Kc Royals

Kc Royals Last year the Royals o/u was 66. This year the o/u is 70. I can't see what the linesmaker is thinking. The Royals lost pitchers Grienke, Meche and outfielder DeJesus. The additions were outfeilder Melkey Cabrera, Jeff Francour and pitcher Jeff Francis. Not enough to warrent 4 more wins than last year. thoughts????

they have been very well bet in the early exchanges.....

I faded these losers, UN 69.5 My kind of organization to bet against.

in the regular season match ups v clevland for example - kc went from +160 into even money in places

The Royals have a load of prospects. Those situations are lucky enough to work out if at all anyway. I can't see how these guys could make that much of a difference this year but it is a low RSW number and I suppose the call ups and prospects could help them do well in the second half. The starting 9 they have is weak. The lack of power in their offence is obvious. It looks like an expansion team with a few claims off teams in dispersal drafts. We'll take Jeff Francouer. We'll take Melky Cabrera. How do they keep anyone coming to their games? They did actually have a very good team BA last year so there is hope they can manufacture runs. But they didn't improve from a power perspective so they'll have to hit again to maintain their current status. Francis. Another dispersal. Obviously they are hoping he returns to a form he had a few years ago. The starting pitching looks weak. Hochevar, Chen some good starts LY but their careers aren't encouraging. This is a team that seems like it will not win 70 games. It seems like a team that I will have as a bet 100 times at least at +1.5 all year on the runline and I will be hoping wins 75 games or loses close games. They go 25-45 first 70. Then call up Moustakas and Hosmer and maybe they get some pitching help from the minors. Last 92 40-52. That is 65 wins. They could struggle to win 60. Their up scenario IMO is somehow go 30-40 start a few call ups obviously things going better than expected and be an enthused team for second half and end up at 75 wins playing low pressure games and taking advantage of other teams experimenting in the second half.

To add to that, I would say to look at when during the year they are playing teams that are likely to "need" to win. As you say, teams that are likely to experiment generate fewer wins for this club if they only face them in the first half of the season.

KC Royals are a AA team at best. Kansas City is a tier 3 city, comparable to Omaha, Des Moines or OKC.

I don't know if it's that bad, but it certainly doesn't feel like a "big league" city anymore. Too bad, as the Royals used to have some good teams going back 25-30 years ago.