM Resorts International, Mohegan Sun, New Jersey, Ocean Resort, Penn National, Pennsylvania, Racinos, Rush Street Gaming, Sports, Sports betting, The Strip, Tilman Fertitta | 2 Comments

Wall Street loves Wynn, Penn, MGM

JP Morgan analyst Joseph Greff issued a post-1Q19 bulletin in which he named Wynn Resorts (growth), Penn National Gaming (value for share price) and MGM Resorts International (event-driven revenue) as his top picks in the gambling sphere. Wynn got a nod because of “several key growth pillars in 2020,” including Encore Boston Harbor, the Las Vegas convention center and an increased focus on the mass market in Macao—where VIP play is in flight. (High rollers dropped 18% less at Wynn Palace and an alarming 40% less at Wynn Macau.) Recent revenues from the enclave were characterized as “generally in line to uninspiring,” although Las Vegas Sands beat expectations, increasing premium mass market winnings by Continue reading

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Illinois agonizes over expansion; Frustration in Connecticut

Always looking for ways to kill the golden goose, Illinois lawmakers are contemplating gambling expansion yet again. Slot route operators are understandably balking at Gov. J.B. Pritzker‘s proposal to raise the current 30% tax rate to a 50/50 split with the state. Video gambling interests counterpropose doubling the bet limit from $2 to $4, raising the amount of potential winnings per bet from $500 to $1,199, and increasing the number of VLTs allowed per route by 20%. These measures, Ivan Hernandez of the Illinois Gaming Machine Operators Association promised, would bring the Land of Lincoln $210 million more revenue in two years.

Sports betting is also on the Illinois docket, with one proposal—aimed at soothing anxiety over point-shaving and bribery—stipulating that wagering on intrastate college games be forbidden. “I don’t see a good rationale to Continue reading

Posted in Architecture, Connecticut, Foxwoods, Illinois, Internet gambling, Las Vegas Sands, Macau, MGM Resorts International, Mohegan Sun, New Jersey, New York, Politics, Resort fees, Slot routes, Sports betting, The Strip, Tribal | Comments Off on Illinois agonizes over expansion; Frustration in Connecticut

Quote of the Day

“The need for additional money to support state programs is real, and the money will either come from more taxes or other sources. One of those sources could be legalized gambling, so why does Alabama always have to be the last stagecoach out of Dodge?” — retired rubber executive John F. Floyd, calling for a state lottery.

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Ruffin’s move

Phil Ruffin is in the hunt for Caesars Entertainment … well, sort of. He said he’s interested in individual Las Vegas Strip properties, clearly anticipating some kind of sell-down to deleverage an Eldorado Resorts or Tilman Fertitta acquisition of the Roman Empire. However, Ruffin is clearly looking for fire-sale prices: He’s only willing to pay 6X cash flow and that just doesn’t cut it for a Strip asset. (Fun fact: Ruffin himself paid 7X for Treasure Island.) He told the Las Vegas Review-Journal he’s looking for casinos that generate $200 million-$300 million in annual cash flow. We don’t know which Caesars properties do that, as the company doesn’t bust out individual-property numbers, but can say, sorry Cromwell. No Ruffin for you.

Ruffin, showing his hand, says he has $1 billion in cash on hand and can raise even more in Continue reading

Posted in AGA, Arkansas, Caesars Entertainment, Eldorado Resorts, Law enforcement, North Carolina, Phil Ruffin, Politics, Sports, Sports betting, Station Casinos, Taxes, The Strip, Tilman Fertitta, Tribal, Westgate LV | 1 Comment

MGM, Adelson tussle for Japan; Wynn pouts over fine

Everybody wants to be in Osaka, now that it’s open for casino development and the Osakanese government strongly covets a casino, one hopefully that would be open in time for the 2025 World Expo. Among the entrants, Las Vegas Sands, MGM Resorts InternationalGalaxy Entertainment Group, Melco Resorts & Entertainment, Wynn Resorts and Genting Group. But the first two companies are tipped as frontrunners. In MGM’s favor is its exclusive focus on Osaka and its partnership with favorite-son corporation Orix. Whoever wins is going to have to pay the tab for public transportation linkage to the island where the megaresort is to be sited.

