Prof Meyer's MLB Play 8/28 Boston +130 over TAMPA BAY – In Matt Garza’s last start, he allowed only four hits in seven and two-thirds and the Rays won 3-2 in Oakland. Thy Rays haven’t won in this spot in a long time. Tampa is 0-8 since August 2008 when Matt Garza starts when he had a WHIP of less than one on the road his last start. The SDQL text is:
[B]starter=Matt Garza and s:SWHIP=20080801[/B]
By running the query you can see that the Rays were the favorite in six of the eight games. In Garza’s three starts in this spot this season, he has not produced a single quality start.
The Red Sox send Clay Buchholz to the hill in an effort to gain more ground in the wild card race. Buchholz has been spectacular recently, but, unlike Garza, he is a good investment in this spot. Boston is 19-0 with Buchholz when he is off a quality start, as long as he was not a 170+ favorite in that start. The SDQL text is:
[B]starter=Clay Buchholz and s:QS and s:line>-170 and 20090819
