Sands disappoints Wall Street

Las Vegas Sands reported 4Q18 results yesterday and the result wasn’t what Wall Street had been hoping. Take the rapidly morphing reaction of Credit Suisse analyst Cameron McKnight. He went from “Good Read Thru” to “Disappointing 4Q Against Elevated Expectations” to “Not Lighting Cigars This Time.” At JP Morgan, analyst Joseph Greff shaved three dollars off his price target, lowering it to $57/share. Greff also cited Macao results that undershot expectations, as well as “softer than anticipated results in Singapore,” where Resorts World Sentosa is apparently clawing back some market share. Las Vegas was a saving grace “with attractive y/y growth in table drop, slot volume and room revenues.” While there were no progress reports on the new St. Regis suites in Macao, nor on conversion of Sands Cotai Central into The Londoner, the “continues to believe that its properties, and the Macau market overall, is capacity constrained (rooms/suites) on weekends and holidays and this investment should bear long term attractive returns.”

Management tried to manage expectations, saying of Macao “trees don’t Continue reading

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Quote of the Day

“The importance of experience is that it is protection against the disruption or the obsolescence of the real estate. If it’s a great place-based experience, it is something that Amazon, at least yet, has not figured out how to put in a box [and] ship to your house, such that it dislocates the real estate literally and figuratively.” — Vici Properties CEO Ed Pitoniak, on the value of experience-based entertainment.

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Next stop: Virginia; Lady Gaga erupts

Lawmakers in Virginia have voted a “mashup casino bill” out of committee, sending it along to the Senate Finance Committee for further scrutiny. The legislation would authorize five casinos in BristolDanville, Portsmouth, Richmond and Norfolk respectively and juices the Pamunkey Indian Tribe into one of the casinos. The latter has declared its willingness to waive sovereignty and operate a private-sector casino along the same rules as everyone else. Why? Because the Pamunkey tribe is pursuing federal recognition and runs up against the same Carcieri v. Salazar hurdle that has stalled the Mashpee Wampanoag in Massachusetts. The Pamunkey had been looking at Richmond as a casino market but have lately shifted their courtship to Norfolk. How could they own a casino if not federally recognized? A concerned reader in Virginia reports that they’ll transfer the title to Jon Yarborough of VGT Slots.

Should the legislation makes its way to Gov. Ralph Northam‘s desk it might not get inked, seeing as Northam thinks things are moving Continue reading

Posted in Entertainment, Las Vegas Sands, Maryland, MGM Resorts International, Politics, Taxes, The Strip, Tribal, Vietnam, Virginia | 1 Comment

Quote of the Day

“To be saints is not a privilege for the few but a vocation for everyone.” — Pope Francis

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AFL goes to A.C.; Majestic Star coming ashore?

In keeping with the new and hard-won sense of prosperity in Atlantic City, the Casino Reinvestment Development Authority hopes to bring arena football to the Boardwalk, specifically to Jim Whelan Boardwalk Hall. The early talk is a of three-year public/private partnership to bring Atlantic City within the fold of the AFL. Admittedly, Atlantic City is where professional teams go to die, such as the Atlantic City Seagulls, which went 0-28 in their final season, the only winless season ever recorded in the history of the bygone United States Basketball League. The AFL reacted positively and a formal announcement is expected today. As AFL Executive Committee Chairman Ron Jaworski put it, “in football parlance, we’ve driven 99 yards and we’re first-and-goal from the 1-yard line … I can’t say enough about the overwhelming support we’ve received from the city, the CRDA, the casino industry and the people. Everyone’s been behind this 100 percent.”

