Rickjs handicapping picks wk of 09/27

Rickjs handicapping picks wk of 09/27 Sunday there were no mlb plays. I went 3-2 in the Hilton contest and 2-3 in Leroys and the nfl picks went 2-1. The only question I have is in the Denver game, down by 7, with about 8 min left in the 4th quarter and Denver 4th and 3 on indys 12 yard line ...they decided to go for the 1st down instead of kicking a field goal. Am I missing something? In any event....today 1 play in mlb: 913 - A Burnett 914 TOR - M Rzepczynski +125 I got +132 There is another possible mlb play and I will update if anything develops. Nfl 2010 Picks 3-4 Hilton 8-7 Leroys 7-8 Ncaa FB 2010/2011 Picks: 4-6-1 Mlb 2010 Total: plays 24-26 +9.33 leans 49-52 +7.21 September: Plays 5-5 +1.85 Leans 9-14 -3.20 August plays 5-4 +3.73 leans 12-16 -0.95 July Play 1-3 -1.61 Lean 6-4 +3.80 June Play 6-5 +3.49 Lean 7-12 -3.58 May play: 7-2 +6.90 Leans: 8-1 +8.84 April plays: 1-6 -4.92 Leans: 7-7 +2.30 Good Luck Today RickJ Rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com Twitter: rickjsportplays

When McDaniels was the OC in New England he did this against the Colts.

Tues mlb play and lean Today 1 play and 1 lean in mlb: - C Sabathia 968 TOR - K Drabek +180 I got +180 Lean: 969 - M Scherzer 970 CLE - M Talbot +123 I got +125 Also there is one other game that could become a play. I will update if anything develops. Good Luck Today RickJ Rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com Twitter: rickjsportplays

another tues mlb play Play 973 - F Hernandez 974 TEX - S Feldman +120 I got +126 RickJ

Wedn mlb play An 0-2 day yesterday with toronto and texas both losing. Today 1 play in mlb: 921 - J Verlander 922 CLE - J Tomlin +140 I got +143 Good Luck Today RickJ Rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com Twitter: rickjsportplays

Thurs mlb play Cleveland won 4-3 on Wedn. I was asked about the other game of the double header since I had put it out as a play the day before and the same pitchers were going with a better price. I do most of my workup around 6 to 7 am and usually put my picks out around 7:30 or so. For some reason with double headers all of the variables I look at are not available all the time early. In addition as it turned out the public was on the game 39% as opposed to around 33% the day before. Now in the big scheme of things that would not seem to be very significant. But the way I handicap baseball 40% is the key level I look at. So 39% would make it marginal. If I devoted most of my time to handicapping this would of been a play. But since I devote such a small amount of time to it....some marginal games are going to get passed by. Today 1 play in mlb: 967 - J Lester 968 CWS - J Danks +115 I got +116 Good Luck Today RickJ Rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com Twitter: rickjsportplays

Friday mlb lean The White Sox had an easy time of it on Thursday winning 8-2 and denying lester his 20th win. Today 1 lean in mlb: 929 - T Cahill 930 SEA - L French +115 I got +118 Nothing I can see in the ncaa fb game tonight. The line opened at 6.5 and is now down to 3.5 this morning with 63% of the public on the road favorite. Another note...September is behind us in Baseball and its a good example of the swings that can take place month to month. At a little over the half way mark to the month we were down about 9.5 units for the month and things were looking pretty grim. It was our largest downswing of the season and it was a sharp quick downswing. I know from some of the comments I received and emails that some got very discouraged and more then likely gave it up. The point is that when you begin wagering you need to expect drawdowns. Its not a question of if they will occur. Its only a question of when and how much. This year 9.5 has been the worst in mlb. But believe me when I tell you..it can get much worse then that! Now for those that didnt get discouraged the last day of the month brought us into the plus column for the month. Not much of a plus but about a half a unit. So in less then a half a month we recovered to overcome the 9.5 unit drawdown. A nice surprise. The trick is to bet an amount that a 20 unit downslide will not cause you any monetary or psychological discomfort. This is supposed to be fun. For me its an intellectual exercise each morning similar to working crossword puzzles. I know I have written the above many times before...but believe me when I tell you...when your gambling on a daily basis....assuming your a positive ev player....its the most important concept you need to understand and apply. Good Luck Today RickJ rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com Twitter: rickjsportplays

Saturday mlb lean One lean today in mlb 971 - A Pettitte 972 BOS - T Wakefield +128 I got +132 Good Luck Today RickJ Rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com Twitter: rickjsportplays