Quote of the Day

“It means self-sufficiency, the sovereignty that we had for millennia. Gaming will be part of who we are, but it will not define who we are … Lifting our own, and our community, absolutely defines who we are.” — Ponca Tribe Chairman Larry Wright Jr., at the opening of Prairie Flower Casino.

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The merger of mergers?; Hooters up for grabs

This morning Credit Suisse analyst Cameron McKnight reported that MGM Resorts International is “possibly” looking into a buyout of Caesars Entertainment, news that is certain to have a salutary effect on the latter’s stock price. What should be of more concern would be MGM’s ability to finance such a deal, given that its high long-term debt load has long been a burden upon the company. At present it stands just short of $14.7 billion (Las Vegas Sands is carrying $11.9 billion and Wynn Resorts $8.3 billion). Does CEO Jim Murren really want to double down? It was just such a move that sent Caesars spiraling into bankruptcy. McKnight doesn’t elaborate on the MGM news other than to say that other companies (unspecified) are kicking the Roman Empire’s tires as well. Speaking of Sands, it has the money but someplace like Bally’s doesn’t fit with the company’s carefully manicured image. Ditto Wynn, which goes out of its way to maintain an upscale position. The prime suspect would be Continue reading

Posted in Caesars Entertainment, California, Hooters, Internet gambling, Las Vegas Sands, Maryland, MGM Mirage, New Jersey, Penn National, Pennsylvania, Pinnacle Entertainment, Sports, Sports betting, The Strip, Tribal, Wall Street, Wynn Resorts | 3 Comments

Quote of the Day

“Being human is a condition which requires a certain amount of anesthetic.” — Freddie Mercury (Rami Malek) in Bryan Singer‘s new film, Bohemian Rhapsody.

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Case Bets

Anthony Rodio was hardly settled in the CEO’s chair at Affinity Gaming before he was greeted with a rap on the knuckles from the Missouri Gaming Commission. The latter fined Affinity’s Mark Twain Casino $50,000 for repeated incidences of cheating while the table games department “knew, or strongly suspected, the activity was occurring, but said nothing.” According to the MGC, casino staff was “aiding others in cheating, lack of table game supervisions, and failing to report such violations.” Mark Twain, upon learning of the MGC probe, sacked three of the individuals involved, who were also arrested on related indictments. A year-long criminal investigation of the 2017 corruption delayed the MGC’s action until this week week. That’s almost as long as the cheating scheme ran, from December 2016 to August 2017. “The table games supervisor and the pit manager have both, in fact, pled guilty up in Lewis County Circuit Court of cheating in gambling games, and the charges against the table games dealer are still pending,” according to MGC general counsel Ed Grewach.

The offenses at the craps table alone ranged from interfering with the roll of the dice to paying out on losing bets. Capping of bets was also allowed, as was Continue reading

Posted in Affinity Gaming, Caesars Entertainment, International, Macau, MGM Resorts International, Missouri, Regulation, Security | Comments Off on Case Bets

Promising horizon for Penn; Frissora exiting Caesars

Penn National Gaming came in from 3Q18 below Wall Street‘s expectations but JP Morgan analyst Joseph Greff defends the company, citing high expectations of free cash flow in 2019 (12%) and 2020 (20%), even after capex reinvestments. The addition of most of the Pinnacle Entertainment portfolio is expected to help as well. He blamed the third-quarter miss on aggravated promotional expenses in the Chicago area, Tunica and Plainridge. He likes Penn, in part, for “a relatively attractive regional gaming landscape marked by a stable consumer macro and a (mostly) rational promotional environment.” Penn execs are bullish, projecting $30 million of Pinnacle-related synergies by the end of the year. “Elsewhere, Ohio continues to be strong and Charles Town is seeing some momentum, with new customers in West Virginia from sports betting,” Greff wrote, adding that growth was stronger among rated high-end players than unrated, mass-market ones. The company said it was off to “a great start” on assimilating Pinnacle. I hope that doesn’t mean a blizzard of pink slips.

