Rickjs handicapping picks wk of 06/7

Rickjs handicapping picks wk of 06/7 Sunday was a 1-4 day or -2.85 units. Our only winner was Kansas City...although all but Texas were close. Today 1 lean in mlb: 967 - C Silva 968 PIT - D Eveland +138 I got +144 An email: "When I wager on matchbook, I'm mostly on underdogs, like you seem to be. Do you see the markets on baseball sides going against you leading up to gametime? " My response: Typically what I see when I post these picks are the line moves with my picks initially but then later in the day tends to move back to the original line or even further. similar to the way college basketball went this year but not as dramatic. Remember these picks are contrary to what the public is doing so its reasonable to expect the bulk of the public will still be coming in to bet these before gametime. So if you cant get close to the number i post you more likely then not will get it before game time or better. Mlb 10-11 June Play 0-4 -4.00 Lean 4-4 +0.80 May play: 7-2 +6.90 Leans: 8-1 +8.84 April plays: 1-6 -4.92 Leans: 7-7 +2.30 Total: plays 8-12 -2.13 leans 19-12 +11.94 Good Luck Today RickJ Rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com Twitter: rickjsportplays
Good information. Appreciate your sharing it.
tuesday We lost our lean on pittsburgh Monday..they never were in the game with the cubs winning 6-1. Today 5 home dogs and nothing even close to a lean or a play. So after a few active days a break today. An email: "would you recommend playing the run line instead because it looks like a lot of your losses are decided by 1 run? " My response: I have never given any thought to run line betting. I am sure there is an analysis that could correlate money lines to run lines but I am not the person to ask. Perhaps someone else reading this could help out. Good Luck Today Rickj Rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com Twitter: rickjsportplays
Based on my research, run lines are generally not worth it. (The books don't offer them because they are better than money lines.) I would only consider a run line if the favorite's bullpen is above average and rested, the underdog's bullpen is below average and tired. The trick here is determining whether this is already factored into the line. That's where keeping good power ratings comes into play.

Wedn Nothing on Tues and again nothing even close today to a lean or a play. We have had a bit of a downswing this month and for the month am off 4.2 units. Also I have started to receive some rude emails about how these picks are poor, along with some disparaging comments. Let me remind everyone that if a 4.2 unit downswing is troubling you then you probably shouldn't be betting since it would be nothing to encounter a 20 unit downswing and I expect it sooner or later. Also Its probably time to remind everyone to reread the required reading section of my blog. It is needed to get a perspective on gambling and these picks. Here is the link: [url]https://rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com/2007/01/friday-nba-plays_19.html[/url] I have been doing this for 5 years now so human nature as it is I encounter this every time things slow up. People are betting that really shouldn't be betting at all. If you don't have a perspective on variance, money management, and the psychological ups and downs of gambling on a daily basis you have 0 chance of success at this tough endeavor. Good Luck Today RickJ Rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com Twitter: rickjsportplays
Anyone who sends comments like that shouldn't be on this board. This is not a place for seekers of the non-existent "magic pill" of gambling wealth. It takes work beyond just opening a thread every day and making a bet. Getting out of line with PMs is also cause for being ejected from this board. Anyone who wants to send me examples of same is welcome to do so and there will be follow-up.
Thurs mlb lean and play Nothing the last 2 days but today 1 play and 1 lean in mlb: Play: 919 - J Lester 920 CLE - M Talbot +187 I got +191 Lean: 909 - T Hanson 910 ARI - D Willis +155 I got +160 There are 2 other games that could swing into picks and I will update if anything develops Good Luck Today RickJ Rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com Twitter:rickjsportplays
another mlb play 905 B - R Dempster 906 MIL - D Bush +120 I got +124 RickJ
Friday mlb lean A wild day Thurs, one of the most exciting I can remember. We won Milwaukee in extra innings and just when it looked like arizona was out of it....a 3 run double tied it up...but then they went on to lose the game. But finally Cleveland falling behind 5-0 went ahead 6-5 into the 9th and gave up 2 runs falling behind 7-6. But then bases loaded 0 outs bottom of the 9th looked like a win for cleveland...but then 2 strikeouts...but finally a base hit and we won 8-7 for a +2.07 unit day. Today 1 lean in mlb: STL - J Garcia 952 ARI - R Lopez +130 I got +133 Good Luck Today RickJ Rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com Twitter: rickjsportplays
saturday We lost our lean on Arizona Saturday. They had a few chances late but never connected with men on base the last two innings. Today only 1 home dog. Right now its not a play or a lean....but things could change and I will be watching the variables today and will update if it swings into a pick. The game goes off at 5:30 pm pst. RickJ Rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com Twitter: rickjsportplays