Jaws wasn’t the only happy camper. City Council President Marty Small enthused, “Atlantic City is always looking for ways to appeal to residents and visitors with new and different amenities, and this definitely Continue reading

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Louisiana: What happened?; Wynn wins historic victory

While most jurisdictions performed impressively last month, Louisiana was down 2.5%. How to account for the slippage? True, the drive-in driven Shreveport/Bossier City market was off 1.5%. But the real culprit was Baton Rouge, toppling 15.5% and ravaged by the new smoking ban. Even market leader L’Auberge Baton Rouge was down 11% to $12 million. Casino Rouge fell 9% to $4.5 million and Eldorado Resorts had a disastrous month at Belle of Baton Rouge, careening 39% to a meagre $2.5 million. Can they even keep the doors open at that rate. In Shreveport/Bossier City, Penn National Gaming made an inauspicious debut at Margaritaville, slipping 6% to $13.5 million, Eldorado was flat at $10 million and Horseshoe Bossier climbed 1% to $18 million. Sam’s Town grew 7% to $4.5 million, Harrah’s Louisiana Downs hopped 2% to $4 million while Boomtown Bossier was up 4% to $5 million. Diamond Jack’s wants to leave Shreveport and the market reciprocated the sentiment, as manifested in a 17% plummet to $3 million.

At least the unlikely resort town of Lake Charles could be counted upon for good news, right? Not entirely. Penn struggled at L’Auberge du Lac, down 11% to ‘only’ $28 million. Golden Nugget continues to enjoy hard-won primacy, Continue reading

Posted in Boyd Gaming, Caesars Entertainment, Dining, Eldorado Resorts, Environment, GLPI, Greenwood Racing, International, Las Vegas Sands, Louisiana, Macau, Penn National, Pennsylvania, Rush Street Gaming, Sports betting, Tilman Fertitta, Tourism, Vietnam, Wall Street, William Hill, Wynn Resorts | Comments Off on Louisiana: What happened?; Wynn wins historic victory

Massachusetts mulls sports betting

Massachusetts is expected to be one of the prime movers on the sports-betting front and, to that end, three bills have been filed in the Lege, no doubt much to the interest of homeboys DraftKings, the New England Patriots and Boston Celtics, among others. The most industry-friendly is state Sen. James Welch‘s, which would tax sports-betting revenue at 6.75% and would split sports betting into two categories, with the second category being venues like Plainridge Park that lack table games. Then there’s state Sen. Brendan Crighton‘s bill, which would legalize mobile wagering and contains a ‘bad actor’ that would redline any company found to have conducted illegal Internet wagering. It would tax revenues at 12.5%, set entry fees at $500,000 with $100,000 renewal charges. Least helpful is state Sen. Bruce Tarr‘s proposal for an 11-member commission to “consider the impact” on the Bay State. Because there’s nothing like a ‘fact-finding mission’ to put your tax dollars to good use. At least the chain would be yanked on Tarr’s committee after six months of study. But Massachusetts would probably be no closer to legal sports betting than before.

* Sports betting is paying off in a big way for Mississippi‘s Gulf Coast casinos, which are reporting Continue reading

Posted in Dining, IGT, Macau, Marketing, Massachusetts, Melco Resorts & Entertainment, Mississippi, Penn National, Politics, South Dakota, Sports, Sports betting | Comments Off on Massachusetts mulls sports betting

Adelson sparks firestorm

When Bill Miller was appointed CEO of the American Gaming Association, we speculated that his relationship with Sheldon Adelson would be “less strained” than that of predecessor Geoff Freeman. Indeed, that already seems to be the case. It would account for the AGA’s slow and mostly supine response to the Department of Justice‘s newly expansive reading of the Federal Wire Act. Already, Global Gaming Business is pointing the finger of culpability in the Wire Act rereading in Adelson’s direction. Big Gaming has been given three months to formulate its reaction, thanks to Deputy US Attorney General Rod Rosenstein. “But reaction is difficult since the industry doesn’t know what the specific rules might be or how the DOJ would enforce the decision.” GGB is of the opinion that shared online-liquidity poker in Nevada, Delaware and New Jersey might be imperiled. Daily fantasy sports might be forced to stop taking wagers across state lines. Former Garden State legislator Raymond Lesniak reacted with a mixture of weariness and self-aggrandizement, telling one publication, “Looks like I will have to go to court again to straighten out the Justice Department’s overreaching on states’ rights as I did with sports betting. This opinion is outrageous. It puts state lotteries at risk and state revenues. If Congress won’t fix it, I will through the judicial process.”

