Getting over a bad beat - Game for Monday, too

[QUOTE=burger;23930]People who don't "watch" the games they bet on are doing themselves an injustice. "Sweating" the games are not only part of the "fun" in this racket but also gives you invaluable info for future capping. Knowing why/how you won or lost a bet is more important than the bet itself. I've gone round and round about this... You can crunch numbers all you want but if you don't know how the hell the "numbers" became the "numbers" then how the hell do you know what you are "crunching"???[/QUOTE] I agree completely. I only focus on a few teams. Most of my bets are when I ride on the opinion of someone I respect. But the teams I focus on? I always sweat those games, promise.

Everytime I have a bad beat, I remind myself I will probably never have a worse beat than the beat whoever has the other side of a bet I had last year took. The bet was Texas -3.5 runs over Army in the 2009 College World series. Regionals I believe. I also had some Texas -600 ML... Trailing the entire game, Texas tied it up in the B8th and I'm thinking "Wow, not losing that -600 would be pretty cool". Well that hope didnt last long when Army tacked on 4 more runs on the top of the 9th.... Then its hard to imagine how this even happened exactly without a play-by-play of some sort, which I havent been able to find... But in the bottom of the 9th, not only did Texas tie it up, but some how loaded the bases to set up a walk-off grand slam, to win that ridiculous -3.5 RL. I still feel sorry for anyone with the +3.5 that day.

great thread. Tim, I was surprised at your post. It seems like your bet size was too big. That's as big as handicapping acumen to being successful, blah blah nothing written here will change that, its actually an accounting matter and that seems to be a gene we either get, or don't, or must "force-learn". Tim I enjoy your posts, have followed you many, many times and can say with certainty that you are one talented soul at this game. You also are that rare kind that seems very personable and can convey your reasoning for plays, well. Many times the ultra-talented at this are introverted, math geek types etc. so between you and Fezz we're fortunate here to have that entertainment factor. I appreciate that. As for Burger's post I couldn't agree more. There are many ways to beat this game and obviously there are sharps that find value in stats alone. This may as well be automated, and I can't imagine the edge being that great over many years. And talk about boring...For the rest of us, there's just too many things the box score leaves out. Considering our subconscious mind is about 40 million times the capacity as our conscious mind, our intuition can at times be our greatest asset, and that sight is by far the strongest of our five senses, it sure seems hard to make a case not to watch. There is a solution to the emotional aspect -- watch a replay. McDonald looks sharp tonight. I bet LAD based on a blend of things I saw, be glad to share, but I'm already long here. I'm in your corner Tim, and as you know anything can happen on a given game, or five. Think Marathon! Best, Tim

All, Very entertaining thread. I appreciated all comments. The short answer to my posts: 1) I had a bad beat Sunday. 2) I was disappointed but not in dispair. 3) I did have 2 units on each, I gambled and lost on what I thought were two great opportunities. 4) I "writers embellished" the situation for dramatic effect. 5) My Giants play for Monday was also a 2 unit bet. It hit, I'm happy. With my other two wagers which won I had a wash for the two days. [B]footnote[/B]: I don't have 2 unit wagers very often. It just so happened I had 3 in two days. It could be a month before it happens again. One never knows. I hope to find something strong enough to post again, soon.