* Could Macao be headed into a second swoon in casino revenue? We’ve seen few Continue reading

Posted in Atlantic City, Caesars Entertainment, Centaur Gaming, Dan Gilbert, Economy, Illinois, Lucky Dragon, Macau, Marketing, Massachusetts, Mississippi, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Sports betting, Tilman Fertitta, Wall Street, West Virginia | Comments Off on Promising horizon for Penn; Frissora exiting Caesars

Quote of the Day

“This is a tremendous blow to our tribe, without whom America’s earliest settlers would not have survived. It should also alarm tribal nations all across Indian Country. I do not believe that our country — this great nation that our tribal citizens have fought and died for — wants to return to the dark days of taking sovereign Indian land away from indigenous communities. If neither Congress nor the federal courts weigh in to stop this, the Trump administration will return the Mashpee Wampanoag once again to landlessness, force us to close our schools and social service programs and lead us back to despair and hopelessness.” — Mashpee Chairman Cedric Cromwell on an Interior Department ruling that his tribe does not meet the definition of “Indian,” among other things.

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No love for Lucky Dragon

What if they sold a casino and nobody bid? That was the unenviable fate of Lucky Dragon Casino at bankruptcy auction. No one wants the jinxed property, leaving it in the frigid hands of principal lender Snow Covered Capital. Thus ends what has been called “the most specifically focused casino project in the history of Las Vegas.” Snow Covered Capital was clearly eager to be shot of what it called “a dismal failure” but will instead be forced to shell out the $200,000 a month it costs to keep the property mothballed. This outcome, however sad, was entirely foreseeable. None of the big gaming operators on the Strip had reason to covet tiny Lucky Dragon, and Boyd Gaming and Station Casinos are firmly entrenched with Asian players at Gold Coast and newly revamped Palace Station, respectively. And an independent operator would have to have a big Asian-player database before venturing into Lucky Dragon. There were rumors Alex Meruelo would tuck it in as a complimentary property to SLS Las Vegas but the latter has so many problems of its own that Meruelo clearly thought better of the acquisition, if he thought about it at all. With 3,400 hotel rooms coming on line at Resorts World Las Vegas, newcomer Genting Group hardly needs a ‘dormitory’ hotel. Let Lucky Dragon stand as a cautionary symbol to everyone who thinks they can beat the Strip at its own game.

Majestic Star Casino in Indiana (which encompasses a former Continue reading

Posted in Alex Meruelo, Boyd Gaming, Caesars Entertainment, Environment, Genting, Indiana, Lucky Dragon, Majestic Star, Marketing, Sheldon Adelson, Singapore, SLS Las Vegas, Station Casinos, Tropicana Entertainment | 3 Comments

Churchill Downs: Next stop, Des Plaines

Late last night the news broke that Churchill Downs has purchased 50.1% of Rivers Casino in Des Plaines from a consortium headed by Rush Street Gaming. The company is paying $326 million for a slight majority in an asset valued at $1.45 billion, with the option to pay another $174 million over time. What went unsaid was that Churchill Downs has tapped a huge cash spigot, as Rivers Casino is far and away the dominant casino in Illinois, month in and month out. No competitor has ever come close. It also means that Churchill Downs will probably be shopping some 336 acres at Arlington Racetrack, which it had been keeping in its pocket as a potential casino site. JP Morgan analyst Joseph Greff theorizes that the value of such a transaction could be worth as much as $18/share.

