Another one for the database The Rays lead MLB in saves. This perhaps could mean they are in an abnormal number of close games. Can you look at 2005-2009, by year, to see whether teams that led the league in saves in the first half of the year were good fade opportunities in the second half (because they were "lucky" in having so many close games be victories, thus inflating the line)? I wonder whether September being expanded roster team has a detrimental effect on this. Perhaps this could be something to consider next season. On hearing that the Rays have converted so many saves already, it makes me want to fade them.