mwlanca MLB model 2015 Last year I used an Excel model I put together and made 93 units flat betting 1 unit, my 1 unit was 1% of bankroll so it went up as year went on. I pull some numbers like WAR wRC+ from Fangraphs to get a base projection for each team then enter in adjustments for lineups and starting pitcher. It then calculates win% for each team and fair moneyline. Theres a couple filters then I bet the games where line is off by a certain amount. I enter data for each game along with actual game results and it uses regression to make a better forecast and to stay dynamic with current market conditions. If anyone else is using math models for betting I would love to share tips and tricks. I will post bets daily here.
Good Luck to all MLB bettors out there!