Otherwise it was pretty much business as usual for CHDN: A soft 3Q18 at Continue reading

Posted in Churchill Downs, Dining, Economy, Illinois, Las Vegas Sands, Louisiana, Macau, MGM Resorts International, Penn National, Pennsylvania, Pinnacle Entertainment, Rush Street Gaming, Wall Street | Comments Off on Churchill Downs: Next stop, Des Plaines

Election update; Resorts World reaches for the sky

Driving Arkansas Forward, the initiative to legalize casino gambling at four Arkansas locations, looks like it will score a come-from-behind victory in less than a week. Early polling had it down, 41% to 48%, but it’s now turned the tide, 49% to 43%. Issue 4 would convert Oaklawn Jockey Club and Southland Racing Corp. into racinos, and open the path for bidding on casinos on as-yet-undecided sites in Jefferson County and Pope County. Just for the record, S&G favors a “yes” vote on the issue. Financial projections — always to be taken with a gran of salt — have the four casinos producing $12o million in annual tax revenue, 55% of which will be dedicated to the state general fund.

* In a heartening progress report on Resorts World Las Vegas, the Las Vegas Review-Journal has an update: 35 of a projected Continue reading

Posted in Animals, Architecture, Arkansas, Election, Environment, Genting, Horseracing, International, Internet gambling, Nevada, Racinos, Technology, The Strip | Comments Off on Election update; Resorts World reaches for the sky

MGM: The lion meows; Nevada sets sports-betting record

“Good quarter against low expectations” pretty well summarizes Wall Street‘s reaction to MGM Resorts International‘s 3Q18. (And we have to say that MGM leadership did a masterly job of minimizing anticipation well ahead of time.) JP Morgan analyst Joseph Greff admitted as much, while saying that Las Vegas Strip cash flow beat the Street’s projections by 5%. Looking ahead, “2019 expectations are reasonably set.” The full half of the glass includes better group business next quarter, increasing revenue from Park MGM and continuing recovery at formerly hexed Mandalay Bay. Greff tried to reconcile MGM’s stated goals of reducing leverage with a New York Post report that it covets Caesars Entertainment (which would create no end of redundancies, but let’s save that for another time). The glass is perhaps half-empty due to much-lower-than-expected Macao cash flow, thanks to a “very slow” (Greff) ramp up of MGM Cotai. Also, sadly, fourth-quarter comparisons will be easier in part because MGM business slackened notably after the Mandalay Bay Massacre late last year. This translated into $40 million less cash flow, lower room revenues, and weaker table game and slot handle.

MGM Cotai eked out $12 million in cash flow (absolutely terrible Continue reading

Posted in Economy, IGT, International, Macau, Mandalay Bay Massacre, Maryland, Massachusetts, MGM Resorts International, Nevada, Sports betting, The Strip, Wall Street | Comments Off on MGM: The lion meows; Nevada sets sports-betting record

Quote of the Day

“While none of these acts came at the direct instigation of the president or the leadership of the GOP, it is undeniable that they were manifestations of a changed climate in America of which the current U.S. president is the most prominent author.” — from a column in Sheldon Adelson‘s Haaretz by David Rothkopf, commenting on the recent wave of violence in the States.

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Strip tanks in September; Adelson vs. Buffett

If you want to know what it’s hard to get financing to develop on the Las Vegas Strip you could either A) ask Steven Witkoff or B) look at the latest, very blah numbers from September — $546 million. That 4% decline actually inspired Credit Suisse analyst Cameron McKnight to call them “better than expected.” Meanwhile, Nevada as a whole was up 1% and locals revenues rocketed 16% into the stratosphere. The prior-year comparison on the Strip was hardly a difficult one: +4.5%. So what went wrong? Baccarat win fell through the floor, down 27.5%, with play 15.5% lower than 2017. That negated a 5% gain in slot win and accompanied a 4.5% drop-off in non-baccarat table games, despite almost 5% higher wagering. “In a 3Q that should be forgotten, LV Strip [gross gaming revenue] declined 7.2% Y/Y, while statewide GGR declined 2.2%,” wrote JP Morgan‘s Joseph Greff. Take baccarat out of the equation and, thanks to slots ($285 million), Strip gambling revenues were actually 1% up. Nothing about which to get excited but a silver lining in a rather dark cloud. (Airline passengers coming into Las Vegas were down 1%, by the way.)

