Rudy NYC Sports Plays of the Day - 7/28/2010 (79-61 +22.68u) [B]962 Wednesday, 7/28/2010 [U]New York Mets (-116)[/U] 3 units
7:10pm EST @ New York Mets
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After a miserable 2-9 West Coast swing, everybody is down on the Mets who have returned home where their record is an awesome 31-16. The Big Question in the Big Apple is who should be fired first: GM, manager, hitting coach or Lady Gaga??? We know the Mets play a different type game at home as evidenced in last night’s 8-2 shelling of the Cards with Adam Wainwright on the mound. As for the Cards, absent of their series in Chicago, they have been playing great ball. However, they are still only 21-29 on the road.
As for the starting pitching, Jaime Garcia (9-4, 2.21 ERA and 1.27 WHIP), who is having a magnificent season having had Tommy John surgery two years ago, seems to be tailing off a bit statistically. His last five games stats read 2-1, 3.65 ERA, and 1.46 WHIP. It is public knowledge that Garcia is on a 7 inning max count and a 200 inning maximum for the season. It just might be that Garcia’s arm is starting to feel the strain. It should be noted his only appearance against the Mets was a seven inning, one hit, no decision.
The Mets start Johan Santana (8-5, 2.79 ERA, 1.18 WHIP). His last five games read 3-0, 0.71 ERA, 0.97 WHIP and no HR’s given up. Wow!!! We should not be surprised; Johan is a warm weather pitcher and has done this before.
Also, let’s not forget the Mets hit southpaws especially at home where they average .296.
In years past the Mets would be at least -170 in this match-up with Santana on the hill. We have it at -140 or so. We got it at -116 and believe it is a solid investment. This victory will not come as easy as last night’s but we believe it is worthy of a 3 unit play.
GL,
RUDY [/B]
