Prof Meyer's MLB Play 8/25 LA Dodgers +100 over MILWAUKEE – The Brewers have won Randy Wolf’s last three starts and he out-dueled Adam Wainwright 3-2 as a 220 dog in St Louis in his last outing. Wolf went eight and a third and allowed one run on three hits and a lone walk. This has been a trouble spot for him. The Brewers are 0-6 in franchise history as a favorite with Wolf when his is off a team win in which his WHIP was less than 1.50. The SDQL text is:
[B]team = Brewers and starter = Randy Wolf and F and s:SWHIP =6 and s:SHRA=0 and not DIV and date>=20090701[/B]
LA has tallied an average of 8.2 runs in these games and every win was by multiple runs.
The Brewers were on a four game winning streak, but they lost their last two games 7-3 and 5-3. LA is a team that knows how to keep their foot on the throat of their opponent – especially if they are a dog. The Dodgers are 9-1 as a DOG vs a team that has lost their last two games, including three nice multiple-run wins in their last three in this spot.
Historically, Milwaukee is 12-25 at home when they are seeking immediate revenge for a loss in which they held the lead and an ugly 5-18 at home when they won the last two games their starter started – despite being favored in 17 of the 23 games.
It looks to us like the wrong team is favored here.
MTi’s FORECAST: LA Dodgers 5 MILWAUKEE 2