But don’t sell Sheldon Adelson short: The government of Japan has made no bones about emulating the model (in several senses of the word) of megaresorts in Singapore and Marina Bay Sands is arguably the world’s Continue reading

Posted in Dining, Galaxy Entertainment, Genting, Japan, Las Vegas Sands, Lotteries, Massachusetts, Melco Resorts & Entertainment, MGM Resorts International, Mohegan Sun, Politics, Regulation, Singapore, Sports betting, Transportation, Tribal, Wynn Resorts | Comments Off on MGM, Adelson tussle for Japan; Wynn pouts over fine

Wynn disappoints, MGM expectations managed

Although Wynn Resorts reported $1.6 billion in revenue for 1Q19, Credit Suisse analyst Ben Combes called the numbers “disappointing … We remain Neutral on WYNN, given macro uncertainty and policy risk in Macau and China. Our forward macro indicators are suggesting Macau revenue growth could decelerate further over the next 9-12 months, but could rebound early next year. The Las Vegas [first-half] outlook is strong, with our forward room rate, convention attendance and air capacity all positive.”

What hurt Wynn? Poor baccarat revenues in Las Vegas (a recurring theme), plus cash flow that came in well below expectations. A 2% drop in room revenue when the rest of the Strip was up almost Continue reading

Posted in Boyd Gaming, Caesars Entertainment, Crown Resorts, Eldorado Resorts, Full House Resorts, Indiana, Lotteries, Macau, MGM Resorts International, Penn National, Scientific Games, Spectacle Entertainment, Sports, The Strip, Tribal, Wall Street, Wynn Resorts | Comments Off on Wynn disappoints, MGM expectations managed

The biggest loser

Donald Trump‘s casino years are back in the news again, thanks to a New York Times exposé of his tax records that described the 1985-94 period as “an era of fevered acquisition and spectacular collapse.” During a two-year period in the middle of that decade, Trump’s business losses “were more than double those of the nearest taxpayers in the I.R.S. information for those years.” The Trump White House has hunkered down, challenging the NYT‘s veracity and adding “I.R.S. transcripts, particularly before the days of electronic filing, are notoriously inaccurate.” When the news is bad … While the NYT doesn’t have The Donald’s returns themselves, the documentation that they have tracks closely with father Fred Trump‘s returns from the same period, the president’s former sugar daddy. Papa Fred’s businesses are described as “stable and profitable,” while the young Trump’s sources of income vary wildly. “But always, those gains were overwhelmed Continue reading

Posted in Atlantic City, Charity, Donald Trump, Entertainment, history, MGM Resorts International, Regulation, Sports, Wall Street | 3 Comments

Quote of the Day

“Why are we just apprehending them and not lining them up and shooting them? We have to go back to Hitler days and put them all in a gas chamber.” — remarks attributed to border-militia member Armando Delgado Gonzalez.

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Indiana gets it done; Fox puts $$ into sports betting

It’s official. Indiana Gov. Eric Holcomb (R) has affixed his signature to a bill that will expand gambling in the Hoosier State by approving two new casinos and permitting sports betting, expected to take off by September. (All-important mobile betting is approved in the legislation.) Acknowledging competition from neighboring states, Holcomb said, “By modernizing our laws, this legislation will spur positive economic growth for our state and for an industry that employs over 11,000 Hoosiers. Additionally, it will bring in new revenue and create hundreds of new jobs—both permanent and in construction.” The state Senate prevailed on the issue of mobile betting, saying that to do otherwise would be “unreasonable.” I don’t know about that but you’d make a hell of a lot less money. An additional spur to sports betting will be the NCAA‘s abolition of a previous policy that kept championship events out of states with sports betting, a stance that fast-moving events were quickly rendering obsolete.