Making a clever pun, former presidential hopeful Ron Paul wrote, Continue reading

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Oh, what a tangled web we weave …

… when we call our new casino Circa. An S&G source has done some research on the matter and found that “Circa” is trademarked to Michigan company NMH Acquisition. The Patent Office gave Circa “trademark serial number of 87960443.” NMH stands for National Mentor Holdings and it sold the Circa trademark to an unnamed buyer (probably answering to the name Derek Stevens) in December. However, this does not mean that NMH is unconnected to Las Vegas. Its parent company, Vestar, owns The District at Green Valley Ranch. Also, Vestar owner Leon Tsoukernik has been sued by poker player Matt Kirk over $3 million that Tsoukernik lost to Kirk at Aria. The indebted Mr. T is also owner of Kings Casino in the Czech Republic. He countersued Kirk and Aria, citing the familiar complaint that Aria management had conspired to get him drunk in order that Continue reading

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Quote of the Day

“The ultimate tragedy is not the oppression and cruelty by the bad people but the silence over that by the good people.” — Dr. Martin Luther King Jr.

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Wall Street says the “R” word; The wrath of Rufus Peabody

Credit Suisse analyst Cameron McKnight has uttered the word most dreaded around Las Vegas: recession. He’s even come up with some projections. “Based on our long-term Strip model, we can see a recession scenario for the Strip in which revenue is down 14% y/y, expenses down 7% y/y and Adjusted EBITDA down 26%.” Those compare to 20%, 7% and 40% the last time around. Since CityCenter, Encore and Palazzo all opened in the teeth of the Great Recession, “the past recession saw supply growth and increased competition at the trough.” Also, “Vegas gaming revenues were structurally higher as there wasn’t as much regional and Native American competition as today.” Of all Vegas-centric stocks, McKnight favors Caesars Entertainment most, writing, “we like its more defensive domestic gaming-focused business, its mix of regional and Vegas assets, significantly undervalued real estate, potential share gains in Vegas, growth from renovated assets, and potential activist and corporate interest.” He adds that investors are not so enthusiastic, waiting and seeing how the CEO change plays out, and concerned about how highly leveraged the company remains. Continue reading

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Cuomo bets on sports; Resorts World LV disowns own designs

It looks as though New York State will split the baby on sports wagering: Casino-based betting in 2019, mobile wagering in 2022. Gov. Andrew Cuomo (D) has baked what Credit Suisse analyst Cameron McKnight calls “a small amount of sports betting revenues” into his next budget but a statewide expansion of sports betting would require a referendum, most likely in November 2021. “New York is one of the most populous, wealthy and sports-mad states, and we think investors are more likely to seriously ascribe value for sports when they can see it around them,” writes McKnight, who projects $456 million in gross revenues by Year Three, with the addition of mobile wagering in 2022 bringing in another $380 million. “New York is clearly an important state, with: 20mm people, per capita income 1.2x the national average and 3.5% per capita income growth at 1.4x the national average.” The Empire State will also be the decisive battleground for integrity fees, since Continue reading

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Re-reversing the Wire Act: What it means

Last weekend’s flip-flop by the Justice Department‘s stance on the Federal Wire Act has spurred a fair amount of chin scratching in the gaming industry. Global Market Advisors notes the immediate implication: “The action, which at best can be described as reversing a reversal, raises several concerns for the gaming industry, especially for online gaming that occurs in the states of Nevada, New Jersey, and Delaware, with active startups underway in Pennsylvania.” Mobile gambling (legal in Nevada), DFS and even lotteries may be affected. In the inciting memo, Acting Assistant Attorney General Steven Engel wrote, “While the Wire Act is not a model of artful drafting, we conclude that the words of the statute are sufficiently clear and that all but one of its prohibitions sweep beyond sports gambling.” Engel’s memo, write GMA analysts, “only raises further questions on how responsible operators should act in the current environment.”