Elsewhere, Downtown grossed $55 million, up 11.5%, while North Las Vegas shot up 22.5% to $24 million and the Boulder Strip had a bonny month, gaining Continue reading

Posted in Boulder Strip, Downtown, Economy, Election, Environment, Lake Tahoe, Laughlin, Reno, Sheldon Adelson, The Strip, Tourism | Comments Off on Strip tanks in September; Adelson vs. Buffett

DFS wins one, loses one

FanDuel and DraftKings are in trouble in New York again. While holding that they didn’t violate state penal law, acting Supreme Court Justice Gerald Connolly split the baby by ruling DFS unconstitutional, a big victory for anti-gambling groups that had brought suit against daily fantasy sports. Credit Suisse analyst Cameron McKnight writes that this ruling means “sports betting legislation could be similarly challenged in NY.” Gov. Andrew Cuomo‘s office is still mulling the potential ramifications of Connolly’s ruling and presumably brainstorming an appeal. Plaintiffs’ attorney Cornelius Murray is pressing for an immediate shutdown of all DFS sites in New York State. DraftKings and FanDuel, meanwhile, are conducting business as usual.

“What the judge said is that the law that the Legislature passed purporting to legalize daily fantasy sports was unconstitutional and that daily fantasy sports is definitely gambling,” said Murray. Replied FOB (Friend of Bill) attorney David Boies, representing DraftKings, “We are continuing to Continue reading

Posted in DFS, Indiana, International, Internet gambling, Law enforcement, MGM Resorts International, New York, Penn National, Resort fees, Sports, Sports betting, The Strip | Comments Off on DFS wins one, loses one

Quote of the Day

“Despite links between women and increases in financial results, gender bias is routinely overlooked and minimalized. Although there have been improvements between the wage disparity among men and women, the glass ceiling continues to triumph with the support of several other barriers to the success of women, including gender bias and gender stereotyping, sexual harassment, the lack of mentors and role models, the lack of formal career development activities and projects, the exclusion from informal networks, the perception of leadership style, and value associated with male-dominated behaviors and functional roles.” — Jane Bokunewicz and Noel Criscione-Naylor, from a study of gender-based disparities in the casino industry.

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Massachusetts’ fate tied to Wynn’s

There’s light at the end of Wynn Resorts‘ tunnel in Massachusetts. Trouble is, it won’t arrive until December and it will take the form of an investigative report, nearly a year in the making, from the Massachusetts Gaming Commission (postponed from early autumn to mid-winter). The MGC is looking into sexual-misconduct allegations against Steve Wynn and, mainly, the concealment of a $7.5 million paternity settlement from Bay State regulators. The MGC has had to forgive a fair amount of questionable conduct by Wynn, both the man and the company (google “Charles Lightbody“) and the $2.4 billion question is whether the behavior of Steve Wynn and former corporate counsel Kim Sinatra was the straw that broke Encore Boston Harbor‘s back. We think most of us expect a big-ass fine and a stern lecture but the prospect of revoking Encore’s casino license has never been taken off the table, pending the investigation’s findings.

“I sat in a number of those hearings when Wynn was pushing for the license and it was pretty clear to me and others that [they] were in love with the glitz and glamour of Continue reading

Posted in Boyd Gaming, Caesars Entertainment, Cordish Co., Greenwood Racing, Harrah's, history, International, Iowa, Massachusetts, MGM Resorts International, Nebraska, Pennsylvania, Pinnacle Entertainment, Regulation, Sexual misconduct, Sports, Sports betting, Steve Wynn, Tribal, William Hill, Wynn Resorts | Comments Off on Massachusetts’ fate tied to Wynn’s

Z covets Full House; Caesars: Fertitta out, MGM in?