Perhaps informed by the erroneous revenue assumptions that have upended other states, Holcomb’s administration is expecting only Continue reading

Posted in Caesars Entertainment, Connecticut, Foxwoods, Indiana, Majestic Star, MGM Resorts International, PokerStars, Politics, Spectacle Entertainment, Sports, Sports betting, TV | Comments Off on Indiana gets it done; Fox puts $$ into sports betting

Macao saves Wynn; Soaked in Missouri

If it were just a question of Las Vegas Strip performance, Wynn Resorts would have very little good news to report. Gross gaming revenue ($166 million) was down 19% in 1Q19, its impact softened by an 11% increase in slot win on 6% more coin-in. Baccarat was “softer than expected” according to JP Morgan analyst Joseph Greff, pulling all table games down 28%—quite a precipice, especially for a casino as predicated on high-roller business as Wynncore. Room revenues slipped 2% on 82.5% occupancy. Looking ahead, the convention center is due for early 2020 completion, whereupon management will use the reconstructed golf course to “run special events as well as enhance casino play.” Nothing was said about the old New Frontier site other than that it was in the early design stages (please, no more curved, green skyscrapers).

Macao was Wynn’s saving grace (that and the lack of impact from the Massachusetts Gaming Commission fine). “VIP was down and premium mass was choppy, but core mass Continue reading

Posted in Affinity Gaming, Boyd Gaming, Caesars Entertainment, Connecticut, Eldorado Resorts, Foxwoods, Macau, Massachusetts, Melco Resorts & Entertainment, MGM Resorts International, Missouri, Mohegan Sun, Penn National, Politics, Sports betting, The Strip, Wall Street, Wynn Resorts | Comments Off on Macao saves Wynn; Soaked in Missouri

Everyone’s happy in Singapore; Adelson involvement probed

While the government in Macao likes to keep casino executives in a state of uncertainty about the future, Singapore is far more sanguine. Between them, Marina Bay Sands and Resorts World Sentosa have committed $6.6 billion to new development. That pleases City Hall, which has extended both concessions through 2030. The city-state also has reason to be happy with its recently increased levy upon citizens who want to patronize the casinos, $110/day. If the goal is to discourage gambling by the citizenry, the program has been a roaring success. “Between 2010 and 2018, the number of local visitors to the casinos declined by 50 percent,” said Minister for Manpower Josephine Teo. It’s been a $699 million boon to civic coffers over the life of the policy. Singapore is also collecting $1.7 billion from Las Vegas Sands and Genting Group for the additional land they will need for their newly approved expansions. The destiny of that money is Continue reading

Posted in Genting, Internet gambling, Las Vegas Sands, Law enforcement, Louisiana, New Jersey, Rhode Island, Sheldon Adelson, Singapore, Sports betting, Taxes | Comments Off on Everyone’s happy in Singapore; Adelson involvement probed

Stability in the heartland; The lure of “NashVegas”

Last month’s gaming revenues from Ohio and Illinois were flat year/year. Some would look at that as a bad thing but it shows the states aren’t losing significant play to neighboring states. Ohio casinos grossed $160 million, with MGM Northfield still tops in the state ($20 million) despite an 11.5% falloff—a consumer vote of no-confidence in new management? Hollywood Columbus came up just shy of $20 million, riding a 2% gain, while Hollywood Toledo slid 6% to $17 million. That was also the gross at the two Jack Entertainment casinos, with Cleveland up 2% and Cincinnati down 4.5%. Jack Thistledown vaulted 12% to $12 million. Scioto Downs fell 8.5% to $14 million, while Belterra Park crept 1.5% ahead to $7.5 million. Churchill Downs‘ investment in Miami Valley Gaming continues to pay off, up 12.5% to $15 million. Hollywood Casino Dayton galloped 6% ahead to $10 million and Hollywood Casino Mahoning Valley gained 3% to $11 million.