The Wire Act is a legacy is of Robert F. Kennedy‘s tenure as attorney general and formerly applied to all forms of gambling except Continue reading

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Atlantic City: Managing expectations; Prosperity in Pennsylvania, Detroit

Grossing $209 million last month, the Atlantic City casino market continues to grow, up 12% in the dead of winter, even if it was 7% down on a same-store basis. That’s a tradeoff the industry will have to accept, as more competition is proving good for Atlantic City as a whole, if not always beneficial to incumbent operators. Slots were up 11% (down 7% same-store) and tables bounced 17% (-6% same store). Borgata — $57.5 million — was flat overall but enjoyed a 9% bump at table games on 6.5% less wagering, while slot win was 5%. The Caesars Entertainment trio got thumped, down 14.5% and led by a 21.5% falloff in table win, on dramatically lower wagering. Over at Tropicana Atlantic City ($26 million), revenue was 2% down, with a 4% slip in slot winning negating a 6.5% increase in table win. Even so, Tropicana comfortably maintained the #2 spot, while Hard Rock Atlantic City and Harrah’s Resort tied with $23.5 million (-19% for Harrah’s). Caesars Atlantic City grossed $21.5%, off 10%, and Bally’s Atlantic City brought in $14 million, a 13% decline.

The only revenue-positive casino was Resorts Atlantic City, up 2% to Continue reading

Posted in Atlantic City, Boyd Gaming, Bruce Deifik, Caesars Entertainment, Churchill Downs, CityCenter, Dan Gilbert, Detroit, Dining, Economy, Eldorado Resorts, Las Vegas Sands, Macau, MGM Resorts International, Mohegan Sun, Penn National, Pennsylvania, Rush Street Gaming, Tilman Fertitta, Wall Street | 1 Comment

Trump betrays Internet gambling

In a world so topsy-turvy that Ivanka Trump will be helping choose the next president of the World Bank, we shouldn’t assume that Internet gambling is safe. The Office of Legal Counsel has reversed Eric Holder‘s narrow interpretation of the Federal Wire Act, ruling that “Having been asked to reconsider, we now conclude that the statutory provisions are not uniformly limited gambling on sports events or contents … While the Wire Act is not a model of artful drafting, we conclude that the words of the statute are sufficiently clear and that all but one of its prohibitions sweep beyond sports gambling.” Fortunately, the OLC’s ruling does not have the force of law. Also, the First and Fifth Circuit Courts have held that the Wire Act only applies to sports wagers. However, Sheldon Adelson‘s puppets at the Coalition to Stop Internet Gambling were quick to take a victory lap, saying, “Today’s decision seamlessly aligns with the Department’s longstanding position that federal law prohibits all forms of internet gambling, as well as with Congress’s intent when it gave law enforcement additional tools to Continue reading

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Icahn power play at Caesars?; Big plans for Borgata

We all know that Carl Icahn has a sharp eye for undervalued assets. Caesars Entertainment stock fell 46% last year, making it ripe for the plucking. And pick it Icahn did, scarfing up enough to spur a 11.5% rally in CZR shares. We didn’t expect Icahn to be back in the casino biz so soon but we do expect Caesars to resist any potential Icahn takeover offers just as it did when Tilman Fertitta came a-courting. Icahn is flush at the moment, having made $1.85 billion from selling Tropicana Entertainment to Eldorado Resorts, so he certainly could scoop up a sizable tranche of Caesars stock. Credit Suisse chalked up Caesars’ curb appeal to room renovations and convention center improvements. To further complicate the picture, CNBC reports that Fertitta hasn’t given up on a Caesars takeover either. As for the mooted Caesars/MGM merger, that has been quashed, apparently upon fears of a Federal Trade Commission veto. With the exception of his brief tenure at Trump Entertainment Resorts, Icahn has had the Midas touch with casinos. Caesars should listen to whatever he proposes. Not necessarily agree, but definitely listen.