Having recently subsumed Affinity Gaming, the eyes of Z Capital Partners have turned toward Full House Resorts. However, Z’s opening bid is so low that it looks like a typo: $1.79/share. That’s $132.5 million for five casinos. CEO Dan Lee (left), in tandem with board chairman Brad Tirpak, wrote eloquently that the ultra-lowball bid “reflects a stark and fundamental disconnect from our board’s understanding of the company’s value, as well as that of third-party investors and analysts.” FLL is trading at $2.70 at this very moment, so Z’s offer wasn’t just cheap, it was an insult to shareholders. “Your letter indicates a price without specifying a transaction structure or providing evidence of financing,” zinged Tirpak and Lee. (In all fairness to Z Capital, a standard 7X multiple of Full House’s 2017 cash flow would result in an offer of $115.5 million.)

While the Z overture coincides with Anthony Rodio‘s arrival as CEO of Affinity, it would be a colossal stretch to suggest any linkage between the two events, other than it gives shareholders a dilemma of whose leadership they would trust: Lee’s or Rodio’s. In dueling letters Lee warned of “significant Continue reading

Posted in Affinity Gaming, Caesars Entertainment, Current, Dan Lee, Full House Resorts, G2E, International, Law enforcement, Marketing, Melco Resorts & Entertainment, MGM Resorts International, Philippines, Sheldon Adelson, Sports, Tilman Fertitta, Wall Street | Comments Off on Z covets Full House; Caesars: Fertitta out, MGM in?

Quote of the Day

“If God truly loves drunks and fools, he had to find several of the wagering discussions at G2E to be His greatest glory.” — former casino executive and regulator Richard Schuetz on the sudden bumper crop of sports-betting ‘experts’ at Global Gaming Expo.

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Adelson eats Wynn’s lunch; Thumbs up for Boyd

Credit Suisse analyst Cameron McKnight reports that Sands China is stealing Macao market share from Wynn Resorts. Renovated VIP rooms at Sands properties are credited with the shift in business. Also, Sands “stated that while its very confident of [concession] renewal, it has had no communication with the government on the issue.” Sands’ $1 billion capex reinvestment in Sands Cotai Central (soon to be The Londoner) is deemed a “sensible allocation of capital as it proves LVS’s commitment to help develop the Macau market, and reorients an asset whose brand and market position has struggled since opening.” More ominously, McKnight cites a study that says the Chinese public displays “a growing reluctance to spend suggests Continue reading

Posted in Atlantic City, Boyd Gaming, Caesars Entertainment, Downtown, Economy, Eldorado Resorts, Hard Rock International, Hawaii, Las Vegas Sands, Macau, Pennsylvania, Pinnacle Entertainment, Sports, Sports betting, Tamares Group, Tourism, Transportation, Wall Street, William Hill, Wynn Resorts | 1 Comment

Adelson nixes Greek casino; ‘George’ promo at Plaza

It’s all Greek to Sheldon Adelson. The mogul has dropped out of the running for a casino in Greece. That leaves Caesars Entertainment, Hard Rock International (which recently pulled out of contention for a casino in Cyprus) and Mohegan Sun chasing the quarry. There’s plenty of time to speculate upon who will get the former Illiniko airport site, all 1,532 acres of it, since the final award will probably not be announced until late March or early April 2019. The Hellenic Gaming Commission is seeking a “world-class integrated resort casino operation … a project destined to transform the wider area of Athens and improve Continue reading

Posted in Caesars Entertainment, Downtown, Economy, Hard Rock International, International, Las Vegas Sands, Marketing, Mohegan Sun, Tamares Group, Tourism | Comments Off on Adelson nixes Greek casino; ‘George’ promo at Plaza

Quote of the Day

“We are not litigious people but this is ridiculous. If the court finds in our favor, a portion of the proceeds will fund scholarships for creative writing programs at New Jersey universities.” — William Hill US CEO Joe Asher, on a lawsuit against FanDuel for allegedly plagiarizing a William Hill betting guide. The suit reads, in part, “FanDuel’s unauthorised copying is perhaps most evident in the fact that FanDuel actually forgot to remove William Hill’s name when printing the Infringing Pamphlet.”

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