Over in the Land of Lincoln, casinos grossed $115 million. Penn National Gaming took a double-whammy, falling 8% at Hollywood Aurora ($9.5 million) and 9% at Empress Joliet ($9 million). Harrah’s Joliet slipped 1% but still grossed $15 million, while Rivers Casino was up 10% to $38 million, a real Continue reading

Posted in Australia, Boyd Gaming, Caesars Entertainment, Canada, Churchill Downs, Crown Resorts, Dan Gilbert, Dining, Eldorado Resorts, Georgia, GLPI, Illinois, Law enforcement, Macau, MGM Resorts International, Mississippi, Ohio, Penn National, Pennsylvania, Rush Street Gaming, Sports, Sports betting, The Strip, Tourism, Wall Street, Wynn Resorts | Comments Off on Stability in the heartland; The lure of “NashVegas”

Solid month for Maryland; Casino sale aborted

Maryland casino revenues inched up to $145 million last month, led by MGM National Harbor with $61 million and 42% of market share. Maryland Live, no surprise, was second with 33% and $48 million (+2%). Horseshoe Baltimore grossed $20 million (-9.5%), Hollywood Perryville was off 10% to $6 million, Ocean Downs gained 7% to $6 million and Rocky Gap Resort was flat at $5 million. West Virginia casinos and racinos were flat, despite a 3% bump in table winnings. A 9% surge in table games at Hollywood Casino in Charles Town made up for a 2% decline in slot win.

* A sale of Casino Queen in East St. Louis had been flying under the radar—until it crash and burned. Now Gaming & Leisure Properties will be writing off $13 million in impaired value of Casino Queen. Of course, once you’ve emotionally committed to Continue reading

Posted in Atlantic City, Caesars Entertainment, Churchill Downs, Cordish Co., GLPI, Golden Gaming, Illinois, Internet gambling, Iowa, Lotteries, Macau, Maryland, Melco Resorts & Entertainment, MGM Resorts International, Missouri, Mohegan Sun, Nebraska, Penn National, Politics, Regulation, Sports betting, Tribal, TV, Wall Street, West Virginia | Comments Off on Solid month for Maryland; Casino sale aborted

Wynn balks at Beantown penalty

Although it was willing to pay at least $20 million to remain licensed in Nevada, it appears that Wynn Resorts is unwilling to take its $35 million dose of castor oil in Massachusetts. “We are in the process of reviewing that decision and considering the full range of our next steps. We will not have further comment until we have thoroughly reviewed and considered the [Massachusetts Gaming Commission’s] decision,” said company spokesman Michael Weaver, ominously. Wynn can fight the fine in court, even though it cover it out of two days’ receipts, but if it does it will still have to put the money in escrow. Just pay and get it over with, guys.

“Put another way,” reported Global Gaming Business, “the fine is about the same as a 1.3 percent cost overrun for the Boston property. However, the fine is not tax-deductible by the company.” Not tax-deductible? Damn! Them’s Continue reading

Posted in Australia, Charity, Cirque du Soleil, Crown Resorts, Downtown, Entertainment, Florida, Illinois, Internet gambling, Macau, Massachusetts, Movies, Pennsylvania, Regulation, Resort fees, Seminole Tribe, Sports betting, The Strip, Tilman Fertitta, Wynn Resorts | Comments Off on Wynn balks at Beantown penalty

Eldorado strong, Penn stronger; Caesars screws you

Were it not for inclement weather, Eldorado Resorts would have exceeded Wall Street’s consensus $172 million cash-flow prediction by $8 million for 1Q19, not
come up $5 million short. For instance, Reno (pictured) had snow in 24 of February’s 28 days and construction in Black Hawk provided another overhang. In Illinois, Eldorado expects to hit its $55 million cost-savings target at Grand Victoria by the end of this month. Wrote JP Morgan analyst Daniel Politzer, “we believe ERI has positioned itself for multiple years of meaningful EBITDA growth.” How? Operating and marketing efficiencies at its legacy properties, and a Pompano Park joint venture with Cordish Gaming, for starters. Oh, and there’s the little matter of “M&A optionality” read: Caesars Entertainment.