* Last year was a banner one for Detroit casinos, who banked a record Continue reading

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Clouded future for Ocean; Wynn keeps fighting

While the mainstream media has gone quiet over the sudden change of ownership at Ocean Resort, Global Gaming Business is reporting that lead owner Bruce Deifik didn’t leave voluntarily but was kicked out by other investors. Luxor Capital Group supposedly demanded the change but was sensible enough to leave casino prexy Frank Leone in place. The last thing that Ocean needs now is a learn-on-the-job managerial team. The new owner of Deifik’s share remains undisclosed, the narrative not having advanced beyond Chris Grove‘s announcement that it would be a group of Colorado banks and private investors. “My family and I want to thank the 3,000-plus employees at Ocean for their tireless work to bring our property to life and put it on track to become the best gaming property in New Jersey. If approved and closed, this next round of investment into Ocean will put this property on an exciting path to growth,” said Deifik, putting the best possible spin for what must be a very painful turn of events.

Ocean is shaping up as a monstrous disappointment. Deifik’s people told Garden State regulators it would gross $384.5 million in Year One (later revised to Continue reading

Posted in Atlantic City, Bruce Deifik, Caesars Entertainment, Colorado, Law enforcement, Massachusetts, Nevada, Regulation, Revel, Sexual misconduct, Steve Wynn, Tribal, Wall Street, Wynn Resorts | 1 Comment

Quote of the Day

“There is a lot of unmet demand for fun in Las Vegas,” — Derek Stevens, announcing his new project, Circa Resort & Casino.

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Deifik defects from Atlantic City; Stevens unveils new casino

That was brief. After six months of operation at Ocean Resort, owner Bruce Deifik wants out. Word is he’s found a mystery buyer, one who will invest $70 million in “a new buffet, additional hotel suites, gaming floor improvements and more entertainment options.” It’s easier to rule out potential acquirers — Glenn Straub, Eldorado Resorts, Caesars Entertainment — than finger the owner-to-be. As for Deifik, it’s probably the path of least resistance to sell than to face Ocean Resort’s embarrassing failure to live up to his financial projections (first he forecast it would equal the Tropicana Atlantic City in revenue[($384.5 million], then said it would make $292 million in its first year; he’s come up woefully short on both counts). Ocean Resort quickly faded to the back of the pack, and fell further and further behind.

As for the new owner, don’t count on anyone gaming-savvy. Chris Grove identifies it as Continue reading

Posted in Architecture, Atlantic City, Bruce Deifik, Colorado, Derek Stevens, Downtown, Eldorado Resorts, Environment, Marketing, Revel, Sports betting, Tilman Fertitta, Transportation | 2 Comments

Indiana, Missouri have good months; Hands-free vibrators conquer Las Vegas

Casinos in Indiana grossed $187 million last month, a 3% increase. Caesars Entertainment would appear to have robbed Peter (Horseshoe Southern Indiana) to pay Paul (its two racinos). Horseshoe was down 8% to $20 million, while Indiana Downs cantered past it to a $21 million finish, gaining 4.5%. Hoosier Park surged 12.5% to $16 million. Biggest gainer of all was French Lick Resort, up 14.5% to $9 million. Tropicana Evansville and Hollywood Lawrenceburg were flat, for $13 million and $15.5 million respectively. Rising Sun set 2%, to $4 million, while Boyd Gaming was pushing the right buttons at Belterra, up 5% to $10 million. In the northern tier of the Hoosier State, Horseshoe Hammond was becalmed but still pulled in $32 million. Primary rival Ameristar East Chicago gained 10% on the competition to finish at $19.5 million. Blue Chip continues to rebound from tribal competition at Four Winds Casino. For December it was up 7.5% to $13 million. As for the two Majestic Star boats, the first lost Continue reading

Posted in Ameristar, Boyd Gaming, Caesars Entertainment, Eldorado Resorts, Ellis Island, Full House Resorts, Indiana, Isle of Capri, Majestic Star, Missouri, Penn National, Technology, The Strip, Tribal | Comments Off on Indiana, Missouri have good months; Hands-free vibrators conquer Las Vegas