Penn National Gaming also reported 1Q19 financials, including a “better than feared” outcome. Wrote analyst Joseph Greff, “it would have exceeded were it not for Continue reading

Posted in Arizona, Atlantic City, Caesars Entertainment, Colorado, Cordish Co., Cretins, Culinary Union, Detroit, Dining, Economy, Eldorado Resorts, Florida, Hard Rock International, Illinois, Internet gambling, Iowa, Macau, Massachusetts, MGM Resorts International, Mississippi, Penn National, Pennsylvania, Pinnacle Entertainment, Racinos, Regulation, Reno, Sports betting, Station Casinos, Tribal, Wall Street, West Virginia, Wynn Resorts | Comments Off on Eldorado strong, Penn stronger; Caesars screws you

Quote of the Day

“[There] is a deeply wrongheaded habit to project today’s norms, values, ideals backwards in time to find our ancestors inevitably falling short. It betrays a very troubling intolerance of art and the ambiguity of art and the aspirations of art.” — historian Fergus M. Bordewich on the effort to efface a mural of George Washington from a California high school.

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The unkindest cuts of all

Apparently Las Vegas casinos—and specifically those of MGM Resorts International—have not learned from the ill-will generated by resort fees and paid parking. Now, as discovered by Scott Roeben, MGM is instigating an insidious “surge pricing” for sundries like water and toothpaste (not cheap to begin with), with prices escalating in direct ratio to hotel occupancy. The more people who stay, the more you pay. This is an abomination and yet another indication that Big Gaming thinks you are a bunk of marks who are to be taken for everything they’ve got. Mind you, if the geniuses behind this idea chafe at the sight of patrons bringing pallets of bottled water to their room, just wait, it’s only going to become more prevalent. MGM is test-flying this odious new concept at the bottom of its food chain, i.e., Excalibur.

Roeben thinks this is the latest manifestation of infamous MGM 2020 and we’re not Continue reading

Posted in Caesars Entertainment, Churchill Downs, Entertainment, Genting, Horseracing, Japan, Las Vegas Sands, Macau, MGM Resorts International, Resort fees, Singapore, Sociedade de Jogos de Macau, The Strip | 1 Comment

Caesars’ secret weapon

“Just the right amount of optimism” was how Credit Suisse analyst Ben Combes described Caesars Entertainment’s 1Q19 results. Ex-CEO Mark Frissora‘s purchase of Centaur Gaming continues to pay off, as it was the tentpole of regional-gaming performance. “On a same-store basis Regionals were down 11.5% with AC and bad weather again a factor,” wrote Combes. “Regional EBITDA down 13% y/y excluding Centaur, given Atlantic City weakness and bad weather.” However, he noted, “Management sounded optimistic about the outlook for Vegas in 2019, calling out the group convention and non-group room nights already on the books.” Combes thinks Caesar can offset its Atlantic City vulnerability with single-digit [2.5%] revenue growth in Las Vegas and continued strength from Centaur’s two racinos in Indiana, even if the health of Las Vegas is somewhat dependent upon that of Caesars’ hub-and-spoke casino network.

Over at JP Morgan, analyst Daniel Politzer described the results as “better than expected,” with Las Vegas Strip revenues up Continue reading

Posted in Caesars Entertainment, Centaur Gaming, Detroit, Downtown, Indiana, Louisiana, Marijuana, Mississippi, Penn National, Pennsylvania, Pinnacle Entertainment, Regulation, The Strip, Wall Street | 1 Comment